TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · lstm_s8
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
60.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1269
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0469
actual -0.0097
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.853104 | -2.52% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.869221 | -2.47% | – | pending | – | – | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.877078 | -2.54% | – | pending | – | – | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.819527 | -2.16% | – | pending | – | – | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.859364 | -2.33% | – | pending | – | – | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.866203 | -2.33% | – | pending | – | – | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0106 | -3.13% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 0.997132 | -3.19% | 0.87515 | -15.03% | 0.1442 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 0.981475 | -3.19% | 0.89125 | -12.09% | 0.0945 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.955393 | -3.23% | 0.8999 | -8.85% | 0.0610 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0466 | -3.70% | 0.83765 | -22.92% | 0.2025 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.09 | -4.12% | 0.8799 | -22.60% | 0.1955 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0165 | -3.85% | 0.8869 | -16.11% | 0.1237 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 0.995685 | -3.87% | 1.0433 | +0.72% | 0.0415 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.0419 | -4.05% | 1.03 | -5.15% | 0.0092 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.0938 | -4.31% | 1.0138 | -11.32% | 0.0471 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.0655 | -4.40% | 0.98725 | -11.43% | 0.0284 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1123 | -4.84% | 1.0868 | -7.03% | 0.0100 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1348 | -5.60% | 1.1368 | -5.44% | 0.0236 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.807394 | -3.99% | 1.0573 | +25.72% | 0.2931 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.818023 | -4.08% | 1.0358 | +21.46% | 0.2739 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.840042 | -4.34% | 1.0859 | +23.66% | 0.2601 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.95288 | -5.16% | 1.1432 | +13.78% | 0.1596 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.0637 | -6.56% | 1.1146 | -2.09% | 0.0196 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0049 | -7.42% | 1.1689 | +7.69% | 0.1273 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.850514 | -5.73% | 1.2022 | +33.25% | 0.3422 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.771067 | -5.88% | 0.84095 | +2.66% | 0.0819 | ✗ | 1.00 |