TREAD
Tread.fi · Ethereum · lstm_s8
- token id
- #929
- symbol
- TREAD
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
57.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0660
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0077
actual +0.0039
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.87515 | 0.871831 | -0.38% | – | pending | – | – | -0.26 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.89125 | 0.887891 | -0.38% | 0.87515 | -1.81% | 0.0153 | ✓ | -0.28 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.8999 | 0.896423 | -0.39% | 0.89125 | -0.96% | 0.0025 | ✓ | -0.24 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.83765 | 0.835245 | -0.29% | 0.8999 | +7.43% | 0.0741 | ✗ | -0.23 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.8799 | 0.876954 | -0.33% | 0.83765 | -4.80% | 0.0444 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.8869 | 0.883933 | -0.33% | 0.8799 | -0.79% | 0.0049 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.0433 | 1.0377 | -0.54% | 0.8869 | -14.99% | 0.1494 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 1.03 | 1.0244 | -0.54% | 1.0433 | +1.29% | 0.0115 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 1.0138 | 1.0083 | -0.54% | 1.03 | +1.60% | 0.0399 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.98725 | 0.981911 | -0.54% | 1.0138 | +2.69% | 0.0155 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.0868 | 1.0796 | -0.66% | 0.98725 | -9.16% | 0.0660 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.1368 | 1.1282 | -0.76% | 1.0868 | -4.40% | 0.0466 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.0573 | 1.0501 | -0.68% | 1.1368 | +7.52% | 0.0749 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.0358 | 1.0288 | -0.67% | 1.0573 | +2.07% | 0.0169 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.0859 | 1.078 | -0.73% | 1.0358 | -4.62% | 0.0208 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.1432 | 1.1339 | -0.81% | 1.0859 | -5.00% | 0.0164 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.1146 | 1.1053 | -0.84% | 1.1432 | +2.56% | 0.0361 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.1689 | 1.1577 | -0.96% | 1.1146 | -4.65% | 0.0291 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.2022 | 1.1883 | -1.15% | 1.1689 | -2.77% | 0.0371 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.84095 | 0.835184 | -0.69% | 1.2022 | +42.96% | 0.3615 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.8528 | 0.846723 | -0.71% | 0.84095 | -1.39% | 0.0028 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.87815 | 0.871284 | -0.78% | 0.8528 | -2.89% | 0.0368 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.0047 | 0.994329 | -1.03% | 0.87815 | -12.60% | 0.1233 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1383 | 1.1221 | -1.42% | 1.0047 | -11.74% | 0.1127 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.0855 | 1.0672 | -1.68% | 1.1383 | +4.87% | 0.0765 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.9022 | 0.891557 | -1.18% | 1.0855 | +20.32% | 0.1963 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.8192 | 0.808994 | -1.25% | 0.9022 | +10.13% | 0.1052 | ✗ | 1.00 |