SWM
Swarm · · lstm_s8
- token id
- #257
- symbol
- SWM
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 165
Track record at +7d
assessed
48
of 55 predictions shown
direction hit
56.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2646
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0323
actual +0.0240
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.09181 | 0.08978 | -2.21% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.091445 | 0.089337 | -2.30% | – | pending | – | – | -1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.09194 | 0.089715 | -2.42% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.093595 | 0.091217 | -2.54% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.09361 | 0.091196 | -2.58% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.09504 | 0.092539 | -2.63% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.08869 | 0.086634 | -2.32% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.089875 | 0.087735 | -2.38% | 0.09181 | +2.15% | 0.0668 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.10361 | 0.100622 | -2.88% | 0.091445 | -11.74% | 0.0990 | ✓ | -1.69 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.100975 | 0.098096 | -2.85% | 0.09194 | -8.95% | 0.0628 | ✓ | -1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.10023 | 0.097535 | -2.69% | 0.093595 | -6.62% | 0.0765 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.100065 | 0.097325 | -2.74% | 0.09361 | -6.45% | 0.0716 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09889 | 0.096272 | -2.65% | 0.09504 | -3.89% | 0.0352 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.099015 | 0.096388 | -2.65% | 0.08869 | -10.43% | 0.0740 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.096365 | 0.094055 | -2.40% | 0.089875 | -6.73% | 0.0819 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.098365 | 0.09616 | -2.24% | 0.10361 | +5.33% | 0.0216 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.084465 | 0.08321 | -1.49% | 0.100975 | +19.55% | 0.1081 | ✗ | -1.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.092855 | 0.091228 | -1.75% | 0.10023 | +7.94% | 0.0329 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.090795 | 0.089314 | -1.63% | 0.100065 | +10.21% | 0.0723 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.09368 | 0.092096 | -1.69% | 0.09889 | +5.56% | 0.0267 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.095145 | 0.093544 | -1.68% | 0.099015 | +4.07% | 0.0151 | ✓ | -1.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.10818 | 0.105986 | -2.03% | 0.096365 | -10.92% | 0.1014 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.12674 | 0.123159 | -2.83% | 0.098365 | -22.39% | 0.1822 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.123535 | 0.120143 | -2.75% | 0.084465 | -31.63% | 0.3012 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15819 | 0.150725 | -4.72% | 0.092855 | -41.30% | 0.4345 | ✓ | -2.09 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.127905 | 0.123799 | -3.21% | 0.090795 | -29.01% | 0.3022 | ✓ | -2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.10542 | 0.103149 | -2.15% | 0.09368 | -11.14% | 0.0864 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10401 | 0.101836 | -2.09% | 0.095145 | -8.52% | 0.0569 | ✓ | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10388 | 0.101702 | -2.10% | 0.10818 | +4.14% | 0.0420 | ✗ | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.094815 | 0.093321 | -1.58% | 0.12674 | +33.67% | 0.2475 | ✗ | -1.94 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10284 | 0.101026 | -1.76% | 0.123535 | +20.12% | 0.1280 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.11312 | 0.110128 | -2.65% | 0.15819 | +39.84% | 0.4473 | ✗ | -2.13 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.11891 | 0.115434 | -2.92% | 0.127905 | +7.56% | 0.1851 | ✗ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1196 | 0.115944 | -3.06% | 0.10542 | -11.86% | 0.0114 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.12931 | 0.124529 | -3.70% | 0.10401 | -19.57% | 0.2801 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.14044 | 0.134692 | -4.09% | 0.10388 | -26.03% | 0.3624 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.129815 | 0.124791 | -3.87% | 0.094815 | -26.96% | 0.4061 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15573 | 0.148443 | -4.68% | 0.10284 | -33.96% | 0.4693 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.156615 | 0.148783 | -5.00% | 0.11312 | -27.77% | 0.3293 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.18555 | 0.173366 | -6.57% | 0.11891 | -35.91% | 0.4272 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.196105 | 0.180858 | -7.77% | 0.1196 | -39.01% | 0.4600 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.18591 | 0.170301 | -8.40% | 0.12931 | -30.44% | 0.2729 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1367 | 0.12804 | -6.33% | 0.14044 | +2.74% | 0.1201 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.13717 | 0.127577 | -6.99% | 0.129815 | -5.36% | 0.0546 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.117485 | 0.110243 | -6.16% | 0.15573 | +32.55% | 0.3571 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.102915 | 0.097834 | -4.94% | 0.156615 | +52.18% | 0.5156 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07698 | 0.075117 | -2.42% | 0.18555 | +141.04% | 0.9370 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.07564 | 0.073895 | -2.31% | 0.196105 | +159.26% | 1.0075 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.07329 | 0.071964 | -1.81% | 0.18591 | +153.66% | 1.0090 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07012 | 0.068488 | -2.33% | 0.1367 | +94.95% | 0.6786 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.06978 | 0.068225 | -2.23% | 0.13717 | +96.57% | 0.6849 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06946 | 0.068181 | -1.84% | 0.117485 | +69.14% | 0.5374 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.07144 | 0.070059 | -1.93% | 0.102915 | +44.06% | 0.3507 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.07166 | 0.070558 | -1.54% | 0.07698 | +7.42% | 0.0669 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.073541 | -1.46% | 0.07564 | +1.35% | 0.0048 | ✓ | 1.00 |