SWM
Swarm · · lstm_s8
- token id
- #257
- symbol
- SWM
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 168
Track record at +30d
assessed
26
of 56 predictions shown
direction hit
65.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3037
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0916
actual -0.1438
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.090935 | 0.086281 | -5.12% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.090825 | 0.086423 | -4.85% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.091445 | 0.086657 | -5.24% | – | pending | – | – | -1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.09194 | 0.086822 | -5.57% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.093595 | 0.088087 | -5.88% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.09361 | 0.087918 | -6.08% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.09504 | 0.089094 | -6.26% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.08869 | 0.083717 | -5.61% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.089875 | 0.084695 | -5.76% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.10361 | 0.096709 | -6.66% | – | pending | – | – | -1.69 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.100975 | 0.094199 | -6.71% | – | pending | – | – | -1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.10023 | 0.093923 | -6.29% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.100065 | 0.093596 | -6.46% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09889 | 0.09256 | -6.40% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.099015 | 0.092541 | -6.54% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.096365 | 0.090546 | -6.04% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.098365 | 0.092846 | -5.61% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.084465 | 0.080501 | -4.69% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.092855 | 0.088378 | -4.82% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.090795 | 0.086166 | -5.10% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.09368 | 0.088762 | -5.25% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.095145 | 0.090194 | -5.20% | – | pending | – | – | -1.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.10818 | 0.102236 | -5.49% | – | pending | – | – | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.12674 | 0.117985 | -6.91% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.123535 | 0.115169 | -6.77% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15819 | 0.141754 | -10.39% | – | pending | – | – | -2.09 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.127905 | 0.117987 | -7.75% | – | pending | – | – | -2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.10542 | 0.099118 | -5.98% | – | pending | – | – | -2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10401 | 0.097815 | -5.96% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10388 | 0.097669 | -5.98% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.094815 | 0.090158 | -4.91% | 0.090935 | -4.09% | 0.0365 | ✓ | -1.94 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10284 | 0.097821 | -4.88% | 0.090825 | -11.68% | 0.1339 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.11312 | 0.105413 | -6.81% | 0.091445 | -19.16% | 0.0959 | ✓ | -2.13 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.11891 | 0.110296 | -7.24% | 0.09194 | -22.68% | 0.1661 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1196 | 0.11062 | -7.51% | 0.093595 | -21.74% | 0.1373 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.12931 | 0.117914 | -8.81% | 0.09361 | -27.61% | 0.2947 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.14044 | 0.127166 | -9.45% | 0.09504 | -32.33% | 0.3592 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.129815 | 0.117959 | -9.13% | 0.08869 | -31.68% | 0.3682 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15573 | 0.139595 | -10.36% | 0.089875 | -42.29% | 0.4828 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.156615 | 0.13946 | -10.95% | 0.10361 | -33.84% | 0.3760 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.18555 | 0.16038 | -13.57% | 0.100975 | -45.58% | 0.5190 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.196105 | 0.165704 | -15.50% | 0.10023 | -48.89% | 0.5832 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.18591 | 0.155248 | -16.49% | 0.100065 | -46.18% | 0.5192 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1367 | 0.118546 | -13.28% | 0.09889 | -27.66% | 0.2343 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.13717 | 0.117384 | -14.42% | 0.099015 | -27.82% | 0.2107 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.117485 | 0.102153 | -13.05% | 0.096365 | -17.98% | 0.1099 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.102915 | 0.091524 | -11.07% | 0.098365 | -4.42% | 0.0094 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07698 | 0.07226 | -6.13% | 0.084465 | +9.72% | 0.0846 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.07564 | 0.071331 | -5.70% | 0.092855 | +22.76% | 0.1814 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.07329 | 0.070006 | -4.48% | 0.090795 | +23.88% | 0.2181 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07012 | 0.066026 | -5.84% | 0.09368 | +33.60% | 0.2608 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.06978 | 0.065824 | -5.67% | 0.095145 | +36.35% | 0.2765 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06946 | 0.066022 | -4.95% | 0.10818 | +55.74% | 0.4322 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.07144 | 0.067565 | -5.42% | 0.12674 | +77.41% | 0.5549 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.07166 | 0.068144 | -4.91% | 0.123535 | +72.39% | 0.5303 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.070832 | -5.09% | 0.15819 | +111.97% | 0.7218 | ✗ | 1.00 |