QUAI

Quai Network · native · lstm_s8

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +30d

assessed

157

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

82.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3447

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0204

actual -0.2561

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.00768	0.007466	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.007833	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.008253	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008473	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008738	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.008737	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.008836	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008661	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.008791	-2.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.008879	-2.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009355	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009448	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009175	-2.71%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009146	-2.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009111	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009707	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.00997	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.010691	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.01094	-4.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010543	-3.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.009997	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010087	-3.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010353	-3.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.010847	-4.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010467	-3.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.010771	-4.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010042	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009889	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010016	-1.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.010067	+1.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009919	+2.20%	0.00768	-20.87%	0.2106	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008473	-0.96%	0.008005	-6.43%	0.0765	✓	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008642	-0.79%	0.00846	-2.87%	0.0279	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008631	-0.79%	0.008665	-0.40%	0.0082	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.008436	-2.36%	0.008945	+3.53%	0.0001	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008454	-2.49%	0.008945	+3.17%	0.0050	✓	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008593	-2.73%	0.00905	+2.43%	0.0165	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008514	-2.25%	0.00887	+1.84%	0.0051	✓	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008727	-2.22%	0.00902	+1.06%	0.0366	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009624	-1.95%	0.00913	-6.98%	0.1008	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.009918	-1.90%	0.009625	-4.80%	0.0970	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010377	-2.47%	0.009735	-8.51%	0.1289	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011072	-2.06%	0.00943	-16.59%	0.2022	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.011005	-1.21%	0.009405	-15.57%	0.1886	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012328	-3.95%	0.00934	-27.23%	0.3162	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010949	+1.52%	0.00993	-7.93%	0.1528	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.011037	+1.63%	0.010215	-5.94%	0.1400	✗	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009966	+2.38%	0.01106	+13.61%	0.0347	✓	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.008523	+2.44%	0.011445	+37.56%	0.2537	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007302	-2.44%	0.010955	+46.36%	0.3316	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.007864	-1.09%	0.01027	+29.18%	0.1905	✗	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008712	+1.89%	0.01042	+21.87%	0.1307	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.009061	+2.38%	0.010775	+21.75%	0.1196	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.009304	+3.73%	0.01136	+26.64%	0.1536	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009858	+4.43%	0.01082	+14.62%	0.0349	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.011268	+7.11%	0.011225	+6.70%	0.0364	✓	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010687	+6.71%	0.01026	+2.45%	0.0796	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011861	+6.57%	0.01001	-10.06%	0.2159	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.012368	+6.48%	0.01013	-12.79%	0.2432	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.012379	+5.80%	0.00994	-15.04%	0.2850	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.012428	+5.50%	0.009705	-17.61%	0.3211	✗	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.012808	+7.00%	0.008555	-28.53%	0.4263	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.012246	+1.63%	0.00871	-27.72%	0.4132	✗	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.011857	-1.52%	0.0087	-27.74%	0.4204	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011499	-4.02%	0.00864	-27.88%	0.4190	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011213	-3.75%	0.00867	-25.58%	0.3922	✓	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011089	-4.24%	0.008835	-23.70%	0.3786	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.01085	-3.99%	0.00871	-22.92%	0.3968	✓	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.011019	-4.18%	0.008925	-22.39%	0.3730	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011049	-4.42%	0.009815	-15.10%	0.2787	✓	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010522	-4.26%	0.01011	-8.01%	0.1928	✓	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.010631	-4.57%	0.01064	-4.49%	0.1368	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011168	-4.55%	0.011305	-3.38%	0.1326	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011464	-3.87%	0.01114	-6.58%	0.1630	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011415	-3.67%	0.012835	+8.31%	0.0215	✓	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.011433	-3.60%	0.010785	-9.06%	0.2000	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011276	-3.79%	0.01086	-7.34%	0.1801	✓	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011068	-3.67%	0.009735	-15.27%	0.2661	✓	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011141	-4.16%	0.00832	-28.43%	0.4455	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.010845	-4.53%	0.007485	-34.11%	0.4956	✓	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.011732	-4.47%	0.00795	-35.26%	0.5134	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.011698	-4.50%	0.00855	-30.20%	0.4562	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011222	-4.08%	0.00885	-24.36%	0.3715	✓	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.011843	-3.28%	0.00897	-26.75%	0.3944	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.012696	-4.11%	0.00944	-28.70%	0.4163	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013316	-4.82%	0.01052	-24.80%	0.3731	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013336	-4.74%	0.010015	-28.46%	0.4145	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.01486	-5.35%	0.01113	-29.11%	0.3856	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.014364	-5.63%	0.011615	-23.69%	0.3141	✓	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.01397	-5.48%	0.0117	-20.84%	0.2684	✓	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.015894	-5.90%	0.01178	-30.25%	0.3711	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.015929	-5.86%	0.01197	-29.26%	0.3600	✓	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.01606	-6.11%	0.01205	-29.55%	0.3284	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.016329	-6.40%	0.01204	-30.98%	0.3340	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.016038	-6.26%	0.01198	-29.98%	0.2917	✓	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.017155	-6.89%	0.01165	-36.77%	0.3848	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.01714	-7.65%	0.01158	-37.61%	0.3851	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.018209	-8.95%	0.0113	-43.50%	0.4721	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.015982	-7.48%	0.0115	-33.43%	0.3148	✓	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.017395	-9.07%	0.01156	-39.57%	0.3952	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.012838	-4.70%	0.01099	-18.41%	0.1561	✓	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.015773	-7.89%	0.01114	-34.95%	0.3482	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.025692	-17.79%	0.0117	-62.56%	0.7864	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.012729	-3.20%	0.011925	-9.32%	0.0656	✓	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.012989	-4.00%	0.01185	-12.42%	0.0927	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.01229	-3.31%	0.01186	-6.69%	0.0340	✓	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011718	-2.14%	0.01172	-2.13%	0.0002	✓	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012295	-2.81%	0.01149	-9.17%	0.0675	✓	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012468	-3.16%	0.011625	-9.71%	0.0699	✓	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012022	-2.46%	0.01136	-7.83%	0.0564	✓	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011755	-2.12%	0.01228	+2.25%	0.0443	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.010984	-0.96%	0.01225	+10.46%	0.1111	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.013785	-6.79%	0.0117	-20.89%	0.1706	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010128	-0.51%	0.012245	+20.28%	0.2093	✗	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009107	-0.03%	0.01324	+45.33%	0.3796	✗	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010197	-0.32%	0.01399	+36.75%	0.3194	✗	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.009492	-0.19%	0.014	+47.21%	0.3903	✗	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009686	+0.11%	0.0157	+62.27%	0.4853	✓	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.00951	+0.00%	0.01522	+60.04%	0.4729	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010419	-0.30%	0.01478	+41.44%	0.3540	✗	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.010982	-0.17%	0.01689	+53.55%	0.4350	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012055	-0.29%	0.01692	+39.95%	0.3448	✗	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012114	-0.26%	0.017105	+40.84%	0.3542	✗	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.011748	+0.41%	0.017445	+49.10%	0.3978	✓	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012572	+0.30%	0.01711	+36.50%	0.3106	✓	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013354	-0.05%	0.018425	+37.91%	0.3253	✗	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012415	+0.29%	0.01856	+49.92%	0.4017	✓	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012155	+0.92%	0.02	+66.04%	0.4976	✓	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012966	+0.67%	0.017275	+34.12%	0.2863	✓	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013474	+0.55%	0.01913	+42.76%	0.3503	✓	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013838	+0.68%	0.01347	-2.00%	0.0273	✗	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014934	+0.56%	0.017125	+15.32%	0.1368	✓	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015612	+0.66%	0.03125	+101.48%	0.6939	✓	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015525	+0.65%	0.01315	-14.75%	0.1662	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.017084	+0.23%	0.01353	-20.62%	0.2332	✗	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017987	+0.10%	0.01271	-29.27%	0.3477	✗	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.017811	+0.01%	0.011975	-32.76%	0.3970	✗	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017906	-0.13%	0.01265	-29.45%	0.3453	✓	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019516	-0.48%	0.012875	-34.34%	0.4142	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.01988	-0.45%	0.012325	-38.28%	0.4788	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.020841	-0.81%	0.01201	-42.84%	0.5528	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021304	-1.05%	0.01109	-48.49%	0.6614	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.021767	-1.28%	0.01479	-32.93%	0.4229	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.022095	-1.51%	0.01018	-54.62%	0.8315	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.021231	-1.11%	0.00911	-57.57%	0.8941	✓	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.022074	-1.28%	0.01023	-54.25%	0.8161	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.020905	-0.92%	0.00951	-54.93%	0.8310	✓	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021408	-1.16%	0.009675	-55.33%	0.8431	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.022756	-1.51%	0.00951	-58.84%	0.9507	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.021864	-1.16%	0.01045	-52.76%	0.7985	✓	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.022857	-1.16%	0.011	-52.43%	0.7828	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.021963	-1.02%	0.01209	-45.52%	0.6442	✓	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.024171	-1.44%	0.012145	-50.48%	0.7160	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.024715	-1.34%	0.0117	-53.29%	0.7863	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.026591	-1.81%	0.012535	-53.71%	0.7939	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.025544	-2.00%	0.01336	-48.74%	0.6959	✓	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.02722	-2.61%	0.01238	-55.71%	0.8343	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.027908	-2.59%	0.012045	-57.96%	0.8861	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.027807	-2.21%	0.01288	-54.70%	0.8138	✓	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.027841	-1.95%	0.0134	-52.81%	0.7805	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.027737	-1.40%	0.013745	-51.14%	0.7591	✓	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.028553	-1.98%	0.01485	-49.02%	0.6977	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.027893	-1.40%	0.01551	-45.17%	0.6202	✓	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.028062	-0.88%	0.015425	-45.51%	0.6376	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027816	-0.34%	0.017045	-38.93%	0.5234	✓	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.028963	-1.05%	0.01797	-38.61%	0.4895	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.029051	-1.26%	0.01781	-39.46%	0.2528	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.029842	-1.51%	0.01793	-40.83%	0.2358	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029762	-0.86%	0.01961	-34.68%	0.1288	✓	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.029945	-1.24%	0.01997	-34.14%	0.1677	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.03027	-1.98%	0.02101	-31.96%	0.1445	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.029718	-2.18%	0.02153	-29.13%	0.1580	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.030986	-2.04%	0.02205	-30.29%	0.2419	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031294	-2.15%	0.022435	-29.85%	0.2714	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.032355	-3.13%	0.02147	-35.72%	0.3763	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.033509	-3.82%	0.02236	-35.82%	0.3725	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.03304	-3.62%	0.0211	-38.45%	0.4110	✓	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.033895	-3.73%	0.02166	-38.48%	0.4076	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.033794	-3.23%	0.023105	-33.83%	0.3434	✓	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.03461	-4.01%	0.02212	-38.65%	0.4425	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.034241	-4.03%	0.023125	-35.19%	0.3862	✓	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.035604	-4.21%	0.02219	-40.30%	0.4518	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.034493	-3.87%	0.024525	-31.65%	0.3051	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.033222	-4.38%	0.02505	-27.90%	0.2979	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.032389	-4.40%	0.02708	-20.07%	0.2000	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.033387	-5.53%	0.026065	-26.25%	0.2867	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.033447	-5.20%	0.02795	-20.78%	0.1954	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.