QUAI

Quai Network · native · lstm_s8

token id: #972
symbol: QUAI
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-04-09
predictions: 561

Track record at +1d

assessed

186

of 187 predictions shown

direction hit

59.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0550

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0013

actual -0.0102

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.007425	0.007428	+0.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-20	oos	0.008005	0.008008	+0.03%	0.007425	-7.25%	0.0843	✗	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.00846	0.00846	-0.00%	0.008005	-5.38%	0.0645	✓	0.69
2026-10-18	oos	0.008665	0.008664	-0.01%	0.00846	-2.37%	0.0225	✓	0.68
2026-10-17	oos	0.008945	0.008942	-0.03%	0.008665	-3.13%	0.0368	✓	0.69
2026-10-16	oos	0.008945	0.00894	-0.05%	0.008945	+0.00%	0.0015	✗	0.69
2026-10-15	oos	0.00905	0.009046	-0.04%	0.008945	-1.16%	0.0060	✓	0.69
2026-10-14	oos	0.00887	0.008867	-0.03%	0.00905	+2.03%	0.0157	✗	0.69
2026-10-13	oos	0.00902	0.009018	-0.03%	0.00887	-1.66%	0.0051	✓	0.61
2026-10-12	oos	0.00913	0.009131	+0.01%	0.00902	-1.20%	0.0227	✗	0.64
2026-10-11	oos	0.009625	0.009624	-0.01%	0.00913	-5.14%	0.0297	✓	0.98
2026-10-10	oos	0.009735	0.009733	-0.03%	0.009625	-1.13%	0.0216	✓	1.13
2026-10-09	oos	0.00943	0.009431	+0.01%	0.009735	+3.23%	0.0265	✓	1.19
2026-10-08	oos	0.009405	0.009407	+0.02%	0.00943	+0.27%	0.0078	✗	0.99
2026-10-07	oos	0.00934	0.009342	+0.02%	0.009405	+0.70%	0.0258	✓	0.99
2026-10-06	oos	0.00993	0.009928	-0.02%	0.00934	-5.94%	0.0345	✓	0.99
2026-10-05	oos	0.010215	0.01021	-0.05%	0.00993	-2.79%	0.0255	✓	0.94
2026-10-04	oos	0.01106	0.011046	-0.13%	0.010215	-7.64%	0.0700	✓	0.93
2026-10-03	oos	0.011445	0.011423	-0.19%	0.01106	-3.36%	0.0519	✓	0.95
2026-10-02	oos	0.010955	0.010938	-0.15%	0.011445	+4.47%	0.0426	✗	0.96
2026-10-01	oos	0.01027	0.010258	-0.11%	0.010955	+6.67%	0.0697	✗	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	0.01042	0.010404	-0.15%	0.01027	-1.44%	0.0285	✓	1.01
2026-09-29	oos	0.010775	0.010753	-0.21%	0.01042	-3.29%	0.0306	✓	0.82
2026-09-28	oos	0.01136	0.01133	-0.26%	0.010775	-5.15%	0.0525	✓	1.02
2026-09-27	oos	0.01082	0.010799	-0.19%	0.01136	+4.99%	0.0617	✗	0.93
2026-09-26	oos	0.011225	0.011199	-0.23%	0.01082	-3.61%	0.0349	✓	0.90
2026-09-25	oos	0.01026	0.010244	-0.16%	0.011225	+9.41%	0.0881	✗	0.87
2026-09-24	oos	0.01001	0.009996	-0.14%	0.01026	+2.50%	0.0291	✗	0.88
2026-09-23	oos	0.01013	0.010115	-0.15%	0.01001	-1.18%	0.0105	✓	0.88
2026-09-22	oos	0.00994	0.009929	-0.11%	0.01013	+1.91%	0.0405	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.009705	0.009697	-0.09%	0.00994	+2.42%	0.0293	✗	0.98
2026-09-20	oos	0.008555	0.008554	-0.01%	0.009705	+13.44%	0.0674	✗	0.91
2026-09-19	oos	0.00871	0.008709	-0.01%	0.008555	-1.78%	0.0170	✓	0.90
2026-09-18	oos	0.0087	0.008699	-0.01%	0.00871	+0.11%	0.0026	✓	0.88
2026-09-17	oos	0.00864	0.00864	-0.00%	0.0087	+0.69%	0.0460	✓	0.92
2026-09-16	oos	0.00867	0.008671	+0.01%	0.00864	-0.35%	0.0060	✗	0.90
2026-09-15	oos	0.008835	0.008834	-0.01%	0.00867	-1.87%	0.0248	✓	0.82
2026-09-14	oos	0.00871	0.008708	-0.02%	0.008835	+1.44%	0.0430	✗	0.85
2026-09-13	oos	0.008925	0.008922	-0.04%	0.00871	-2.41%	0.0397	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.009815	0.009808	-0.07%	0.008925	-9.07%	0.0892	✓	0.85
2026-09-11	oos	0.01011	0.010099	-0.11%	0.009815	-2.92%	0.0291	✓	0.83
2026-09-10	oos	0.01064	0.010624	-0.15%	0.01011	-4.98%	0.0567	✓	0.81
2026-09-09	oos	0.011305	0.011287	-0.16%	0.01064	-5.88%	0.0413	✓	0.79
2026-09-08	oos	0.01114	0.01112	-0.18%	0.011305	+1.48%	0.0181	✗	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.012835	0.012802	-0.26%	0.01114	-13.21%	0.1329	✓	0.75
2026-09-06	oos	0.010785	0.010777	-0.07%	0.012835	+19.01%	0.1885	✗	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.01086	0.010851	-0.08%	0.010785	-0.69%	0.0116	✓	0.88
2026-09-04	oos	0.009735	0.009731	-0.04%	0.01086	+11.56%	0.1081	✗	0.84
2026-09-03	oos	0.00832	0.00832	+0.00%	0.009735	+17.01%	0.1764	✓	0.98
2026-09-02	oos	0.007485	0.007485	-0.00%	0.00832	+11.16%	0.0643	✗	0.83
2026-09-01	oos	0.00795	0.00795	-0.01%	0.007485	-5.85%	0.0592	✓	0.83
2026-08-31	oos	0.00855	0.008548	-0.02%	0.00795	-7.02%	0.0608	✓	0.79
2026-08-30	oos	0.00885	0.008848	-0.02%	0.00855	-3.39%	0.0426	✓	0.72
2026-08-29	oos	0.00897	0.008966	-0.05%	0.00885	-1.34%	0.0078	✓	0.71
2026-08-28	oos	0.00944	0.009436	-0.04%	0.00897	-4.98%	0.0542	✓	0.71
2026-08-27	oos	0.01052	0.010525	+0.05%	0.00944	-10.27%	0.0888	✗	0.65
2026-08-26	oos	0.010015	0.010012	-0.03%	0.01052	+5.04%	0.0397	✗	0.63
2026-08-25	oos	0.01113	0.011132	+0.02%	0.010015	-10.02%	0.1098	✗	0.64
2026-08-24	oos	0.011615	0.011626	+0.10%	0.01113	-4.18%	0.0398	✗	0.66
2026-08-23	oos	0.0117	0.011703	+0.02%	0.011615	-0.73%	0.0177	✗	0.63
2026-08-22	oos	0.01178	0.011776	-0.03%	0.0117	-0.68%	0.0120	✓	0.63
2026-08-21	oos	0.01197	0.011971	+0.01%	0.01178	-1.59%	0.0057	✗	0.64
2026-08-20	oos	0.01205	0.012031	-0.16%	0.01197	-0.66%	0.0528	✓	0.68
2026-08-19	oos	0.01204	0.012015	-0.21%	0.01205	+0.08%	0.0345	✓	0.72
2026-08-18	oos	0.01198	0.011948	-0.26%	0.01204	+0.50%	0.0477	✓	0.80
2026-08-17	oos	0.01165	0.011625	-0.21%	0.01198	+2.83%	0.0275	✗	0.81
2026-08-16	oos	0.01158	0.011555	-0.22%	0.01165	+0.60%	0.0129	✓	0.82
2026-08-15	oos	0.0113	0.011279	-0.18%	0.01158	+2.48%	0.0287	✗	0.82
2026-08-14	oos	0.0115	0.01148	-0.18%	0.0113	-1.74%	0.0163	✓	0.82
2026-08-13	oos	0.01156	0.011542	-0.16%	0.0115	-0.52%	0.0021	✗	0.81
2026-08-12	oos	0.01099	0.010982	-0.07%	0.01156	+5.19%	0.0511	✗	0.78
2026-08-11	oos	0.01114	0.01113	-0.09%	0.01099	-1.35%	0.0113	✓	0.74
2026-08-10	oos	0.0117	0.011685	-0.13%	0.01114	-4.79%	0.0435	✓	0.71
2026-08-09	oos	0.011925	0.011911	-0.12%	0.0117	-1.89%	0.0076	✓	0.71
2026-08-08	oos	0.01185	0.011838	-0.10%	0.011925	+0.63%	0.0079	✗	0.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01186	0.01185	-0.09%	0.01185	-0.08%	0.0002	✓	0.66
2026-08-06	oos	0.01172	0.011711	-0.08%	0.01186	+1.19%	0.0063	✗	0.66
2026-08-05	oos	0.01149	0.011485	-0.05%	0.01172	+2.00%	0.0237	✗	0.66
2026-08-04	oos	0.011625	0.011618	-0.06%	0.01149	-1.16%	0.0166	✓	0.64
2026-08-03	oos	0.01136	0.011355	-0.04%	0.011625	+2.33%	0.0177	✗	0.63
2026-08-02	oos	0.01228	0.012268	-0.10%	0.01136	-7.49%	0.0765	✓	0.63
2026-08-01	oos	0.01225	0.012237	-0.11%	0.01228	+0.24%	0.0039	✓	0.64
2026-07-31	oos	0.0117	0.011693	-0.06%	0.01225	+4.70%	0.0472	✗	0.63
2026-07-30	oos	0.012245	0.012235	-0.08%	0.0117	-4.45%	0.0264	✓	0.61
2026-07-29	oos	0.01324	0.013219	-0.16%	0.012245	-7.52%	0.0844	✓	0.61
2026-07-28	oos	0.01399	0.013958	-0.23%	0.01324	-5.36%	0.0533	✓	0.60
2026-07-27	oos	0.014	0.013965	-0.25%	0.01399	-0.07%	0.0004	✓	0.59
2026-07-26	oos	0.0157	0.015641	-0.38%	0.014	-10.83%	0.0974	✓	0.53
2026-07-25	oos	0.01522	0.015165	-0.36%	0.0157	+3.15%	0.0267	✗	0.49
2026-07-24	oos	0.01478	0.01473	-0.34%	0.01522	+2.98%	0.0311	✗	0.47
2026-07-23	oos	0.01689	0.016805	-0.50%	0.01478	-12.49%	0.1221	✓	0.42
2026-07-22	oos	0.01692	0.016835	-0.50%	0.01689	-0.18%	0.0102	✗	0.44
2026-07-21	oos	0.017105	0.017017	-0.52%	0.01692	-1.08%	0.0028	✓	0.44
2026-07-20	oos	0.017445	0.017344	-0.58%	0.017105	-1.95%	0.0234	✓	0.48
2026-07-19	oos	0.01711	0.017012	-0.57%	0.017445	+1.96%	0.0212	✗	0.48
2026-07-18	oos	0.018425	0.018305	-0.65%	0.01711	-7.14%	0.0667	✓	0.44
2026-07-17	oos	0.01856	0.018428	-0.71%	0.018425	-0.73%	0.0061	✓	0.42
2026-07-16	oos	0.02	0.019841	-0.79%	0.01856	-7.20%	0.0676	✓	0.42
2026-07-15	oos	0.017275	0.017162	-0.66%	0.02	+15.77%	0.1608	✗	0.53
2026-07-14	oos	0.01913	0.018978	-0.79%	0.017275	-9.70%	0.0917	✓	0.55
2026-07-13	oos	0.01347	0.013424	-0.34%	0.01913	+42.02%	0.3525	✗	0.04
2026-07-12	oos	0.017125	0.017005	-0.70%	0.01347	-21.34%	0.2361	✓	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.03125	0.030693	-1.78%	0.017125	-45.20%	0.5835	✓	-0.09
2026-07-10	oos	0.01315	0.013132	-0.13%	0.03125	+137.64%	0.8671	✗	0.03
2026-07-09	oos	0.01353	0.013507	-0.17%	0.01315	-2.81%	0.0273	✓	0.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.01271	0.012702	-0.06%	0.01353	+6.45%	0.0637	✗	-0.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.011975	0.011966	-0.07%	0.01271	+6.14%	0.0602	✗	-0.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.01265	0.012634	-0.13%	0.011975	-5.34%	0.0537	✓	-0.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.012875	0.012851	-0.19%	0.01265	-1.75%	0.0157	✓	-0.01
2026-07-04	oos	0.012325	0.012304	-0.17%	0.012875	+4.46%	0.0456	✗	-0.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.01201	0.011996	-0.12%	0.012325	+2.62%	0.0274	✗	-0.04
2026-07-02	oos	0.01109	0.011088	-0.02%	0.01201	+8.30%	0.0815	✗	-0.10
2026-07-01	oos	0.01479	0.014754	-0.24%	0.01109	-25.02%	0.2890	✓	0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.01018	0.010195	+0.15%	0.01479	+45.28%	0.3768	✓	-0.19
2026-06-29	oos	0.00911	0.009123	+0.15%	0.01018	+11.75%	0.1071	✓	-0.09
2026-06-28	oos	0.01023	0.010246	+0.15%	0.00911	-10.95%	0.1170	✗	-0.04
2026-06-27	oos	0.00951	0.00951	+0.00%	0.01023	+7.57%	0.0728	✓	-0.03
2026-06-26	oos	0.009675	0.009677	+0.02%	0.00951	-1.71%	0.0174	✗	-0.03
2026-06-25	oos	0.00951	0.009514	+0.04%	0.009675	+1.74%	0.0170	✓	-0.04
2026-06-24	oos	0.01045	0.010454	+0.04%	0.00951	-9.00%	0.0965	✗	-0.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.011	0.011002	+0.02%	0.01045	-5.00%	0.0548	✗	-0.12
2026-06-22	oos	0.01209	0.012091	+0.01%	0.011	-9.02%	0.0982	✗	-0.18
2026-06-21	oos	0.012145	0.012146	+0.00%	0.01209	-0.45%	0.0025	✗	-0.18
2026-06-20	oos	0.0117	0.0117	-0.00%	0.012145	+3.80%	0.0349	✗	-0.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.012535	0.012536	+0.00%	0.0117	-6.66%	0.0674	✗	-0.13
2026-06-18	oos	0.01336	0.013359	-0.01%	0.012535	-6.18%	0.0626	✓	-0.11
2026-06-17	oos	0.01238	0.012377	-0.02%	0.01336	+7.92%	0.0755	✗	-0.04
2026-06-16	oos	0.012045	0.012041	-0.03%	0.01238	+2.78%	0.0275	✗	-0.01
2026-06-15	oos	0.01288	0.012877	-0.03%	0.012045	-6.48%	0.0671	✓	-0.03
2026-06-14	oos	0.0134	0.013396	-0.03%	0.01288	-3.88%	0.0391	✓	-0.02
2026-06-13	oos	0.013745	0.013742	-0.02%	0.0134	-2.51%	0.0250	✓	-0.01
2026-06-12	oos	0.01485	0.014845	-0.03%	0.013745	-7.44%	0.0774	✓	0.03
2026-06-11	oos	0.01551	0.015504	-0.04%	0.01485	-4.26%	0.0431	✓	0.03
2026-06-10	oos	0.015425	0.015425	-0.00%	0.01551	+0.55%	0.0053	✗	0.01
2026-06-09	oos	0.017045	0.017043	-0.01%	0.015425	-9.50%	0.0998	✓	0.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.01797	0.017966	-0.02%	0.017045	-5.15%	0.0534	✓	-0.03
2026-06-07	oos	0.01781	0.01781	+0.00%	0.01797	+0.90%	0.0088	✓	-0.03
2026-06-06	oos	0.01793	0.017935	+0.03%	0.01781	-0.67%	0.0053	✗	-0.04
2026-06-05	oos	0.01961	0.019607	-0.01%	0.01793	-8.57%	0.0895	✓	-0.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.01997	0.019965	-0.03%	0.01961	-1.80%	0.0208	✓	-0.07
2026-06-03	oos	0.02101	0.021	-0.05%	0.01997	-4.95%	0.0505	✓	-0.07
2026-06-02	oos	0.02153	0.021514	-0.07%	0.02101	-2.42%	0.0280	✓	-0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.02205	0.022032	-0.08%	0.02153	-2.36%	0.0373	✓	-0.21
2026-05-31	oos	0.022435	0.022413	-0.10%	0.02205	-1.72%	0.0241	✓	-0.25
2026-05-30	oos	0.02147	0.021456	-0.07%	0.022435	+4.49%	0.0440	✗	-0.24
2026-05-29	oos	0.02236	0.022341	-0.09%	0.02147	-3.98%	0.0385	✓	-0.22
2026-05-28	oos	0.0211	0.021091	-0.04%	0.02236	+5.97%	0.0580	✗	-0.21
2026-05-27	oos	0.02166	0.021647	-0.06%	0.0211	-2.59%	0.0281	✓	-0.23
2026-05-26	oos	0.023105	0.023081	-0.10%	0.02166	-6.25%	0.0701	✓	-0.33
2026-05-25	oos	0.02212	0.022103	-0.08%	0.023105	+4.45%	0.0396	✗	-0.25
2026-05-24	oos	0.023125	0.023104	-0.09%	0.02212	-4.35%	0.0426	✓	-0.25
2026-05-23	oos	0.02219	0.022177	-0.06%	0.023125	+4.21%	0.0430	✗	-0.26
2026-05-22	oos	0.024525	0.024498	-0.11%	0.02219	-9.52%	0.0964	✓	-0.16
2026-05-21	oos	0.02505	0.025023	-0.11%	0.024525	-2.10%	0.0257	✓	-0.20
2026-05-20	oos	0.02708	0.027035	-0.17%	0.02505	-7.50%	0.0760	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.026065	0.026031	-0.13%	0.02708	+3.89%	0.0417	✗	-0.24
2026-05-18	oos	0.02795	0.027901	-0.17%	0.026065	-6.74%	0.0687	✓	-0.26
2026-05-17	oos	0.02865	0.028595	-0.19%	0.02795	-2.44%	0.0245	✓	-0.28
2026-05-16	oos	0.028435	0.028386	-0.17%	0.02865	+0.76%	0.0068	✗	-0.27
2026-05-15	oos	0.028395	0.028349	-0.16%	0.028435	+0.14%	0.0002	✓	-0.27
2026-05-14	oos	0.02813	0.028091	-0.14%	0.028395	+0.94%	0.0045	✗	-0.25
2026-05-13	oos	0.02913	0.029076	-0.19%	0.02813	-3.43%	0.0286	✓	-0.20
2026-05-12	oos	0.02829	0.028247	-0.15%	0.02913	+2.97%	0.0287	✗	-0.14
2026-05-11	oos	0.02831	0.028271	-0.14%	0.02829	-0.07%	0.0014	✓	-0.14
2026-05-10	oos	0.02791	0.027879	-0.11%	0.02831	+1.43%	0.0147	✗	-0.12
2026-05-09	oos	0.02927	0.029231	-0.13%	0.02791	-4.65%	0.0453	✓	-0.05
2026-05-08	oos	0.02942	0.029384	-0.12%	0.02927	-0.51%	0.0097	✓	1.00
2026-05-07	oos	0.0303	0.030259	-0.13%	0.02942	-2.90%	0.0304	✓	1.00
2026-05-06	oos	0.03002	0.029992	-0.09%	0.0303	+0.93%	0.0279	✗	1.00
2026-05-05	oos	0.03032	0.030291	-0.10%	0.03002	-0.99%	0.0155	✓	1.00
2026-05-04	oos	0.03088	0.030839	-0.13%	0.03032	-1.81%	0.0301	✓	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.03038	0.030336	-0.14%	0.03088	+1.65%	0.0014	✓	1.00
2026-05-02	oos	0.03163	0.031584	-0.15%	0.03038	-3.95%	0.0373	✓	1.00
2026-05-01	oos	0.03198	0.031932	-0.15%	0.03163	-1.09%	0.0152	✓	1.00
2026-04-30	oos	0.0334	0.033334	-0.20%	0.03198	-4.25%	0.0664	✓	1.00
2026-04-29	oos	0.03484	0.034757	-0.24%	0.0334	-4.13%	0.0471	✓	1.00
2026-04-28	oos	0.03428	0.03421	-0.20%	0.03484	+1.63%	0.0257	✗	1.00
2026-04-27	oos	0.03521	0.035144	-0.19%	0.03428	-2.64%	0.0113	✓	1.00
2026-04-26	oos	0.03492	0.034878	-0.12%	0.03521	+0.83%	0.0263	✗	1.00
2026-04-25	oos	0.036055	0.035989	-0.18%	0.03492	-3.15%	0.0433	✓	1.00
2026-04-24	oos	0.03568	0.035613	-0.19%	0.036055	+1.05%	0.0099	✗	1.00
2026-04-23	oos	0.03717	0.037112	-0.16%	0.03568	-4.01%	0.0288	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.03588	0.035828	-0.15%	0.03717	+3.60%	0.0358	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.034745	0.034665	-0.23%	0.03588	+3.27%	0.0104	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.03388	0.0338	-0.24%	0.034745	+2.55%	0.0212	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.03534	0.035216	-0.35%	0.03388	-4.13%	0.0660	✓	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.03528	0.03519	-0.26%	0.03534	+0.17%	0.0298	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.