PRL

Pearl · native · lstm_s8

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 609

Track record at +7d

assessed

196

of 203 predictions shown

direction hit

48.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1643

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0133

actual -0.0304

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.099715	0.099308	-0.41%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-21	oos	0.099215	0.098816	-0.40%	–	pending	–	–	-0.48
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.095807	-0.15%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.086714	+0.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.089569	+0.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.092586	+0.03%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.096209	-0.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.09865	-0.25%	0.099715	+0.83%	0.0235	✗	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.102667	-0.53%	0.099215	-3.87%	0.0193	✓	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.10642	-0.63%	0.09595	-10.41%	0.1046	✓	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.108031	-0.86%	0.086455	-20.66%	0.2222	✓	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.111799	-0.94%	0.089395	-20.79%	0.2328	✓	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.111666	-1.01%	0.09256	-17.95%	0.1956	✓	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.111631	-1.20%	0.09638	-14.70%	0.1524	✓	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.111013	-1.27%	0.098895	-12.05%	0.1134	✓	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.111495	-1.21%	0.10321	-8.55%	0.0859	✓	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.113097	-1.05%	0.1071	-6.30%	0.0671	✓	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.113916	-1.20%	0.10897	-5.49%	0.0626	✓	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.114282	-0.84%	0.11286	-2.07%	0.0251	✓	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.115127	-1.10%	0.11281	-3.09%	0.0284	✓	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.114585	-1.47%	0.112985	-2.85%	0.0229	✓	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.115574	-1.80%	0.112445	-4.46%	0.0417	✓	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.114115	-2.16%	0.112855	-3.24%	0.0123	✓	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.113449	-2.26%	0.114295	-1.53%	0.0150	✓	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.112654	-2.37%	0.1153	-0.07%	0.0316	✗	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.119197	-2.56%	0.115245	-5.79%	0.0264	✓	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.119426	-2.66%	0.11641	-5.12%	0.0244	✓	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.117633	-2.67%	0.1163	-3.77%	0.0099	✓	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.115824	-2.57%	0.117695	-1.00%	0.0177	✓	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.111304	-2.25%	0.11663	+2.42%	0.0438	✗	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.118046	-2.30%	0.116075	-3.93%	0.0278	✓	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.115677	-2.06%	0.115385	-2.31%	0.0149	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.112572	-2.53%	0.12233	+5.92%	0.1001	✗	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.114346	-2.16%	0.12269	+4.98%	0.0870	✗	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.112903	-1.16%	0.12086	+5.80%	0.0846	✗	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.108065	-0.77%	0.11888	+9.16%	0.1500	✗	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.108711	-0.54%	0.11387	+4.18%	0.1032	✗	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.107166	-0.25%	0.12082	+12.46%	0.1878	✗	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.112952	-0.30%	0.118115	+4.25%	0.1019	✗	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.110454	-0.14%	0.11549	+4.42%	0.0742	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.117057	-0.27%	0.11687	-0.43%	0.0262	✗	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.114396	-0.09%	0.11423	-0.24%	0.0246	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.1098	+0.13%	0.1089	-0.69%	0.0096	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.117933	+0.05%	0.1093	-7.27%	0.0932	✗	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.125575	-0.10%	0.107435	-14.53%	0.1742	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.132343	-0.16%	0.113295	-14.53%	0.1613	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.1277	+0.05%	0.110605	-13.34%	0.1636	✗	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.126552	+0.33%	0.117375	-6.94%	0.0902	✗	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.124423	+0.41%	0.1145	-7.59%	0.0959	✗	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.129926	+0.63%	0.10966	-15.06%	0.1957	✗	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.13722	+0.49%	0.117875	-13.68%	0.1486	✗	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.149521	+0.51%	0.125695	-15.50%	0.1701	✗	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.159313	+0.44%	0.13255	-16.44%	0.1815	✗	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.174294	+0.21%	0.12763	-26.62%	0.3026	✗	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.182667	+0.18%	0.12613	-30.83%	0.3653	✗	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.187533	+0.19%	0.12391	-33.80%	0.4086	✗	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.204111	+0.67%	0.12911	-36.32%	0.4543	✗	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.20483	+0.42%	0.13655	-33.06%	0.4121	✗	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.213112	+0.45%	0.14876	-29.88%	0.3644	✗	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.221384	+0.68%	0.15862	-27.86%	0.3351	✗	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.231718	+0.22%	0.17393	-24.77%	0.2871	✗	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.229669	+0.12%	0.18234	-20.51%	0.2267	✗	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.254461	+0.85%	0.187175	-25.82%	0.3091	✗	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.252279	-1.76%	0.20275	-21.05%	0.1892	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.308199	-2.68%	0.20398	-35.59%	0.4190	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.434406	-3.06%	0.21216	-52.65%	0.8970	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.378976	-2.90%	0.219885	-43.66%	0.7270	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.384974	-3.18%	0.2312	-41.85%	0.7123	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.342776	-3.33%	0.2294	-35.30%	0.5926	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.339927	-3.09%	0.25231	-28.07%	0.5062	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.292011	-2.73%	0.25681	-14.45%	0.2700	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.314466	-2.89%	0.31667	-2.21%	0.0910	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.320163	-3.01%	0.44811	+35.74%	0.3171	✗	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.296137	-2.83%	0.39028	+28.06%	0.2666	✗	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.267581	-2.63%	0.39762	+44.69%	0.4321	✗	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.292085	-2.89%	0.354585	+17.89%	0.2278	✗	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.275933	-2.85%	0.35075	+23.49%	0.2722	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.271472	-2.94%	0.300195	+7.33%	0.1148	✗	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.263945	-2.91%	0.323825	+19.12%	0.2247	✗	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.249591	-2.92%	0.330115	+28.41%	0.2881	✗	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.250368	-3.12%	0.304755	+17.92%	0.1893	✗	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.256704	-3.31%	0.2748	+3.50%	0.0458	✗	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.234195	-3.17%	0.300765	+24.35%	0.2151	✗	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.23745	-3.53%	0.284025	+15.40%	0.1453	✗	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.238286	-3.60%	0.279705	+13.16%	0.1678	✗	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.205823	-2.82%	0.27185	+28.35%	0.2685	✗	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.178262	-1.64%	0.257085	+41.85%	0.3635	✗	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.177838	-1.64%	0.25844	+42.95%	0.3769	✗	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.18801	-1.85%	0.2655	+38.60%	0.3677	✗	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.178839	-1.01%	0.24187	+33.89%	0.3154	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.17828	-0.83%	0.24613	+36.91%	0.3341	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.1713	-0.37%	0.24718	+43.76%	0.3698	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.170123	-0.15%	0.2118	+24.31%	0.2398	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.176185	-0.39%	0.18124	+2.47%	0.0527	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.173279	-0.34%	0.180795	+3.98%	0.0568	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.171855	-0.24%	0.19156	+11.20%	0.1023	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.172235	-0.27%	0.180655	+4.61%	0.0535	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.17009	-0.02%	0.17977	+5.67%	0.0533	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.169072	+0.12%	0.17194	+1.82%	0.0002	✓	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.169637	+0.11%	0.170375	+0.55%	0.0097	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.174898	-0.11%	0.176875	+1.02%	0.0065	✓	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.166083	+0.49%	0.17387	+5.20%	0.0123	✓	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.171373	+0.22%	0.17227	+0.75%	0.0052	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.169761	+0.33%	0.1727	+2.06%	0.0082	✓	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.174331	+0.19%	0.17012	-2.23%	0.0227	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.170397	+0.46%	0.168865	-0.45%	0.0135	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.173099	+0.52%	0.16945	-1.59%	0.0392	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.189103	-0.28%	0.175085	-7.67%	0.0874	✓	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.188886	-0.59%	0.165275	-13.01%	0.1227	✓	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.17245	-0.03%	0.170995	-0.87%	0.0093	✓	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.183137	-0.53%	0.16921	-8.10%	0.0831	✓	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.178486	-0.39%	0.173995	-2.90%	0.0375	✓	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.168013	+0.03%	0.16962	+0.99%	0.0032	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.166516	+0.35%	0.172195	+3.78%	0.0161	✓	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.160294	+0.77%	0.18963	+19.21%	0.1314	✓	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.163846	+0.36%	0.19	+16.39%	0.1201	✓	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.155378	+0.78%	0.172495	+11.88%	0.0832	✓	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.152167	+0.88%	0.184115	+22.06%	0.1782	✓	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.145733	+1.13%	0.17919	+24.34%	0.1971	✓	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.145965	+1.24%	0.167965	+16.50%	0.1335	✓	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.139425	+0.52%	0.16593	+19.63%	0.1822	✓	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.141694	-0.10%	0.15907	+12.15%	0.1335	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.138484	-0.12%	0.16325	+17.74%	0.1816	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.142198	-0.23%	0.154175	+8.18%	0.0986	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.144115	-0.47%	0.150835	+4.18%	0.0653	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.144029	-0.29%	0.14411	-0.23%	0.0166	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.150827	-0.22%	0.14418	-4.61%	0.0295	✓	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.156204	-0.78%	0.1387	-11.90%	0.1035	✓	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.163	-1.07%	0.14184	-13.91%	0.1271	✓	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.180869	-1.81%	0.13865	-24.73%	0.2577	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.186148	-2.10%	0.14252	-25.05%	0.2580	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.191017	-2.51%	0.14479	-26.10%	0.2762	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.187016	-2.43%	0.144445	-24.64%	0.2580	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.192989	-2.92%	0.151155	-23.97%	0.2416	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.172673	-1.77%	0.15744	-10.44%	0.0983	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.176148	-2.13%	0.16476	-8.45%	0.0745	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.183628	-2.78%	0.18421	-2.47%	0.0014	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.173676	-2.43%	0.19015	+6.83%	0.0870	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.169586	-2.22%	0.195935	+12.98%	0.1407	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.170853	-2.32%	0.191665	+9.57%	0.1123	✗	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.183001	-2.81%	0.1988	+5.58%	0.0826	✗	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.2002	-3.45%	0.17579	-15.22%	0.1323	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.189263	-2.84%	0.179975	-7.61%	0.0479	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.192359	-2.78%	0.18887	-4.54%	0.0207	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.197435	-2.89%	0.178	-12.45%	0.1139	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.197333	-2.77%	0.17343	-14.55%	0.1423	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.178325	-1.87%	0.17492	-3.74%	0.0369	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.175465	-1.71%	0.18829	+5.47%	0.0573	✗	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.153443	-0.28%	0.20735	+34.76%	0.2998	✗	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.159642	-0.39%	0.19479	+21.55%	0.1923	✗	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.171658	-0.59%	0.19786	+14.58%	0.1316	✗	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.178464	-0.65%	0.20331	+13.18%	0.1247	✗	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.190058	-0.83%	0.20295	+5.89%	0.0612	✗	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.187566	-0.66%	0.181715	-3.76%	0.0352	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.195854	-0.78%	0.17852	-9.56%	0.1038	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.198993	-0.76%	0.15387	-23.27%	0.2658	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.199389	-0.61%	0.16026	-20.11%	0.2210	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.205652	-0.59%	0.17268	-16.53%	0.1739	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.199138	-0.25%	0.17963	-10.02%	0.1042	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.20329	-0.16%	0.191655	-5.87%	0.0630	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.218804	-0.54%	0.18882	-14.17%	0.1608	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.248028	-1.26%	0.19739	-21.42%	0.2519	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.251466	-1.44%	0.200525	-21.40%	0.2382	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.251421	-1.39%	0.200605	-21.32%	0.2509	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.269316	-1.72%	0.206865	-24.51%	0.3022	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.266871	-1.65%	0.19963	-26.43%	0.3287	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.283818	-2.08%	0.20361	-29.76%	0.3504	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.277745	-2.14%	0.219995	-22.49%	0.2412	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.2685	-2.14%	0.2512	-8.45%	0.0590	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.262402	-1.89%	0.25513	-4.61%	0.0433	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.276978	-2.35%	0.25496	-10.11%	0.0857	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.259818	-2.14%	0.27403	+3.22%	0.0670	✗	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.246799	-2.20%	0.27135	+7.53%	0.1237	✗	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.256285	-2.43%	0.28986	+10.36%	0.1393	✗	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.246734	-2.41%	0.28383	+12.27%	0.1563	✗	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.272665	-2.83%	0.27438	-2.22%	0.0296	✗	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.303779	-3.16%	0.26746	-14.74%	0.0952	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.34051	-3.98%	0.283635	-20.02%	0.1511	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.310983	-4.34%	0.26549	-18.34%	0.1431	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.217547	-1.44%	0.25235	+14.33%	0.1485	✗	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.204279	-1.72%	0.26266	+26.36%	0.2512	✗	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.201845	-1.76%	0.25282	+23.05%	0.2250	✗	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.199064	-1.44%	0.28061	+38.94%	0.3689	✗	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.23	-1.53%	0.31369	+34.30%	0.3422	✗	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.22126	-2.12%	0.35463	+56.88%	0.4721	✗	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.215404	-2.20%	0.3251	+47.61%	0.3920	✗	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.185941	-2.16%	0.22072	+16.14%	0.1078	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.176899	-1.75%	0.20786	+15.45%	0.1363	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.240765	-3.04%	0.205465	-17.26%	0.1633	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.279294	-6.04%	0.20197	-32.05%	0.3648	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.178721	-1.14%	0.23358	+29.21%	0.2236	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.177142	-1.26%	0.22605	+26.00%	0.2150	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.173803	-1.09%	0.22024	+25.34%	0.2179	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.180628	-2.46%	0.19005	+2.62%	0.0084	✓	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.169939	-1.43%	0.18005	+4.43%	0.0222	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.159867	-1.17%	0.24832	+53.51%	0.3857	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.166022	-1.63%	0.29724	+76.11%	0.5366	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.17118	-2.03%	0.18078	+3.46%	0.0032	✓	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.16851	-1.76%	0.17941	+4.59%	0.0316	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.16715	-2.34%	0.17572	+2.67%	0.0281	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.186598	-3.25%	0.18519	-3.98%	0.0326	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.161456	-2.36%	0.17241	+4.26%	0.0170	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.142098	-1.49%	0.16176	+12.14%	0.0433	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.