PRL

Pearl · native · lstm_s8

token id: #318
symbol: PRL
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-03-25
predictions: 606

Track record at +30d

assessed

172

of 202 predictions shown

direction hit

64.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3615

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0718

actual -0.1644

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.09683	0.094108	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-20	oos	0.09595	0.093378	-2.68%	–	pending	–	–	-0.49
2026-10-19	oos	0.086455	0.084424	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-18	oos	0.089395	0.087131	-2.53%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-17	oos	0.09256	0.090034	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-16	oos	0.09638	0.093629	-2.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-15	oos	0.098895	0.096063	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	-0.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.10321	0.099489	-3.60%	–	pending	–	–	-0.50
2026-10-13	oos	0.1071	0.102871	-3.95%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-12	oos	0.10897	0.103695	-4.84%	–	pending	–	–	-0.52
2026-10-11	oos	0.11286	0.106837	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.46
2026-10-10	oos	0.11281	0.107098	-5.06%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-09	oos	0.112985	0.10693	-5.36%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-08	oos	0.112445	0.106696	-5.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-10-07	oos	0.112855	0.107301	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-10-06	oos	0.114295	0.10897	-4.66%	–	pending	–	–	-0.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.1153	0.110241	-4.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-04	oos	0.115245	0.110841	-3.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-03	oos	0.11641	0.11089	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.37
2026-10-02	oos	0.1163	0.110915	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-10-01	oos	0.117695	0.111903	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	-0.38
2026-09-30	oos	0.11663	0.110364	-5.37%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-09-29	oos	0.116075	0.109919	-5.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-09-28	oos	0.115385	0.109429	-5.16%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-27	oos	0.12233	0.115529	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-09-26	oos	0.12269	0.115836	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-09-25	oos	0.12086	0.114312	-5.42%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-24	oos	0.11888	0.112936	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-23	oos	0.11387	0.108794	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.30
2026-09-22	oos	0.12082	0.115928	-4.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.36
2026-09-21	oos	0.118115	0.113965	-3.51%	0.09683	-18.02%	0.1784	✓	-0.33
2026-09-20	oos	0.11549	0.109058	-5.57%	0.09595	-16.92%	0.1188	✓	-0.43
2026-09-19	oos	0.11687	0.110058	-5.83%	0.086455	-26.02%	0.2382	✓	-0.43
2026-09-18	oos	0.11423	0.107338	-6.03%	0.089395	-21.74%	0.1770	✓	-0.42
2026-09-17	oos	0.1089	0.101849	-6.47%	0.09256	-15.00%	0.0608	✓	-0.55
2026-09-16	oos	0.1093	0.102662	-6.07%	0.09638	-11.82%	0.0255	✓	-0.55
2026-09-15	oos	0.107435	0.101211	-5.79%	0.098895	-7.95%	0.0197	✓	-0.52
2026-09-14	oos	0.113295	0.106249	-6.22%	0.10321	-8.90%	0.0053	✓	-0.56
2026-09-13	oos	0.110605	0.104638	-5.40%	0.1071	-3.17%	0.0656	✗	-0.54
2026-09-12	oos	0.117375	0.110697	-5.69%	0.10897	-7.16%	0.0156	✓	-0.56
2026-09-11	oos	0.1145	0.108691	-5.07%	0.11286	-1.43%	0.0829	✗	-0.56
2026-09-10	oos	0.10966	0.105002	-4.25%	0.11281	+2.87%	0.1165	✗	-0.56
2026-09-09	oos	0.117875	0.111997	-4.99%	0.112985	-4.15%	0.0416	✓	-0.62
2026-09-08	oos	0.125695	0.118521	-5.71%	0.112445	-10.54%	0.0328	✓	-0.49
2026-09-07	oos	0.13255	0.124581	-6.01%	0.112855	-14.86%	0.0730	✓	-0.50
2026-09-06	oos	0.12763	0.120331	-5.72%	0.114295	-10.45%	0.0238	✓	-0.44
2026-09-05	oos	0.12613	0.119669	-5.12%	0.1153	-8.59%	0.0046	✓	-0.46
2026-09-04	oos	0.12391	0.117727	-4.99%	0.115245	-6.99%	0.0120	✓	-0.41
2026-09-03	oos	0.12911	0.124056	-3.91%	0.11641	-9.84%	0.0454	✓	-0.44
2026-09-02	oos	0.13655	0.12863	-5.80%	0.1163	-14.83%	0.0771	✓	-0.27
2026-09-01	oos	0.14876	0.140706	-5.41%	0.117695	-20.88%	0.1549	✓	-0.26
2026-08-31	oos	0.15862	0.151811	-4.29%	0.11663	-26.47%	0.2418	✓	-0.35
2026-08-30	oos	0.17393	0.164909	-5.19%	0.116075	-33.26%	0.3314	✓	-0.27
2026-08-29	oos	0.18234	0.175275	-3.87%	0.115385	-36.72%	0.4020	✓	-0.25
2026-08-28	oos	0.187175	0.178694	-4.53%	0.12233	-34.64%	0.3588	✓	-0.25
2026-08-27	oos	0.20275	0.203456	+0.35%	0.12269	-39.49%	0.4906	✗	-0.30
2026-08-26	oos	0.20398	0.199625	-2.14%	0.12086	-40.75%	0.4830	✓	-0.30
2026-08-25	oos	0.21216	0.206055	-2.88%	0.11888	-43.97%	0.5257	✓	-0.34
2026-08-24	oos	0.219885	0.214979	-2.23%	0.11387	-48.21%	0.6144	✓	-0.32
2026-08-23	oos	0.2312	0.221187	-4.33%	0.12082	-47.74%	0.5777	✓	-0.26
2026-08-22	oos	0.2294	0.2191	-4.49%	0.118115	-48.51%	0.5868	✓	-0.27
2026-08-21	oos	0.25231	0.243242	-3.59%	0.11549	-54.23%	0.7337	✓	-0.31
2026-08-20	oos	0.25681	0.234836	-8.56%	0.11687	-54.49%	0.6648	✓	-0.31
2026-08-19	oos	0.31667	0.285502	-9.84%	0.11423	-63.93%	0.9234	✓	0.05
2026-08-18	oos	0.44811	0.395631	-11.71%	0.1089	-75.70%	1.4443	✓	0.93
2026-08-17	oos	0.39028	0.348873	-10.61%	0.1093	-71.99%	1.3103	✓	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.39762	0.353237	-11.16%	0.107435	-72.98%	1.3660	✓	0.95
2026-08-15	oos	0.354585	0.312813	-11.78%	0.113295	-68.05%	1.2203	✓	0.95
2026-08-14	oos	0.35075	0.313099	-10.73%	0.110605	-68.47%	1.2299	✓	0.95
2026-08-13	oos	0.300195	0.271843	-9.44%	0.117375	-60.90%	1.0383	✓	1.01
2026-08-12	oos	0.323825	0.291536	-9.97%	0.1145	-64.64%	1.1518	✓	1.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.330115	0.295817	-10.39%	0.10966	-66.78%	1.1906	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.304755	0.27567	-9.54%	0.117875	-61.32%	1.0665	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.2748	0.251017	-8.65%	0.125695	-54.26%	0.9091	✓	1.14
2026-08-08	oos	0.300765	0.272052	-9.55%	0.13255	-55.93%	0.9456	✓	1.15
2026-08-07	oos	0.284025	0.257701	-9.27%	0.12763	-55.06%	0.9323	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.279705	0.253917	-9.22%	0.12613	-54.91%	0.9335	✓	1.08
2026-08-05	oos	0.27185	0.246658	-9.27%	0.12391	-54.42%	0.9161	✓	1.09
2026-08-04	oos	0.257085	0.233031	-9.36%	0.12911	-49.78%	0.8398	✓	1.05
2026-08-03	oos	0.25844	0.232577	-10.01%	0.13655	-47.16%	0.7363	✓	1.03
2026-08-02	oos	0.2655	0.237254	-10.64%	0.14876	-43.97%	0.6769	✓	1.06
2026-08-01	oos	0.24187	0.218699	-9.58%	0.15862	-34.42%	0.5556	✓	1.04
2026-07-31	oos	0.24613	0.219877	-10.67%	0.17393	-29.33%	0.4557	✓	1.04
2026-07-30	oos	0.24718	0.219425	-11.23%	0.18234	-26.23%	0.3890	✓	1.08
2026-07-29	oos	0.2118	0.193074	-8.84%	0.187175	-11.63%	0.2061	✓	0.89
2026-07-28	oos	0.18124	0.170043	-6.18%	0.20275	+11.87%	0.0158	✓	0.84
2026-07-27	oos	0.180795	0.168832	-6.62%	0.20398	+12.82%	0.0043	✓	0.86
2026-07-26	oos	0.19156	0.175124	-8.58%	0.21216	+10.75%	0.0464	✓	0.79
2026-07-25	oos	0.180655	0.168562	-6.69%	0.219885	+21.72%	0.1505	✗	0.56
2026-07-24	oos	0.17977	0.166887	-7.17%	0.2312	+28.61%	0.2126	✗	0.59
2026-07-23	oos	0.17194	0.161449	-6.10%	0.2294	+33.42%	0.2475	✗	0.61
2026-07-22	oos	0.170375	0.160874	-5.58%	0.25231	+48.09%	0.3456	✗	0.61
2026-07-21	oos	0.176875	0.165143	-6.63%	0.25681	+45.19%	0.3860	✗	0.60
2026-07-20	oos	0.17387	0.163378	-6.03%	0.31667	+82.13%	0.6248	✗	0.61
2026-07-19	oos	0.17227	0.163126	-5.31%	0.44811	+160.12%	1.0105	✗	0.61
2026-07-18	oos	0.1727	0.163455	-5.35%	0.39028	+125.99%	0.8740	✗	0.74
2026-07-17	oos	0.17012	0.162949	-4.22%	0.39762	+133.73%	0.9034	✗	0.68
2026-07-16	oos	0.168865	0.162865	-3.55%	0.354585	+109.98%	0.7879	✗	0.84
2026-07-15	oos	0.16945	0.163523	-3.50%	0.35075	+106.99%	0.7814	✗	0.67
2026-07-14	oos	0.175085	0.167282	-4.46%	0.300195	+71.46%	0.6033	✗	0.76
2026-07-13	oos	0.165275	0.15869	-3.98%	0.323825	+95.93%	0.7000	✗	0.73
2026-07-12	oos	0.170995	0.163192	-4.56%	0.330115	+93.06%	0.7068	✗	0.71
2026-07-11	oos	0.16921	0.162512	-3.96%	0.304755	+80.10%	0.6275	✗	0.57
2026-07-10	oos	0.173995	0.165807	-4.71%	0.2748	+57.94%	0.4999	✗	0.48
2026-07-09	oos	0.16962	0.16233	-4.30%	0.300765	+77.32%	0.6039	✗	0.47
2026-07-08	oos	0.172195	0.163752	-4.90%	0.284025	+64.94%	0.5316	✗	0.46
2026-07-07	oos	0.18963	0.174623	-7.91%	0.279705	+47.50%	0.4652	✗	0.40
2026-07-06	oos	0.19	0.17478	-8.01%	0.27185	+43.08%	0.4381	✗	0.39
2026-07-05	oos	0.172495	0.163719	-5.09%	0.257085	+49.04%	0.4487	✗	0.35
2026-07-04	oos	0.184115	0.169703	-7.83%	0.25844	+40.37%	0.4184	✗	0.37
2026-07-03	oos	0.17919	0.16642	-7.13%	0.2655	+48.17%	0.4597	✗	0.47
2026-07-02	oos	0.167965	0.159084	-5.29%	0.24187	+44.00%	0.4093	✗	0.47
2026-07-01	oos	0.16593	0.157614	-5.01%	0.24613	+48.33%	0.4238	✗	0.47
2026-06-30	oos	0.15907	0.152783	-3.95%	0.24718	+55.39%	0.4343	✗	0.47
2026-06-29	oos	0.16325	0.155448	-4.78%	0.2118	+29.74%	0.2821	✗	0.45
2026-06-28	oos	0.154175	0.148967	-3.38%	0.18124	+17.55%	0.1734	✗	0.32
2026-06-27	oos	0.150835	0.146544	-2.84%	0.180795	+19.86%	0.1953	✗	0.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.14411	0.141257	-1.98%	0.19156	+32.93%	0.2848	✗	0.23
2026-06-25	oos	0.14418	0.141416	-1.92%	0.180655	+25.30%	0.2275	✗	0.23
2026-06-24	oos	0.1387	0.136641	-1.48%	0.17977	+29.61%	0.2504	✗	0.48
2026-06-23	oos	0.14184	0.139186	-1.87%	0.17194	+21.22%	0.2014	✗	0.26
2026-06-22	oos	0.13865	0.136086	-1.85%	0.170375	+22.88%	0.2155	✗	0.28
2026-06-21	oos	0.14252	0.139611	-2.04%	0.176875	+24.11%	0.2219	✗	0.29
2026-06-20	oos	0.14479	0.142142	-1.83%	0.17387	+20.08%	0.1971	✗	0.29
2026-06-19	oos	0.144445	0.142251	-1.52%	0.17227	+19.26%	0.1861	✗	0.29
2026-06-18	oos	0.151155	0.147859	-2.18%	0.1727	+14.25%	0.1463	✗	0.30
2026-06-17	oos	0.15744	0.152731	-2.99%	0.17012	+8.05%	0.1102	✗	0.28
2026-06-16	oos	0.16476	0.158408	-3.86%	0.168865	+2.49%	0.0713	✗	0.26
2026-06-15	oos	0.18421	0.173608	-5.76%	0.16945	-8.01%	0.0188	✓	0.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.19015	0.178521	-6.12%	0.175085	-7.92%	0.0168	✓	0.24
2026-06-13	oos	0.195935	0.182916	-6.64%	0.165275	-15.65%	0.0925	✓	0.26
2026-06-12	oos	0.191665	0.178972	-6.62%	0.170995	-10.78%	0.0464	✓	0.25
2026-06-11	oos	0.1988	0.183189	-7.85%	0.16921	-14.88%	0.0802	✓	0.25
2026-06-10	oos	0.17579	0.162962	-7.30%	0.173995	-1.02%	0.0602	✓	0.13
2026-06-09	oos	0.179975	0.166722	-7.36%	0.16962	-5.75%	0.0143	✓	0.12
2026-06-08	oos	0.18887	0.173676	-8.04%	0.172195	-8.83%	0.0074	✓	0.09
2026-06-07	oos	0.178	0.165262	-7.16%	0.18963	+6.53%	0.1375	✗	0.10
2026-06-06	oos	0.17343	0.161985	-6.60%	0.19	+9.55%	0.1562	✗	0.07
2026-06-05	oos	0.17492	0.163972	-6.26%	0.172495	-1.39%	0.0480	✓	0.07
2026-06-04	oos	0.18829	0.175648	-6.71%	0.184115	-2.22%	0.0465	✓	-0.05
2026-06-03	oos	0.20735	0.191972	-7.42%	0.17919	-13.58%	0.0703	✓	-0.06
2026-06-02	oos	0.19479	0.181345	-6.90%	0.167965	-13.77%	0.0741	✓	0.03
2026-06-01	oos	0.19786	0.183338	-7.34%	0.16593	-16.14%	0.1032	✓	-0.02
2026-05-31	oos	0.20331	0.18621	-8.41%	0.15907	-21.76%	0.1731	✓	-0.07
2026-05-30	oos	0.20295	0.185822	-8.44%	0.16325	-19.56%	0.1434	✓	-0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.181715	0.169701	-6.61%	0.154175	-15.16%	0.1160	✓	-0.10
2026-05-28	oos	0.17852	0.165269	-7.42%	0.150835	-15.51%	0.1105	✓	-0.09
2026-05-27	oos	0.15387	0.142526	-7.37%	0.14411	-6.34%	0.0092	✓	-0.01
2026-05-26	oos	0.16026	0.146379	-8.66%	0.14418	-10.03%	0.0275	✓	-0.05
2026-05-25	oos	0.17268	0.156788	-9.20%	0.1387	-19.68%	0.1535	✓	-0.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.17963	0.162863	-9.33%	0.14184	-21.04%	0.1641	✓	-0.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.191655	0.173755	-9.34%	0.13865	-27.66%	0.2466	✓	-0.12
2026-05-22	oos	0.18882	0.171523	-9.16%	0.14252	-24.52%	0.2076	✓	-0.13
2026-05-21	oos	0.19739	0.178754	-9.44%	0.14479	-26.65%	0.2499	✓	-0.21
2026-05-20	oos	0.200525	0.181968	-9.25%	0.144445	-27.97%	0.2725	✓	-0.21
2026-05-19	oos	0.200605	0.183444	-8.55%	0.151155	-24.65%	0.2350	✓	-0.21
2026-05-18	oos	0.206865	0.190798	-7.77%	0.15744	-23.89%	0.2302	✓	-0.21
2026-05-17	oos	0.19963	0.18513	-7.26%	0.16476	-17.47%	0.1500	✓	-0.20
2026-05-16	oos	0.20361	0.190443	-6.47%	0.18421	-9.53%	0.0690	✓	-0.22
2026-05-15	oos	0.219995	0.205394	-6.64%	0.19015	-13.57%	0.1300	✓	-0.29
2026-05-14	oos	0.2512	0.233162	-7.18%	0.195935	-22.00%	0.2954	✓	-0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.25513	0.235279	-7.78%	0.191665	-24.88%	0.3184	✓	-0.51
2026-05-12	oos	0.25496	0.236448	-7.26%	0.1988	-22.03%	0.2986	✓	-0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.27403	0.253251	-7.58%	0.17579	-35.85%	0.5464	✓	-0.64
2026-05-10	oos	0.27135	0.251834	-7.19%	0.179975	-33.67%	0.5195	✓	-0.64
2026-05-09	oos	0.28986	0.265826	-8.29%	0.18887	-34.84%	0.4818	✓	-0.57
2026-05-08	oos	0.28383	0.260436	-8.24%	0.178	-37.29%	0.5156	✓	-0.57
2026-05-07	oos	0.27438	0.252329	-8.04%	0.17343	-36.79%	0.5311	✓	-0.57
2026-05-06	oos	0.26746	0.247119	-7.61%	0.17492	-34.60%	0.5093	✓	-0.57
2026-05-05	oos	0.283635	0.258658	-8.81%	0.18829	-33.62%	0.4486	✓	-0.55
2026-05-04	oos	0.26549	0.243501	-8.28%	0.20735	-21.90%	0.2915	✓	-0.59
2026-05-03	oos	0.25235	0.231292	-8.34%	0.19479	-22.81%	0.2764	✓	-0.64
2026-05-02	oos	0.26266	0.240321	-8.50%	0.19786	-24.67%	0.2585	✓	-0.65
2026-05-01	oos	0.25282	0.231618	-8.39%	0.20331	-19.58%	0.1708	✓	-0.66
2026-04-30	oos	0.28061	0.254349	-9.36%	0.20295	-27.68%	0.2424	✓	-0.49
2026-04-29	oos	0.31369	0.278642	-11.17%	0.181715	-42.07%	0.4417	✓	-0.44
2026-04-28	oos	0.35463	0.302347	-14.74%	0.17852	-49.66%	0.5472	✓	-0.54
2026-04-27	oos	0.3251	0.273824	-15.77%	0.15387	-52.67%	0.5955	✓	-0.48
2026-04-26	oos	0.22072	0.204886	-7.17%	0.16026	-27.39%	0.2436	✓	0.06
2026-04-25	oos	0.20786	0.193487	-6.91%	0.17268	-16.92%	0.1137	✓	0.02
2026-04-24	oos	0.205465	0.191347	-6.87%	0.17963	-12.57%	0.0631	✓	0.02
2026-04-23	oos	0.20197	0.189312	-6.27%	0.191655	-5.11%	0.0334	✓	1.00
2026-04-22	oos	0.23358	0.214081	-8.35%	0.18882	-19.16%	0.0896	✓	1.00
2026-04-21	oos	0.22605	0.206747	-8.54%	0.19739	-12.68%	0.0619	✓	1.00
2026-04-20	oos	0.22024	0.201052	-8.71%	0.200525	-8.95%	0.0236	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.19005	0.176064	-7.36%	0.200605	+5.55%	0.0914	✗	1.00
2026-04-18	oos	0.18005	0.169075	-6.10%	0.206865	+14.89%	0.1859	✗	1.00
2026-04-17	oos	0.24832	0.216132	-12.96%	0.19963	-19.61%	0.0834	✓	1.00
2026-04-16	oos	0.29724	0.243432	-18.10%	0.20361	-31.50%	0.2170	✓	1.00
2026-04-15	oos	0.18078	0.168653	-6.71%	0.219995	+21.69%	0.2109	✗	1.00
2026-04-14	oos	0.17941	0.16703	-6.90%	0.2512	+40.01%	0.3191	✗	1.00
2026-04-13	oos	0.17572	0.164061	-6.63%	0.25513	+45.19%	0.3785	✗	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.18519	0.168211	-9.17%	0.25496	+37.67%	0.2870	✗	1.00
2026-04-11	oos	0.17241	0.159188	-7.67%	0.27403	+58.94%	0.4314	✗	1.00
2026-04-10	oos	0.16176	0.150922	-6.70%	0.27135	+67.75%	0.4679	✗	1.00
2026-04-09	oos	0.16878	0.156379	-7.35%	0.28986	+71.74%	0.5008	✗	1.00
2026-04-08	oos	0.17473	0.160715	-8.02%	0.28383	+62.44%	0.4482	✗	1.00
2026-04-07	oos	0.17153	0.158555	-7.56%	0.27438	+59.96%	0.4417	✗	1.00
2026-04-06	oos	0.17115	0.156462	-8.58%	0.26746	+56.27%	0.3683	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.19287	0.172306	-10.66%	0.283635	+47.06%	0.3393	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.16536	0.150039	-9.27%	0.26549	+60.55%	0.3995	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.14425	0.132353	-8.25%	0.25235	+74.94%	0.4856	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.