NIULAI

? · · lstm_s8

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +7d

assessed

48

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

68.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1801

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0324

actual -0.0428

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.061552	-1.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.061478	-1.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057644	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058467	-0.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059298	-0.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.064274	-1.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.066366	-1.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.068525	-1.59%	0.06254	-10.18%	0.1122	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.072878	-2.35%	0.0625	-16.25%	0.1507	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.070909	-1.60%	0.05795	-19.58%	0.2035	✓	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.077314	-2.47%	0.058765	-25.87%	0.2461	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.078141	-2.41%	0.059455	-25.75%	0.2471	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.073087	-1.49%	0.065015	-12.37%	0.0991	✓	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.072496	-0.83%	0.06738	-7.82%	0.0806	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.071275	-0.57%	0.06963	-2.87%	0.0066	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.077788	-1.63%	0.07463	-5.62%	0.0022	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.075816	-1.28%	0.07206	-6.17%	0.0144	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.081138	-1.47%	0.07927	-3.74%	0.0208	✗	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.079141	-1.21%	0.080075	-0.04%	0.0408	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.086258	-1.48%	0.07419	-15.26%	0.1196	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.097424	-1.86%	0.0731	-26.36%	0.2390	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.102482	-2.24%	0.071685	-31.61%	0.3530	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.102746	-2.27%	0.079075	-24.78%	0.2913	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.112367	-3.00%	0.0768	-33.70%	0.4157	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.101683	-2.26%	0.08235	-20.84%	0.2438	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.103285	-2.41%	0.08011	-24.31%	0.2594	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.101805	-2.40%	0.08755	-16.06%	0.1575	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.0984	-2.23%	0.09927	-1.36%	0.0013	✓	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.104574	-2.64%	0.104825	-2.41%	0.0157	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.109135	-2.84%	0.10513	-6.41%	0.0021	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.104879	-2.68%	0.115845	+7.49%	0.1483	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.098194	-2.86%	0.10403	+2.91%	0.0008	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.104421	-3.24%	0.10584	-1.92%	0.0418	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.115047	-3.82%	0.104305	-12.80%	0.1539	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.102416	-3.63%	0.10064	-5.30%	0.1176	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.097023	-3.51%	0.10741	+6.82%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.114751	-4.14%	0.112325	-6.17%	0.1528	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.117012	-4.29%	0.10777	-11.84%	0.1846	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.112066	-4.29%	0.10109	-13.66%	0.1583	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.127895	-5.21%	0.107915	-20.02%	0.2200	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.119047	-5.34%	0.11962	-4.89%	0.0416	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.114495	-5.67%	0.10627	-12.45%	0.0721	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.076022	-3.26%	0.10055	+27.95%	0.3073	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.097418	-4.61%	0.11971	+17.22%	0.2433	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.078751	-3.55%	0.12225	+49.72%	0.4514	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.087292	-4.10%	0.11709	+28.64%	0.3387	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.113118	-6.17%	0.134925	+11.92%	0.2090	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.080661	-4.11%	0.125765	+49.51%	0.4756	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.091498	-5.00%	0.12138	+26.03%	0.3425	✗	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.07449	-4.28%	0.078585	+0.98%	0.0410	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.079197	-4.99%	0.102125	+22.51%	0.2408	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.095379	-7.28%	0.08165	-20.63%	0.1621	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.092071	-9.27%	0.09102	-10.31%	0.0453	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.054319	-1.13%	0.12056	+119.44%	0.7771	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.055409	-1.16%	0.08412	+50.05%	0.3942	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.