NIULAI

? · · lstm_s8

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +1d

assessed

54

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

55.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0923

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0074

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.062238	-0.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.062198	-0.48%	0.06254	+0.06%	0.0100	✗	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057798	-0.26%	0.0625	+7.85%	0.0578	✗	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.05862	-0.25%	0.05795	-1.39%	0.0083	✓	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059341	-0.19%	0.058765	-1.16%	0.0215	✓	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.064794	-0.34%	0.059455	-8.55%	0.0838	✓	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.067109	-0.40%	0.065015	-3.51%	0.0202	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.069344	-0.41%	0.06738	-3.23%	0.0390	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.074203	-0.57%	0.06963	-6.70%	0.0361	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.071772	-0.40%	0.07463	+3.57%	0.0148	✗	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.078791	-0.60%	0.07206	-9.10%	0.0565	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.079605	-0.59%	0.07927	-1.01%	0.0172	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.073914	-0.37%	0.080075	+7.93%	0.0738	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.072924	-0.24%	0.07419	+1.49%	0.0026	✗	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.071549	-0.19%	0.0731	+1.97%	0.0492	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.078745	-0.42%	0.071685	-9.35%	0.0575	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.076541	-0.34%	0.079075	+2.96%	0.0359	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.08202	-0.40%	0.0768	-6.74%	0.0541	✓	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.079848	-0.33%	0.08235	+2.80%	0.0034	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.087191	-0.41%	0.08011	-8.50%	0.0884	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.098756	-0.52%	0.08755	-11.81%	0.1153	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.104201	-0.59%	0.09927	-5.30%	0.0687	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.104497	-0.60%	0.104825	-0.29%	0.0044	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.114962	-0.76%	0.10513	-9.25%	0.0922	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.103403	-0.60%	0.115845	+11.36%	0.1301	✗	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.105167	-0.64%	0.10403	-1.71%	0.0116	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.103649	-0.63%	0.10584	+1.47%	0.0157	✗	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.100047	-0.59%	0.104305	+3.64%	0.0465	✗	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.106678	-0.68%	0.10064	-6.30%	0.0584	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.111499	-0.74%	0.10741	-4.38%	0.0094	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.107017	-0.70%	0.112325	+4.23%	0.0545	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.100379	-0.70%	0.10777	+6.61%	0.0240	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.107061	-0.79%	0.10109	-6.32%	0.0561	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.118505	-0.93%	0.107915	-9.79%	0.1000	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.105364	-0.85%	0.11962	+12.56%	0.0693	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.099737	-0.81%	0.10627	+5.69%	0.0608	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.118535	-0.98%	0.10055	-16.01%	0.1719	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.120997	-1.02%	0.11971	-2.08%	0.0230	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.115894	-1.02%	0.12225	+4.41%	0.0356	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.133225	-1.26%	0.11709	-13.22%	0.1231	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.12412	-1.31%	0.134925	+7.28%	0.0828	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.119692	-1.39%	0.125765	+3.61%	0.0408	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.077999	-0.75%	0.12138	+54.46%	0.4648	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.101004	-1.10%	0.078585	-23.05%	0.2489	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.080972	-0.83%	0.102125	+25.08%	0.2403	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.090132	-0.98%	0.08165	-10.29%	0.0832	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.118789	-1.47%	0.09102	-24.50%	0.2726	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.083298	-0.98%	0.12056	+43.32%	0.3678	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.095148	-1.21%	0.08412	-12.66%	0.1034	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.077029	-1.02%	0.09631	+23.76%	0.1735	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.082349	-1.21%	0.07782	-6.65%	0.0554	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.100999	-1.82%	0.08336	-18.97%	0.1770	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.099084	-2.36%	0.10287	+1.37%	0.0260	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.054684	-0.47%	0.10148	+84.71%	0.6256	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.055785	-0.49%	0.05494	-2.00%	0.0203	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.