MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · lstm_s8

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

86.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3373

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0222

actual -0.2993

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001936	0.001876	-3.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001755	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001887	-2.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.00175	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.002026	-3.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002255	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002303	-4.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002165	-3.93%	0.001936	-14.07%	0.1241	✓	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001987	-2.74%	0.0018	-11.92%	0.0970	✓	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002093	-2.85%	0.001942	-9.86%	0.0763	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001808	-1.15%	0.001786	-2.38%	0.0177	✗	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001818	-0.62%	0.002094	+14.49%	0.1690	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001843	-0.29%	0.002361	+27.75%	0.2665	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.002088	-0.79%	0.002423	+15.11%	0.1406	✗	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002357	-2.27%	0.002253	-6.59%	0.0152	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002325	-2.29%	0.002043	-14.16%	0.0815	✓	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002742	-4.69%	0.002155	-25.11%	0.1638	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002288	-1.65%	0.001829	-21.36%	0.1624	✓	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001719	+0.06%	0.001829	+6.46%	0.0930	✓	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001686	+0.11%	0.001849	+9.74%	0.1250	✓	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001689	+0.05%	0.002105	+24.70%	0.2752	✓	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002406	+0.69%	0.002412	+0.92%	0.0081	✓	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003084	-0.34%	0.00238	-23.09%	0.2971	✓	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003583	-1.45%	0.002877	-20.86%	0.2651	✓	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003612	-1.59%	0.002327	-36.61%	0.4638	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.004416	-3.23%	0.001718	-62.36%	0.9480	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004755	-3.77%	0.001685	-65.91%	1.0426	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.004364	-2.91%	0.001688	-62.45%	0.9554	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004455	-2.89%	0.00239	-47.90%	0.6128	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004687	-3.20%	0.003095	-36.09%	0.3851	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.005146	-3.77%	0.003635	-32.02%	0.3106	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.004361	-2.33%	0.00367	-17.81%	0.2124	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.004183	-2.00%	0.004564	+6.91%	0.0486	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.005443	-2.86%	0.004941	-11.81%	0.1356	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.00539	-2.16%	0.004495	-18.41%	0.2817	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004265	-1.83%	0.004587	+5.59%	0.0298	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005808	-1.92%	0.004842	-18.24%	0.3133	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.008268	-3.26%	0.005348	-37.43%	0.5380	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.006134	-2.42%	0.004465	-28.97%	0.3728	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.00818	-2.67%	0.004269	-49.20%	0.7004	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.006121	-3.78%	0.005603	-11.92%	0.1349	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.0082	-3.00%	0.005509	-34.83%	0.3952	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.010156	-3.13%	0.004344	-58.57%	0.8216	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.017283	-3.20%	0.005922	-66.83%	1.0339	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017489	-2.87%	0.008547	-52.53%	0.7043	✓	1.00