MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · lstm_s8

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 138

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 46 predictions shown

direction hit

60.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1608

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0104

actual -0.0405

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.003037	0.003003	-1.11%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-21	oos	0.002985	0.002951	-1.14%	0.003037	+1.71%	0.0256	✗	1.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001791	-0.50%	0.002985	+65.91%	0.5002	✗	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.00193	-0.63%	0.0018	-7.34%	0.0815	✓	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001778	-0.44%	0.001942	+8.73%	0.0900	✗	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.002078	-0.78%	0.001786	-14.71%	0.1585	✓	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002337	-1.02%	0.002094	-11.33%	0.1086	✓	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002397	-1.06%	0.002361	-2.54%	0.0078	✓	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002233	-0.90%	0.002423	+7.55%	0.0756	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.002031	-0.58%	0.002253	+10.28%	0.1242	✗	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002141	-0.64%	0.002043	-5.18%	0.0652	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001824	-0.32%	0.002155	+17.76%	0.2018	✗	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001823	-0.30%	0.001829	+0.03%	0.0103	✓	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001843	-0.30%	0.001829	-1.05%	0.0141	✓	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.002098	-0.33%	0.001849	-12.19%	0.1424	✓	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.0024	-0.48%	0.002105	-12.73%	0.1036	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002369	-0.46%	0.002412	+1.34%	0.0625	✗	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002857	-0.71%	0.00238	-17.27%	0.1786	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002317	-0.43%	0.002877	+23.66%	0.2329	✗	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001687	-1.83%	0.002327	+35.42%	0.2925	✗	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001637	-2.85%	0.001718	+1.99%	0.0446	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001616	-4.27%	0.001685	-0.21%	0.0475	✗	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002379	-0.45%	0.001688	-29.37%	0.3699	✓	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003088	-0.21%	0.00239	-22.77%	0.2545	✓	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003627	-0.24%	0.003095	-14.88%	0.1624	✓	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.00366	-0.26%	0.003635	-0.94%	0.0052	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.004545	-0.41%	0.00367	-19.59%	0.2144	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004916	-0.51%	0.004564	-7.64%	0.0782	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.004477	-0.41%	0.004941	+9.93%	0.1022	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004567	-0.44%	0.004495	-2.01%	0.0159	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004817	-0.52%	0.004587	-5.27%	0.0275	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.005314	-0.63%	0.004842	-9.46%	0.0885	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.004429	-0.82%	0.005348	+19.78%	0.1238	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.004213	-1.31%	0.004465	+4.59%	0.0590	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.00556	-0.77%	0.004269	-23.81%	0.2686	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005458	-0.93%	0.005603	+1.71%	0.0314	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.00418	-3.78%	0.005509	+26.82%	0.2734	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005843	-1.33%	0.004344	-26.65%	0.3039	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.008511	-0.42%	0.005922	-30.71%	0.3290	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.006115	-2.72%	0.008547	+35.96%	0.3170	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.008364	-0.48%	0.006287	-25.20%	0.2795	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.005855	-7.97%	0.008404	+32.11%	0.3608	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.008377	-0.90%	0.006361	-24.74%	0.2839	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.010449	-0.34%	0.008453	-19.38%	0.1894	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.017827	-0.16%	0.010485	-41.28%	0.5287	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017983	-0.12%	0.017855	-0.83%	0.0010	✓	1.00