META2

META2 · · lstm_s8

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 228

Track record at +7d

assessed

69

of 76 predictions shown

direction hit

47.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4895

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0517

actual -0.0583

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	17.7705	17.5243	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.4879	-1.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.3506	-1.62%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.3654	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.4664	-2.02%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.3047	-2.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.3139	-2.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.0338	-3.93%	17.7705	+0.23%	0.0264	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.2304	-3.58%	17.747	-0.69%	0.0319	✓	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.3842	-3.17%	17.6365	-1.77%	0.0130	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	17.786	-1.78%	17.677	-2.38%	0.0193	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	17.7601	-1.96%	17.826	-1.60%	0.0270	✗	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.5197	-2.05%	17.685	-1.13%	0.0253	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.4654	-2.26%	17.746	-0.69%	0.0094	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	17.6675	-2.49%	17.73	-2.15%	0.0303	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.5318	-3.22%	17.87	-1.36%	0.0593	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	17.6155	-3.13%	17.954	-1.26%	0.0863	✗	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.0588	-2.28%	18.108	-7.16%	0.0043	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	18.842	-2.50%	18.116	-6.25%	0.0091	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	18.8031	-2.64%	17.887	-7.38%	0.0174	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	18.8704	-2.80%	17.869	-7.96%	0.0012	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	18.752	-3.04%	18.1195	-6.31%	0.0296	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.1651	-3.17%	18.1155	-3.43%	0.0343	✓	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	17.6504	-4.36%	18.184	-1.47%	0.0085	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	16.7296	-2.14%	19.5035	+14.09%	0.1174	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.2574	-2.01%	19.3245	+16.48%	0.1670	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.5088	-2.16%	19.312	+14.45%	0.1494	✗	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	16.7364	-2.33%	19.4135	+13.29%	0.1399	✗	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.2929	-2.25%	19.34	+16.03%	0.1867	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.3217	-2.29%	18.7595	+12.31%	0.1894	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	15.9163	-2.23%	18.4555	+13.37%	0.2110	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.6938	-1.97%	17.0955	+14.06%	0.0889	✗	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.2326	-1.53%	16.5905	+23.45%	0.1643	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	18.5588	-3.62%	16.8735	-12.37%	0.1579	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	18.477	-3.87%	17.1355	-10.85%	0.2377	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	18.4234	-4.25%	16.6685	-13.37%	0.2670	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	18.3382	-4.64%	16.7035	-13.14%	0.3052	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	18.2596	-5.17%	16.2785	-15.46%	0.3065	✓	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	18.1579	-5.68%	14.9885	-22.14%	0.2931	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	18.041	-6.31%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3891	✓	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	17.2842	-6.67%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0194	✓	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	16.99	-7.73%	19.2205	+4.38%	0.1280	✗	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	16.1606	-12.35%	19.2405	+4.35%	0.2324	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	16.6698	-9.96%	19.2305	+3.87%	0.2221	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.4239	-2.41%	19.2555	+448.82%	1.7665	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.4259	-2.77%	19.2505	+446.35%	1.8896	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	16.9877	-7.57%	19.2555	+4.77%	0.2452	✗	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.7959	-5.54%	18.5185	+360.83%	1.7111	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.6868	-8.20%	18.4135	+358.50%	1.8712	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.4529	-14.17%	18.4385	+358.33%	1.6189	✗	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	2.9876	-25.68%	18.5135	+360.53%	1.7625	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	4.9495	-18.91%	3.5085	-42.52%	0.3733	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	39.6071	-2.88%	3.5235	-91.36%	2.5875	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	39.89	-3.04%	18.3785	-55.33%	0.8781	✓	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	39.6805	-3.75%	4.0185	-90.25%	2.4092	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	39.367	-3.28%	4.016	-90.13%	2.2949	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.4362	-0.23%	4.023	-85.37%	1.8978	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	38.485	-5.37%	4.02	-90.12%	2.2445	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	37.6575	-3.14%	6.1035	-84.30%	1.8144	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	38.9906	-3.87%	40.783	+0.55%	0.0458	✗	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	48.1311	-8.19%	41.1425	-21.52%	0.1721	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	30.0746	-1.82%	41.2285	+34.59%	0.3217	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	29.8379	-3.02%	40.7005	+32.28%	0.2156	✗	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	29.6407	-3.49%	27.5005	-10.46%	0.2063	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	29.1041	-4.73%	40.6705	+33.13%	0.1407	✗	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	28.4412	-7.09%	38.8775	+27.01%	0.1097	✗	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	29.1785	-4.49%	40.5615	+32.76%	0.1167	✗	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	29.0838	-4.88%	52.426	+71.47%	0.3881	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	28.2229	-7.88%	30.6335	-0.01%	0.1362	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	4.4657	-13.52%	30.768	+495.82%	1.7893	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	29.3239	-4.47%	30.7125	+0.06%	0.0425	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	28.9252	-5.89%	30.549	-0.61%	0.0367	✓	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	29.0697	-5.95%	30.6105	-0.96%	0.0428	✓	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	28.7794	-6.55%	30.5515	-0.80%	0.0913	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	28.9003	-6.38%	30.5745	-0.96%	0.0859	✗	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	29.5478	-4.36%	30.638	-0.84%	0.0662	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.