META2

META2 · · lstm_s8

token id: #464
symbol: META2
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-07-29
predictions: 228

Track record at +1d

assessed

75

of 76 predictions shown

direction hit

49.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1964

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0107

actual -0.0115

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	17.7705	17.7137	-0.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-20	oos	17.747	17.6868	-0.34%	17.7705	+0.13%	0.0081	✗	1.15
2026-10-19	oos	17.6365	17.5708	-0.37%	17.747	+0.63%	0.0052	✓	1.13
2026-10-18	oos	17.677	17.6045	-0.41%	17.6365	-0.23%	0.0042	✗	1.14
2026-10-17	oos	17.826	17.7415	-0.47%	17.677	-0.84%	0.0124	✓	1.14
2026-10-16	oos	17.685	17.5907	-0.53%	17.826	+0.80%	0.0150	✗	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	17.746	17.6269	-0.67%	17.685	-0.34%	0.0122	✗	1.17
2026-10-14	oos	17.73	17.505	-1.27%	17.746	+0.09%	0.0058	✓	1.16
2026-10-13	oos	17.87	17.665	-1.15%	17.73	-0.78%	0.0262	✗	1.21
2026-10-12	oos	17.954	17.7882	-0.92%	17.87	-0.47%	0.0151	✓	1.19
2026-10-11	oos	18.108	18.0363	-0.40%	17.954	-0.85%	0.0249	✗	1.26
2026-10-10	oos	18.116	18.0368	-0.44%	18.108	-0.04%	0.0076	✓	1.25
2026-10-09	oos	17.887	17.8041	-0.46%	18.116	+1.28%	0.0118	✗	1.25
2026-10-08	oos	17.869	17.7757	-0.52%	17.887	+0.10%	0.0066	✓	1.24
2026-10-07	oos	18.1195	18.0052	-0.63%	17.869	-1.38%	0.0172	✗	1.29
2026-10-06	oos	18.1155	17.9396	-0.97%	18.1195	+0.02%	0.0473	✗	1.39
2026-10-05	oos	18.184	18.0212	-0.90%	18.1155	-0.38%	0.0087	✓	1.41
2026-10-04	oos	19.5035	19.4094	-0.48%	18.184	-6.77%	0.0528	✓	1.41
2026-10-03	oos	19.3245	19.2233	-0.52%	19.5035	+0.93%	0.0141	✓	1.38
2026-10-02	oos	19.312	19.2038	-0.56%	19.3245	+0.06%	0.0024	✓	1.39
2026-10-01	oos	19.4135	19.295	-0.61%	19.312	-0.52%	0.0066	✗	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	19.34	19.2081	-0.68%	19.4135	+0.38%	0.0107	✓	1.39
2026-09-29	oos	18.7595	18.6167	-0.76%	19.34	+3.09%	0.0395	✗	1.41
2026-09-28	oos	18.4555	18.2368	-1.19%	18.7595	+1.65%	0.0252	✗	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	17.0955	17.0246	-0.41%	18.4555	+7.96%	0.0987	✗	1.51
2026-09-26	oos	16.5905	16.5264	-0.39%	17.0955	+3.04%	0.0330	✗	1.52
2026-09-25	oos	16.8735	16.8025	-0.42%	16.5905	-1.68%	0.0185	✓	1.52
2026-09-24	oos	17.1355	17.0563	-0.46%	16.8735	-1.53%	0.0054	✓	1.54
2026-09-23	oos	16.6685	16.5938	-0.45%	17.1355	+2.80%	0.0320	✗	1.56
2026-09-22	oos	16.7035	16.6261	-0.46%	16.6685	-0.21%	0.0381	✗	1.66
2026-09-21	oos	16.2785	16.2052	-0.45%	16.7035	+2.61%	0.0381	✗	1.71
2026-09-20	oos	14.9885	14.9328	-0.37%	16.2785	+8.61%	0.0152	✓	1.57
2026-09-19	oos	13.4385	13.4024	-0.27%	14.9885	+11.53%	0.1133	✗	1.61
2026-09-18	oos	19.2555	19.1144	-0.73%	13.4385	-30.21%	0.3594	✓	1.61
2026-09-17	oos	19.2205	19.0722	-0.77%	19.2555	+0.18%	0.0839	✓	1.62
2026-09-16	oos	19.2405	19.077	-0.85%	19.2205	-0.10%	0.0031	✓	1.63
2026-09-15	oos	19.2305	19.0517	-0.93%	19.2405	+0.05%	0.0021	✓	1.61
2026-09-14	oos	19.2555	19.0533	-1.05%	19.2305	-0.13%	0.0724	✗	1.87
2026-09-13	oos	19.2505	19.0286	-1.15%	19.2555	+0.03%	0.0207	✓	1.83
2026-09-12	oos	19.2555	19.0063	-1.29%	19.2505	-0.03%	0.0241	✗	1.89
2026-09-11	oos	18.5185	18.2609	-1.39%	19.2555	+3.98%	0.0517	✗	1.91
2026-09-10	oos	18.4135	18.1033	-1.68%	18.5185	+0.57%	0.0062	✓	1.89
2026-09-09	oos	18.4385	17.8781	-3.04%	18.4135	-0.14%	0.0767	✗	2.09
2026-09-08	oos	18.5135	18.151	-1.96%	18.4385	-0.41%	0.0202	✗	2.13
2026-09-07	oos	3.5085	3.4953	-0.38%	18.5135	+427.68%	1.6948	✗	3.39
2026-09-06	oos	3.5235	3.5075	-0.46%	3.5085	-0.43%	0.0570	✗	3.63
2026-09-05	oos	18.3785	18.1112	-1.45%	3.5235	-80.83%	1.6603	✓	3.67
2026-09-04	oos	4.0185	3.9783	-1.00%	18.3785	+357.35%	1.5225	✗	4.02
2026-09-03	oos	4.016	3.9546	-1.53%	4.0185	+0.06%	0.1026	✗	4.39
2026-09-02	oos	4.023	3.9147	-2.69%	4.016	-0.17%	0.1986	✓	4.49
2026-09-01	oos	4.02	3.8193	-4.99%	4.023	+0.07%	0.0574	✗	4.57
2026-08-31	oos	6.1035	5.8954	-3.41%	4.02	-34.14%	0.3179	✓	4.35
2026-08-30	oos	40.783	40.5245	-0.63%	6.1035	-85.03%	1.9501	✓	4.96
2026-08-29	oos	41.1425	40.8527	-0.70%	40.783	-0.87%	0.0355	✗	5.10
2026-08-28	oos	41.2285	40.832	-0.96%	41.1425	-0.21%	0.0183	✓	5.11
2026-08-27	oos	40.7005	40.3585	-0.84%	41.2285	+1.30%	0.0521	✗	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	27.5005	27.384	-0.42%	40.7005	+48.00%	0.3806	✗	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	40.6705	40.0454	-1.54%	27.5005	-32.38%	0.3821	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	38.8775	38.6003	-0.71%	40.6705	+4.61%	0.0580	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	40.5615	40.1971	-0.90%	38.8775	-4.15%	0.0494	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	52.426	51.3728	-2.01%	40.5615	-22.63%	0.2450	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	30.6335	30.4866	-0.48%	52.426	+71.14%	0.5585	✗	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	30.768	30.5539	-0.70%	30.6335	-0.44%	0.0676	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	30.7125	30.4589	-0.83%	30.768	+0.18%	0.0421	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	30.549	30.173	-1.23%	30.7125	+0.54%	0.0512	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	30.6105	30.0038	-1.98%	30.549	-0.20%	0.0148	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	30.5515	30.2493	-0.99%	30.6105	+0.19%	0.0139	✓	1.00
2026-08-15	oos	30.5745	30.2203	-1.16%	30.5515	-0.08%	0.0138	✗	1.00
2026-08-14	oos	30.638	29.954	-2.23%	30.5745	-0.21%	0.0198	✓	1.00
2026-08-13	oos	5.164	5.0476	-2.25%	30.638	+493.30%	1.8105	✗	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	30.695	30.3283	-1.19%	5.164	-83.18%	1.7706	✓	1.00
2026-08-11	oos	30.7365	30.208	-1.72%	30.695	-0.14%	0.0179	✗	1.00
2026-08-10	oos	30.9075	30.3751	-1.72%	30.7365	-0.55%	0.0178	✗	1.00
2026-08-09	oos	30.797	30.2152	-1.89%	30.9075	+0.36%	0.0372	✗	1.00
2026-08-08	oos	30.87	30.3485	-1.69%	30.797	-0.24%	0.0156	✓	1.00
2026-08-07	oos	30.896	30.6214	-0.89%	30.87	-0.08%	0.0078	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.