LONGXIA

? · · lstm_s8

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +7d

assessed

40

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

65.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.6265

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0385

actual -0.1668

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.021924	+0.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021337	+0.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020579	+1.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.021131	+1.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027605	+0.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.029239	+0.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.03017	+0.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029851	+0.76%	0.02189	-26.11%	0.3298	✗	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.047421	-2.47%	0.021195	-56.41%	0.8035	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.039773	-1.30%	0.020355	-49.49%	0.6707	✓	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.043259	-1.71%	0.02088	-52.56%	0.7151	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.045448	-1.78%	0.02746	-40.65%	0.4909	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.045241	-1.65%	0.029085	-36.77%	0.4329	✓	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.050812	-2.21%	0.029995	-42.27%	0.5312	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.04064	-1.26%	0.029625	-28.02%	0.2940	✓	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.063561	-3.93%	0.04862	-26.51%	0.2609	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.044553	-1.95%	0.040295	-11.32%	0.0841	✓	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.044384	-2.00%	0.04401	-2.83%	0.0029	✓	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.048854	-2.18%	0.04627	-7.36%	0.0438	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.038364	-2.11%	0.046	+17.38%	0.1924	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.099884	-9.34%	0.05196	-52.84%	0.6507	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.034936	-2.69%	0.04116	+14.65%	0.1607	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.06754	-2.08%	0.06616	-4.08%	0.0031	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.068682	-2.20%	0.04544	-35.29%	0.3845	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.084994	-3.14%	0.04529	-48.39%	0.5985	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.099727	-3.92%	0.049945	-51.88%	0.6865	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.123991	-4.75%	0.03919	-69.89%	1.1567	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.099069	-4.23%	0.110175	+6.51%	0.1008	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.160463	-4.55%	0.0359	-78.65%	1.4875	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.133517	-4.26%	0.068975	-50.54%	0.6303	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.222365	-5.09%	0.070225	-70.03%	1.1157	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.224927	-5.61%	0.08775	-63.18%	0.9812	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.213248	-5.78%	0.1038	-54.14%	0.7584	✓	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.208646	-6.12%	0.130175	-41.43%	0.5108	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.213844	-7.30%	0.10344	-55.16%	0.8263	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.197157	-7.48%	0.16812	-21.10%	0.2620	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.180661	-7.82%	0.139465	-28.84%	0.3902	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.149805	-7.00%	0.234285	+45.45%	0.3449	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.13355	-7.72%	0.238305	+64.67%	0.5239	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.137494	-11.06%	0.226335	+46.41%	0.4483	✗	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.068161	-3.35%	0.22224	+215.14%	1.1355	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.037629	-1.21%	0.23069	+505.64%	1.8157	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.048284	-1.77%	0.21309	+333.51%	1.5123	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.057812	-1.75%	0.195995	+233.10%	1.2581	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.053747	-1.47%	0.16108	+195.29%	1.1093	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.072937	-1.57%	0.14472	+95.30%	0.7303	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.085395	-2.67%	0.154585	+76.19%	0.6262	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.