LONGXIA

? · · lstm_s8

token id: #185
symbol: LONGXIA
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-27
predictions: 141

Track record at +1d

assessed

46

of 47 predictions shown

direction hit

52.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2354

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0071

actual -0.0313

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.02189	0.021893	+0.01%	–	pending	–	–	1.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.021195	0.021215	+0.09%	0.02189	+3.28%	0.0353	✓	1.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.020355	0.020385	+0.15%	0.021195	+4.13%	0.0212	✓	1.33
2026-10-18	oos	0.02088	0.020914	+0.16%	0.020355	-2.51%	0.0243	✗	1.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.02746	0.027479	+0.07%	0.02088	-23.96%	0.2857	✗	1.44
2026-10-16	oos	0.029085	0.029106	+0.07%	0.02746	-5.59%	0.0561	✗	1.44
2026-10-15	oos	0.029995	0.030022	+0.09%	0.029085	-3.03%	0.0208	✗	1.43
2026-10-14	oos	0.029625	0.029659	+0.11%	0.029995	+1.25%	0.0016	✓	1.43
2026-10-13	oos	0.04862	0.048366	-0.52%	0.029625	-39.07%	0.4730	✓	0.92
2026-10-12	oos	0.040295	0.04019	-0.26%	0.04862	+20.66%	0.1777	✗	0.77
2026-10-11	oos	0.04401	0.043854	-0.35%	0.040295	-8.44%	0.0692	✓	0.66
2026-10-10	oos	0.04627	0.0461	-0.37%	0.04401	-4.88%	0.0528	✓	0.69
2026-10-09	oos	0.046	0.045852	-0.32%	0.04627	+0.59%	0.0060	✗	0.69
2026-10-08	oos	0.05196	0.051723	-0.46%	0.046	-11.47%	0.1253	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.04116	0.041069	-0.22%	0.05196	+26.24%	0.2557	✗	1.07
2026-10-06	oos	0.06616	0.065592	-0.86%	0.04116	-37.79%	0.4594	✓	0.25
2026-10-05	oos	0.04544	0.045266	-0.38%	0.06616	+45.60%	0.3804	✗	0.34
2026-10-04	oos	0.04529	0.045118	-0.38%	0.04544	+0.33%	0.0101	✗	0.34
2026-10-03	oos	0.049945	0.049741	-0.41%	0.04529	-9.32%	0.1037	✓	0.48
2026-10-02	oos	0.03919	0.03904	-0.38%	0.049945	+27.44%	0.2450	✗	0.46
2026-10-01	oos	0.110175	0.107409	-2.51%	0.03919	-64.43%	1.0079	✓	0.07
2026-09-30	oos	0.0359	0.035747	-0.43%	0.110175	+206.89%	1.1403	✗	-0.96
2026-09-29	oos	0.068975	0.068748	-0.33%	0.0359	-47.95%	0.6507	✓	-1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.070225	0.069985	-0.34%	0.068975	-1.78%	0.0122	✓	-1.05
2026-09-27	oos	0.08775	0.087289	-0.53%	0.070225	-19.97%	0.2330	✓	-1.29
2026-09-26	oos	0.1038	0.103071	-0.70%	0.08775	-15.46%	0.1602	✓	-1.31
2026-09-25	oos	0.130175	0.128954	-0.94%	0.1038	-20.26%	0.2208	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.10344	0.102696	-0.72%	0.130175	+25.85%	0.2406	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.16812	0.166563	-0.93%	0.10344	-38.47%	0.4765	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.139465	0.13839	-0.77%	0.16812	+20.55%	0.2159	✗	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.234285	0.231535	-1.17%	0.139465	-40.47%	0.5023	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.238305	0.235212	-1.30%	0.234285	-1.69%	0.0688	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.226335	0.223286	-1.35%	0.238305	+5.29%	0.0660	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.22224	0.219036	-1.44%	0.226335	+1.84%	0.0284	✗	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.23069	0.226657	-1.75%	0.22224	-3.66%	0.0773	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.21309	0.209306	-1.78%	0.23069	+8.26%	0.0946	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.195995	0.19236	-1.85%	0.21309	+8.72%	0.0950	✗	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.16108	0.158421	-1.65%	0.195995	+21.68%	0.2465	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.14472	0.141969	-1.90%	0.16108	+11.30%	0.1085	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.154585	0.150188	-2.84%	0.14472	-6.38%	0.0311	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.07052	0.069975	-0.77%	0.154585	+119.21%	0.7919	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.03809	0.038027	-0.16%	0.07052	+85.14%	0.6088	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.049155	0.049017	-0.28%	0.03809	-22.51%	0.2296	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.05884	0.058646	-0.33%	0.049155	-16.46%	0.1744	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.05455	0.054417	-0.24%	0.05884	+7.86%	0.0863	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.0741	0.073825	-0.37%	0.05455	-26.38%	0.2869	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.08774	0.08717	-0.65%	0.0741	-15.55%	0.1688	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.