KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s8

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

130

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

73.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4001

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0388

actual -0.2225

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.027655	-7.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.028071	-7.96%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.026966	-8.17%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.027211	-8.07%	–	pending	–	–	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.03181	-8.85%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.032261	-11.11%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.029892	-11.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.028793	-9.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.026309	-8.89%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.024955	-8.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.022964	-8.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.022529	-9.93%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.022609	-10.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.022373	-9.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.018993	-8.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.020631	-9.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.023383	-12.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.018403	-9.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.017656	-8.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.019751	-10.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.019364	-9.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.021259	-11.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.022726	-14.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.027014	-18.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.013855	-5.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014175	-5.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.01313	-2.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.012924	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013303	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.01335	-1.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013584	-1.14%	0.030038	+118.62%	0.8235	✗	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013134	-2.78%	0.030499	+125.75%	0.8260	✗	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.013438	-2.78%	0.029365	+112.46%	0.7762	✗	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.013185	-2.41%	0.029598	+119.08%	0.7983	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013377	-3.72%	0.034899	+151.18%	0.9031	✗	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013342	-4.37%	0.036292	+160.14%	0.9406	✗	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.012502	-4.53%	0.03372	+157.49%	0.9163	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012486	-4.07%	0.031919	+145.24%	0.8975	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.012709	-4.04%	0.028875	+118.02%	0.7438	✗	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.01345	-3.86%	0.027404	+95.89%	0.6577	✗	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013536	-3.09%	0.025037	+79.24%	0.5400	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013522	-2.67%	0.025012	+80.03%	0.5398	✗	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013773	-1.40%	0.025199	+80.41%	0.5533	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014005	-1.22%	0.024821	+75.06%	0.5351	✗	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014782	-0.96%	0.020707	+38.74%	0.2904	✗	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015691	-0.30%	0.022712	+44.31%	0.3140	✗	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015666	-0.19%	0.026838	+71.00%	0.4741	✗	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016364	-0.03%	0.020323	+24.16%	0.1526	✗	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016932	+0.84%	0.019305	+14.97%	0.1009	✓	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017166	-1.34%	0.022008	+26.48%	0.1568	✗	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017623	-0.94%	0.021486	+20.77%	0.1024	✗	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.01816	+0.09%	0.024146	+33.08%	0.2259	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017738	+0.02%	0.026617	+50.08%	0.3285	✓	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017689	+0.76%	0.033197	+89.09%	0.5549	✓	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.018089	+0.99%	0.014683	-18.02%	0.3048	✗	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.0183	+2.87%	0.01501	-15.63%	0.2630	✗	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017769	+2.99%	0.013481	-21.86%	0.3556	✗	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.01873	+3.00%	0.01323	-27.24%	0.4409	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.019336	+3.30%	0.01364	-27.13%	0.4374	✗	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020029	-1.56%	0.013553	-33.39%	0.5383	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.01845	+1.37%	0.01374	-24.51%	0.4582	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.01803	+2.72%	0.01351	-23.03%	0.3395	✗	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017057	-1.35%	0.013822	-20.07%	0.3758	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016452	-2.38%	0.01351	-19.83%	0.4350	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015475	-3.02%	0.013894	-12.93%	0.3802	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.016858	-4.54%	0.013951	-21.00%	0.4557	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.016872	-5.05%	0.013095	-26.31%	0.5560	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.016991	-5.10%	0.013015	-27.31%	0.6248	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.016948	-5.08%	0.013244	-25.82%	0.5763	✓	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.016675	-4.63%	0.01399	-19.99%	0.5168	✓	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.016471	-4.57%	0.013969	-19.07%	0.4746	✓	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.017361	-5.80%	0.013893	-24.62%	0.5111	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.017046	-5.43%	0.013968	-22.51%	0.5252	✓	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.016453	-4.57%	0.014179	-17.76%	0.4728	✓	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016249	-4.42%	0.014925	-12.21%	0.4210	✓	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.016922	-4.99%	0.015738	-11.63%	0.4382	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.017203	-5.69%	0.015695	-13.95%	0.4641	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.017402	-6.06%	0.016369	-11.64%	0.4179	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.017252	-6.16%	0.016792	-8.67%	0.4675	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.01638	-5.16%	0.0174	+0.75%	0.2993	✓	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015388	-3.88%	0.017791	+11.12%	0.2144	✓	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014368	-3.01%	0.018144	+22.47%	0.1655	✓	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.014748	-3.01%	0.017735	+16.64%	0.1922	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.01618	-4.82%	0.017556	+3.27%	0.2490	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.014931	-2.92%	0.017912	+16.46%	0.1511	✓	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.013979	-2.31%	0.01779	+24.32%	0.1425	✓	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013254	-1.97%	0.017253	+27.61%	0.0943	✓	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.016552	-4.32%	0.018184	+5.11%	0.1846	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.012781	-2.06%	0.018718	+43.44%	0.1101	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.013819	-2.09%	0.020346	+44.14%	0.1297	✗	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013322	-2.15%	0.0182	+33.68%	0.0801	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.012754	-2.34%	0.017552	+34.40%	0.0790	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012665	-2.58%	0.017291	+33.01%	0.1790	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.014799	-2.13%	0.016853	+11.46%	0.0360	✗	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015667	-2.05%	0.015957	-0.24%	0.0183	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.01535	-1.67%	0.01766	+13.13%	0.1479	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.015939	-1.46%	0.01777	+9.86%	0.1351	✗	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.018561	-2.41%	0.017905	-5.86%	0.0169	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.018964	-2.70%	0.017855	-8.39%	0.0161	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020153	-3.62%	0.017485	-16.38%	0.1026	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.019563	-3.08%	0.01726	-14.49%	0.1550	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020005	-3.59%	0.01843	-11.18%	0.0766	✓	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.019842	-3.35%	0.018025	-12.20%	0.0996	✓	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020215	-3.51%	0.01724	-17.71%	0.1777	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.019657	-2.90%	0.017	-16.03%	0.1893	✓	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.019477	-2.59%	0.01781	-10.93%	0.1569	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020334	-3.29%	0.01824	-13.25%	0.1326	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.021191	-4.07%	0.018525	-16.14%	0.1496	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.020541	-3.83%	0.018385	-13.93%	0.1225	✓	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.019551	-3.57%	0.01727	-14.82%	0.1334	✓	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.020483	-3.56%	0.01601	-24.62%	0.2708	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.021966	-3.93%	0.014815	-35.21%	0.4277	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022087	-3.59%	0.015205	-33.63%	0.4509	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.022803	-4.31%	0.017	-28.66%	0.4687	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.025089	-6.19%	0.01538	-42.49%	0.5913	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.024654	-5.70%	0.01431	-45.27%	0.6622	✓	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.023969	-5.17%	0.01352	-46.51%	0.6744	✓	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.025074	-5.31%	0.0173	-34.67%	0.5140	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.024096	-4.68%	0.01305	-48.38%	0.7346	✓	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.023127	-4.20%	0.014115	-41.53%	0.5794	✓	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.024435	-4.44%	0.013615	-46.75%	0.6509	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.028052	-5.47%	0.01306	-55.99%	0.8198	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.028618	-5.62%	0.013	-57.12%	0.8747	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.028558	-5.87%	0.01512	-50.16%	0.6623	✓	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.025934	-5.52%	0.015995	-41.73%	0.5137	✓	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.024928	-5.25%	0.01561	-40.67%	0.5149	✓	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.026856	-5.97%	0.016175	-43.36%	0.4937	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.027627	-5.94%	0.01902	-35.24%	0.3283	✓	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.027903	-5.80%	0.01949	-34.20%	0.3210	✓	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.029088	-5.38%	0.02091	-31.98%	0.3125	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.030301	-5.32%	0.020185	-36.93%	0.3496	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.029633	-4.44%	0.02075	-33.09%	0.3614	✓	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.029245	-3.58%	0.02053	-32.31%	0.3590	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.030167	-2.77%	0.02095	-32.47%	0.4363	✓	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.030673	-2.56%	0.020245	-35.69%	0.4553	✓	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.031646	-2.33%	0.019995	-38.29%	0.4365	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.033675	-2.84%	0.021025	-39.34%	0.4716	✓	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.036353	-3.96%	0.02209	-41.64%	0.6113	✓	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.027071	-3.28%	0.02136	-23.69%	0.3203	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.032933	-3.62%	0.020275	-40.66%	0.4737	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.036243	-3.66%	0.02124	-43.54%	0.5104	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.035565	-3.33%	0.022865	-37.85%	0.3609	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.039606	-5.27%	0.02291	-45.20%	0.3740	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.045387	-9.23%	0.02383	-52.34%	0.4154	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.056186	-16.80%	0.026745	-60.40%	0.5384	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.035555	-7.04%	0.026145	-31.65%	0.0975	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.034313	-6.68%	0.025275	-31.26%	0.1015	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.036509	-6.82%	0.02648	-32.41%	0.1072	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.041033	-7.50%	0.02528	-43.01%	0.2453	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.046978	-8.72%	0.02414	-53.09%	0.4294	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.049952	-8.70%	0.02557	-53.26%	0.4636	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.049183	-7.86%	0.029675	-44.41%	0.3241	✓	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.051659	-7.75%	0.03032	-45.86%	0.3563	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.049446	-7.67%	0.03034	-43.35%	0.2999	✓	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.049684	-7.50%	0.02745	-48.89%	0.3940	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.057237	-7.82%	0.02631	-57.63%	0.5777	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.056626	-7.42%	0.02856	-53.31%	0.5072	✓	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.068233	-8.05%	0.02937	-60.42%	0.6777	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.070533	-7.80%	0.02962	-61.28%	0.7034	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.086794	-7.72%	0.03074	-67.32%	0.8530	✓	1.00