KAIO

KAIO · Ethereum · lstm_s8

token id: #324
symbol: KAIO
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0x00bac91fd8f5b4a0dc03c8021139b76f6549ee7e
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-06
predictions: 480

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

159

of 160 predictions shown

direction hit

56.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0683

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0042

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.030038	0.029835	-0.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-20	oos	0.030499	0.030274	-0.74%	0.030038	-1.51%	0.0078	✓	-0.00
2026-10-19	oos	0.029365	0.02914	-0.77%	0.030499	+3.86%	0.0458	✗	-0.01
2026-10-18	oos	0.029598	0.029366	-0.79%	0.029365	-0.79%	0.0002	✓	-0.09
2026-10-17	oos	0.034899	0.034517	-1.09%	0.029598	-15.19%	0.1531	✓	-0.08
2026-10-16	oos	0.036292	0.03561	-1.88%	0.034899	-3.84%	0.0203	✓	-0.08
2026-10-15	oos	0.03372	0.03306	-1.96%	0.036292	+7.63%	0.0927	✗	-0.08
2026-10-14	oos	0.031919	0.031478	-1.38%	0.03372	+5.64%	0.0694	✗	-0.08
2026-10-13	oos	0.028875	0.028553	-1.11%	0.031919	+10.54%	0.1112	✗	-0.01
2026-10-12	oos	0.027404	0.027103	-1.10%	0.028875	+5.36%	0.0636	✗	-0.01
2026-10-11	oos	0.025037	0.024786	-1.00%	0.027404	+9.46%	0.1025	✗	0.09
2026-10-10	oos	0.025012	0.024619	-1.57%	0.025037	+0.10%	0.0159	✗	0.11
2026-10-09	oos	0.025199	0.024785	-1.65%	0.025012	-0.74%	0.0087	✓	0.11
2026-10-08	oos	0.024821	0.024465	-1.43%	0.025199	+1.52%	0.0284	✗	0.11
2026-10-07	oos	0.020707	0.020498	-1.01%	0.024821	+19.87%	0.1958	✗	0.23
2026-10-06	oos	0.022712	0.022399	-1.38%	0.020707	-8.83%	0.0743	✓	0.16
2026-10-05	oos	0.026838	0.026173	-2.48%	0.022712	-15.37%	0.1415	✓	0.16
2026-10-04	oos	0.020323	0.020023	-1.48%	0.026838	+32.06%	0.2953	✗	0.27
2026-10-03	oos	0.019305	0.019086	-1.14%	0.020323	+5.27%	0.0576	✗	0.25
2026-10-02	oos	0.022008	0.021656	-1.60%	0.019305	-12.28%	0.1156	✓	0.26
2026-10-01	oos	0.021486	0.021164	-1.50%	0.022008	+2.43%	0.0401	✗	0.26
2026-09-30	oos	0.024146	0.02365	-2.05%	0.021486	-11.02%	0.1001	✓	0.27
2026-09-29	oos	0.026617	0.025875	-2.79%	0.024146	-9.28%	0.0689	✓	0.25
2026-09-28	oos	0.033197	0.031996	-3.62%	0.026617	-19.82%	0.1845	✓	0.21
2026-09-27	oos	0.014683	0.014499	-1.25%	0.033197	+126.09%	0.8361	✗	0.65
2026-09-26	oos	0.01501	0.014849	-1.07%	0.014683	-2.18%	0.0116	✓	0.65
2026-09-25	oos	0.013481	0.013445	-0.26%	0.01501	+11.34%	0.1076	✗	0.64
2026-09-24	oos	0.01323	0.013201	-0.22%	0.013481	+1.90%	0.0233	✗	0.65
2026-09-23	oos	0.01364	0.013607	-0.24%	0.01323	-3.01%	0.0282	✓	0.65
2026-09-22	oos	0.013553	0.013525	-0.20%	0.01364	+0.65%	0.0218	✗	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.01374	0.013713	-0.20%	0.013553	-1.36%	0.0088	✓	0.65
2026-09-20	oos	0.01351	0.013473	-0.28%	0.01374	+1.70%	0.0297	✓	0.76
2026-09-19	oos	0.013822	0.01378	-0.30%	0.01351	-2.25%	0.0191	✓	0.75
2026-09-18	oos	0.01351	0.01347	-0.30%	0.013822	+2.30%	0.0225	✗	0.74
2026-09-17	oos	0.013894	0.013838	-0.40%	0.01351	-2.76%	0.0743	✓	0.87
2026-09-16	oos	0.013951	0.013879	-0.52%	0.013894	-0.41%	0.0013	✓	0.88
2026-09-15	oos	0.013095	0.013068	-0.21%	0.013951	+6.53%	0.0587	✗	0.91
2026-09-14	oos	0.013015	0.012987	-0.21%	0.013095	+0.62%	0.0409	✗	0.97
2026-09-13	oos	0.013244	0.013216	-0.21%	0.013015	-1.73%	0.0327	✓	0.97
2026-09-12	oos	0.01399	0.013958	-0.23%	0.013244	-5.33%	0.0467	✓	0.96
2026-09-11	oos	0.013969	0.013942	-0.19%	0.01399	+0.15%	0.0028	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.013893	0.013871	-0.16%	0.013969	+0.54%	0.0012	✓	0.94
2026-09-09	oos	0.013968	0.013956	-0.08%	0.013893	-0.54%	0.0171	✗	0.96
2026-09-08	oos	0.014179	0.014169	-0.06%	0.013968	-1.48%	0.0124	✓	0.92
2026-09-07	oos	0.014925	0.014916	-0.06%	0.014179	-5.00%	0.0433	✓	0.91
2026-09-06	oos	0.015738	0.015733	-0.03%	0.014925	-5.17%	0.0388	✓	0.89
2026-09-05	oos	0.015695	0.015691	-0.02%	0.015738	+0.27%	0.0027	✓	0.90
2026-09-04	oos	0.016369	0.016365	-0.02%	0.015695	-4.12%	0.0434	✓	0.78
2026-09-03	oos	0.016792	0.016794	+0.02%	0.016369	-2.52%	0.0114	✗	0.72
2026-09-02	oos	0.0174	0.017379	-0.12%	0.016792	-3.50%	0.0858	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.017791	0.017772	-0.11%	0.0174	-2.20%	0.0199	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.018144	0.018134	-0.06%	0.017791	-1.95%	0.0048	✓	0.96
2026-08-30	oos	0.017735	0.017725	-0.06%	0.018144	+2.31%	0.0114	✗	1.04
2026-08-29	oos	0.017556	0.017555	-0.01%	0.017735	+1.02%	0.0186	✗	1.15
2026-08-28	oos	0.017912	0.017908	-0.02%	0.017556	-1.98%	0.0258	✓	1.18
2026-08-27	oos	0.01779	0.0178	+0.05%	0.017912	+0.68%	0.0460	✓	1.29
2026-08-26	oos	0.017253	0.017262	+0.05%	0.01779	+3.11%	0.0101	✓	1.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.018184	0.018184	+0.00%	0.017253	-5.12%	0.0608	✗	1.30
2026-08-24	oos	0.018718	0.01871	-0.04%	0.018184	-2.86%	0.0208	✓	1.34
2026-08-23	oos	0.020346	0.020264	-0.40%	0.018718	-8.00%	0.1022	✓	1.43
2026-08-22	oos	0.0182	0.018192	-0.05%	0.020346	+11.79%	0.0997	✗	1.40
2026-08-21	oos	0.017552	0.017554	+0.01%	0.0182	+3.69%	0.0596	✓	1.43
2026-08-20	oos	0.017291	0.017258	-0.19%	0.017552	+1.51%	0.0920	✓	1.55
2026-08-19	oos	0.016853	0.016813	-0.24%	0.017291	+2.60%	0.0524	✓	1.54
2026-08-18	oos	0.015957	0.015921	-0.23%	0.016853	+5.62%	0.0564	✓	1.64
2026-08-17	oos	0.01766	0.017595	-0.37%	0.015957	-9.64%	0.1028	✓	1.60
2026-08-16	oos	0.01777	0.017699	-0.40%	0.01766	-0.62%	0.0444	✓	1.64
2026-08-15	oos	0.017905	0.017829	-0.43%	0.01777	-0.75%	0.0015	✓	1.66
2026-08-14	oos	0.017855	0.017777	-0.44%	0.017905	+0.28%	0.0060	✗	1.66
2026-08-13	oos	0.017485	0.017412	-0.42%	0.017855	+2.12%	0.0374	✗	1.73
2026-08-12	oos	0.01726	0.017189	-0.41%	0.017485	+1.30%	0.0167	✗	1.57
2026-08-11	oos	0.01843	0.01833	-0.54%	0.01726	-6.35%	0.0572	✓	1.55
2026-08-10	oos	0.018025	0.01793	-0.53%	0.01843	+2.25%	0.0371	✗	1.61
2026-08-09	oos	0.01724	0.017156	-0.49%	0.018025	+4.55%	0.0742	✗	1.70
2026-08-08	oos	0.017	0.016912	-0.52%	0.01724	+1.41%	0.0208	✗	1.70
2026-08-07	oos	0.01781	0.017711	-0.56%	0.017	-4.55%	0.0414	✓	1.71
2026-08-06	oos	0.01824	0.018119	-0.67%	0.01781	-2.36%	0.0338	✓	1.72
2026-08-05	oos	0.018525	0.018387	-0.75%	0.01824	-1.54%	0.0009	✓	1.70
2026-08-04	oos	0.018385	0.018245	-0.76%	0.018525	+0.76%	0.0007	✓	1.85
2026-08-03	oos	0.01727	0.017162	-0.63%	0.018385	+6.46%	0.0521	✗	1.82
2026-08-02	oos	0.01601	0.015944	-0.41%	0.01727	+7.87%	0.0808	✗	1.82
2026-08-01	oos	0.014815	0.014762	-0.36%	0.01601	+8.07%	0.0604	✗	1.78
2026-07-31	oos	0.015205	0.015137	-0.45%	0.014815	-2.56%	0.0197	✓	1.78
2026-07-30	oos	0.017	0.016859	-0.83%	0.015205	-10.56%	0.0514	✓	1.74
2026-07-29	oos	0.01538	0.015307	-0.48%	0.017	+10.53%	0.0832	✗	1.69
2026-07-28	oos	0.01431	0.014253	-0.40%	0.01538	+7.48%	0.0748	✗	1.68
2026-07-27	oos	0.01352	0.013483	-0.28%	0.01431	+5.84%	0.0556	✗	1.66
2026-07-26	oos	0.0173	0.017192	-0.63%	0.01352	-21.85%	0.2016	✓	1.52
2026-07-25	oos	0.01305	0.013035	-0.12%	0.0173	+32.57%	0.2618	✗	1.32
2026-07-24	oos	0.014115	0.014094	-0.15%	0.01305	-7.55%	0.0814	✓	1.33
2026-07-23	oos	0.013615	0.013599	-0.12%	0.014115	+3.67%	0.0578	✗	1.37
2026-07-22	oos	0.01306	0.013049	-0.08%	0.013615	+4.25%	0.0648	✗	1.41
2026-07-21	oos	0.013	0.012992	-0.06%	0.01306	+0.46%	0.0144	✗	1.42
2026-07-20	oos	0.01512	0.0151	-0.14%	0.013	-14.02%	0.1803	✓	1.55
2026-07-19	oos	0.015995	0.015972	-0.15%	0.01512	-5.47%	0.0676	✓	1.56
2026-07-18	oos	0.01561	0.015594	-0.11%	0.015995	+2.47%	0.0282	✗	1.56
2026-07-17	oos	0.016175	0.016161	-0.09%	0.01561	-3.49%	0.0568	✓	1.58
2026-07-16	oos	0.01902	0.01898	-0.21%	0.016175	-14.96%	0.1630	✓	1.61
2026-07-15	oos	0.01949	0.019445	-0.23%	0.01902	-2.41%	0.0018	✓	1.62
2026-07-14	oos	0.02091	0.020845	-0.31%	0.01949	-6.79%	0.0604	✓	1.62
2026-07-13	oos	0.020185	0.020141	-0.22%	0.02091	+3.59%	0.0323	✓	1.63
2026-07-12	oos	0.02075	0.020691	-0.28%	0.020185	-2.72%	0.0142	✗	1.66
2026-07-11	oos	0.02053	0.020474	-0.27%	0.02075	+1.07%	0.0142	✗	1.66
2026-07-10	oos	0.02095	0.020887	-0.30%	0.02053	-2.00%	0.0080	✓	1.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.020245	0.020199	-0.23%	0.02095	+3.48%	0.0121	✗	1.63
2026-07-08	oos	0.019995	0.01996	-0.17%	0.020245	+1.25%	0.0100	✓	1.61
2026-07-07	oos	0.021025	0.020972	-0.25%	0.019995	-4.90%	0.0197	✓	1.62
2026-07-06	oos	0.02209	0.022015	-0.34%	0.021025	-4.82%	0.0288	✓	1.62
2026-07-05	oos	0.02136	0.021306	-0.25%	0.02209	+3.42%	0.0257	✗	1.59
2026-07-04	oos	0.020275	0.020254	-0.10%	0.02136	+5.35%	0.0410	✗	1.55
2026-07-03	oos	0.02124	0.021211	-0.14%	0.020275	-4.54%	0.0593	✓	1.57
2026-07-02	oos	0.022865	0.022821	-0.19%	0.02124	-7.11%	0.0992	✓	1.64
2026-07-01	oos	0.02291	0.022877	-0.14%	0.022865	-0.20%	0.0422	✓	1.66
2026-06-30	oos	0.02383	0.02379	-0.17%	0.02291	-3.86%	0.0799	✓	1.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.026745	0.02668	-0.24%	0.02383	-10.90%	0.0662	✓	1.69
2026-06-28	oos	0.026145	0.026097	-0.19%	0.026745	+2.29%	0.0054	✗	1.67
2026-06-27	oos	0.025275	0.025241	-0.14%	0.026145	+3.44%	0.0481	✗	1.67
2026-06-26	oos	0.02648	0.026438	-0.16%	0.025275	-4.55%	0.0431	✓	1.68
2026-06-25	oos	0.02528	0.025261	-0.07%	0.02648	+4.75%	0.0389	✗	1.64
2026-06-24	oos	0.02414	0.024139	-0.00%	0.02528	+4.72%	0.0828	✗	1.73
2026-06-23	oos	0.02557	0.025555	-0.06%	0.02414	-5.59%	0.0099	✓	1.75
2026-06-22	oos	0.029675	0.029611	-0.22%	0.02557	-13.83%	0.1120	✓	1.68
2026-06-21	oos	0.03032	0.030257	-0.21%	0.029675	-2.13%	0.0385	✓	1.69
2026-06-20	oos	0.03034	0.030278	-0.21%	0.03032	-0.07%	0.0281	✗	1.73
2026-06-19	oos	0.02745	0.02743	-0.07%	0.03034	+10.53%	0.0819	✗	1.61
2026-06-18	oos	0.02631	0.026308	-0.01%	0.02745	+4.33%	0.0278	✗	1.56
2026-06-17	oos	0.02856	0.028527	-0.11%	0.02631	-7.88%	0.0428	✓	1.55
2026-06-16	oos	0.02937	0.029329	-0.14%	0.02856	-2.76%	0.0018	✗	1.58
2026-06-15	oos	0.02962	0.029576	-0.15%	0.02937	-0.84%	0.0089	✗	1.59
2026-06-14	oos	0.03074	0.030697	-0.14%	0.02962	-3.64%	0.0496	✓	1.60
2026-06-13	oos	0.032005	0.031958	-0.15%	0.03074	-3.95%	0.0714	✓	1.66
2026-06-12	oos	0.03101	0.030988	-0.07%	0.032005	+3.21%	0.0101	✗	1.60
2026-06-11	oos	0.03033	0.030331	+0.00%	0.03101	+2.24%	0.0228	✓	1.57
2026-06-10	oos	0.031025	0.031047	+0.07%	0.03033	-2.24%	0.0802	✗	1.68
2026-06-09	oos	0.03148	0.031511	+0.10%	0.031025	-1.45%	0.0091	✗	1.67
2026-06-08	oos	0.0324	0.03244	+0.12%	0.03148	-2.84%	0.0079	✓	1.72
2026-06-07	oos	0.03466	0.034693	+0.10%	0.0324	-6.52%	0.0618	✗	1.73
2026-06-06	oos	0.03785	0.037864	+0.04%	0.03466	-8.43%	0.1770	✗	2.24
2026-06-05	oos	0.02799	0.02809	+0.36%	0.03785	+35.23%	0.3043	✓	2.04
2026-06-04	oos	0.03417	0.034244	+0.22%	0.02799	-18.09%	0.1572	✗	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.03762	0.037686	+0.18%	0.03417	-9.17%	0.0943	✗	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.03679	0.036877	+0.24%	0.03762	+2.26%	0.0600	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.04181	0.041801	-0.02%	0.03679	-12.01%	0.0602	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.05	0.049682	-0.64%	0.04181	-16.38%	0.1413	✓	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.06753	0.066132	-2.07%	0.05	-25.96%	0.2770	✓	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.03825	0.038308	+0.15%	0.06753	+76.55%	0.5614	✓	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.03677	0.036838	+0.18%	0.03825	+4.03%	0.0396	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.03918	0.039238	+0.15%	0.03677	-6.15%	0.0541	✗	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.04436	0.044369	+0.02%	0.03918	-11.68%	0.1042	✗	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.051465	0.051348	-0.23%	0.04436	-13.81%	0.1277	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.05471	0.054558	-0.28%	0.051465	-5.93%	0.0619	✓	1.00
2026-05-23	oos	0.05338	0.05329	-0.17%	0.05471	+2.49%	0.0220	✗	1.00
2026-05-22	oos	0.056	0.055914	-0.15%	0.05338	-4.68%	0.0622	✓	1.00
2026-05-21	oos	0.053555	0.053484	-0.13%	0.056	+4.57%	0.0735	✗	1.00
2026-05-20	oos	0.05371	0.053646	-0.12%	0.053555	-0.29%	0.0026	✓	1.00
2026-05-19	oos	0.062095	0.061951	-0.23%	0.05371	-13.50%	0.1519	✓	1.00
2026-05-18	oos	0.061165	0.061059	-0.17%	0.062095	+1.52%	0.0191	✗	1.00
2026-05-17	oos	0.07421	0.073934	-0.37%	0.061165	-17.58%	0.1836	✓	1.00
2026-05-16	oos	0.0765	0.07622	-0.37%	0.07421	-2.99%	0.0178	✓	1.00
2026-05-15	oos	0.09405	0.09358	-0.50%	0.0765	-18.66%	0.1894	✓	1.00