HMM

Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s8

token id: #766
symbol: HMM
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-12
predictions: 189

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 63 predictions shown

direction hit

58.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2675

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0088

actual -0.1307

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.007225	0.007246	+0.30%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-21	oos	0.007181	0.007208	+0.38%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-20	oos	0.006935	0.006968	+0.47%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.006911	0.006946	+0.51%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-18	oos	0.007476	0.007514	+0.50%	–	pending	–	–	3.35
2026-10-17	oos	0.008448	0.008469	+0.25%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-16	oos	0.008892	0.008901	+0.09%	–	pending	–	–	3.36
2026-10-15	oos	0.008617	0.008636	+0.22%	0.007225	-16.16%	0.2638	✗	3.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.009034	0.009041	+0.08%	0.007181	-20.52%	0.3311	✗	3.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.008849	0.008866	+0.20%	0.006935	-21.63%	0.2388	✗	3.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.008725	0.008748	+0.27%	0.006911	-20.79%	0.2398	✗	3.48
2026-10-11	oos	0.009124	0.009143	+0.20%	0.007476	-18.06%	0.1296	✗	3.55
2026-10-10	oos	0.010989	0.010936	-0.49%	0.008448	-23.13%	0.1916	✓	3.58
2026-10-09	oos	0.010006	0.009997	-0.09%	0.008892	-11.13%	0.0715	✓	3.58
2026-10-08	oos	0.008488	0.00852	+0.38%	0.008617	+1.52%	0.0073	✗	3.54
2026-10-07	oos	0.010855	0.01081	-0.41%	0.009034	-16.78%	0.1085	✓	3.43
2026-10-06	oos	0.012157	0.012027	-1.07%	0.008849	-27.22%	0.2076	✓	3.44
2026-10-05	oos	0.011895	0.011771	-1.04%	0.008725	-26.65%	0.1343	✓	3.45
2026-10-04	oos	0.013768	0.013502	-1.93%	0.009124	-33.73%	0.2786	✓	3.41
2026-10-03	oos	0.014797	0.014399	-2.69%	0.010989	-25.73%	0.1944	✓	3.47
2026-10-02	oos	0.013097	0.01285	-1.88%	0.010006	-23.60%	0.1684	✓	3.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.014907	0.014472	-2.92%	0.008488	-43.06%	0.4026	✓	3.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.011815	0.011656	-1.35%	0.010855	-8.13%	0.0598	✓	3.38
2026-09-29	oos	0.012816	0.012572	-1.91%	0.012157	-5.14%	0.1092	✓	3.37
2026-09-28	oos	0.010778	0.01068	-0.91%	0.011895	+10.37%	0.0158	✗	3.40
2026-09-27	oos	0.011668	0.011517	-1.30%	0.013768	+17.99%	0.0973	✗	3.39
2026-09-26	oos	0.014306	0.013897	-2.86%	0.014797	+3.43%	0.0498	✗	3.36
2026-09-25	oos	0.013554	0.013212	-2.52%	0.013097	-3.38%	0.0252	✓	3.36
2026-09-24	oos	0.009953	0.00988	-0.73%	0.014907	+49.77%	0.3921	✗	3.50
2026-09-23	oos	0.009004	0.008966	-0.42%	0.011815	+31.22%	0.3105	✗	3.53
2026-09-22	oos	0.009465	0.009408	-0.60%	0.012816	+35.41%	0.4181	✗	3.61
2026-09-21	oos	0.012424	0.012251	-1.38%	0.010778	-13.25%	0.0015	✓	3.51
2026-09-20	oos	0.01087	0.01077	-0.91%	0.011668	+7.35%	0.0654	✓	3.65
2026-09-19	oos	0.011822	0.011667	-1.30%	0.014306	+21.02%	0.0643	✗	3.63
2026-09-18	oos	0.016224	0.015522	-4.33%	0.013554	-16.46%	0.2763	✓	3.61
2026-09-17	oos	0.011992	0.011826	-1.39%	0.009953	-17.00%	0.4995	✓	3.27
2026-09-16	oos	0.012992	0.012726	-2.05%	0.009004	-30.70%	0.6808	✓	3.26
2026-09-15	oos	0.011416	0.011303	-0.99%	0.009465	-17.09%	0.6039	✓	3.25
2026-09-14	oos	0.009685	0.009655	-0.32%	0.012424	+28.27%	0.1496	✓	3.93
2026-09-13	oos	0.008004	0.007991	-0.15%	0.01087	+35.81%	0.0969	✗	3.82
2026-09-12	oos	0.010047	0.01004	-0.07%	0.011822	+17.66%	0.0227	✓	3.71
2026-09-11	oos	0.01206	0.012021	-0.32%	0.016224	+34.53%	0.1295	✗	3.67
2026-09-10	oos	0.010417	0.010417	+0.01%	0.011992	+15.13%	0.1432	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.0096	0.009589	-0.11%	0.012992	+35.34%	0.3314	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.012026	0.012045	+0.15%	0.011416	-5.07%	0.0164	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.012792	0.012824	+0.25%	0.009685	-24.28%	0.2690	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.015676	0.015722	+0.29%	0.008004	-48.95%	0.6301	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.022874	0.022566	-1.34%	0.010047	-56.08%	0.7765	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.018372	0.018373	+0.01%	0.01206	-34.36%	0.3896	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.024546	0.024221	-1.32%	0.010417	-57.56%	0.7839	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.019138	0.018985	-0.80%	0.0096	-49.84%	0.6945	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.021014	0.020726	-1.37%	0.012026	-42.77%	0.5578	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.025262	0.024487	-3.07%	0.012792	-49.36%	0.6560	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.026994	0.025821	-4.35%	0.015676	-41.93%	0.5329	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.022167	0.02182	-1.57%	0.022874	+3.19%	0.0269	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.014283	0.014407	+0.87%	0.018372	+28.63%	0.2198	✓	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.016661	0.016827	+1.00%	0.024546	+47.33%	0.3653	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.02285	0.022483	-1.61%	0.019138	-16.25%	0.1391	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.019711	0.019623	-0.45%	0.021014	+6.61%	0.0829	✗	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.018916	0.018881	-0.19%	0.025262	+33.55%	0.2965	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.01615	0.016208	+0.36%	0.026994	+67.15%	0.5109	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.013719	0.013823	+0.76%	0.022167	+61.58%	0.4571	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.013329	0.013458	+0.97%	0.014283	+7.16%	0.0657	✓	1.00