HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s8
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 186
Track record at +30d
assessed
32
of 62 predictions shown
direction hit
96.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.4176
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0588
actual -0.4716
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.00679 | 0.006616 | -2.57% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006764 | -2.46% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.00676 | -2.18% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.007268 | -2.79% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.008155 | -3.47% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.008563 | -3.71% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.008292 | -3.77% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.008685 | -3.86% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.0085 | -3.93% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.008366 | -4.11% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.008762 | -3.96% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.010504 | -4.41% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.009579 | -4.26% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.00809 | -4.68% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.010396 | -4.23% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.011634 | -4.30% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.011415 | -4.04% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.013041 | -5.28% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.013813 | -6.64% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.01238 | -5.47% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.013854 | -7.07% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.011219 | -5.05% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.012073 | -5.80% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.010276 | -4.66% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.011109 | -4.79% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.013308 | -6.98% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.012645 | -6.71% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.00948 | -4.76% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.00857 | -4.82% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.009062 | -4.25% | – | pending | – | – | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.011923 | -4.03% | 0.00679 | -45.34% | 0.4010 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.010323 | -5.02% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.4769 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.011191 | -5.34% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.5089 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.014819 | -8.66% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.7343 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.01118 | -6.77% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.4888 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.01197 | -7.86% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.5189 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.010638 | -6.82% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.4800 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.009119 | -5.85% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.1762 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.007583 | -5.26% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.1465 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009502 | -5.43% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.2946 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.011372 | -5.70% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.5156 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.009833 | -5.60% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.0312 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.009073 | -5.49% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.0449 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.011391 | -5.28% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.3347 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.012185 | -4.74% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.1671 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.015064 | -3.91% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.2771 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.021255 | -7.07% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6520 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.017414 | -5.21% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.3173 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.022752 | -7.31% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.4722 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.01788 | -6.57% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.4003 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.019515 | -7.13% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.3612 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.023088 | -8.61% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.7316 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.024204 | -10.34% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.7099 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.020314 | -8.36% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.6985 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.013908 | -2.62% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.2573 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.016342 | -1.92% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.1833 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.02089 | -8.58% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.4947 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.01841 | -6.60% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.6869 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.017892 | -5.41% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.7528 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.015609 | -3.35% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.6036 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.01353 | -1.38% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.2020 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.013387 | +0.44% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.2439 | ✗ | 1.00 |