DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s8

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

131

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

52.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1627

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0410

actual +0.0604

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.370519	-4.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.381673	-4.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.381583	-4.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.365876	-4.19%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.385198	-4.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.37053	-4.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.392913	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.397744	-4.48%	0.386075	-7.28%	0.0489	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.430039	-4.61%	0.398745	-11.56%	0.0728	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.420958	-4.50%	0.39882	-9.52%	0.0557	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.472183	-4.87%	0.38187	-23.06%	0.1807	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.507184	-5.84%	0.403015	-25.18%	0.2000	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.482101	-6.53%	0.387205	-24.93%	0.1987	✓	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.413814	-5.25%	0.41127	-5.83%	0.0144	✓	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.357967	-4.17%	0.416385	+11.47%	0.1858	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.390226	-4.26%	0.450845	+10.61%	0.1916	✗	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.394181	-4.34%	0.4408	+6.97%	0.1896	✗	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.398501	-4.42%	0.49633	+19.04%	0.2738	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.367616	-4.40%	0.538615	+40.07%	0.4172	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.378586	-4.50%	0.515775	+30.10%	0.3471	✗	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.377005	-4.60%	0.436745	+10.52%	0.2080	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.372057	-4.56%	0.373545	-4.18%	0.0094	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.364085	-4.61%	0.407595	+6.79%	0.0770	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.352572	-4.59%	0.41208	+11.52%	0.1143	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.41236	-5.26%	0.41695	-4.20%	0.0220	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.39183	-5.12%	0.38453	-6.88%	0.0242	✓	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.418391	-5.82%	0.39644	-10.76%	0.0605	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.422296	-6.91%	0.395175	-12.89%	0.0737	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.445231	-8.40%	0.38983	-19.80%	0.1199	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.403054	-7.62%	0.381685	-12.52%	0.0125	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.372606	-7.84%	0.36952	-8.60%	0.0441	✓	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.357466	-8.70%	0.43524	+11.17%	0.1352	✗	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.393062	-11.97%	0.412955	-7.51%	0.0088	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.270354	-8.41%	0.44425	+50.50%	0.4370	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.234181	-8.20%	0.45364	+77.84%	0.5164	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.222755	-8.92%	0.48606	+98.74%	0.6320	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.131614	-3.97%	0.436315	+218.36%	1.0199	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.135451	-3.93%	0.4043	+186.77%	0.9525	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.137849	-3.98%	0.391515	+172.72%	0.9665	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.143916	-4.00%	0.446505	+197.83%	1.0625	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.14246	-4.07%	0.29519	+98.77%	0.6647	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.141769	-4.02%	0.25509	+72.70%	0.5908	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.148281	-3.77%	0.24457	+58.71%	0.5380	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.158035	-3.60%	0.13705	-16.40%	0.0920	✓	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.152186	-3.37%	0.140985	-10.49%	0.0603	✓	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.159486	-3.42%	0.14356	-13.07%	0.0424	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.164432	-4.53%	0.14992	-12.96%	0.0471	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.144681	-3.31%	0.148505	-0.76%	0.0720	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.153152	-3.41%	0.147705	-6.85%	0.0495	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.138784	-3.43%	0.154095	+7.23%	0.0857	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.137998	-3.39%	0.16393	+14.76%	0.1518	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.148616	-3.34%	0.1575	+2.44%	0.0496	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.150442	-3.76%	0.16514	+5.64%	0.0505	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.16391	-4.65%	0.17224	+0.20%	0.0277	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.160277	-5.41%	0.14964	-11.69%	0.0939	✓	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.165966	-5.96%	0.15856	-10.16%	0.0587	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.156944	-5.97%	0.14371	-13.90%	0.0648	✓	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.140936	-4.80%	0.14284	-3.51%	0.0285	✓	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.152819	-6.71%	0.153755	-6.14%	0.0116	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.126034	-3.86%	0.15632	+19.25%	0.2161	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.111387	-1.72%	0.1719	+51.67%	0.4199	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.116534	-1.97%	0.16944	+42.53%	0.3800	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.096977	-1.52%	0.17649	+79.22%	0.5362	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.096387	-2.33%	0.166915	+69.13%	0.4539	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.091277	-2.35%	0.14804	+58.37%	0.3436	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.093059	-2.83%	0.163815	+71.06%	0.4180	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.098515	-4.83%	0.13109	+26.64%	0.1084	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.091078	-2.04%	0.11334	+21.90%	0.0504	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.09095	-1.93%	0.11888	+28.19%	0.0852	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.093047	-2.04%	0.098475	+3.68%	0.0605	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.096325	-2.35%	0.09869	+0.05%	0.0500	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.095365	-2.33%	0.093475	-4.26%	0.0350	✓	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.091497	-2.00%	0.095765	+2.57%	0.0382	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.0948	-2.34%	0.10351	+6.63%	0.1140	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.09512	-2.30%	0.092975	-4.50%	0.0017	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.094696	-2.26%	0.09274	-4.28%	0.0040	✓	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.095479	-2.38%	0.09498	-2.89%	0.0058	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.098252	-2.60%	0.09864	-2.22%	0.0195	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.098781	-2.84%	0.097635	-3.97%	0.0048	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.094925	-2.30%	0.093365	-3.91%	0.0224	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.0973	-2.41%	0.09707	-2.64%	0.0198	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.10259	-2.99%	0.09736	-7.94%	0.0816	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.11149	-4.45%	0.096885	-16.97%	0.1688	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.093146	-1.51%	0.097805	+3.42%	0.0568	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.095189	-1.54%	0.100875	+4.34%	0.0452	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.100999	-2.09%	0.10167	-1.44%	0.0029	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.103372	-2.33%	0.09716	-8.20%	0.0578	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.111238	-2.91%	0.0997	-12.98%	0.0775	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.110301	-2.97%	0.105755	-6.97%	0.0147	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.111429	-3.09%	0.116685	+1.48%	0.0687	✗	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.115151	-3.33%	0.094575	-20.60%	0.1911	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.117405	-3.45%	0.09668	-20.49%	0.1565	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.115784	-3.47%	0.10316	-13.99%	0.0695	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.119027	-3.79%	0.105835	-14.45%	0.0896	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.118283	-3.89%	0.114575	-6.90%	0.0439	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.121021	-4.03%	0.113675	-9.85%	0.0534	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.12457	-4.12%	0.11498	-11.50%	0.0838	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.129329	-4.40%	0.119115	-11.95%	0.1071	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.13728	-5.87%	0.121595	-16.63%	0.1467	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.143248	-7.70%	0.11994	-22.72%	0.2055	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.112242	-3.98%	0.123715	+5.83%	0.0650	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.11812	-4.22%	0.12307	-0.21%	0.0315	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.118733	-4.26%	0.1261	+1.68%	0.0498	✗	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.11249	-4.44%	0.129925	+10.37%	0.1465	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.109943	-3.87%	0.135285	+18.29%	0.2013	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.104983	-3.73%	0.145845	+33.74%	0.3045	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.106154	-3.97%	0.1552	+40.40%	0.3639	✗	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.109128	-3.98%	0.116895	+2.86%	0.0853	✗	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.107787	-3.92%	0.12333	+9.94%	0.1332	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.103347	-4.02%	0.12402	+15.19%	0.1760	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.105545	-4.32%	0.11772	+6.72%	0.0936	✗	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.107267	-4.32%	0.11437	+2.02%	0.0462	✗	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.101937	-5.02%	0.10905	+1.61%	0.0438	✓	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.108168	-4.79%	0.11054	-2.70%	0.0416	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.101488	-3.97%	0.11365	+7.54%	0.0567	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.097669	-3.94%	0.11218	+10.34%	0.0786	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.085393	-2.21%	0.10767	+23.31%	0.1854	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.081522	-1.73%	0.11031	+32.97%	0.2613	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.081715	-1.60%	0.112105	+35.00%	0.2868	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.081478	-1.57%	0.10732	+29.65%	0.2924	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.084611	-1.80%	0.11361	+31.86%	0.3627	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.085647	-1.87%	0.10568	+21.09%	0.2712	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.088863	-2.13%	0.10167	+11.98%	0.1960	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.095839	-2.74%	0.08732	-11.38%	0.0240	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.092742	-2.51%	0.08296	-12.79%	0.0552	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.091722	-2.50%	0.08304	-11.73%	0.0476	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.09523	-2.75%	0.082775	-15.47%	0.0849	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.09741	-3.01%	0.08616	-14.21%	0.0764	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.09885	-3.09%	0.087275	-14.44%	0.0888	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.097649	-3.19%	0.090795	-9.99%	0.0344	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.097383	-3.36%	0.098535	-2.22%	0.0150	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.098506	-3.59%	0.09513	-6.89%	0.0339	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.100283	-3.89%	0.09407	-9.84%	0.0531	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.094887	-3.77%	0.09792	-0.69%	0.0162	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.100523	-4.32%	0.10043	-4.41%	0.0627	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.105627	-5.17%	0.102	-8.43%	0.0846	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.099008	-4.48%	0.10087	-2.68%	0.0186	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.087963	-3.90%	0.10077	+10.10%	0.0788	✗	1.00