DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s8

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 414

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

108

of 138 predictions shown

direction hit

26.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.4648

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0870

actual +0.3218

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.386075	0.343252	-11.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.354083	-11.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.353568	-11.35%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.338834	-11.27%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.357215	-11.36%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.343528	-11.28%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.365407	-11.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.370352	-11.06%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.401771	-10.88%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.393467	-10.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.442019	-10.94%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.472904	-12.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.449316	-12.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.386466	-11.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.33324	-10.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.36561	-10.30%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.369659	-10.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.374066	-10.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.343896	-10.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.354745	-10.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.353335	-10.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.348469	-10.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.34086	-10.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.330001	-10.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.386411	-11.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.367391	-11.03%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.391644	-11.84%	–	pending	–	–	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.394881	-12.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.414752	-14.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.376104	-13.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.347959	-13.94%	0.386075	-4.51%	0.1694	✗	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.333303	-14.87%	0.398745	+1.85%	0.1458	✓	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.36349	-18.59%	0.39882	-10.68%	0.0816	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.253537	-14.11%	0.38187	+29.36%	0.3883	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.219786	-13.84%	0.403015	+57.99%	0.5139	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.208269	-14.84%	0.387205	+58.32%	0.5219	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.122995	-10.26%	0.41127	+200.09%	1.0943	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.126986	-9.93%	0.416385	+195.34%	1.1290	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.129261	-9.96%	0.450845	+214.05%	1.1388	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.135304	-9.75%	0.4408	+194.02%	1.1026	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.133988	-9.78%	0.49633	+234.22%	1.1987	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.133366	-9.71%	0.538615	+264.66%	1.2866	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.140217	-9.01%	0.515775	+234.71%	1.2305	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.150046	-8.47%	0.436745	+166.42%	1.0134	✗	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.144904	-8.00%	0.373545	+137.17%	0.8755	✗	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.152835	-7.45%	0.407595	+146.82%	0.8935	✗	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.157538	-8.54%	0.41208	+139.25%	0.8626	✗	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.138596	-7.38%	0.41695	+178.64%	0.9813	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.147581	-6.92%	0.38453	+142.51%	0.8977	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.132458	-7.83%	0.39644	+175.86%	0.9619	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.132008	-7.58%	0.395175	+176.66%	0.9575	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.142858	-7.09%	0.38983	+153.54%	0.9264	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.144354	-7.65%	0.381685	+144.17%	0.8788	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.157006	-8.66%	0.36952	+114.96%	0.7859	✗	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.153422	-9.45%	0.43524	+156.87%	0.9543	✗	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.15958	-9.58%	0.412955	+133.98%	0.8970	✗	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.150913	-9.59%	0.44425	+166.15%	1.0140	✗	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.13644	-7.84%	0.45364	+206.43%	1.1264	✗	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.146929	-10.31%	0.48606	+196.71%	1.1286	✗	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.123025	-6.15%	0.436315	+232.84%	1.1678	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.111834	-1.33%	0.4043	+256.71%	1.1775	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.118066	-0.68%	0.391515	+229.34%	1.1666	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.09617	-2.34%	0.446505	+353.42%	1.4649	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.09415	-4.60%	0.29519	+199.11%	1.0307	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.088645	-5.17%	0.25509	+172.90%	0.9373	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.090076	-5.94%	0.24457	+155.39%	0.8780	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.093884	-9.30%	0.13705	+32.40%	0.2244	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.08701	-6.42%	0.140985	+51.64%	0.3022	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.087212	-5.96%	0.14356	+54.80%	0.3323	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.089404	-5.87%	0.14992	+57.84%	0.3526	✗	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.092219	-6.51%	0.148505	+50.55%	0.3118	✗	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.091184	-6.61%	0.147705	+51.28%	0.3266	✗	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.087466	-6.32%	0.154095	+65.05%	0.3952	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.090296	-6.98%	0.16393	+68.88%	0.4386	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.090993	-6.54%	0.1575	+61.77%	0.3849	✗	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.090987	-6.09%	0.16514	+70.45%	0.4191	✗	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.091664	-6.28%	0.17224	+76.11%	0.4489	✗	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.094449	-6.37%	0.14964	+48.34%	0.2852	✗	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.094849	-6.71%	0.15856	+55.96%	0.3133	✗	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.091142	-6.19%	0.14371	+47.91%	0.2920	✗	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.093264	-6.46%	0.14284	+43.27%	0.2620	✗	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.097918	-7.41%	0.153755	+45.39%	0.2556	✗	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.105424	-9.65%	0.15632	+33.97%	0.2079	✗	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.088389	-6.54%	0.1719	+81.76%	0.4498	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.090033	-6.88%	0.16944	+75.26%	0.4030	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.094997	-7.91%	0.17649	+71.08%	0.3514	✗	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.097219	-8.14%	0.166915	+57.71%	0.2865	✗	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.104798	-8.53%	0.14804	+29.21%	0.1393	✗	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.10396	-8.55%	0.163815	+44.11%	0.2211	✗	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.105315	-8.41%	0.13109	+14.01%	0.0015	✓	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.10892	-8.56%	0.11334	-4.85%	0.1510	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.111331	-8.44%	0.11888	-2.23%	0.1245	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.109993	-8.29%	0.098475	-17.90%	0.2151	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.112623	-8.97%	0.09869	-20.23%	0.2040	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.111849	-9.12%	0.093475	-24.05%	0.1794	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.114467	-9.23%	0.095765	-24.06%	0.1725	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.117788	-9.34%	0.10351	-20.33%	0.1086	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.122411	-9.52%	0.092975	-31.27%	0.2602	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.129873	-10.95%	0.09274	-36.41%	0.3038	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.134876	-13.10%	0.09498	-38.80%	0.3214	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.106202	-9.15%	0.09864	-15.62%	0.0866	✓	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.111904	-9.26%	0.097635	-20.83%	0.1343	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.112513	-9.28%	0.093365	-24.72%	0.1880	✓	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.106782	-9.29%	0.09707	-17.54%	0.1027	✓	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.104357	-8.75%	0.09736	-14.87%	0.0870	✓	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.099772	-8.51%	0.096885	-11.16%	0.0553	✓	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.100981	-8.65%	0.097805	-11.52%	0.0410	✓	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.103815	-8.65%	0.100875	-11.24%	0.0343	✓	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.102596	-8.54%	0.10167	-9.37%	0.0135	✓	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.098526	-8.49%	0.09716	-9.76%	0.0175	✓	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.100379	-9.00%	0.0997	-9.62%	0.0163	✓	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.101792	-9.20%	0.105755	-5.66%	0.0246	✓	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.096663	-9.93%	0.116685	+8.73%	0.1586	✗	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.101797	-10.40%	0.094575	-16.75%	0.1545	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.0958	-9.35%	0.09668	-8.52%	0.0459	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.092046	-9.47%	0.10316	+1.47%	0.0504	✓	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.081229	-6.98%	0.105835	+21.20%	0.2095	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.078033	-5.94%	0.114575	+38.11%	0.2989	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.078348	-5.65%	0.113675	+36.89%	0.2981	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.078289	-5.42%	0.11498	+38.91%	0.3348	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.0813	-5.64%	0.119115	+38.25%	0.3443	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.082303	-5.70%	0.121595	+39.32%	0.3574	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.085084	-6.29%	0.11994	+32.10%	0.2928	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.091165	-7.48%	0.123715	+25.55%	0.2900	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.088609	-6.86%	0.12307	+29.37%	0.3097	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.087698	-6.77%	0.1261	+34.05%	0.3331	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.091107	-6.96%	0.129925	+32.68%	0.3635	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.093164	-7.24%	0.135285	+34.71%	0.4016	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.094203	-7.64%	0.145845	+42.99%	0.4609	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.092893	-7.91%	0.1552	+53.86%	0.5243	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.092372	-8.33%	0.116895	+16.00%	0.2696	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.093428	-8.56%	0.12333	+20.71%	0.2745	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.095003	-8.95%	0.12402	+18.86%	0.2632	✗	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.089956	-8.77%	0.11772	+19.39%	0.2263	✗	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.094823	-9.74%	0.11437	+8.86%	0.1636	✗	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.099049	-11.08%	0.10905	-2.10%	0.1094	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.093129	-10.15%	0.11054	+6.65%	0.1711	✗	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.083132	-9.18%	0.11365	+24.17%	0.2622	✗	1.00