DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s8

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +7d

assessed

137

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

68.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0640

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0139

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	14.5223	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	14.5381	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	14.3251	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	14.2816	-1.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	14.2657	-0.98%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.6083	-0.95%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.9767	-0.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.9613	-1.19%	14.773	-8.54%	0.0876	✓	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	16.1709	-1.19%	14.749	-9.87%	0.0906	✓	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	16.15	-1.12%	14.512	-11.15%	0.1078	✓	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	16.4916	-1.16%	14.454	-13.38%	0.1153	✓	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.6835	-1.23%	14.407	-14.71%	0.1319	✓	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	17.2251	-1.48%	14.749	-15.65%	0.1452	✓	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	17.1264	-1.45%	15.122	-12.98%	0.1286	✓	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	17.7556	-1.84%	16.153	-10.70%	0.0786	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	18.0015	-1.93%	16.365	-10.85%	0.0731	✓	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	18.1569	-2.03%	16.3325	-11.87%	0.0694	✓	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.9968	-1.95%	16.686	-9.09%	0.0499	✓	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.9336	-1.98%	16.8915	-7.68%	0.0428	✓	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.8827	-2.04%	17.4845	-4.22%	0.0043	✓	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.802	-2.03%	17.3785	-4.36%	0.0053	✓	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	18.0167	-2.26%	18.089	-1.87%	0.0067	✓	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	17.726	-2.15%	18.356	+1.32%	0.0172	✓	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	17.4492	-2.06%	18.533	+4.02%	0.0389	✗	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	18.0814	-2.36%	18.355	-0.89%	0.0041	✓	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.8502	-2.31%	18.2965	+0.13%	0.0216	✓	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	17.3247	-2.12%	18.255	+3.14%	0.0483	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.8313	-2.39%	18.171	-0.53%	0.0145	✓	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.8217	-2.48%	18.434	+0.87%	0.0416	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	18.2388	-2.62%	18.116	-3.27%	0.0191	✓	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	17.5454	-2.37%	17.8165	-0.86%	0.0442	✗	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.8768	-2.46%	18.519	+7.03%	0.0602	✗	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	17.0412	-2.64%	18.273	+4.40%	0.0384	✗	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	17.2287	-2.88%	17.7	-0.22%	0.0054	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	16.36	-2.92%	18.268	+8.40%	0.0271	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	15.3333	-2.25%	18.275	+16.51%	0.0902	✗	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	14.4926	-1.76%	18.729	+26.96%	0.1454	✗	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	16.256	-2.61%	17.971	+7.66%	0.0237	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.9082	-2.59%	17.302	+5.94%	0.0425	✗	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.6636	-2.46%	17.503	+9.00%	0.0734	✗	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	15.4822	-2.46%	17.739	+11.76%	0.1004	✗	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	15.1934	-2.34%	16.852	+8.32%	0.1055	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	16.0167	-2.81%	15.686	-4.82%	0.0005	✓	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	16.6883	-3.86%	14.752	-15.02%	0.0962	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	15.4526	-2.13%	16.692	+5.72%	0.0861	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	16.1565	-2.67%	16.3315	-1.61%	0.0446	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.4448	-2.81%	16.0585	+1.05%	0.0634	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	15.29	-1.72%	15.873	+2.03%	0.0602	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.5929	+2.09%	15.558	+8.84%	0.1112	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.8889	-0.42%	16.4795	+18.15%	0.1601	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.2629	-0.85%	17.3585	+20.67%	0.1845	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.4873	-0.39%	15.789	+8.56%	0.0802	✗	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.0903	+0.17%	16.599	+18.00%	0.1350	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.3166	+0.45%	15.892	+11.50%	0.0873	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.1963	+0.48%	15.5575	+10.11%	0.0718	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.2716	+2.44%	14.294	+2.60%	0.0092	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.133	+2.04%	13.9475	+0.70%	0.0062	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	13.9308	+1.95%	14.385	+5.27%	0.0447	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.1139	+1.90%	14.5445	+5.01%	0.0347	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.2927	+0.29%	14.067	-1.29%	0.0152	✗	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.0086	+0.17%	14.2525	+1.91%	0.0039	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.2585	+1.94%	14.129	+8.64%	0.0693	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.0016	+0.39%	13.932	+16.54%	0.0673	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.885	-0.36%	13.851	+16.12%	0.0314	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.6314	-0.69%	13.665	+16.67%	0.0397	✓	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.9731	-0.86%	13.851	+14.68%	0.0655	✓	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.8579	-0.92%	14.251	+19.07%	0.0410	✓	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.9212	-0.96%	13.985	+16.18%	0.0529	✓	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.8597	-0.92%	13.0055	+8.65%	0.1382	✓	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	12.0203	-0.99%	11.955	-1.52%	0.1540	✓	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	12.1153	-1.07%	11.9285	-2.59%	0.1093	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.7911	-1.49%	11.7125	-9.80%	0.1070	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.6028	-1.41%	12.0775	-5.52%	0.0519	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.7503	-1.56%	11.9685	-7.59%	0.0298	✓	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.5992	-1.55%	12.037	-5.95%	0.0143	✓	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.5457	-1.62%	11.97	-6.14%	0.0152	✓	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.3122	-1.58%	12.14	-2.96%	0.0002	✓	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.735	-1.86%	12.246	-5.63%	0.0196	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	13.0987	-2.14%	12.985	-2.98%	0.0000	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.9875	-2.13%	12.7835	-3.67%	0.0233	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.9412	-2.19%	12.952	-2.10%	0.0216	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.8017	-2.30%	12.798	-2.32%	0.0362	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.8239	-2.54%	12.7525	-3.08%	0.0402	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	13.2229	-2.82%	12.51	-8.06%	0.0479	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.5356	-0.98%	12.977	+11.40%	0.1069	✗	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.4788	-0.88%	13.3845	+15.57%	0.1505	✗	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	11.1135	-0.62%	13.2705	+18.67%	0.1809	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.5957	-0.76%	13.2305	+13.23%	0.1593	✗	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.4842	-0.83%	13.1025	+13.14%	0.1550	✗	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.4881	-0.91%	13.158	+13.49%	0.1548	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.8703	-1.03%	13.606	+13.44%	0.1413	✗	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.3106	-1.28%	11.6495	-6.58%	0.0234	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.4139	-1.47%	11.581	-8.08%	0.0309	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.5038	-1.77%	11.183	-12.15%	0.0889	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.4652	-2.00%	11.685	-8.14%	0.0745	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.4258	-2.28%	11.5805	-8.93%	0.0629	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	12.3005	-2.25%	11.5935	-7.87%	0.0621	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	12.9314	-3.03%	11.9935	-10.07%	0.0948	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	13.0101	-3.64%	12.47	-7.64%	0.0630	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	13.2018	-4.08%	12.5985	-8.47%	0.0696	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	12.0522	-3.68%	12.729	+1.73%	0.0147	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.9337	-2.16%	12.72	+4.28%	0.0505	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.1704	-0.73%	12.716	+13.00%	0.1153	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	11.0989	-0.55%	12.584	+12.76%	0.1289	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.9506	-0.56%	13.336	+21.10%	0.1887	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.9083	-0.57%	13.502	+23.07%	0.1782	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.9521	-0.54%	13.764	+24.99%	0.2049	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.1496	-0.59%	12.513	+11.56%	0.1404	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	11.0746	-0.63%	12.1975	+9.44%	0.0943	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.1986	-0.76%	11.253	-0.28%	0.0051	✓	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.3769	-0.93%	11.16	-2.82%	0.0429	✓	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	11.0914	-0.81%	11.012	-1.52%	0.0319	✓	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.8622	-0.71%	10.971	+0.28%	0.0237	✓	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.6685	-0.56%	11.012	+2.64%	0.0391	✓	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.1794	-0.90%	11.216	-0.58%	0.0507	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	11.0146	-0.82%	11.145	+0.35%	0.0457	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.3656	-1.07%	11.2845	-1.78%	0.0512	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	11.0839	-1.01%	11.4835	+2.56%	0.0006	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.829	-1.20%	11.1825	+2.03%	0.0077	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.9878	-1.57%	10.94	-10.17%	0.0787	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	11.1236	-0.48%	10.729	-4.01%	0.0256	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.4477	-0.56%	11.281	-2.01%	0.0405	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.3787	-0.48%	11.106	-2.86%	0.0309	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.7959	-0.65%	11.4885	-3.24%	0.0427	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.5524	-0.56%	11.197	-3.62%	0.0250	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.4221	-0.50%	10.96	-4.52%	0.0105	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.951	-0.74%	12.179	+1.15%	0.0741	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.2784	-0.90%	11.177	-9.79%	0.0476	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.5315	-1.09%	11.5125	-9.14%	0.0491	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.6548	-1.23%	11.433	-10.76%	0.0632	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	12.0969	-1.19%	11.873	-3.01%	0.0155	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.8905	-1.18%	11.617	-3.45%	0.0223	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	12.0117	-1.32%	11.479	-5.69%	0.0345	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.6916	-1.19%	12.04	+1.76%	0.0183	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.8003	-1.35%	12.39	+3.58%	0.0130	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	12.0671	-1.66%	12.67	+3.25%	0.0009	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	12.1552	-1.83%	12.812	+3.47%	0.0154	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	12.1105	-1.46%	12.242	-0.39%	0.0464	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.9294	-1.43%	12.032	-0.58%	0.0317	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.8843	-2.04%	12.172	-7.45%	0.0531	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	14.1781	-2.26%	11.832	-18.43%	0.1396	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	14.3918	-2.40%	11.962	-18.88%	0.1074	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	15.2564	-2.29%	12.271	-21.41%	0.0948	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	15.6299	-2.32%	12.382	-22.62%	0.0826	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.