DCR

Decred · native · lstm_s8

token id: #518
symbol: DCR
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-22
predictions: 432

Track record at +30d

assessed

114

of 144 predictions shown

direction hit

57.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0980

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0328

actual +0.0156

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	14.773	13.8288	-6.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-20	oos	14.749	13.9665	-5.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-19	oos	14.512	13.7378	-5.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-18	oos	14.454	13.6944	-5.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-17	oos	14.407	13.698	-4.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-16	oos	14.749	14.0724	-4.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-15	oos	15.122	14.4624	-4.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-14	oos	16.153	15.3627	-4.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-13	oos	16.365	15.5958	-4.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-12	oos	16.3325	15.5305	-4.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-11	oos	16.686	15.9076	-4.66%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-10	oos	16.8915	16.0087	-5.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	17.4845	16.4711	-5.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-08	oos	17.3785	16.3579	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-07	oos	18.089	16.9018	-6.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	18.356	17.1741	-6.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-05	oos	18.533	17.3336	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-10-04	oos	18.355	17.2126	-6.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-03	oos	18.2965	17.179	-6.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-02	oos	18.255	17.1172	-6.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-01	oos	18.171	17.0691	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-09-30	oos	18.434	17.2315	-6.52%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-29	oos	18.116	16.986	-6.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-28	oos	17.8165	16.7435	-6.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-09-27	oos	18.519	17.2922	-6.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-26	oos	18.273	17.0966	-6.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-25	oos	17.7	16.6441	-5.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	18.268	17.0954	-6.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-23	oos	18.275	17.0915	-6.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	18.729	17.4912	-6.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.86
2026-09-21	oos	17.971	16.888	-6.03%	14.773	-17.80%	0.0978	✓	0.78
2026-09-20	oos	17.302	16.1929	-6.41%	14.749	-14.76%	0.1111	✓	0.82
2026-09-19	oos	17.503	16.3371	-6.66%	14.512	-17.09%	0.1245	✓	0.82
2026-09-18	oos	17.739	16.4858	-7.06%	14.454	-18.52%	0.1431	✓	0.83
2026-09-17	oos	16.852	15.6003	-7.43%	14.407	-14.51%	0.1327	✓	0.83
2026-09-16	oos	15.686	14.7321	-6.08%	14.749	-5.97%	0.0553	✓	0.83
2026-09-15	oos	14.752	13.9908	-5.16%	15.122	+2.51%	0.0076	✓	0.85
2026-09-14	oos	16.692	15.5746	-6.69%	16.153	-3.23%	0.0047	✓	0.75
2026-09-13	oos	16.3315	15.2317	-6.73%	16.365	+0.21%	0.0125	✓	0.75
2026-09-12	oos	16.0585	15.0353	-6.37%	16.3325	+1.71%	0.0404	✓	0.75
2026-09-11	oos	15.873	14.8737	-6.30%	16.686	+5.12%	0.0532	✓	0.77
2026-09-10	oos	15.558	14.6191	-6.04%	16.8915	+8.57%	0.0831	✗	0.77
2026-09-09	oos	16.4795	15.3725	-6.72%	17.4845	+6.10%	0.0897	✗	0.74
2026-09-08	oos	17.3585	15.9231	-8.27%	17.3785	+0.12%	0.0579	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	15.789	14.977	-5.14%	18.089	+14.57%	0.1493	✗	0.77
2026-09-06	oos	16.599	15.6114	-5.95%	18.356	+10.58%	0.1149	✗	0.75
2026-09-05	oos	15.892	15.0089	-5.56%	18.533	+16.62%	0.1574	✗	0.75
2026-09-04	oos	15.5575	14.944	-3.94%	18.355	+17.98%	0.1460	✗	0.72
2026-09-03	oos	14.294	14.7823	+3.42%	18.2965	+28.00%	0.1803	✓	0.79
2026-09-02	oos	13.9475	13.7561	-1.37%	18.255	+30.88%	0.2053	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	14.385	14.0884	-2.06%	18.171	+26.32%	0.1731	✗	0.89
2026-08-31	oos	14.5445	14.4457	-0.68%	18.434	+26.74%	0.1907	✗	0.86
2026-08-30	oos	14.067	14.0933	+0.19%	18.116	+28.78%	0.1880	✓	0.85
2026-08-29	oos	14.2525	14.406	+1.08%	17.8165	+25.01%	0.1577	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	14.129	14.3077	+1.26%	18.519	+31.07%	0.1889	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	13.932	14.7437	+5.83%	18.273	+31.16%	0.1704	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	13.851	14.5804	+5.27%	17.7	+27.79%	0.1390	✓	0.88
2026-08-25	oos	13.665	14.4184	+5.51%	18.268	+33.68%	0.1740	✓	0.87
2026-08-24	oos	13.851	14.6814	+6.00%	18.275	+31.94%	0.1618	✓	0.87
2026-08-23	oos	14.251	14.5636	+2.19%	18.729	+31.42%	0.1603	✓	0.88
2026-08-22	oos	13.985	14.227	+1.73%	17.971	+28.50%	0.1309	✓	0.88
2026-08-21	oos	13.0055	13.7047	+5.38%	17.302	+33.04%	0.2005	✓	0.92
2026-08-20	oos	11.955	12.0551	+0.84%	17.503	+46.41%	0.2808	✓	0.86
2026-08-19	oos	11.9285	11.779	-1.25%	17.739	+48.71%	0.2663	✗	0.93
2026-08-18	oos	11.7125	11.4322	-2.39%	16.852	+43.88%	0.2164	✗	1.04
2026-08-17	oos	12.0775	11.7407	-2.79%	15.686	+29.88%	0.1166	✗	1.04
2026-08-16	oos	11.9685	11.6071	-3.02%	14.752	+23.26%	0.0445	✗	1.06
2026-08-15	oos	12.037	11.6729	-3.03%	16.692	+38.67%	0.1298	✗	1.06
2026-08-14	oos	11.97	11.6173	-2.95%	16.3315	+36.44%	0.1309	✗	1.06
2026-08-13	oos	12.14	11.7779	-2.98%	16.0585	+32.28%	0.1017	✗	1.06
2026-08-12	oos	12.246	11.856	-3.18%	15.873	+29.62%	0.0839	✗	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	12.985	12.42	-4.35%	15.558	+19.82%	0.0285	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	12.7835	12.2464	-4.20%	16.4795	+28.91%	0.0819	✗	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	12.952	12.3739	-4.46%	17.3585	+34.02%	0.1364	✗	1.06
2026-08-08	oos	12.798	12.2493	-4.29%	15.789	+23.37%	0.0441	✗	1.06
2026-08-07	oos	12.7525	12.2221	-4.16%	16.599	+30.16%	0.0796	✗	1.06
2026-08-06	oos	12.51	12.0076	-4.02%	15.892	+27.03%	0.0512	✗	1.06
2026-08-05	oos	12.977	12.3788	-4.61%	15.5575	+19.89%	0.0078	✓	1.05
2026-08-04	oos	13.3845	12.6681	-5.35%	14.294	+6.80%	0.1336	✓	1.07
2026-08-03	oos	13.2705	12.5621	-5.34%	13.9475	+5.10%	0.1062	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	13.2305	12.5258	-5.33%	14.385	+8.73%	0.0731	✓	1.07
2026-08-01	oos	13.1025	12.3905	-5.43%	14.5445	+11.01%	0.0798	✓	1.07
2026-07-31	oos	13.158	12.405	-5.72%	14.067	+6.91%	0.1011	✓	1.07
2026-07-30	oos	13.606	12.7764	-6.10%	14.2525	+4.75%	0.0932	✓	1.07
2026-07-29	oos	11.6495	11.3525	-2.55%	14.129	+21.28%	0.0248	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	11.581	11.2854	-2.55%	13.932	+20.30%	0.0141	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	11.183	10.9247	-2.31%	13.851	+23.86%	0.0271	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	11.685	11.4125	-2.33%	13.665	+16.94%	0.0037	✓	0.96
2026-07-25	oos	11.5805	11.3103	-2.33%	13.851	+19.61%	0.0047	✓	0.96
2026-07-24	oos	11.5935	11.3098	-2.45%	14.251	+22.92%	0.0453	✗	0.96
2026-07-23	oos	11.9935	11.6708	-2.69%	13.985	+16.60%	0.0193	✓	0.95
2026-07-22	oos	12.47	12.0754	-3.16%	13.0055	+4.29%	0.0859	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	12.5985	12.1683	-3.41%	11.955	-5.11%	0.1055	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	12.729	12.2002	-4.15%	11.9285	-6.29%	0.0813	✓	0.97
2026-07-19	oos	12.72	12.1493	-4.49%	11.7125	-7.92%	0.0366	✓	0.97
2026-07-18	oos	12.716	12.1054	-4.80%	12.0775	-5.02%	0.0025	✓	0.97
2026-07-17	oos	12.584	11.9804	-4.80%	11.9685	-4.89%	0.0152	✓	0.97
2026-07-16	oos	13.336	12.4917	-6.33%	12.037	-9.74%	0.0254	✓	0.98
2026-07-15	oos	13.502	12.5558	-7.01%	11.97	-11.35%	0.0209	✓	0.98
2026-07-14	oos	13.764	12.7152	-7.62%	12.14	-11.80%	0.0224	✓	0.98
2026-07-13	oos	12.513	11.7228	-6.31%	12.246	-2.13%	0.0279	✓	0.86
2026-07-12	oos	12.1975	11.7078	-4.01%	12.985	+6.46%	0.1065	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	11.253	11.043	-1.87%	12.7835	+13.60%	0.1444	✗	0.90
2026-07-10	oos	11.16	10.9812	-1.60%	12.952	+16.06%	0.1550	✗	0.90
2026-07-09	oos	11.012	10.8342	-1.61%	12.798	+16.22%	0.1423	✗	0.90
2026-07-08	oos	10.971	10.7788	-1.75%	12.7525	+16.24%	0.1306	✗	0.90
2026-07-07	oos	11.012	10.8289	-1.66%	12.51	+13.60%	0.1308	✗	0.91
2026-07-06	oos	11.216	11.0172	-1.77%	12.977	+15.70%	0.1552	✗	0.91
2026-07-05	oos	11.145	10.9541	-1.71%	13.3845	+20.09%	0.1938	✗	0.91
2026-07-04	oos	11.2845	11.0726	-1.88%	13.2705	+17.60%	0.1756	✗	0.92
2026-07-03	oos	11.4835	11.2295	-2.21%	13.2305	+15.21%	0.1495	✗	0.93
2026-07-02	oos	11.1825	10.9546	-2.04%	13.1025	+17.17%	0.1603	✗	0.91
2026-07-01	oos	10.94	10.7304	-1.92%	13.158	+20.27%	0.1618	✗	0.90
2026-06-30	oos	10.729	10.5477	-1.69%	13.606	+26.82%	0.1641	✗	0.90
2026-06-29	oos	11.281	11.0298	-2.23%	11.6495	+3.27%	0.0021	✓	0.87
2026-06-28	oos	11.106	10.8832	-2.01%	11.581	+4.28%	0.0011	✓	0.86
2026-06-27	oos	11.4885	11.2079	-2.44%	11.183	-2.66%	0.0545	✓	0.86
2026-06-26	oos	11.197	10.9584	-2.13%	11.685	+4.36%	0.0081	✓	0.85
2026-06-25	oos	10.96	10.7225	-2.17%	11.5805	+5.66%	0.0154	✓	0.83
2026-06-24	oos	12.179	11.7566	-3.47%	11.5935	-4.81%	0.0514	✓	0.75
2026-06-23	oos	11.177	10.9811	-1.75%	11.9935	+7.31%	0.0540	✗	0.91
2026-06-22	oos	11.5125	11.2862	-1.97%	12.47	+8.32%	0.0700	✗	0.90
2026-06-21	oos	11.433	11.2084	-1.96%	12.5985	+10.19%	0.0714	✗	0.90
2026-06-20	oos	11.873	11.5956	-2.34%	12.729	+7.21%	0.0780	✗	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	11.617	11.3591	-2.22%	12.72	+9.49%	0.0943	✗	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	11.479	11.2409	-2.07%	12.716	+10.78%	0.0933	✗	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	12.04	11.739	-2.50%	12.584	+4.52%	0.0781	✗	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	12.39	12.0541	-2.71%	13.336	+7.64%	0.1296	✗	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	12.67	12.2798	-3.08%	13.502	+6.57%	0.1187	✗	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	12.812	12.3379	-3.70%	13.764	+7.43%	0.1204	✗	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	12.242	11.7672	-3.88%	12.513	+2.21%	0.0956	✗	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	12.032	11.5918	-3.66%	12.1975	+1.38%	0.0478	✗	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	12.172	11.7179	-3.73%	11.253	-7.55%	0.0438	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	11.832	11.4202	-3.48%	11.16	-5.68%	0.0658	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	11.962	11.5151	-3.74%	11.012	-7.94%	0.0685	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	12.271	11.7454	-4.28%	10.971	-10.59%	0.0550	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	12.382	11.8082	-4.63%	11.012	-11.06%	0.0701	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	12.29	11.7772	-4.17%	11.216	-8.74%	0.0993	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	12.102	11.5731	-4.37%	11.145	-7.91%	0.0787	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	13.152	12.432	-5.47%	11.2845	-14.20%	0.0855	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	14.506	13.6249	-6.07%	11.4835	-20.84%	0.1470	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	14.746	13.7954	-6.45%	11.1825	-24.17%	0.1292	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	15.614	14.6228	-6.35%	10.94	-29.93%	0.1168	✓	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	16.0015	14.9864	-6.34%	10.729	-32.95%	0.1053	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.