BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s8
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +7d
assessed
43
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
16.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2877
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0483
actual +0.2329
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.0007 | -4.93% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 1.9413 | -4.99% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.8672 | -5.04% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.2689 | -6.05% | – | pending | – | – | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.2641 | -7.14% | – | pending | – | – | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.8192 | -5.64% | – | pending | – | – | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7252 | -5.03% | – | pending | – | – | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.171 | -8.80% | 2.1044 | -11.59% | 0.0119 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 1.9089 | -8.59% | 2.0432 | -2.16% | 0.0654 | ✓ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.6366 | -6.46% | 1.9664 | +12.39% | 0.1853 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.5341 | -5.64% | 2.4152 | +48.56% | 0.4245 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.4995 | -5.35% | 2.4383 | +53.91% | 0.4590 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.4881 | -5.53% | 1.9279 | +22.38% | 0.2403 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3224 | -5.06% | 1.8166 | +30.43% | 0.3255 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2346 | -4.85% | 2.3803 | +83.45% | 0.6254 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.1569 | -4.66% | 2.0884 | +72.09% | 0.5473 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.1751 | -4.75% | 1.7495 | +41.82% | 0.3257 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.1867 | -4.74% | 1.6258 | +30.50% | 0.2634 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 0.990729 | -4.53% | 1.5842 | +52.66% | 0.4306 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3122 | -5.02% | 1.5753 | +14.02% | 0.1416 | ✗ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.3424 | -5.35% | 1.3928 | -1.80% | 0.0306 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.2575 | -5.38% | 1.2975 | -2.36% | 0.0252 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3049 | -6.04% | 1.2135 | -12.62% | 0.0311 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.0615 | -5.16% | 1.2336 | +10.23% | 0.2005 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.1551 | -5.37% | 1.2458 | +2.06% | 0.1230 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.953716 | -4.78% | 1.0377 | +3.61% | 0.0920 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2081 | -8.15% | 1.3815 | +5.03% | 0.1435 | ✗ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.906572 | -5.01% | 1.4183 | +48.61% | 0.4575 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 0.976472 | -5.91% | 1.329 | +28.05% | 0.2902 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.854607 | -4.81% | 1.3887 | +54.68% | 0.5157 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.759586 | -5.13% | 1.1192 | +39.78% | 0.4245 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.709334 | -5.05% | 1.2207 | +63.40% | 0.5030 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.569741 | -3.48% | 1.0015 | +69.67% | 0.5257 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.606945 | -3.69% | 1.3154 | +108.72% | 0.7344 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.687447 | -4.51% | 0.9544 | +32.57% | 0.2280 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.711455 | -5.16% | 1.0378 | +38.34% | 0.2749 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.667947 | -5.26% | 0.8978 | +27.34% | 0.1643 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.556662 | -4.45% | 0.8007 | +37.44% | 0.2612 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.676052 | -7.95% | 0.74705 | +1.72% | 0.0446 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.528695 | -3.93% | 0.5903 | +7.27% | 0.0601 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.491312 | -3.44% | 0.6302 | +23.86% | 0.2026 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.4812 | -3.77% | 0.7199 | +43.97% | 0.4053 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.439369 | -2.60% | 0.7502 | +66.30% | 0.5627 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.427282 | -2.39% | 0.70505 | +61.06% | 0.5380 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.440405 | -2.36% | 0.5826 | +29.17% | 0.2915 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.440236 | -1.60% | 0.73445 | +64.16% | 0.5569 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.444443 | -1.72% | 0.5503 | +21.69% | 0.2463 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.448545 | -1.75% | 0.5088 | +11.44% | 0.1575 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.448918 | -1.21% | 0.50005 | +10.05% | 0.1678 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.475704 | -2.84% | 0.4511 | -7.86% | 0.0657 | ✓ | 1.00 |