BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s8
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 153
Track record at +1d
assessed
50
of 51 predictions shown
direction hit
38.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1147
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0070
actual +0.0228
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 1.6621 | 1.6498 | -0.74% | – | pending | – | – | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 1.6423 | 1.6305 | -0.72% | 1.6621 | +1.20% | 0.0229 | ✗ | -1.63 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 2.0259 | -0.85% | 1.6423 | -19.62% | 0.1906 | ✓ | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.9502 | -0.82% | 2.0432 | +3.91% | 0.0667 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3918 | -0.97% | 1.9664 | -18.58% | 0.1990 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.4137 | -1.01% | 2.4152 | -0.95% | 0.0123 | ✗ | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.9105 | -0.90% | 2.4383 | +26.48% | 0.2417 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.8007 | -0.87% | 1.9279 | +6.12% | 0.0568 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.3537 | -1.12% | 1.8166 | -23.68% | 0.2495 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 2.0645 | -1.14% | 2.3803 | +13.98% | 0.1177 | ✗ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.7319 | -1.01% | 2.0884 | +19.36% | 0.2114 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.6101 | -0.96% | 1.7495 | +7.61% | 0.0490 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5689 | -0.96% | 1.6258 | +2.62% | 0.0490 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5596 | -0.99% | 1.5842 | +0.57% | 0.0221 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3798 | -0.93% | 1.5753 | +13.10% | 0.1482 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2862 | -0.88% | 1.3928 | +7.34% | 0.0509 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.2034 | -0.83% | 1.2975 | +6.93% | 0.0351 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.2233 | -0.84% | 1.2135 | -1.63% | 0.0117 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.235 | -0.86% | 1.2336 | -0.98% | 0.0147 | ✓ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0305 | -0.69% | 1.2458 | +20.05% | 0.2263 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3684 | -0.95% | 1.0377 | -24.89% | 0.2717 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.4045 | -0.97% | 1.3815 | -2.59% | 0.0237 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.3165 | -0.94% | 1.4183 | +6.72% | 0.1026 | ✗ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3749 | -1.00% | 1.329 | -4.31% | 0.0358 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.1093 | -0.88% | 1.3887 | +24.08% | 0.2287 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.209 | -0.96% | 1.1192 | -8.31% | 0.1009 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.993082 | -0.85% | 1.2207 | +21.88% | 0.2074 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.3006 | -1.12% | 1.0015 | -23.86% | 0.2539 | ✓ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.945963 | -0.88% | 1.3154 | +37.82% | 0.3233 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0273 | -1.01% | 0.9544 | -8.04% | 0.0735 | ✓ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.890163 | -0.85% | 1.0378 | +15.59% | 0.1748 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.796457 | -0.53% | 0.8978 | +12.13% | 0.1244 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.741225 | -0.78% | 0.8007 | +7.18% | 0.0124 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.588772 | -0.26% | 0.74705 | +26.55% | 0.2390 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.627722 | -0.39% | 0.5903 | -6.33% | 0.0659 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.714207 | -0.79% | 0.6302 | -12.46% | 0.1827 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.743902 | -0.84% | 0.7199 | -4.04% | 0.0355 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.699191 | -0.83% | 0.7502 | +6.40% | 0.0630 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.579553 | -0.52% | 0.70505 | +21.02% | 0.2297 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.726818 | -1.04% | 0.5826 | -20.68% | 0.2389 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.5478 | -0.45% | 0.73445 | +33.46% | 0.2992 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.507193 | -0.32% | 0.5503 | +8.16% | 0.0809 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.498441 | -0.32% | 0.5088 | +1.75% | 0.0118 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.450681 | -0.09% | 0.50005 | +10.85% | 0.1265 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.43755 | -0.05% | 0.4511 | +3.05% | 0.0326 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.450969 | -0.02% | 0.43775 | -2.95% | 0.0216 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.447616 | +0.05% | 0.45105 | +0.82% | 0.0233 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.452294 | +0.02% | 0.4474 | -1.06% | 0.0172 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.456575 | +0.01% | 0.4522 | -0.95% | 0.0116 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.454643 | +0.05% | 0.45655 | +0.47% | 0.0239 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.48943 | -0.03% | 0.4544 | -7.19% | 0.1242 | ✓ | 1.00 |