BTW
Bitway · Ethereum · lstm_s8
- token id
- #40
- symbol
- BTW
- variant
- –
- chain
- Ethereum
- address
- 0x3a63de3572c69a1307ff08394f3ee7702c16d25d
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-24
- predictions
- 150
Track record at +1d
assessed
49
of 50 predictions shown
direction hit
36.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.1142
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0122
actual +0.0275
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 2.1044 | 2.082 | -1.06% | – | pending | – | – | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 2.0432 | 2.0214 | -1.07% | 2.1044 | +3.00% | 0.0359 | ✗ | -1.48 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 1.9664 | 1.9452 | -1.08% | 2.0432 | +3.91% | 0.0692 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 2.4152 | 2.3798 | -1.46% | 1.9664 | -18.58% | 0.1940 | ✓ | -1.54 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 2.4383 | 2.3934 | -1.84% | 2.4152 | -0.95% | 0.0207 | ✗ | -1.53 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 1.9279 | 1.902 | -1.34% | 2.4383 | +26.48% | 0.2462 | ✗ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 1.8166 | 1.7953 | -1.17% | 1.9279 | +6.12% | 0.0598 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 2.3803 | 2.3212 | -2.49% | 1.8166 | -23.68% | 0.2356 | ✓ | -1.40 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 2.0884 | 2.0377 | -2.43% | 2.3803 | +13.98% | 0.1308 | ✗ | -1.32 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 1.7495 | 1.7214 | -1.61% | 2.0884 | +19.36% | 0.2175 | ✗ | -1.47 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 1.6258 | 1.6046 | -1.30% | 1.7495 | +7.61% | 0.0524 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 1.5842 | 1.5655 | -1.18% | 1.6258 | +2.62% | 0.0512 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 1.5753 | 1.5559 | -1.23% | 1.5842 | +0.57% | 0.0245 | ✗ | -1.46 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 1.3928 | 1.3778 | -1.08% | 1.5753 | +13.10% | 0.1497 | ✗ | -1.52 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 1.2975 | 1.2844 | -1.02% | 1.3928 | +7.34% | 0.0523 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 1.2135 | 1.2019 | -0.96% | 1.2975 | +6.93% | 0.0364 | ✗ | -1.50 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 1.2336 | 1.2213 | -1.00% | 1.2135 | -1.63% | 0.0101 | ✓ | -1.51 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 1.2458 | 1.2331 | -1.02% | 1.2336 | -0.98% | 0.0131 | ✓ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 1.0377 | 1.0287 | -0.86% | 1.2458 | +20.05% | 0.2280 | ✗ | -1.77 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 1.3815 | 1.3659 | -1.13% | 1.0377 | -24.89% | 0.2699 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 1.4183 | 1.4005 | -1.25% | 1.3815 | -2.59% | 0.0209 | ✓ | -1.78 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 1.329 | 1.312 | -1.27% | 1.4183 | +6.72% | 0.1060 | ✗ | -1.83 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 1.3887 | 1.3679 | -1.50% | 1.329 | -4.31% | 0.0307 | ✓ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 1.1192 | 1.1055 | -1.23% | 1.3887 | +24.08% | 0.2322 | ✗ | -1.85 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 1.2207 | 1.2045 | -1.32% | 1.1192 | -8.31% | 0.0972 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 1.0015 | 0.989819 | -1.17% | 1.2207 | +21.88% | 0.2107 | ✗ | -1.96 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 1.3154 | 1.2855 | -2.27% | 1.0015 | -23.86% | 0.2422 | ✓ | -1.93 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.9544 | 0.942195 | -1.28% | 1.3154 | +37.82% | 0.3273 | ✗ | -1.82 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 1.0378 | 1.0215 | -1.57% | 0.9544 | -8.04% | 0.0678 | ✓ | -1.84 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.8978 | 0.886499 | -1.26% | 1.0378 | +15.59% | 0.1789 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.8007 | 0.789459 | -1.40% | 0.8978 | +12.13% | 0.1332 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.74705 | 0.73754 | -1.27% | 0.8007 | +7.18% | 0.0173 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.5903 | 0.585878 | -0.75% | 0.74705 | +26.55% | 0.2439 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.6302 | 0.624971 | -0.83% | 0.5903 | -6.33% | 0.0615 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.7199 | 0.712171 | -1.07% | 0.6302 | -12.46% | 0.1799 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.7502 | 0.740118 | -1.34% | 0.7199 | -4.04% | 0.0304 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.70505 | 0.695 | -1.43% | 0.7502 | +6.40% | 0.0690 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.5826 | 0.575358 | -1.24% | 0.70505 | +21.02% | 0.2370 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.73445 | 0.71714 | -2.36% | 0.5826 | -20.68% | 0.2255 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.5503 | 0.544738 | -1.01% | 0.73445 | +33.46% | 0.3048 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.5088 | 0.504356 | -0.87% | 0.5503 | +8.16% | 0.0865 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.50005 | 0.495098 | -0.99% | 0.5088 | +1.75% | 0.0186 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.448219 | -0.64% | 0.50005 | +10.85% | 0.1320 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.43775 | 0.435105 | -0.60% | 0.4511 | +3.05% | 0.0382 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.45105 | 0.448044 | -0.67% | 0.43775 | -2.95% | 0.0151 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.4474 | 0.445057 | -0.52% | 0.45105 | +0.82% | 0.0290 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.4522 | 0.449546 | -0.59% | 0.4474 | -1.06% | 0.0111 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.45655 | 0.453559 | -0.66% | 0.4522 | -0.95% | 0.0050 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.4544 | 0.45136 | -0.67% | 0.45655 | +0.47% | 0.0312 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.4896 | 0.485445 | -0.85% | 0.4544 | -7.19% | 0.1160 | ✓ | 1.00 |