ARGUS
Argus · Arc · lstm_s8
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +7d
assessed
20
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
80.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3047
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0140
actual -0.3160
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008324 | 0.008162 | -1.95% | – | pending | – | – | -1.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007315 | -0.24% | – | pending | – | – | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006917 | +0.86% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005822 | +1.87% | – | pending | – | – | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006974 | +1.55% | – | pending | – | – | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007755 | +1.20% | – | pending | – | – | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008735 | +0.40% | – | pending | – | – | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008727 | +0.90% | 0.008324 | -3.77% | 0.0611 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007638 | +1.64% | 0.007332 | -2.43% | 0.0389 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.0088 | +1.27% | 0.006858 | -21.08% | 0.2505 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.010981 | -1.07% | 0.005716 | -48.51% | 0.6328 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010614 | -0.43% | 0.006867 | -35.58% | 0.4168 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012396 | -1.46% | 0.007663 | -39.09% | 0.4683 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013365 | -1.73% | 0.0087 | -36.03% | 0.4346 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013764 | -1.76% | 0.00865 | -38.26% | 0.4437 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013341 | -1.54% | 0.007515 | -44.54% | 0.5450 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013746 | -1.53% | 0.00869 | -37.75% | 0.4107 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014107 | -1.45% | 0.0111 | -22.46% | 0.2065 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013129 | -1.51% | 0.01066 | -20.03% | 0.1865 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015223 | -1.73% | 0.01258 | -18.79% | 0.1672 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.014006 | -1.61% | 0.0136 | -4.46% | 0.0085 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013798 | -1.73% | 0.01401 | -0.21% | 0.0186 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014423 | -1.75% | 0.01355 | -7.70% | 0.0849 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.018765 | -2.21% | 0.01396 | -27.25% | 0.3229 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.020935 | -2.63% | 0.014315 | -33.42% | 0.4041 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023204 | -3.40% | 0.01333 | -44.50% | 0.5582 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.023779 | -3.94% | 0.01549 | -37.43% | 0.4335 | ✓ | 1.00 |