ARGUS
Argus · Arc · lstm_s8
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 84
Track record at +1d
assessed
27
of 28 predictions shown
direction hit
66.7%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0994
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0025
actual -0.0341
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.009037 | 0.008986 | -0.56% | – | pending | – | – | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008983 | 0.008936 | -0.53% | 0.009037 | +0.60% | 0.0146 | ✗ | -1.43 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007312 | -0.28% | 0.008983 | +22.51% | 0.2273 | ✗ | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006844 | -0.20% | 0.007332 | +6.92% | 0.0924 | ✗ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005703 | -0.22% | 0.006858 | +19.99% | 0.1809 | ✗ | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006857 | -0.15% | 0.005716 | -16.77% | 0.1697 | ✓ | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007651 | -0.16% | 0.006867 | -10.39% | 0.1105 | ✓ | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008683 | -0.20% | 0.007663 | -11.92% | 0.1173 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008637 | -0.15% | 0.0087 | +0.58% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007506 | -0.11% | 0.00865 | +15.10% | 0.1604 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008682 | -0.10% | 0.007515 | -13.52% | 0.1608 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.011077 | -0.21% | 0.00869 | -21.71% | 0.2193 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010644 | -0.15% | 0.0111 | +4.13% | 0.0328 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012548 | -0.25% | 0.01066 | -15.26% | 0.1675 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013558 | -0.31% | 0.01258 | -7.50% | 0.0852 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013967 | -0.31% | 0.0136 | -2.93% | 0.0074 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013516 | -0.25% | 0.01401 | +3.39% | 0.0627 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.013925 | -0.25% | 0.01355 | -2.94% | 0.0248 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014281 | -0.23% | 0.01396 | -2.48% | 0.0140 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013304 | -0.19% | 0.014315 | +7.39% | 0.0526 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015448 | -0.27% | 0.01333 | -13.94% | 0.1503 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.014207 | -0.20% | 0.01549 | +8.82% | 0.0905 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.014012 | -0.20% | 0.014235 | +1.39% | 0.0004 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.01465 | -0.20% | 0.01404 | -4.36% | 0.0416 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.019129 | -0.32% | 0.01468 | -23.50% | 0.2669 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021427 | -0.34% | 0.01919 | -10.74% | 0.0983 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023905 | -0.48% | 0.0215 | -10.49% | 0.1066 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.024618 | -0.56% | 0.02402 | -2.97% | 0.0284 | ✓ | 1.00 |