ARGUS
Argus · Arc · lstm_s8
- token id
- #702
- symbol
- ARGUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Arc
- address
- 0xece5ca8bf9220718e5727754026757512212cb3c
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-09-16
- predictions
- 81
Track record at +1d
assessed
26
of 27 predictions shown
direction hit
61.5%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0982
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0023
actual -0.0397
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.008324 | 0.008291 | -0.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.71 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.007332 | 0.007328 | -0.06% | 0.008324 | +13.52% | 0.1226 | ✗ | -1.65 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006858 | 0.006866 | +0.11% | 0.007332 | +6.92% | 0.0893 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.005716 | 0.005729 | +0.23% | 0.006858 | +19.99% | 0.1764 | ✓ | -1.68 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.006867 | 0.006881 | +0.20% | 0.005716 | -16.77% | 0.1732 | ✗ | -1.61 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.007663 | 0.007675 | +0.16% | 0.006867 | -10.39% | 0.1136 | ✗ | -1.64 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.0087 | 0.008704 | +0.05% | 0.007663 | -11.92% | 0.1198 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.00865 | 0.008661 | +0.12% | 0.0087 | +0.58% | 0.0023 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.007515 | 0.007531 | +0.21% | 0.00865 | +15.10% | 0.1572 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.00869 | 0.008705 | +0.17% | 0.007515 | -13.52% | 0.1634 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.0111 | 0.011077 | -0.21% | 0.00869 | -21.71% | 0.2193 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.01066 | 0.010651 | -0.08% | 0.0111 | +4.13% | 0.0320 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.01258 | 0.012542 | -0.30% | 0.01066 | -15.26% | 0.1670 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.0136 | 0.013549 | -0.38% | 0.01258 | -7.50% | 0.0846 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.01401 | 0.013955 | -0.40% | 0.0136 | -2.93% | 0.0066 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.01355 | 0.013502 | -0.35% | 0.01401 | +3.39% | 0.0638 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.01396 | 0.01391 | -0.36% | 0.01355 | -2.94% | 0.0238 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.014315 | 0.014265 | -0.35% | 0.01396 | -2.48% | 0.0128 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.01333 | 0.013288 | -0.31% | 0.014315 | +7.39% | 0.0538 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.01549 | 0.015429 | -0.40% | 0.01333 | -13.94% | 0.1490 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014235 | 0.014186 | -0.34% | 0.01549 | +8.82% | 0.0920 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.01404 | 0.013992 | -0.34% | 0.014235 | +1.39% | 0.0019 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.01468 | 0.014628 | -0.35% | 0.01404 | -4.36% | 0.0400 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.01919 | 0.019095 | -0.49% | 0.01468 | -23.50% | 0.2651 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.0215 | 0.021369 | -0.61% | 0.01919 | -10.74% | 0.0956 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.02402 | 0.023825 | -0.81% | 0.0215 | -10.49% | 0.1032 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.024755 | 0.024519 | -0.95% | 0.02402 | -2.97% | 0.0244 | ✓ | 1.00 |