8=======>

2022-02-21 · +1d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1072
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.88%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.3%
in alpha space · 32.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.3322.3406+0.37%2.436+4.46%0.0045✗1.36579k2022-02-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34010.341097+0.29%0.3536+3.97%0.0186✗1.6716.7M2022-02-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.20420.204753+0.27%0.2163+5.93%0.0045✓1.543.6M2022-02-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.019370.019421+0.26%0.02+3.25%0.0243✗1.6510.9M2022-02-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.44420.445281+0.24%0.4585+3.22%0.0180✗1.45586k2022-02-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.24.2084+0.20%4.43+5.48%0.0155✓1.10485k2022-02-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004510.004518+0.18%0.00452+0.22%0.0623✗1.9212.9M2022-02-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.325.3295+0.18%5.611+5.47%0.0180✓1.03297k2022-02-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033620.033679+0.18%0.03997+18.89%0.1473✓0.731.7M2022-02-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.22412.228+0.17%2.1087-5.19%0.0850✗0.9228k2022-02-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151540.151793+0.17%0.15134-0.13%0.0491✗1.4130k2022-02-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.251.252+0.16%1.31+4.80%0.0039✓1.271.1M2022-02-22
IMXImmutableEthereum1.581.5825+0.16%1.656+4.81%0.0096✓1.103.3M2022-02-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0230180.023054+0.15%0.022348-2.91%0.0672✗1.1189k2022-02-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.31.302+0.15%1.358+4.46%0.0028✗1.381.9M2022-02-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.913.9205+0.15%14.82+6.62%0.0085✓1.662.9M2022-02-22
STXStacksnative1.111.1115+0.13%1.17+5.41%0.0086✓1.31782k2022-02-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04740.04745+0.11%0.0502+5.91%0.0015✗1.7764.3M2022-02-22
SOLSolanaSolana82.9783.0402+0.08%86.43+4.17%0.0005✓1.24154.8M2022-02-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.74210.742635+0.07%0.8019+8.06%0.0284✓1.48411k2022-02-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.22930.229459+0.07%0.245+6.85%0.0280✓1.15469k2022-02-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2790.279175+0.06%0.295+5.73%0.0114✓1.342.0M2022-02-22
AAVEAaveEthereum128.58128.6462+0.05%134.74+4.79%0.0009✗1.456.7M2022-02-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36610.366285+0.05%0.3853+5.24%0.0039✓1.431.5M2022-02-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.371.3706+0.05%1.423+3.87%0.0028✗1.231.1M2022-02-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.5113.5164+0.05%13.98+3.48%0.0059✗1.2161.5M2022-02-22
GTGateEthereum6.08296.0858+0.05%6.1901+1.76%0.0108✗0.853.2M2022-02-22
UNIUniswapEthereum8.528.524+0.05%8.86+3.99%0.0045✗1.3211.2M2022-02-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.172.1709+0.04%2.25+3.69%0.0025✓1.02283k2022-02-22
ZENHorizenBase32.1432.1539+0.04%35.27+9.74%0.0418✓1.55335k2022-02-22
DASHDashDash87.0487.0706+0.04%93.56+7.49%0.0342✓1.151.5M2022-02-22
UMAUMAEthereum4.924.9215+0.03%5.156+4.80%0.0137✓1.011.8M2022-02-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1280940.128132+0.03%0.13132+2.52%0.0084✗1.014.2M2022-02-22
CBKCobakEthereum1.9331.9336+0.03%2.01+3.98%0.0044✓1.0520k2022-02-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7390.739158+0.02%0.799+8.12%0.0335✓1.362.1M2022-02-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.571.5703+0.02%1.69+7.64%0.0295✓1.352.0M2022-02-22
DODODODOEthereum0.4440.444079+0.02%0.454+2.25%0.0229✗1.384.5M2022-02-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.4812.482+0.02%12.96+3.85%0.0041✓1.03404k2022-02-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.059940.059949+0.02%0.06248+4.24%0.0150✓0.8180k2022-02-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative2525.0031+0.01%26.68+6.72%0.0294✓1.095.2M2022-02-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.885730.88583+0.01%0.92764+4.73%0.0109✓1.08165k2022-02-22
COMPCompoundEthereum106.4106.409+0.01%112.33+5.57%0.0120✓1.2959k2022-02-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.08770.087697-0.00%0.0886+1.03%0.0388✓1.50700k2022-02-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.045080.045077-0.01%0.0466+3.37%0.0120✓1.39865k2022-02-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.645790.645752-0.01%0.68391+5.90%0.0082✗1.51278k2022-02-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12830.128287-0.01%0.1319+2.81%0.0060✓1.03467k2022-02-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,642.8419,640.78-0.01%20,636.07+5.06%0.0159✗1.035.8M2022-02-22
HIVEHivenative0.81480.814713-0.01%0.8466+3.90%0.0125✓1.561.8M2022-02-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.16860.168566-0.02%0.1778+5.46%0.0076✗1.403.0M2022-02-22
XTZTezosTezos2.97312.9725-0.02%3.0712+3.30%0.0096✓1.302.1M2022-02-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.6418.6352-0.03%19.18+2.90%0.0116✓1.2410.1M2022-02-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,023.0037,013.34-0.03%38,251.48+3.32%0.0003✗1.00633.0M2022-02-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.1916.1854-0.03%16.61+2.59%0.0177✓1.3430.0M2022-02-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.733.7287-0.04%4.004+7.35%0.0306✗1.242.3M2022-02-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash283.16283.0517-0.04%293.48+3.64%0.0040✗0.988.0M2022-02-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3841.3835-0.04%1.466+5.92%0.0114✗1.43970k2022-02-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.88830.887914-0.04%0.818-7.91%0.1067✓0.761.5M2022-02-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.035910.035894-0.04%0.03793+5.63%0.0190✗1.1132k2022-02-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,569.002,567.70-0.05%2,637.98+2.69%0.0089✓1.10581.4M2022-02-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.75343.7513-0.06%3.9847+6.16%0.0213✗1.20309k2022-02-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2415.238-0.06%5.266+0.48%0.0208✓0.8065k2022-02-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0180350.018024-0.06%0.01893+4.96%0.0121✗1.132.2M2022-02-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.640.63962-0.06%0.707+10.47%0.0652✗1.071.9M2022-02-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0122140.012206-0.06%0.012503+2.37%0.0136✓1.1561k2022-02-22
TRXTRONTron0.0594720.059432-0.07%0.06264+5.33%0.0251✗0.84307k2022-02-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.955.9457-0.07%6.26+5.21%0.0384✗0.401.4M2022-02-22
GITCOINGITCOIN6.046.0355-0.07%6.214+2.88%0.0171✗0.3732k2022-02-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.22060.220435-0.07%0.2269+2.86%0.0046✓1.031.9M2022-02-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.4810.480636-0.08%0.4976+3.45%0.0046✗0.92684k2022-02-22
XVSVenusEthereum8.648.6333-0.08%8.66+0.23%0.0394✓1.303.2M2022-02-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8892.8868-0.08%2.996+3.70%0.0067✗0.93481k2022-02-22
ADACardanoCardano0.85720.856498-0.08%0.8881+3.60%0.0010✓1.1497.3M2022-02-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum21.8721.8516-0.08%23.73+8.50%0.0332✗1.511.8M2022-02-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.78520.784512-0.09%0.8111+3.30%0.0073✓1.2423.9M2022-02-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.342.3379-0.09%2.395+2.35%0.0268✓1.5614.4M2022-02-22
XECeCashnative0.000067830.000067769-0.09%0.00007222+6.47%0.0261✗1.154.6M2022-02-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71130.710651-0.09%0.7509+5.57%0.0180✗1.149.9M2022-02-22
SUSHISushiEthereum3.283.277-0.09%3.4+3.66%0.0086✓1.397.1M2022-02-22
XLMStellarStellar0.178160.177996-0.09%0.18564+4.20%0.0077✗1.0521.8M2022-02-22
NANOnanopayBase1.90471.9029-0.09%1.964+3.11%0.0088✓1.24218k2022-02-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43110.430689-0.10%0.453+5.08%0.0122✓1.922.0M2022-02-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.341.3387-0.10%1.38+2.99%0.0074✓1.162.0M2022-02-22
QTUMQtumQtum5.74315.7371-0.11%6.0072+4.60%0.0023✓1.48172k2022-02-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0031.0019-0.11%1.078+7.48%0.0324✗1.253.0M2022-02-22
MOVRMoonriverBase68.799768.7249-0.11%69.8217+1.49%0.0333✓1.51257k2022-02-22
KSMKusamaHydration125.92125.78-0.11%129.85+3.12%0.0071✓1.19930k2022-02-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin102.78102.6609-0.12%107.51+4.60%0.0065✗1.2129.9M2022-02-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.07910.079005-0.12%0.08458+6.93%0.0323✗1.1049k2022-02-22
QNTQuantEthereum106.88106.7477-0.12%115.85+8.39%0.0499✗0.986.6M2022-02-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.47280.472212-0.12%0.5209+10.17%0.0551✗1.322.3M2022-02-22
XVGVergenative0.009290.009278-0.13%0.00963+3.66%0.0052✓1.301.2M2022-02-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.48272.4795-0.13%2.6533+6.87%0.0265✗1.263.2M2022-02-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3212.318-0.13%2.372+2.20%0.0186✓1.27845k2022-02-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.275.263-0.13%5.38+2.09%0.0066✓0.88398k2022-02-22
SCSiacoinnative0.008470.008459-0.13%0.00878+3.66%0.0030✗1.05504k2022-02-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.726.7109-0.14%6.9+2.68%0.0209✗0.211.3M2022-02-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.6317.6054-0.14%19.41+10.10%0.0475✗1.53350k2022-02-22
XMRMoneroMonero148147.7768-0.15%150.97+2.01%0.0114✓1.001.0M2022-02-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5832.5791-0.15%2.693+4.26%0.0158✗0.84203k2022-02-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.8226-0.15%4.94+2.28%0.0018✓0.79431k2022-02-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.3547.2751-0.16%51.15+8.03%0.0367✗1.298.1M2022-02-22
ZECZcashZcash100.47100.3021-0.17%102.96+2.48%0.0127✓1.197.6M2022-02-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.720.718781-0.17%0.71-1.39%0.0767✓1.971.1M2022-02-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.8323.7856-0.19%24.84+4.24%0.0075✗1.1056.2M2022-02-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5190670.518091-0.19%0.543354+4.68%0.0101✗1.153.5M2022-02-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.7717.7365-0.19%17.92+0.84%0.0280✓1.1723.0M2022-02-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche70.0869.9448-0.19%74.42+6.19%0.0131✗1.50106.7M2022-02-22
BANDBandEthereum3.773.7626-0.20%3.874+2.76%0.0124✓1.271.9M2022-02-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06130.061179-0.20%0.0629+2.61%0.0073✓1.0714k2022-02-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.162.1556-0.20%2.18+0.93%0.0285✓1.22324k2022-02-22
PROPropyEthereum1.991.986-0.20%1.83-8.04%0.1389✓1.75680k2022-02-22
XEMNEMnative0.09270.092512-0.20%0.0987+6.47%0.0315✗1.0238k2022-02-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.920.918117-0.20%0.943+2.50%0.0140✓1.25934k2022-02-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.61271.6093-0.21%1.626+0.82%0.0267✓1.1375k2022-02-22
LUNATerraTerra 250.1350.0231-0.21%54.77+9.26%0.0466✗1.354.8M2022-02-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35720.356427-0.22%0.3823+7.03%0.0242✗1.418.7M2022-02-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.069.0396-0.22%9.51+4.97%0.0277✗0.70758k2022-02-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06920.069037-0.24%0.072+4.05%0.0047✗1.14194k2022-02-22
KCSKuCoinnative18.13718.0937-0.24%18.94+4.43%0.0069✗1.199.8M2022-02-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV80.8780.6767-0.24%83.42+3.15%0.0044✗0.891.0M2022-02-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.835.8158-0.24%5.83+0.00%0.0266✓0.89430k2022-02-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010040.010015-0.25%0.0104+3.59%0.0130✓1.552.2M2022-02-22
AVTAventusEthereum2.372.3641-0.25%2.49+5.06%0.0192✗1.00639k2022-02-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0214.0109-0.25%4.152+3.26%0.0066✗0.86383k2022-02-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.02570.025633-0.26%0.02671+3.93%0.0159✗0.774.7M2022-02-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024040.000023974-0.28%0.00002495+3.79%0.0055✓1.393.7M2022-02-22
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8531.8473-0.31%1.859+0.32%0.0263✓1.0085k2022-02-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.87752.8686-0.31%2.9222+1.55%0.0144✓1.012.5M2022-02-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.86822.8588-0.33%2.8677-0.02%0.0300✓1.022.4M2022-02-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.7713.7247-0.33%14.5+5.30%0.0308✗0.741.8M2022-02-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06810.067876-0.33%0.0708+3.96%0.0028✓1.381.1M2022-02-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02630.026212-0.33%0.0265+0.76%0.0363✓1.45497k2022-02-22
ORCAOrcaSolana2.622.611-0.34%2.61-0.38%0.0330✓1.00694k2022-02-22
XYMSymbolnative0.14880.148286-0.35%0.1484-0.27%0.0261✓0.82362k2022-02-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2480.247119-0.36%0.24-3.23%0.0595✓0.9368k2022-02-22
BTTCBTTC0.000001940.000001933-0.36%0.00000194+0.00%0.0290✓1.0014.4M2022-02-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.75691.7505-0.36%1.7886+1.80%0.0041✗0.532.8M2022-02-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.5126.4118-0.37%30.14+13.69%0.1002✗0.981.5M2022-02-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83955.8172-0.38%5.8481+0.15%0.0073✓0.38412k2022-02-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012840.01279-0.39%0.01237-3.66%0.0587✓0.7815k2022-02-22
FTTFTXEthereum39.8139.6417-0.42%41.51+4.27%0.0081✗1.1627.6M2022-02-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12290.122363-0.44%0.1318+7.24%0.0322✗1.293.2M2022-02-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.13851.1329-0.49%1.272+11.72%0.0736✗1.292.5M2022-02-22
DIADIAEthereum0.910.905325-0.51%0.89-2.20%0.0497✓1.00281k2022-02-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,080.1036,883.18-0.53%38,333.50+3.38%0.0070✗0.9742k2022-02-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1320.131183-0.62%0.139+5.30%0.0242✗1.0351k2022-02-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0502880.049931-0.71%0.051003+1.42%0.0203✓1.277.5M2022-02-22
RADRadworksEthereum5.075.0277-0.83%5.11+0.79%0.0162✓0.99682k2022-02-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.6461.6293-1.02%1.72+4.50%0.0041✓1.53191k2022-02-22
API3Api3Ethereum5.725.6495-1.23%5.979+4.53%0.0455✗0.342.0M2022-02-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.