2022-02-11 · +1d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 149 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

-0.0644

149 of 149 tokens assessed

long-short decile

-1.82%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

43.6%

in alpha space · 51.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.33%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (149 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.032124	0.032132	+0.02%	0.028632	-10.87%	0.1110	✗	1.29	111k	2022-02-12
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.24	17.2417	+0.01%	17.04	-1.16%	0.0059	✗	1.75	3.8M	2022-02-12
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2888	0.288681	-0.04%	0.2838	-1.73%	0.0119	✓	1.55	4.2M	2022-02-12
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.7399	6.7362	-0.06%	6.758	+0.27%	0.0062	✗	0.90	4.0M	2022-02-12
SOL	Solana	Solana	96.5	96.4359	-0.07%	95.95	-0.57%	0.0009	✓	1.25	179.7M	2022-02-12
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.58	2.5782	-0.07%	2.56	-0.78%	0.0037	✓	1.02	457k	2022-02-12
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.92	8.9134	-0.07%	8.98	+0.67%	0.0118	✗	1.30	2.8M	2022-02-12
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.99	5.9848	-0.09%	5.98	-0.17%	0.0030	✗	1.12	689k	2022-02-12
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.0062	0.006194	-0.10%	0.00616	-0.65%	0.0013	✗	2.02	18.8M	2022-02-12
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.14485	0.14471	-0.10%	0.144281	-0.39%	0.0005	✓	1.03	7.1M	2022-02-12
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04188	0.041839	-0.10%	0.04235	+1.12%	0.0159	✗	1.12	30k	2022-02-12
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.063958	0.063893	-0.10%	0.063473	-0.76%	0.0036	✓	0.90	357k	2022-02-12
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.4503	0.449826	-0.11%	0.4544	+0.91%	0.0162	✗	1.83	35.7M	2022-02-12
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4583	0.457807	-0.11%	0.4604	+0.46%	0.0107	✗	1.50	2.2M	2022-02-12
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.71	1.708	-0.11%	1.69	-1.17%	0.0064	✓	1.26	1.4M	2022-02-12
ZEN	Horizen	Base	40.36	40.3096	-0.12%	40.89	+1.31%	0.0195	✗	1.56	461k	2022-02-12
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.22	16.1992	-0.13%	15.97	-1.54%	0.0102	✓	1.21	73.6M	2022-02-12
DASH	Dash	Dash	103.99	103.8557	-0.13%	104.19	+0.19%	0.0070	✗	1.14	2.2M	2022-02-12
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9345	0.933286	-0.13%	0.9401	+0.60%	0.0125	✗	1.57	672k	2022-02-12
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	5.96	5.9522	-0.13%	6.32	+6.04%	0.0632	✗	0.98	1.9M	2022-02-12
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.354	2.3508	-0.14%	2.354	+0.00%	0.0049	✗	1.06	22k	2022-02-12
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.54	124.3604	-0.14%	127.26	+2.18%	0.0273	✗	1.28	65k	2022-02-12
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.65	10.6344	-0.15%	10.64	-0.09%	0.0050	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-12
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.771	0.769864	-0.15%	0.745	-3.37%	0.0292	✓	1.10	1.7M	2022-02-12
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.6537	0.652689	-0.15%	0.6501	-0.55%	0.0012	✓	1.54	743k	2022-02-12
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.5603	6.5497	-0.16%	6.7389	+2.72%	0.0333	✗	1.45	145k	2022-02-12
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.01	5.9999	-0.17%	5.916	-1.56%	0.0110	✓	0.92	72k	2022-02-12
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	42,386.47	42,314.62	-0.17%	42,244.97	-0.33%	0.0017	✓	1.00	642.7M	2022-02-12
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.96	14.9344	-0.17%	15.16	+1.34%	0.0185	✗	1.05	576k	2022-02-12
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.1819	2.1781	-0.17%	2.1781	-0.18%	0.0040	✗	1.20	675k	2022-02-12
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05622	0.05612	-0.18%	0.05601	-0.37%	0.0028	✗	1.43	1.2M	2022-02-12
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.99	18.9557	-0.18%	18.82	-0.90%	0.0026	✓	1.36	36.1M	2022-02-12
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2594	0.258928	-0.18%	0.2514	-3.08%	0.0259	✓	1.09	1.6M	2022-02-12
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	321.01	320.4146	-0.19%	330.64	+3.00%	0.0348	✗	1.02	8.9M	2022-02-12
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.219	7.2055	-0.19%	6.939	-3.88%	0.0343	✓	1.02	407k	2022-02-12
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1086	0.108388	-0.20%	0.1035	-4.70%	0.0409	✓	1.57	1.3M	2022-02-12
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.07	2.0659	-0.20%	2.02	-2.42%	0.0181	✓	1.30	2.3M	2022-02-12
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,929.08	2,923.25	-0.20%	2,919.99	-0.31%	0.0026	✗	1.12	572.6M	2022-02-12
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.03653	0.036456	-0.20%	0.03381	-7.45%	0.0716	✓	1.12	9.5M	2022-02-12
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.52	0.518936	-0.20%	0.514	-1.15%	0.0047	✓	1.45	4.9M	2022-02-12
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	21.09	21.0466	-0.21%	20.86	-1.09%	0.0049	✓	1.21	10.8M	2022-02-12
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.35	50.2419	-0.21%	51.96	+3.20%	0.0384	✗	1.43	7.8M	2022-02-12
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9169	0.914903	-0.22%	0.9188	+0.21%	0.0080	✗	1.12	28.1M	2022-02-12
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01056	0.010537	-0.22%	0.01068	+1.14%	0.0169	✗	1.02	550k	2022-02-12
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.99	1.9856	-0.22%	1.92	-3.52%	0.0296	✓	1.19	1.5M	2022-02-12
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2842	0.283567	-0.22%	0.2852	+0.35%	0.0095	✗	1.12	538k	2022-02-12
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.82329	0.821457	-0.22%	0.80694	-1.99%	0.0128	✓	1.50	311k	2022-02-12
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.215393	0.214905	-0.23%	0.218218	+1.31%	0.0188	✗	1.03	24.3M	2022-02-12
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.96	0.957798	-0.23%	0.942	-1.88%	0.0120	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-12
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	163.71	163.3331	-0.23%	162.52	-0.73%	0.0003	✓	1.41	9.5M	2022-02-12
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2056	0.205122	-0.23%	0.2064	+0.39%	0.0110	✗	1.42	3.7M	2022-02-12
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.7016	4.6904	-0.24%	4.7989	+2.07%	0.0270	✗	1.23	442k	2022-02-12
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5696	0.568189	-0.25%	0.562	-1.33%	0.0066	✓	1.31	2.6M	2022-02-12
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.7756	1.7712	-0.25%	1.7725	-0.17%	0.0045	✗	1.11	78k	2022-02-12
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1623	1.1594	-0.25%	1.1541	-0.70%	0.0010	✓	1.05	239k	2022-02-12
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.257	1.2537	-0.26%	1.267	+0.80%	0.0147	✗	1.25	3.2M	2022-02-12
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.923	7.9017	-0.27%	7.781	-1.79%	0.0142	✓	0.35	38k	2022-02-12
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.09752	0.097257	-0.27%	0.09377	-3.85%	0.0329	✓	1.07	50k	2022-02-12
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	165.1	164.6539	-0.27%	166.09	+0.60%	0.0128	✗	1.22	973k	2022-02-12
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.833	1.828	-0.27%	1.812	-1.15%	0.0044	✓	1.31	1.2M	2022-02-12
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.47	5.455	-0.27%	5.48	+0.18%	0.0072	✗	0.79	377k	2022-02-12
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	6.24	6.2228	-0.28%	6.4	+2.56%	0.0308	✗	0.83	441k	2022-02-12
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07747	0.077249	-0.29%	0.07609	-1.78%	0.0125	✓	0.77	89k	2022-02-12
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.072	0.071792	-0.29%	0.0717	-0.42%	0.0024	✓	1.10	19k	2022-02-12
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.087	19.0309	-0.29%	19.111	+0.13%	0.0087	✗	1.34	10.4M	2022-02-12
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.31	2.3032	-0.30%	2.3	-0.43%	0.0019	✓	0.97	2.9M	2022-02-12
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0803	1.0771	-0.30%	1.0596	-1.92%	0.0126	✓	1.12	115.7M	2022-02-12
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18907	0.188508	-0.30%	0.18496	-2.17%	0.0136	✓	1.62	40k	2022-02-12
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	125.69	125.3144	-0.30%	126.78	+0.87%	0.0160	✗	1.31	35.7M	2022-02-12
XEC	eCash	native	0.00008391	0.000083658	-0.30%	0.0000823	-1.92%	0.0125	✓	1.17	5.6M	2022-02-12
XEM	NEM	native	0.1086	0.108271	-0.30%	0.1086	+0.00%	0.0066	✗	1.06	35k	2022-02-12
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01359	0.013549	-0.30%	0.01362	+0.22%	0.0079	✗	0.78	13k	2022-02-12
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	0.96	0.957044	-0.31%	0.96	+0.00%	0.0064	✗	1.00	281k	2022-02-12
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4181	0.416785	-0.31%	0.4191	+0.24%	0.0100	✗	1.33	8.9M	2022-02-12
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.95	1.9437	-0.32%	1.91	-2.05%	0.0128	✓	1.39	3.0M	2022-02-12
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.47	6.4489	-0.33%	6.67	+3.09%	0.0367	✗	0.89	406k	2022-02-12
STX	Stacks	native	1.51	1.5051	-0.33%	1.52	+0.66%	0.0132	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-02-12
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.375	0.373775	-0.33%	0.37	-1.33%	0.0056	✓	1.36	1.9M	2022-02-12
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0868	0.08651	-0.33%	0.0857	-1.27%	0.0053	✓	1.23	209k	2022-02-12
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.9	4.8835	-0.34%	4.89	-0.20%	0.0055	✗	1.24	2.6M	2022-02-12
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8754	0.872442	-0.34%	0.8744	-0.11%	0.0058	✗	1.06	13.0M	2022-02-12
XMR	Monero	Monero	169.21	168.6338	-0.34%	173.82	+2.72%	0.0338	✗	1.05	1.4M	2022-02-12
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.25	4.2354	-0.34%	4.27	+0.47%	0.0123	✗	1.24	1.9M	2022-02-12
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0976	1.0938	-0.34%	1.0443	-4.85%	0.0423	✓	1.20	2.3M	2022-02-12
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	84.8321	84.5406	-0.34%	85.8439	+1.19%	0.0201	✗	1.44	319k	2022-02-12
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.616904	0.614771	-0.35%	0.617618	+0.12%	0.0085	✗	1.17	3.5M	2022-02-12
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	129.51	129.0579	-0.35%	133.7	+3.24%	0.0387	✗	1.02	7.8M	2022-02-12
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.54	2.5311	-0.35%	2.5	-1.57%	0.0080	✓	1.29	401k	2022-02-12
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.4	5.3809	-0.35%	5.34	-1.11%	0.0041	✓	1.04	701k	2022-02-12
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.453	4.4371	-0.36%	4.786	+7.48%	0.0785	✗	0.84	346k	2022-02-12
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.754	2.7441	-0.36%	2.76	+0.22%	0.0103	✗	1.35	1.1M	2022-02-12
XVG	Verge	native	0.01151	0.011468	-0.36%	0.01149	-0.17%	0.0065	✗	1.38	1.3M	2022-02-12
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.015872	0.015814	-0.37%	0.015897	+0.16%	0.0092	✗	1.17	689k	2022-02-12
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1735	0.172862	-0.37%	0.1736	+0.06%	0.0067	✗	0.72	406k	2022-02-12
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	59.07	58.8506	-0.37%	59.18	+0.19%	0.0097	✗	1.23	8.8M	2022-02-12
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.89	2.8792	-0.37%	2.87	-0.69%	0.0015	✓	1.41	20.0M	2022-02-12
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		94.64	94.2866	-0.37%	94.11	-0.56%	0.0012	✓	0.91	1.3M	2022-02-12
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	116.54	116.1047	-0.37%	117.83	+1.11%	0.0190	✗	1.27	7.3M	2022-02-12
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1566	0.156015	-0.37%	0.1672	+6.77%	0.0727	✗	1.05	430k	2022-02-12
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000216	0.000002152	-0.38%	0.00000217	+0.46%	0.0117	✗	1.00	14.6M	2022-02-12
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	29.96	29.8444	-0.39%	28.49	-4.91%	0.0414	✓	1.50	2.0M	2022-02-12
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.154	3.1417	-0.39%	3.162	+0.25%	0.0091	✗	0.81	206k	2022-02-12
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,347.70	42,176.99	-0.40%	42,568.00	+0.52%	0.0125	✗	0.97	41k	2022-02-12
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.1	10.0587	-0.41%	11.03	+9.21%	0.0945	✗	0.71	660k	2022-02-12
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	22.36	22.2676	-0.41%	22.54	+0.81%	0.0174	✗	1.57	387k	2022-02-12
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.29	3.2764	-0.41%	3.312	+0.67%	0.0138	✗	0.89	525k	2022-02-12
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.022611	0.022514	-0.43%	0.021888	-3.20%	0.0241	✓	1.21	2.4M	2022-02-12
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	26.56	26.4437	-0.44%	27.07	+1.92%	0.0272	✗	1.13	76.9M	2022-02-12
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.81	81.4517	-0.44%	81.34	-0.57%	0.0031	✓	1.35	92.3M	2022-02-12
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.117	0.116477	-0.45%	0.116	-0.85%	0.0008	✓	1.00	72k	2022-02-12
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01244	0.012383	-0.45%	0.01276	+2.57%	0.0350	✗	1.52	1.7M	2022-02-12
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	19.82	19.7298	-0.46%	20.07	+1.26%	0.0210	✗	1.16	25.3M	2022-02-12
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.4051	3.3896	-0.46%	3.5079	+3.02%	0.0380	✗	1.11	2.5M	2022-02-12
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9222	2.9085	-0.47%	2.9115	-0.36%	0.0044	✓	1.00	3.0M	2022-02-12
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.74	32.586	-0.47%	31.67	-3.27%	0.0250	✓	1.06	4.6M	2022-02-12
HIVE	Hive	native	1.074	1.0688	-0.48%	1.052	-2.05%	0.0110	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-02-12
ORCA	Orca	Solana	3.11	3.0944	-0.50%	3.03	-2.57%	0.0177	✓	1.00	2.0M	2022-02-12
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,115.13	22,993.84	-0.52%	23,131.85	+0.07%	0.0092	✗	0.96	8.0M	2022-02-12
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.157	5.1297	-0.53%	4.904	-4.91%	0.0419	✓	0.92	1.0M	2022-02-12
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.1	1.094	-0.55%	1.12	+1.82%	0.0282	✗	1.39	655k	2022-02-12
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.97	7.9264	-0.55%	7.78	-2.38%	0.0174	✓	0.37	1.7M	2022-02-12
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.09	4.0667	-0.57%	4.15	+1.47%	0.0249	✗	1.38	8.0M	2022-02-12
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.7	7.6561	-0.57%	7.93	+2.99%	0.0362	✗	0.30	1.0M	2022-02-12
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0654	0.065025	-0.57%	0.0682	+4.28%	0.0535	✗	1.75	42.7M	2022-02-12
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.92	0.9146	-0.59%	0.94	+2.17%	0.0340	✗	1.96	1.1M	2022-02-12
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.97	3.9467	-0.59%	4.07	+2.52%	0.0319	✗	0.34	1.8M	2022-02-12
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03298	0.032784	-0.60%	0.03125	-5.25%	0.0450	✓	0.86	6.4M	2022-02-12
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.46	43.2008	-0.60%	44.18	+1.66%	0.0264	✗	1.18	32.3M	2022-02-12
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.06	27.8889	-0.61%	30.19	+7.59%	0.0825	✗	0.96	679k	2022-02-12
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.047719	0.047426	-0.61%	0.044288	-7.19%	0.0644	✓	1.21	8.7M	2022-02-12
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.637	1.6269	-0.62%	1.618	-1.16%	0.0016	✓	1.16	1.6M	2022-02-12
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5956	0.591888	-0.62%	0.5785	-2.87%	0.0193	✓	1.06	1.1M	2022-02-12
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.28	2.2656	-0.63%	2.22	-2.63%	0.0170	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-02-12
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0319	0.031695	-0.64%	0.0322	+0.94%	0.0208	✗	1.49	490k	2022-02-12
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3129	4.2852	-0.64%	4.109	-4.73%	0.0376	✓	1.30	2.4M	2022-02-12
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9151	1.9026	-0.65%	1.8422	-3.81%	0.0302	✓	0.61	2.9M	2022-02-12
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.1483	1.1402	-0.70%	1.2471	+8.60%	0.0949	✗	1.59	114k	2022-02-12
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2269	1.2182	-0.71%	1.2939	+5.46%	0.0633	✗	0.90	1.8M	2022-02-12
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.5941	3.5684	-0.71%	3.527	-1.87%	0.0087	✓	0.88	30k	2022-02-12
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6358	0.631044	-0.75%	0.6015	-5.39%	0.0417	✓	1.87	1.8M	2022-02-12
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.05111	0.050707	-0.79%	0.04741	-7.24%	0.0639	✓	1.00	4.9M	2022-02-12
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.1868	6.1378	-0.79%	5.9446	-3.91%	0.0309	✓	0.32	447k	2022-02-12
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.6	3.5701	-0.83%	3.7974	+5.48%	0.0649	✗	0.97	2.2M	2022-02-12
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	16.98	16.8349	-0.85%	18.05	+6.30%	0.0721	✗	0.71	919k	2022-02-12
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002872	0.00002847	-0.87%	0.0000292	+1.67%	0.0301	✗	1.42	1.7M	2022-02-12
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	2.551	2.527	-0.94%	2.404	-5.76%	0.0466	✓	1.00	68k	2022-02-12
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.301	0.297992	-1.00%	0.338	+12.29%	0.1291	✗	0.94	76k	2022-02-12
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.149	0.147354	-1.10%	0.1393	-6.51%	0.0517	✓	1.35	3.2M	2022-02-12
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0869	0.085862	-1.19%	0.0956	+10.01%	0.1121	✗	1.39	567k	2022-02-12

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.