8=======>

2022-01-05 · +1d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1011
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.39%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
44.9%
in alpha space · 54.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.28131.2848+0.28%1.2262-4.30%0.0393✗0.924.1M2022-01-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum33.8233.8868+0.20%33.11-2.10%0.0083✗1.835.4M2022-01-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.186070.186259+0.10%0.18217-2.10%0.0096✗1.556,3502022-01-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.7410.7465+0.06%10.32-3.91%0.0414✗-0.112.0M2022-01-06
SOLSolanaSolana154.44154.5319+0.06%150.23-2.73%0.0202✗0.99211.5M2022-01-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.9631.9775+0.05%31.67-0.91%0.0015✗1.003.6M2022-01-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1589360.159014+0.05%0.160007+0.67%0.0151✓1.094.6M2022-01-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.693.6916+0.04%3.49-5.42%0.0480✗1.003.3M2022-01-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0673.0682+0.04%3.064-0.10%0.0114✓1.571.5M2022-01-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.322.3204+0.02%2.35+1.29%0.0210✓1.023.8M2022-01-06
XVSVenusEthereum15.1715.1719+0.01%14.53-4.22%0.0340✗1.133.5M2022-01-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,436.0443,440.09+0.01%43,083.76-0.81%0.0001✓1.00727.0M2022-01-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.8667.8667+0.01%7.686-2.29%0.0134✗1.21336k2022-01-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash399.79399.7608-0.01%400.02+0.06%0.0088✗1.009.0M2022-01-06
QTUMQtumQtum8.23288.2316-0.01%8.3621+1.57%0.0268✗1.36268k2022-01-06
MANADecentralandEthereum2.91412.9136-0.02%3.3872+16.24%0.1586✗0.985.6M2022-01-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0204890.020484-0.02%0.020968+2.34%0.0333✗1.232.4M2022-01-06
LRCLoopringEthereum1.80481.8042-0.03%1.841+2.01%0.0356✗1.891.4M2022-01-06
ETHEthereumEthereum3,539.003,537.82-0.03%3,406.03-3.76%0.0296✓1.02619.8M2022-01-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.846.8374-0.04%6.77-1.02%0.0047✓0.64778k2022-01-06
DASHDashDash122.47122.4169-0.04%124.32+1.51%0.0256✗1.251.9M2022-01-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18320.18311-0.05%0.1812-1.09%0.0032✓0.90503k2022-01-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.083690.083647-0.05%0.08065-3.63%0.0247✓1.452.8M2022-01-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1781.1773-0.06%1.163-1.27%0.0048✓0.912.4M2022-01-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4651.4641-0.06%1.42-3.07%0.0199✓1.313.4M2022-01-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.6430.642622-0.06%0.6492+0.96%0.0211✗1.342.8M2022-01-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.35540.355184-0.06%0.341-4.05%0.0306✓1.253.0M2022-01-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6460.64559-0.06%0.6385-1.16%0.0009✓1.255.0M2022-01-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin33.0933.0689-0.06%32.98-0.33%0.0058✗1.0422.7M2022-01-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin135.32135.2319-0.07%135.9+0.43%0.0158✗1.3336.7M2022-01-06
NANOnanopayBase3.38543.383-0.07%3.3664-0.56%0.0037✗1.06754k2022-01-06
TRXTRONTron0.0711530.071101-0.07%0.071075-0.11%0.0073✗0.94556k2022-01-06
ZENHorizenBase60.3360.2796-0.08%57.79-4.21%0.0307✓1.41807k2022-01-06
DODODODOEthereum0.8290.828254-0.09%0.822-0.84%0.0040✗1.428.1M2022-01-06
QNTQuantEthereum166.2166.0467-0.09%178.46+7.38%0.0798✗0.957.9M2022-01-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5950.594435-0.09%0.591-0.67%0.0045✗1.262.2M2022-01-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.6322.6077-0.10%22.55-0.35%0.0032✗0.711.2M2022-01-06
GTGateEthereum6.18546.1791-0.10%6.2776+1.49%0.0223✗0.793.9M2022-01-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.198.1815-0.10%8.21+0.24%0.0085✗0.61828k2022-01-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.60045.594-0.11%5.6388+0.68%0.0173✗1.15522k2022-01-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.6838.6728-0.12%8.508-2.02%0.0137✓0.67286k2022-01-06
COMPCompoundEthereum204.79204.5423-0.12%204.52-0.13%0.0091✗1.13211k2022-01-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.85032.8468-0.12%3.0021+5.33%0.0629✗1.202.7M2022-01-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.7126.6775-0.12%26.71+0.00%0.0115✗1.2771.0M2022-01-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09120.091088-0.12%0.0923+1.21%0.0244✗1.381.5M2022-01-06
XECeCashnative0.000104690.000104558-0.13%0.00010344-1.19%0.0027✓0.997.2M2022-01-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana109.9873-0.13%10.01+0.10%0.0084✗0.751.2M2022-01-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05010.050036-0.13%0.05212+4.03%0.0495✗1.0716k2022-01-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2814.261-0.13%14.5+1.54%0.0222✗0.681.1M2022-01-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.078.0592-0.13%8.15+0.99%0.0172✗0.74771k2022-01-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.17230.172069-0.13%0.1662-3.54%0.0248✓1.222.1M2022-01-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.8612.8572-0.13%2.816-1.57%0.0074✓0.8839k2022-01-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7274.7205-0.14%4.805+1.65%0.0228✗0.61498k2022-01-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13574.13-0.14%4.04-2.31%0.0164✓0.6917k2022-01-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.076530.076423-0.14%0.07678+0.33%0.0146✗1.2220.3M2022-01-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.1811.1638-0.15%10.9-2.50%0.0187✓0.641.2M2022-01-06
ADACardanoCardano1.23041.2286-0.15%1.2794+3.98%0.0492✗1.0797.2M2022-01-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5331.5307-0.15%1.537+0.26%0.0152✗1.365.7M2022-01-06
XVGVergenative0.016010.015985-0.15%0.01576-1.56%0.0045✓1.192.2M2022-01-06
XLMStellarStellar0.266040.265619-0.16%0.2675+0.55%0.0153✗1.0124.9M2022-01-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.7629.7126-0.16%29.35-1.38%0.0069✓0.65385k2022-01-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.031940.031889-0.16%0.030651-4.04%0.0313✓1.027.3M2022-01-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.0991.0971-0.17%1.0704-2.60%0.0133✓1.401.7M2022-01-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.33.2944-0.17%3.23-2.12%0.0119✓0.96995k2022-01-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.36011.3578-0.17%1.4075+3.48%0.0439✗0.983.6M2022-01-06
ZECZcashZcash136.6136.3628-0.17%137.22+0.45%0.0167✗1.289.4M2022-01-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum80.3780.2254-0.18%79.02-1.68%0.0068✓1.026.3M2022-01-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08190.081741-0.19%0.0802-2.08%0.0107✓1.0318k2022-01-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.13.0937-0.20%3.01-2.90%0.0168✓1.303.0M2022-01-06
SCSiacoinnative0.014460.01443-0.21%0.0145+0.28%0.0127✗0.96783k2022-01-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.27870.278108-0.21%0.2811+0.86%0.0212✗1.294.6M2022-01-06
STORJStorjEthereum1.62911.6256-0.21%1.6476+1.14%0.0203✗0.85668k2022-01-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030370.000030305-0.21%0.00003079+1.38%0.0260✗1.241.7M2022-01-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.24981.2471-0.21%1.3048+4.40%0.0541✗1.10922k2022-01-06
UNIUniswapEthereum17.1117.073-0.22%17.06-0.29%0.0094✗1.2514.1M2022-01-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.28734.2779-0.22%4.451+3.82%0.0500✗1.274.5M2022-01-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.553.542-0.22%3.49-1.69%0.0041✓1.3110.7M2022-01-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.79773.7891-0.23%3.77-0.73%0.0059✓-0.11364k2022-01-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0792.0742-0.23%2.026-2.55%0.0144✓1.122.5M2022-01-06
LSKLiskEthereum2.18862.1835-0.23%2.1524-1.66%0.0058✓1.05100k2022-01-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche97.3697.126-0.24%95.14-2.28%0.0120✓1.07115.7M2022-01-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.109130.108863-0.24%0.10779-1.23%0.0009✓1.1026k2022-01-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.561.5561-0.25%1.65+5.77%0.0722✗1.66928k2022-01-06
XMRMoneroMonero206.96206.4266-0.26%205.35-0.78%0.0025✓0.953.2M2022-01-06
KSMKusamaHydration266.77266.0823-0.26%269.76+1.12%0.0228✗1.111.3M2022-01-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.36710.366126-0.27%0.3708+1.01%0.0242✗1.413.4M2022-01-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8083.7979-0.27%3.876+1.79%0.0259✗0.69454k2022-01-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.018560.018509-0.27%0.01816-2.16%0.0142✓0.6033k2022-01-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.111.107-0.27%1.12+0.90%0.0199✗1.001.9M2022-01-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4422.4353-0.28%2.573+5.36%0.0635✗1.041.9M2022-01-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19040.189862-0.28%0.1871-1.73%0.0049✓1.194.8M2022-01-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV114.04113.7152-0.28%111.16-2.53%0.0151✓0.943.0M2022-01-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.62980.627969-0.29%0.6365+1.06%0.0232✗1.1911.4M2022-01-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12290.122524-0.31%0.1215-1.14%0.0005✓1.09304k2022-01-06
KCSKuCoinnative21.22621.1609-0.31%20.968-1.22%0.0038✗1.5913.6M2022-01-06
XTZTezosTezos4.50934.4951-0.32%4.455-1.20%0.0019✓1.344.9M2022-01-06
AAVEAaveEthereum230.12229.3609-0.33%220.94-3.99%0.0283✓1.1214.0M2022-01-06
XYMSymbolnative0.19040.189767-0.33%0.1919+0.79%0.0164✗0.64441k2022-01-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.4233.3071-0.34%33.16-0.78%0.0074✗1.461.1M2022-01-06
API3Api3Ethereum4.144.1259-0.34%4-3.38%0.0228✓1.00962k2022-01-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.1711.1669-0.35%1.1841+1.12%0.0224✗0.9521.2M2022-01-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06760.067362-0.35%0.0701+3.70%0.0509✗1.361.6M2022-01-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.33050.329312-0.36%0.3346+1.24%0.0242✗1.02293k2022-01-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.17561.1713-0.36%1.1802+0.40%0.0216✗1.731.1M2022-01-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10170.101321-0.37%0.1019+0.20%0.0138✗1.0030.6M2022-01-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3954.3775-0.40%4.338-1.30%0.0029✓0.761.1M2022-01-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017680.017607-0.41%0.01706-3.51%0.0213✓1.262.2M2022-01-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8265020.823093-0.41%0.798009-3.45%0.0221✓1.092.8M2022-01-06
RADRadworksEthereum10.0810.0371-0.43%9.59-4.86%0.0384✓0.881.2M2022-01-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.018340.018261-0.43%0.01705-7.03%0.0605✓1.0029.0M2022-01-06
HIVEHivenative1.51491.5079-0.46%1.4868-1.85%0.0030✓1.365.2M2022-01-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95030.945834-0.47%0.9504+0.01%0.0130✗1.00144k2022-01-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.046810.046572-0.51%0.046-1.73%0.0051✓0.898.2M2022-01-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.102190.101668-0.51%0.10088-1.28%0.0023✓0.6755k2022-01-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.55621.5482-0.52%1.5631+0.44%0.0185✗1.0930.0M2022-01-06
LUNATerraTerra 278.4178.005-0.52%78.39-0.03%0.0131✗1.007.4M2022-01-06
MOVRMoonriverBase198.6558197.6239-0.52%185.613-6.57%0.0550✓0.94574k2022-01-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.40.397914-0.52%0.386-3.50%0.0246✓0.7139k2022-01-06
IMXImmutableEthereum4.414.3861-0.54%4.15-5.90%0.0472✓1.002.5M2022-01-06
XEMNEMnative0.12970.128985-0.55%0.1232-5.01%0.0377✓1.00115k2022-01-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,367.5043,125.89-0.56%43,220.90-0.34%0.0101✗0.9810k2022-01-06
FTTFTXEthereum38.0637.8347-0.59%38.64+1.52%0.0294✗1.0219.4M2022-01-06
SUSHISushiEthereum7.647.5943-0.60%7.45-2.49%0.0087✓1.2918.2M2022-01-06
GITCOINGITCOIN13.4613.3681-0.68%13.09-2.75%0.0205✓0.0682k2022-01-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,578.7632,343.94-0.72%35,933.69+10.30%0.1107✗0.6720.1M2022-01-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0675530.067042-0.76%0.062116-8.05%0.0660✓1.267.4M2022-01-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.73890.733181-0.77%0.7786+5.37%0.0742✗1.7335.9M2022-01-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.2225.0171-0.80%25.39+0.67%0.0243✗1.1769.2M2022-01-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.376.3186-0.81%5.96-6.44%0.0493✓1.123.3M2022-01-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.3113.2005-0.82%13.1-1.58%0.0066✓0.123.9M2022-01-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.6330.3743-0.83%30.59-0.13%0.0183✗1.3824.2M2022-01-06
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.8277-0.84%3.68-4.66%0.0313✓0.99626k2022-01-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.4442.0659-0.88%41.84-1.41%0.0077✓1.602.8M2022-01-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.45.3495-0.94%5.41+0.19%0.0224✗1.3729.4M2022-01-06
BANDBandEthereum6.236.1619-1.09%5.83-6.42%0.0468✓1.052.1M2022-01-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.6738.2191-1.17%40.04+3.54%0.0541✗0.9243.4M2022-01-06
UMAUMAEthereum11.0110.8752-1.22%9.76-11.35%0.1004✓0.963.9M2022-01-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55930.550726-1.53%0.553-1.13%0.0157✗1.42650k2022-01-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.