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2022-01-05 · +1d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1649
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.77%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
54.3%
in alpha space · 54.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-0.81%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.083690.084007+0.38%0.08065-3.63%0.0290✗1.452.8M2022-01-06
SOLSolanaSolana154.44154.8113+0.24%150.23-2.73%0.0212✗1.08211.5M2022-01-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.561.5635+0.22%1.65+5.77%0.0677✓1.69928k2022-01-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.28131.284+0.21%1.2262-4.30%0.0389✗0.884.1M2022-01-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0792.0832+0.20%2.026-2.55%0.0187✗1.132.5M2022-01-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.62980.631046+0.20%0.6365+1.06%0.0191✓1.2911.4M2022-01-06
TRXTRONTron0.0711530.071288+0.19%0.071075-0.11%0.0048✓0.95556k2022-01-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.60045.611+0.19%5.6388+0.68%0.0148✓1.21522k2022-01-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin135.32135.5569+0.18%135.9+0.43%0.0135✓1.3536.7M2022-01-06
ADACardanoCardano1.23041.2324+0.16%1.2794+3.98%0.0463✓1.1097.2M2022-01-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19040.190712+0.16%0.1871-1.73%0.0091✗1.234.8M2022-01-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.7629.8084+0.16%29.35-1.38%0.0099✗0.69385k2022-01-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.28734.2942+0.16%4.451+3.82%0.0462✓1.274.5M2022-01-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash399.79400.3962+0.15%400.02+0.06%0.0074✓1.029.0M2022-01-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0204890.020516+0.13%0.020968+2.34%0.0317✓1.212.4M2022-01-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.27870.279051+0.13%0.2811+0.86%0.0180✓1.314.6M2022-01-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.4233.4615+0.12%33.16-0.78%0.0033✓1.521.1M2022-01-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06760.067683+0.12%0.0701+3.70%0.0462✓1.361.6M2022-01-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.076530.076622+0.12%0.07678+0.33%0.0122✓1.2420.3M2022-01-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6460.646755+0.12%0.6385-1.16%0.0025✗1.275.0M2022-01-06
XTZTezosTezos4.50934.5145+0.12%4.455-1.20%0.0023✗1.354.9M2022-01-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1589360.159119+0.12%0.160007+0.67%0.0145✓1.104.6M2022-01-06
LRCLoopringEthereum1.80481.8068+0.11%1.841+2.01%0.0343✓1.921.4M2022-01-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche97.3697.4701+0.11%95.14-2.28%0.0150✗1.13115.7M2022-01-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.031940.031976+0.11%0.030651-4.04%0.0340✗1.027.3M2022-01-06
NANOnanopayBase3.38543.3891+0.11%3.3664-0.56%0.0021✓1.08754k2022-01-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8083.8122+0.11%3.876+1.79%0.0222✓0.69454k2022-01-06
QNTQuantEthereum166.2166.3731+0.10%178.46+7.38%0.0780✓0.977.9M2022-01-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1781.1792+0.10%1.163-1.27%0.0063✗0.932.4M2022-01-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2814.2938+0.10%14.5+1.54%0.0200✓0.691.1M2022-01-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV114.04114.1501+0.10%111.16-2.53%0.0188✗0.963.0M2022-01-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.13.103+0.10%3.01-2.90%0.0197✗1.323.0M2022-01-06
XECeCashnative0.000104690.00010479+0.10%0.00010344-1.19%0.0049✗1.007.2M2022-01-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.1711.1721+0.09%1.1841+1.12%0.0181✓0.9721.2M2022-01-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4651.4663+0.09%1.42-3.07%0.0213✗1.323.4M2022-01-06
ZENHorizenBase60.3360.3787+0.08%57.79-4.21%0.0316✗1.50807k2022-01-06
XVSVenusEthereum15.1715.1819+0.08%14.53-4.22%0.0346✗1.143.5M2022-01-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.9631.9848+0.08%31.67-0.91%0.0014✗1.043.6M2022-01-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18320.183341+0.08%0.1812-1.09%0.0043✗0.92503k2022-01-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7274.7306+0.08%4.805+1.65%0.0207✓0.63498k2022-01-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.79773.8006+0.08%3.77-0.73%0.0090✗-0.11364k2022-01-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.846.8451+0.07%6.77-1.02%0.0058✗0.64778k2022-01-06
ZECZcashZcash136.6136.6995+0.07%137.22+0.45%0.0148✓1.369.4M2022-01-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.8667.8717+0.07%7.686-2.29%0.0137✗1.24336k2022-01-06
COMPCompoundEthereum204.79204.9314+0.07%204.52-0.13%0.0074✓1.16211k2022-01-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,578.7632,601.10+0.07%35,933.69+10.30%0.1027✓0.6620.1M2022-01-06
ETHEthereumEthereum3,539.003,541.21+0.06%3,406.03-3.76%0.0304✗1.05619.8M2022-01-06
DODODODOEthereum0.8290.829514+0.06%0.822-0.84%0.0028✓1.468.1M2022-01-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.7126.7263+0.06%26.71+0.00%0.0099✓1.2971.0M2022-01-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.198.1948+0.06%8.21+0.24%0.0069✓0.62828k2022-01-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.33.3018+0.06%3.23-2.12%0.0140✗0.98995k2022-01-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8265020.82696+0.06%0.798009-3.45%0.0264✗1.132.8M2022-01-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,436.0443,459.27+0.05%43,083.76-0.81%0.0005✓1.00727.0M2022-01-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.35540.355574+0.05%0.341-4.05%0.0317✗1.253.0M2022-01-06
GTGateEthereum6.18546.1884+0.05%6.2776+1.49%0.0212✓0.853.9M2022-01-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09120.091241+0.05%0.0923+1.21%0.0227✓1.371.5M2022-01-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin33.0933.1042+0.04%32.98-0.33%0.0048✓1.0522.7M2022-01-06
AAVEAaveEthereum230.12230.214+0.04%220.94-3.99%0.0317✗1.1614.0M2022-01-06
QTUMQtumQtum8.23288.2361+0.04%8.3621+1.57%0.0268✓1.42268k2022-01-06
DASHDashDash122.47122.5159+0.04%124.32+1.51%0.0251✓1.291.9M2022-01-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.36710.367237+0.04%0.3708+1.01%0.0217✓1.483.4M2022-01-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.322.3207+0.03%2.35+1.29%0.0212✓1.073.8M2022-01-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3954.3962+0.03%4.338-1.30%0.0070✗0.771.1M2022-01-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.85032.851+0.02%3.0021+5.33%0.0614✓1.202.7M2022-01-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5950.595119+0.02%0.591-0.67%0.0035✓1.282.2M2022-01-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5331.5332+0.02%1.537+0.26%0.0136✓1.375.7M2022-01-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.36011.3603+0.01%1.4075+3.48%0.0421✓0.983.6M2022-01-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.17230.172304+0.00%0.1662-3.54%0.0262✗1.222.1M2022-01-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.109130.109132+0.00%0.10779-1.23%0.0032✗1.1226k2022-01-06
KSMKusamaHydration266.77266.7624-0.00%269.76+1.12%0.0205✗1.141.3M2022-01-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana109.9996-0.00%10.01+0.10%0.0072✗0.751.2M2022-01-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.078.0695-0.01%8.15+0.99%0.0162✗0.77771k2022-01-06
XLMStellarStellar0.266040.266019-0.01%0.2675+0.55%0.0138✗1.0224.9M2022-01-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08190.08189-0.01%0.0802-2.08%0.0122✓1.0618k2022-01-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017680.017677-0.02%0.01706-3.51%0.0251✓1.292.2M2022-01-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum33.8233.8133-0.02%33.11-2.10%0.0061✓1.835.4M2022-01-06
KCSKuCoinnative21.22621.2212-0.02%20.968-1.22%0.0011✗1.6113.6M2022-01-06
MOVRMoonriverBase198.6558198.6085-0.02%185.613-6.57%0.0589✓1.08574k2022-01-06
XMRMoneroMonero206.96206.9091-0.02%205.35-0.78%0.0007✗1.023.2M2022-01-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum10.7410.7372-0.03%10.32-3.91%0.0406✓-0.122.0M2022-01-06
FTTFTXEthereum38.0638.0498-0.03%38.64+1.52%0.0241✗1.0719.4M2022-01-06
XEMNEMnative0.12970.12966-0.03%0.1232-5.01%0.0426✓1.04115k2022-01-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.0991.0986-0.03%1.0704-2.60%0.0146✓1.401.7M2022-01-06
SCSiacoinnative0.014460.014455-0.03%0.0145+0.28%0.0110✗0.97783k2022-01-06
XVGVergenative0.016010.016005-0.03%0.01576-1.56%0.0056✓1.202.2M2022-01-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4422.4412-0.03%2.573+5.36%0.0612✗1.061.9M2022-01-06
UNIUniswapEthereum17.1117.1038-0.04%17.06-0.29%0.0079✗1.2814.1M2022-01-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.40.399835-0.04%0.386-3.50%0.0294✓0.7239k2022-01-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.6430.642735-0.04%0.6492+0.96%0.0209✗1.342.8M2022-01-06
LSKLiskEthereum2.18862.1876-0.05%2.1524-1.66%0.0071✓1.13100k2022-01-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.6330.6159-0.05%30.59-0.13%0.0106✗1.4024.2M2022-01-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.018560.01855-0.05%0.01816-2.16%0.0158✓0.6733k2022-01-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.24981.249-0.06%1.3048+4.40%0.0528✗1.11922k2022-01-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum22.6322.6146-0.07%22.55-0.35%0.0055✗1.031.2M2022-01-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.6838.6769-0.07%8.508-2.02%0.0145✓0.64286k2022-01-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.376.3651-0.08%5.96-6.44%0.0565✓1.133.3M2022-01-06
XYMSymbolnative0.19040.190253-0.08%0.1919+0.79%0.0138✗0.63441k2022-01-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030370.000030343-0.09%0.00003079+1.38%0.0247✗1.241.7M2022-01-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05010.050052-0.10%0.05212+4.03%0.0497✗1.1316k2022-01-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,367.5043,320.56-0.11%43,220.90-0.34%0.0057✗0.9810k2022-01-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.17561.1742-0.12%1.1802+0.40%0.0195✗1.771.1M2022-01-06
SUSHISushiEthereum7.647.631-0.12%7.45-2.49%0.0134✓1.3018.2M2022-01-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0675530.067472-0.12%0.062116-8.05%0.0722✓1.307.4M2022-01-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.0673.0632-0.13%3.064-0.10%0.0131✗1.571.5M2022-01-06
STORJStorjEthereum1.62911.627-0.13%1.6476+1.14%0.0195✗0.85668k2022-01-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.046810.046739-0.15%0.046-1.73%0.0085✓0.918.2M2022-01-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.33050.329968-0.16%0.3346+1.24%0.0222✗1.02293k2022-01-06
RADRadworksEthereum10.0810.0634-0.16%9.59-4.86%0.0410✓0.881.2M2022-01-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12290.122697-0.17%0.1215-1.14%0.0010✓1.09304k2022-01-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum80.3780.2322-0.17%79.02-1.68%0.0069✓1.026.3M2022-01-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.55621.5534-0.18%1.5631+0.44%0.0154✗1.1330.0M2022-01-06
GITCOINGITCOIN13.4613.4359-0.18%13.09-2.75%0.0259✓0.0382k2022-01-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.102190.102004-0.18%0.10088-1.28%0.0056✓0.6755k2022-01-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.8612.8555-0.19%2.816-1.57%0.0067✓0.8939k2022-01-06
MANADecentralandEthereum2.91412.9084-0.20%3.3872+16.24%0.1604✗0.985.6M2022-01-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.553.5424-0.22%3.49-1.69%0.0042✓1.3110.7M2022-01-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13574.1259-0.24%4.04-2.31%0.0149✓0.7517k2022-01-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.45.3863-0.25%5.41+0.19%0.0158✗1.4029.4M2022-01-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.2225.1526-0.27%25.39+0.67%0.0194✗1.2369.2M2022-01-06
UMAUMAEthereum11.0110.9795-0.28%9.76-11.35%0.1100✓0.953.9M2022-01-06
BANDBandEthereum6.236.2103-0.32%5.83-6.42%0.0544✓1.082.1M2022-01-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.186070.185456-0.33%0.18217-2.10%0.0051✓1.576,3502022-01-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.1811.1418-0.34%10.9-2.50%0.0166✓0.651.2M2022-01-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.111.1061-0.35%1.12+0.90%0.0206✗1.001.9M2022-01-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.4442.2887-0.36%41.84-1.41%0.0024✓1.602.8M2022-01-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.693.6741-0.43%3.49-5.42%0.0433✓1.003.3M2022-01-06
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.8428-0.44%3.68-4.66%0.0350✓1.02626k2022-01-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10170.101202-0.49%0.1019+0.20%0.0150✗1.0030.6M2022-01-06
IMXImmutableEthereum4.414.386-0.54%4.15-5.90%0.0472✓1.002.5M2022-01-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.95030.944884-0.57%0.9504+0.01%0.0140✗1.00144k2022-01-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.6738.4155-0.66%40.04+3.54%0.0489✗0.9243.4M2022-01-06
LUNATerraTerra 278.4177.8732-0.68%78.39-0.03%0.0148✗1.007.4M2022-01-06
API3Api3Ethereum4.144.1095-0.74%4-3.38%0.0189✓1.00962k2022-01-06
HIVEHivenative1.51491.5024-0.83%1.4868-1.85%0.0008✓1.385.2M2022-01-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.018340.018184-0.85%0.01705-7.03%0.0562✓1.0029.0M2022-01-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.55930.55452-0.85%0.553-1.13%0.0088✗1.42650k2022-01-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum13.3113.1938-0.87%13.1-1.58%0.0064✓0.093.9M2022-01-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.73890.732373-0.88%0.7786+5.37%0.0755✗1.7635.9M2022-01-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.