8=======>

2021-12-27 · +1d

lstm_s8 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1535
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.22%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.0%
in alpha space · 91.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.26%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.098160.098318+0.16%0.08977-8.55%0.0036✓1.464.8M2021-12-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07410.074147+0.06%0.0659-11.07%0.0338✗1.302.1M2021-12-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.46083.4609+0.00%3.6+4.02%0.0336✓-0.09395k2021-12-28
XEMNEMnative0.13910.139101+0.00%0.1284-7.69%0.0091✗1.10175k2021-12-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.29215.2904-0.03%5.0292-4.97%0.0370✗1.365.2M2021-12-28
SOLSolanaSolana195.74195.6679-0.04%177.27-9.44%0.0328✓1.02255.1M2021-12-28
NANOnanopayBase3.96523.9637-0.04%3.7465-5.51%0.0123✗1.06798k2021-12-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3372.3359-0.05%2.108-9.80%0.0313✓1.103.3M2021-12-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum51,195.6051,171.19-0.05%47,383.60-7.45%0.0134✓0.988,5662021-12-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0638330.063802-0.05%0.05923-7.21%0.0199✗1.468.2M2021-12-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.5934.5632-0.08%33.51-3.12%0.0123✗0.67572k2021-12-28
TRXTRONTron0.0811670.081095-0.09%0.077218-4.87%0.0131✗0.96648k2021-12-28
ETHEthereumEthereum4,038.644,034.82-0.09%3,793.67-6.07%0.0057✗1.04760.7M2021-12-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash465.3464.7445-0.12%438.74-5.71%0.0086✗1.0212.3M2021-12-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.63.5955-0.13%3.34-7.22%0.0099✓0.991.2M2021-12-28
XTZTezosTezos5.10165.0952-0.13%4.4909-11.97%0.0424✓1.305.3M2021-12-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum13.0313.0134-0.13%12.05-7.52%0.0951✓-0.284.5M2021-12-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.393.3855-0.13%3.03-10.62%0.0279✓1.283.0M2021-12-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV127.41127.2389-0.13%121.77-4.43%0.0199✗0.993.7M2021-12-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.33720.33674-0.14%0.3033-10.05%0.0218✓1.285.8M2021-12-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.95744.95-0.15%4.8047-3.08%0.0182✗0.7427k2021-12-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21940.219068-0.15%0.1998-8.93%0.0360✓0.87701k2021-12-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,717.7750,633.30-0.17%47,543.09-6.26%0.0017✗1.00744.5M2021-12-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241650.024124-0.17%0.021978-9.05%0.0153✓1.202.3M2021-12-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8761370.874625-0.17%0.798687-8.84%0.0209✓1.083.0M2021-12-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.78155.5015-0.18%145.67-6.49%0.0243✗1.3954.4M2021-12-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1878140.187478-0.18%0.173745-7.49%0.0045✓1.115.5M2021-12-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1611.1397-0.18%10.76-3.58%0.0153✗0.771.4M2021-12-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4151.4124-0.18%1.3011-8.05%0.0129✓1.071.2M2021-12-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08970.089525-0.20%0.0838-6.58%0.0044✗1.0918k2021-12-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin39.239.1224-0.20%36.25-7.53%0.0106✓1.0222.1M2021-12-28
QNTQuantEthereum206.05205.642-0.20%188.78-8.38%0.0248✓0.9411.9M2021-12-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum28.2428.1836-0.20%24.71-12.50%0.0411✓1.4022.9M2021-12-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.82.7943-0.20%2.54-9.29%0.0297✓1.024.4M2021-12-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.07832.074-0.21%1.71-17.72%0.1499✓0.676.3M2021-12-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.7999.7786-0.21%9.798-0.01%0.0423✗0.62455k2021-12-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.124840.124569-0.22%0.11446-8.31%0.0136✓1.1029k2021-12-28
COMPCompoundEthereum237.34236.8243-0.22%209-11.94%0.0538✓1.10239k2021-12-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.459.4292-0.22%9.7+2.65%0.0713✗0.661.0M2021-12-28
ADACardanoCardano1.51641.513-0.22%1.3998-7.69%0.0090✓1.06120.2M2021-12-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6861.6821-0.23%1.537-8.84%0.0059✓1.304.1M2021-12-28
XVSVenusEthereum16.8416.801-0.23%15.54-7.72%0.0045✓1.144.8M2021-12-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.55.4872-0.23%5.695+3.55%0.0790✗0.65798k2021-12-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8841.8795-0.24%1.664-11.68%0.0370✓1.317.9M2021-12-28
XMRMoneroMonero220.72220.1834-0.24%208.62-5.48%0.0101✗0.992.8M2021-12-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.058160.058018-0.24%0.05427-6.69%0.0051✗1.1116k2021-12-28
GTGateEthereum6.83956.8226-0.25%6.459-5.56%0.0027✓0.814.3M2021-12-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot30.9730.8913-0.25%27.84-10.11%0.0227✓1.2677.1M2021-12-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11610.115796-0.26%0.1045-9.99%0.0144✓1.372.5M2021-12-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.38231.3786-0.26%1.2203-11.71%0.0083✓1.761.5M2021-12-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3251.3215-0.27%1.28-3.40%0.0306✗0.973.1M2021-12-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.114860.114544-0.27%0.10316-10.19%0.0678✓0.57113k2021-12-28
BANDBandEthereum5.875.8539-0.27%5.34-9.03%0.0148✓1.192.6M2021-12-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.61033.5999-0.29%3.3661-6.76%0.0139✗1.253.1M2021-12-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.017.9866-0.29%7.57-5.49%0.0129✓0.631.0M2021-12-28
CBKCobakEthereum3.2673.2574-0.29%2.98-8.78%0.0347✓0.8495k2021-12-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.084430.084181-0.29%0.07538-10.72%0.0330✓1.2021.1M2021-12-28
XECeCashnative0.000118590.000118236-0.30%0.00010951-7.66%0.0128✓0.9910.2M2021-12-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.0222.9511-0.30%20.36-11.56%0.0352✓1.3169.7M2021-12-28
XLMStellarStellar0.3002880.299346-0.31%0.274101-8.72%0.0233✓1.0033.6M2021-12-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8116.7572-0.31%16.17-3.81%0.0088✗0.691.4M2021-12-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,759.2031,658.48-0.32%28,691.22-9.66%0.0646✓0.528.7M2021-12-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.339.2996-0.33%9.08-2.68%0.0262✗0.771.1M2021-12-28
KCSKuCoinnative22.97622.901-0.33%21.506-6.40%0.0457✗1.6818.6M2021-12-28
LSKLiskEthereum2.54712.5388-0.33%2.4846-2.45%0.0548✗1.18147k2021-12-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3614.3461-0.34%4.564+4.65%0.0952✗0.72487k2021-12-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4660.464392-0.35%0.423-9.23%0.0474✓0.7145k2021-12-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.6137.4787-0.35%34.96-7.05%0.0020✓1.055.1M2021-12-28
ZENHorizenBase70.7270.4685-0.36%63.32-10.46%0.0095✓1.511.2M2021-12-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.446.4169-0.36%5.85-9.16%0.0202✓1.125.1M2021-12-28
QTUMQtumQtum9.99889.9621-0.37%9.0923-9.07%0.0016✓1.44299k2021-12-28
XYMSymbolnative0.23910.238202-0.38%0.2158-9.74%0.0685✓0.47392k2021-12-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos10.0349.9961-0.38%10.128+0.94%0.0994✗1.33411k2021-12-28
DASHDashDash151.04150.4636-0.38%134.75-10.79%0.0286✓1.262.0M2021-12-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum39.5939.438-0.38%35.02-11.54%0.0214✓1.511.3M2021-12-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.018686-0.39%0.01651-11.99%0.0432✓1.252.8M2021-12-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73750.73442-0.42%0.6659-9.71%0.0152✓1.2812.5M2021-12-28
FTTFTXEthereum42.642.4174-0.43%40.01-6.08%0.0099✗1.0620.7M2021-12-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.23960.238563-0.43%0.2199-8.22%0.0024✓1.226.1M2021-12-28
UNIUniswapEthereum19.1119.0265-0.44%18.4-3.72%0.0518✗1.3214.6M2021-12-28
DODODODOEthereum1.0171.0125-0.44%0.911-10.42%0.0105✓1.479.2M2021-12-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0373250.037155-0.46%0.033967-9.00%0.0239✓1.0210.0M2021-12-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79430.79052-0.48%0.7165-9.79%0.0175✓1.256.8M2021-12-28
ZECZcashZcash169.76168.9504-0.48%149.45-11.96%0.0378✓1.3111.8M2021-12-28
SCSiacoinnative0.017130.017048-0.48%0.01563-8.76%0.0266✓0.931.2M2021-12-28
KSMKusamaHydration322.27320.6605-0.50%294.8-8.52%0.0128✓1.101.5M2021-12-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum3.083.0645-0.50%2.754-10.58%0.0442✓0.972.2M2021-12-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.6829.5304-0.50%26.57-10.48%0.0499✓0.8640.2M2021-12-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.37931.3723-0.51%1.4291+3.61%0.1081✗1.0523.6M2021-12-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.7444.7199-0.51%5.349+12.75%0.1791✗0.83719k2021-12-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.210.208899-0.52%0.1923-8.43%0.0092✓1.143.8M2021-12-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.053410.053128-0.53%0.05063-5.21%0.0111✗0.9210.6M2021-12-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021540.021426-0.53%0.01993-7.47%0.0344✓0.5946k2021-12-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47090.468395-0.53%0.4301-8.66%0.0069✗1.431.0M2021-12-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.14530.144526-0.53%0.1358-6.54%0.0062✗1.06376k2021-12-28
STORJStorjEthereum2.05412.0427-0.55%1.8135-11.71%0.0737✓0.701.2M2021-12-28
GITCOINGITCOIN14.10614.0258-0.57%14.59+3.43%0.0334✗-0.09129k2021-12-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.285.2493-0.58%4.72-10.61%0.0222✓1.3026.8M2021-12-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum26.7126.5547-0.58%25.42-4.83%0.0257✗1.071.6M2021-12-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.37560.373304-0.61%0.342-8.95%0.0288✓0.91328k2021-12-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.40140.398911-0.62%0.3781-5.80%0.0446✗1.524.7M2021-12-28
MOVRMoonriverBase211.5789210.2336-0.64%190.178-10.11%0.0266✓1.14674k2021-12-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.321.3114-0.65%1.18-10.61%0.0409✓1.002.4M2021-12-28
LRCLoopringEthereum2.25782.2429-0.66%2.0752-8.09%0.0477✗1.941.6M2021-12-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.66311.6521-0.66%1.4667-11.81%0.0496✓1.0731.7M2021-12-28
CELLCellframeEthereum1.11.0927-0.67%1.027-6.64%0.0027✓1.00165k2021-12-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.011.9966-0.67%1.77-11.94%0.0096✓1.711.5M2021-12-28
RADRadworksEthereum11.0911.0154-0.67%11.66+5.14%0.1180✗0.951.3M2021-12-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum44.4444.1368-0.68%39.7-10.67%0.0127✗1.838.0M2021-12-28
AAVEAaveEthereum277.6275.6681-0.70%252.64-8.99%0.0179✓1.0711.4M2021-12-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.7230.717913-0.70%0.64-11.48%0.0350✓1.242.9M2021-12-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.96113.1557-0.71%107.05-6.06%0.0175✗1.13127.7M2021-12-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.04106.2808-0.71%99.74-6.82%0.0018✓0.967.6M2021-12-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.065.0241-0.71%4.5-11.07%0.0455✓1.004.9M2021-12-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.228490.226848-0.72%0.2085-8.75%0.0200✗1.6118k2021-12-28
LUNATerraTerra 291.0190.3557-0.72%85.17-6.42%0.0055✓1.006.1M2021-12-28
XVGVergenative0.019080.01894-0.73%0.0176-7.76%0.0036✓1.192.8M2021-12-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.8746.821-0.77%6.2683-8.81%0.0077✓1.19764k2021-12-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.30561.2954-0.78%1.2569-3.73%0.0666✗1.502.3M2021-12-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3124.2775-0.80%3.891-9.76%0.0301✓1.003.3M2021-12-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000039050.000038721-0.84%0.00003492-10.58%0.0387✓1.002.4M2021-12-28
IMXImmutableEthereum5.55.4528-0.86%4.87-11.45%0.0484✓1.002.5M2021-12-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.41830.414701-0.86%0.3842-8.15%0.0063✓1.284.9M2021-12-28
MINAMina Protocolnative3.863.8257-0.89%3.52-8.81%0.0171✓1.02787k2021-12-28
UOSUltraEthereum1.72641.7108-0.90%1.6826-2.54%0.0475✗0.995.4M2021-12-28
SUSHISushiEthereum9.159.0672-0.90%9.06-0.98%0.0888✗1.3915.8M2021-12-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.7412.6141-0.99%11.57-9.18%0.0526✓0.521.5M2021-12-28
UMAUMAEthereum10.7510.6418-1.01%9.59-10.79%0.0339✓1.094.1M2021-12-28
API3Api3Ethereum5.135.0742-1.09%4.56-11.11%0.0422✓1.001.2M2021-12-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.81110.802189-1.10%0.7106-12.39%0.0385✓1.283.6M2021-12-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum43.5843.0811-1.14%38.45-11.77%0.0034✓1.713.1M2021-12-28
HIVEHivenative1.8521.8308-1.15%1.6115-12.99%0.0419✓1.327.3M2021-12-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.02620.025897-1.16%0.02187-16.53%0.1044✓1.0035.6M2021-12-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.88430.873865-1.18%0.7896-10.71%0.0120✗1.7523.5M2021-12-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum14.1613.9827-1.25%14.64+3.39%0.0437✗-0.034.8M2021-12-28
MANADecentralandEthereum3.74293.6929-1.34%3.3399-10.77%0.0439✓0.878.0M2021-12-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum5.185.1013-1.52%4.38-15.44%0.0878✓1.0012.4M2021-12-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.