XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s7

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 363

Track record at +7d

assessed

114

of 121 predictions shown

direction hit

46.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1853

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0298

actual -0.0468

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.004312	0.004204	-2.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-21	oos	0.004312	0.004206	-2.45%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004231	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004255	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004189	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004402	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.00442	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004451	-2.84%	0.004312	-5.88%	0.0241	✓	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004217	-2.83%	0.004312	-0.64%	0.0316	✗	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.004046	-2.86%	0.00434	+4.19%	0.0695	✗	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.003998	-2.97%	0.004365	+5.95%	0.0883	✗	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003893	-2.97%	0.0043	+7.15%	0.0981	✗	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003919	-3.08%	0.004521	+11.81%	0.1428	✗	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003924	-3.15%	0.004544	+12.18%	0.1467	✗	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003788	-3.32%	0.004581	+16.92%	0.1903	✗	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.004015	-3.07%	0.004339	+4.75%	0.0753	✗	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.00402	-2.44%	0.004166	+1.11%	0.0356	✗	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.003982	-2.35%	0.00412	+1.05%	0.0326	✗	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.00435	-1.87%	0.004012	-9.48%	0.0850	✓	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003698	-3.12%	0.004044	+5.94%	0.0850	✗	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004843	-2.90%	0.004051	-18.79%	0.1832	✓	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004874	-2.86%	0.003918	-21.90%	0.2246	✓	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004856	-3.14%	0.004142	-17.37%	0.1607	✓	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004143	-2.92%	0.00412	-3.46%	0.0070	✓	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.00441	-2.90%	0.004078	-10.21%	0.0639	✓	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004342	-2.52%	0.004432	-0.50%	0.0302	✗	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.004499	-2.56%	0.003817	-17.32%	0.1627	✓	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004599	-2.74%	0.004988	+5.50%	0.0833	✗	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.004965	-2.95%	0.005017	-1.93%	0.0128	✓	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004322	-2.56%	0.005013	+13.01%	0.1442	✗	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004281	-1.68%	0.004268	-1.98%	0.0129	✓	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004271	-1.51%	0.004541	+4.73%	0.0514	✗	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.00421	-3.71%	0.004455	+1.88%	0.0708	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.00439	-3.80%	0.004617	+1.17%	0.0646	✗	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004597	-4.12%	0.004728	-1.38%	0.0412	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.005095	-6.50%	0.005116	-6.12%	0.0221	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004134	-4.84%	0.004436	+2.11%	0.0890	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003691	-3.80%	0.004354	+13.47%	0.2211	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003735	-3.58%	0.004336	+11.93%	0.1802	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003545	-2.75%	0.004372	+19.94%	0.2231	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.00302	-1.18%	0.004563	+49.34%	0.4227	✗	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003792	-2.36%	0.004794	+23.43%	0.2438	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003883	-2.14%	0.005449	+37.31%	0.3383	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003939	-1.75%	0.004344	+8.34%	0.0922	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004807	-1.91%	0.003837	-21.71%	0.2338	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.00477	-1.34%	0.003874	-19.87%	0.2105	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004691	-0.57%	0.003645	-22.73%	0.2610	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004535	+0.12%	0.003056	-32.54%	0.4015	✗	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.00479	+0.99%	0.003884	-18.12%	0.2162	✗	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.005173	+2.11%	0.003968	-21.67%	0.2798	✗	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.005115	+1.97%	0.00401	-20.06%	0.2396	✗	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.005125	+2.66%	0.004901	-1.83%	0.0407	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004814	+3.10%	0.004835	+3.54%	0.0060	✓	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.005213	+3.30%	0.004718	-6.51%	0.0918	✗	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.005293	+3.68%	0.004529	-11.27%	0.1509	✗	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.005397	+3.80%	0.004744	-8.76%	0.1235	✗	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.005588	+3.78%	0.005066	-5.91%	0.0948	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005616	+3.67%	0.005016	-7.41%	0.1192	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005414	+3.49%	0.004993	-4.55%	0.0850	✗	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.005446	+3.22%	0.004669	-11.50%	0.1554	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005331	+2.99%	0.005046	-2.52%	0.0552	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.00522	+2.62%	0.005104	+0.35%	0.0177	✓	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.005057	+2.64%	0.005199	+5.53%	0.0260	✓	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005765	-0.26%	0.005385	-6.84%	0.0795	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005563	-3.23%	0.005417	-5.76%	0.0369	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005595	-3.87%	0.005231	-10.11%	0.0847	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005658	-3.94%	0.005276	-10.42%	0.0881	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005746	-4.07%	0.005177	-13.58%	0.1249	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005747	-4.10%	0.005087	-15.11%	0.1419	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005672	-4.14%	0.004926	-16.73%	0.1618	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005683	-4.14%	0.00578	-2.51%	0.0024	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.005816	-4.15%	0.005749	-5.27%	0.0209	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.006202	-4.20%	0.00582	-10.11%	0.0655	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006509	-4.24%	0.00589	-13.35%	0.1007	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.006495	-4.23%	0.00599	-11.68%	0.0776	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.006181	-4.24%	0.005993	-7.16%	0.0277	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006645	-4.28%	0.005916	-14.78%	0.1128	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.006773	-4.29%	0.005929	-16.21%	0.1315	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.006988	-4.54%	0.006068	-17.10%	0.1391	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.006266	-4.61%	0.006474	-1.44%	0.0329	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.006086	-4.65%	0.006798	+6.50%	0.1107	✗	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.005791	-4.59%	0.006782	+11.74%	0.1584	✗	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005685	-4.56%	0.006455	+8.37%	0.1290	✗	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005746	-4.39%	0.006942	+15.52%	0.1911	✗	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005747	-3.88%	0.007076	+18.34%	0.2080	✗	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005807	-3.68%	0.00732	+21.41%	0.2317	✗	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005651	-3.47%	0.006568	+12.21%	0.1505	✗	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005914	-3.39%	0.006383	+4.27%	0.0763	✗	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.006138	-3.12%	0.00607	-4.21%	0.0125	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.006118	-3.10%	0.005956	-5.66%	0.0289	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.006091	-2.97%	0.006009	-4.27%	0.0154	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.006047	-2.64%	0.005979	-3.72%	0.0115	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.005985	-2.40%	0.006029	-1.67%	0.0076	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.006196	-2.53%	0.005854	-7.92%	0.0569	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.006088	-2.61%	0.006121	-2.07%	0.0034	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005646	-2.67%	0.006336	+9.22%	0.1172	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005649	-2.62%	0.006314	+8.84%	0.1099	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005641	-2.71%	0.006277	+8.26%	0.1076	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005867	-2.89%	0.006211	+2.81%	0.0616	✗	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005929	-2.91%	0.006132	+0.41%	0.0380	✗	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.006236	-3.32%	0.006357	-1.44%	0.0040	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.005243	-3.63%	0.00625	+14.89%	0.1295	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.00564	-3.79%	0.005801	-1.05%	0.0135	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.005261	-4.05%	0.005801	+5.80%	0.0818	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.00478	-4.41%	0.005798	+15.97%	0.1969	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.005313	-5.08%	0.006041	+7.93%	0.1192	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.00386	-5.44%	0.006107	+49.61%	0.4198	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003622	-6.24%	0.00645	+66.95%	0.5510	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.002963	-8.55%	0.00544	+67.91%	0.6351	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.00292	-9.93%	0.005863	+80.84%	0.6946	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.002601	-13.31%	0.005483	+82.76%	0.7350	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.001949	-20.21%	0.005	+104.73%	0.9169	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006255	-5.59%	0.005597	-15.51%	0.1382	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.006888	-4.18%	0.004082	-43.22%	0.5606	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006671	-3.77%	0.003864	-44.27%	0.6251	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007572	-4.31%	0.00324	-59.06%	0.9107	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008408	-4.29%	0.003242	-63.10%	1.0199	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008595	-4.42%	0.003	-66.64%	1.1038	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.008761	-4.45%	0.002442	-73.37%	1.3186	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.008905	-4.38%	0.006625	-28.87%	0.3252	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.00996	-4.71%	0.007189	-31.22%	0.3092	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.