XEF

Xeffy · native · lstm_s7

token id: #633
symbol: XEF
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-06-15
predictions: 360

Track record at +30d

assessed

90

of 120 predictions shown

direction hit

64.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2277

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0772

actual -0.0978

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.004362	0.004122	-5.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-20	oos	0.00434	0.004118	-5.12%	–	pending	–	–	-0.35
2026-10-19	oos	0.004365	0.004135	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	-0.34
2026-10-18	oos	0.0043	0.004077	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.004521	0.004273	-5.49%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.004544	0.004294	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-15	oos	0.004581	0.004329	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-14	oos	0.004339	0.004108	-5.32%	–	pending	–	–	-0.31
2026-10-13	oos	0.004166	0.003957	-5.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.29
2026-10-12	oos	0.00412	0.003912	-5.05%	–	pending	–	–	-0.28
2026-10-11	oos	0.004012	0.003819	-4.83%	–	pending	–	–	-0.06
2026-10-10	oos	0.004044	0.003842	-4.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.004051	0.003843	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.003918	0.003715	-5.19%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-07	oos	0.004142	0.003923	-5.29%	–	pending	–	–	-0.11
2026-10-06	oos	0.00412	0.003909	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-05	oos	0.004078	0.003868	-5.14%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.004432	0.004215	-4.91%	–	pending	–	–	-0.13
2026-10-03	oos	0.003817	0.003602	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-02	oos	0.004988	0.004716	-5.46%	–	pending	–	–	-0.20
2026-10-01	oos	0.005017	0.004754	-5.25%	–	pending	–	–	-0.17
2026-09-30	oos	0.005013	0.004745	-5.35%	–	pending	–	–	-0.54
2026-09-29	oos	0.004268	0.004038	-5.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.56
2026-09-28	oos	0.004541	0.004299	-5.34%	–	pending	–	–	-0.53
2026-09-27	oos	0.004455	0.004222	-5.22%	–	pending	–	–	-0.40
2026-09-26	oos	0.004617	0.00438	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-25	oos	0.004728	0.004492	-4.99%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-24	oos	0.005116	0.004865	-4.90%	–	pending	–	–	-0.43
2026-09-23	oos	0.004436	0.004223	-4.79%	–	pending	–	–	-0.42
2026-09-22	oos	0.004354	0.004171	-4.20%	–	pending	–	–	-0.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.004336	0.004166	-3.93%	0.004362	+0.58%	0.0335	✓	-0.27
2026-09-20	oos	0.004372	0.004145	-5.20%	0.00434	-0.73%	0.0538	✗	-0.36
2026-09-19	oos	0.004563	0.00433	-5.11%	0.004365	-4.34%	0.0108	✓	-0.37
2026-09-18	oos	0.004794	0.004547	-5.15%	0.0043	-10.32%	0.0514	✓	-0.33
2026-09-17	oos	0.005449	0.005035	-7.60%	0.004521	-17.03%	0.0962	✓	-0.18
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004105	-5.51%	0.004544	+4.61%	0.1140	✗	-0.18
2026-09-15	oos	0.003837	0.003664	-4.52%	0.004581	+19.39%	0.2588	✗	-0.43
2026-09-14	oos	0.003874	0.003706	-4.35%	0.004339	+12.01%	0.1707	✗	-0.30
2026-09-13	oos	0.003645	0.003506	-3.81%	0.004166	+14.28%	0.1913	✗	-0.24
2026-09-12	oos	0.003056	0.002922	-4.37%	0.00412	+34.84%	0.3546	✗	-0.19
2026-09-11	oos	0.003884	0.003714	-4.38%	0.004012	+3.30%	0.0936	✗	-0.20
2026-09-10	oos	0.003968	0.003772	-4.94%	0.004044	+1.89%	0.0856	✗	-0.20
2026-09-09	oos	0.00401	0.003805	-5.10%	0.004051	+1.04%	0.0733	✗	-0.20
2026-09-08	oos	0.004901	0.004631	-5.51%	0.003918	-20.06%	0.1581	✓	-0.22
2026-09-07	oos	0.004835	0.004565	-5.58%	0.004142	-14.32%	0.0859	✓	-0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.004718	0.004476	-5.12%	0.00412	-12.67%	0.0705	✓	-0.20
2026-09-05	oos	0.004529	0.004315	-4.74%	0.004078	-9.97%	0.0419	✓	-0.20
2026-09-04	oos	0.004744	0.004558	-3.91%	0.004432	-6.56%	0.0111	✓	-0.20
2026-09-03	oos	0.005066	0.004967	-1.97%	0.003817	-24.66%	0.2531	✓	-0.24
2026-09-02	oos	0.005016	0.004853	-3.24%	0.004988	-0.55%	0.0546	✗	-0.30
2026-09-01	oos	0.004993	0.004869	-2.48%	0.005017	+0.48%	0.0578	✗	-0.30
2026-08-31	oos	0.004669	0.004537	-2.84%	0.005013	+7.36%	0.1156	✗	-0.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.005046	0.004961	-1.69%	0.004268	-15.43%	0.1330	✓	-0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.005104	0.005077	-0.54%	0.004541	-11.03%	0.0962	✓	-0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.005199	0.0052	+0.03%	0.004455	-14.32%	0.1356	✗	-0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.005385	0.00549	+1.96%	0.004617	-14.26%	0.1597	✗	-0.27
2026-08-26	oos	0.005417	0.005511	+1.73%	0.004728	-12.72%	0.1361	✗	-0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.005231	0.005313	+1.57%	0.005116	-2.20%	0.0174	✗	-0.28
2026-08-24	oos	0.005276	0.00538	+1.96%	0.004436	-15.93%	0.1743	✗	-0.28
2026-08-23	oos	0.005177	0.005226	+0.95%	0.004354	-15.89%	0.1513	✗	-0.30
2026-08-22	oos	0.005087	0.005068	-0.38%	0.004336	-14.75%	0.1195	✓	-0.31
2026-08-21	oos	0.004926	0.004892	-0.70%	0.004372	-11.25%	0.1024	✓	-0.28
2026-08-20	oos	0.00578	0.005398	-6.60%	0.004563	-21.05%	0.1807	✓	0.12
2026-08-19	oos	0.005749	0.005268	-8.36%	0.004794	-16.60%	0.1065	✓	0.08
2026-08-18	oos	0.00582	0.005336	-8.31%	0.005449	-6.36%	0.0060	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.00589	0.005405	-8.24%	0.004344	-26.25%	0.2334	✓	0.09
2026-08-16	oos	0.00599	0.005511	-8.00%	0.003837	-35.94%	0.3799	✓	0.10
2026-08-15	oos	0.005993	0.005504	-8.15%	0.003874	-35.35%	0.3726	✓	0.10
2026-08-14	oos	0.005916	0.005413	-8.51%	0.003645	-38.39%	0.4143	✓	0.10
2026-08-13	oos	0.005929	0.005418	-8.62%	0.003056	-48.46%	0.5930	✓	0.10
2026-08-12	oos	0.006068	0.005568	-8.24%	0.003884	-35.99%	0.3805	✓	0.10
2026-08-11	oos	0.006474	0.005999	-7.34%	0.003968	-38.70%	0.4317	✓	0.10
2026-08-10	oos	0.006798	0.006331	-6.86%	0.00401	-41.02%	0.4743	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.006782	0.00632	-6.81%	0.004901	-27.73%	0.2745	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.006455	0.005997	-7.09%	0.004835	-25.10%	0.2369	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.006942	0.006487	-6.56%	0.004718	-32.04%	0.3423	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.007076	0.00662	-6.45%	0.004529	-35.99%	0.4045	✓	0.12
2026-08-05	oos	0.00732	0.006856	-6.35%	0.004744	-35.20%	0.3911	✓	0.11
2026-08-04	oos	0.006568	0.006146	-6.43%	0.005066	-22.87%	0.1979	✓	0.02
2026-08-03	oos	0.006383	0.005968	-6.49%	0.005016	-21.42%	0.1706	✓	-0.02
2026-08-02	oos	0.00607	0.00567	-6.59%	0.004993	-17.74%	0.1234	✓	-0.02
2026-08-01	oos	0.005956	0.005558	-6.69%	0.004669	-21.61%	0.1611	✓	-0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.006009	0.005602	-6.78%	0.005046	-16.03%	0.0921	✓	-0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.005979	0.005577	-6.73%	0.005104	-14.63%	0.0889	✓	0.00
2026-07-29	oos	0.006029	0.005604	-7.05%	0.005199	-13.77%	0.0724	✓	-0.01
2026-07-28	oos	0.005854	0.005437	-7.11%	0.005385	-8.01%	0.0049	✓	-0.02
2026-07-27	oos	0.006121	0.005661	-7.52%	0.005417	-11.50%	0.0408	✓	-0.01
2026-07-26	oos	0.006336	0.005869	-7.38%	0.005231	-17.44%	0.1070	✓	-0.04
2026-07-25	oos	0.006314	0.005807	-8.02%	0.005276	-16.43%	0.0782	✓	-0.09
2026-07-24	oos	0.006277	0.005743	-8.51%	0.005177	-17.53%	0.0851	✓	-0.10
2026-07-23	oos	0.006211	0.005685	-8.47%	0.005087	-18.09%	0.1024	✓	-0.05
2026-07-22	oos	0.006132	0.00562	-8.35%	0.004926	-19.66%	0.1326	✓	0.01
2026-07-21	oos	0.006357	0.005752	-9.51%	0.00578	-9.08%	0.0050	✓	-0.00
2026-07-20	oos	0.00625	0.005553	-11.16%	0.005749	-8.03%	0.0401	✓	-0.09
2026-07-19	oos	0.005801	0.005163	-10.99%	0.00582	+0.32%	0.1196	✗	-0.18
2026-07-18	oos	0.005801	0.005165	-10.96%	0.00589	+1.54%	0.1305	✗	-0.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.005798	0.005132	-11.49%	0.00599	+3.30%	0.1507	✗	-0.23
2026-07-16	oos	0.006041	0.005299	-12.28%	0.005993	-0.80%	0.1202	✓	-0.23
2026-07-15	oos	0.006107	0.005364	-12.16%	0.005916	-3.12%	0.0924	✓	-0.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.00645	0.005604	-13.12%	0.005929	-8.08%	0.0807	✓	1.00
2026-07-13	oos	0.00544	0.004755	-12.59%	0.006068	+11.55%	0.2256	✗	1.00
2026-07-12	oos	0.005863	0.005114	-12.77%	0.006474	+10.43%	0.2392	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.005483	0.004831	-11.89%	0.006798	+23.98%	0.3393	✗	1.00
2026-07-10	oos	0.005	0.004437	-11.26%	0.006782	+35.64%	0.4131	✗	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.005597	0.004921	-12.07%	0.006455	+15.32%	0.2442	✗	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.004082	0.003546	-13.13%	0.006942	+70.08%	0.6301	✗	1.00
2026-07-07	oos	0.003864	0.003283	-15.02%	0.007076	+83.15%	0.7531	✗	1.00
2026-07-06	oos	0.00324	0.00264	-18.52%	0.00732	+125.94%	1.0106	✗	1.00
2026-07-05	oos	0.003242	0.002614	-19.36%	0.006568	+102.62%	0.9140	✗	1.00
2026-07-04	oos	0.003	0.002375	-20.82%	0.006383	+112.76%	0.9824	✗	1.00
2026-07-03	oos	0.002442	0.001889	-22.66%	0.00607	+148.53%	1.1518	✗	1.00
2026-07-02	oos	0.006625	0.006029	-8.99%	0.005956	-10.09%	0.0328	✓	1.00
2026-07-01	oos	0.007189	0.006533	-9.12%	0.006009	-16.41%	0.1302	✓	1.00
2026-06-30	oos	0.006933	0.006246	-9.91%	0.005979	-13.75%	0.1443	✓	1.00
2026-06-29	oos	0.007913	0.007212	-8.86%	0.006029	-23.81%	0.2393	✓	1.00
2026-06-28	oos	0.008785	0.008053	-8.34%	0.005854	-33.37%	0.3899	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.008992	0.008237	-8.40%	0.006121	-31.93%	0.3577	✓	1.00
2026-06-26	oos	0.009169	0.008395	-8.44%	0.006336	-30.90%	0.3667	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.009313	0.008523	-8.49%	0.006314	-32.21%	0.3741	✓	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.010452	0.009586	-8.29%	0.006277	-39.94%	0.4729	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.