UMX

UMX · · lstm_s7

token id: #759
symbol: UMX
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-07
predictions: 201

Track record at +7d

assessed

60

of 67 predictions shown

direction hit

83.3%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0613

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0218

actual -0.0708

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.0466	0.045049	-3.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.042915	0.040875	-4.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.22
2026-10-19	oos	0.05515	0.053729	-2.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-18	oos	0.055405	0.054105	-2.35%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-17	oos	0.05585	0.054529	-2.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-16	oos	0.059095	0.05771	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-15	oos	0.059045	0.057622	-2.41%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.05934	0.057856	-2.50%	0.0466	-21.47%	0.2204	✓	0.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.05942	0.057916	-2.53%	0.042915	-27.78%	0.2991	✓	0.32
2026-10-12	oos	0.06042	0.058899	-2.52%	0.05515	-8.72%	0.0661	✓	0.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.060205	0.058696	-2.51%	0.055405	-7.97%	0.0506	✓	0.35
2026-10-10	oos	0.06067	0.05916	-2.49%	0.05585	-7.94%	0.0511	✓	0.35
2026-10-09	oos	0.060945	0.059445	-2.46%	0.059095	-3.04%	0.0015	✓	0.35
2026-10-08	oos	0.06053	0.059075	-2.40%	0.059045	-2.45%	0.0023	✓	0.34
2026-10-07	oos	0.061825	0.06037	-2.35%	0.05934	-4.02%	0.0099	✓	0.35
2026-10-06	oos	0.061715	0.060312	-2.27%	0.05942	-3.72%	0.0032	✓	0.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.06169	0.060244	-2.34%	0.06042	-2.06%	0.0226	✓	0.41
2026-10-04	oos	0.06171	0.0603	-2.29%	0.060205	-2.44%	0.0127	✓	0.43
2026-10-03	oos	0.061395	0.059969	-2.32%	0.06067	-1.18%	0.0206	✓	0.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.0617	0.060322	-2.23%	0.060945	-1.22%	0.0200	✓	0.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.06148	0.060228	-2.04%	0.06053	-1.55%	0.0212	✗	0.43
2026-09-30	oos	0.06139	0.060139	-2.04%	0.061825	+0.71%	0.0291	✗	0.42
2026-09-29	oos	0.06121	0.060049	-1.90%	0.061715	+0.83%	0.0178	✓	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.060615	0.05948	-1.87%	0.06169	+1.77%	0.0249	✗	0.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.06074	0.059643	-1.81%	0.06171	+1.60%	0.0232	✗	0.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.06106	0.059952	-1.81%	0.061395	+0.55%	0.0220	✗	0.46
2026-09-25	oos	0.060915	0.059796	-1.84%	0.0617	+1.29%	0.0291	✗	0.46
2026-09-24	oos	0.06117	0.060048	-1.83%	0.06148	+0.51%	0.0210	✗	0.48
2026-09-23	oos	0.06117	0.060047	-1.84%	0.06139	+0.36%	0.0269	✗	0.48
2026-09-22	oos	0.060735	0.059729	-1.66%	0.06121	+0.78%	0.0410	✗	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.06117	0.06017	-1.64%	0.060615	-0.91%	0.0282	✗	0.56
2026-09-20	oos	0.061435	0.060157	-2.08%	0.06074	-1.13%	0.0123	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.06046	0.059236	-2.02%	0.06106	+0.99%	0.0086	✓	0.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.06137	0.060094	-2.08%	0.060915	-0.74%	0.0086	✓	0.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.06115	0.059801	-2.21%	0.06117	+0.03%	0.0288	✓	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.06201	0.06061	-2.26%	0.06117	-1.35%	0.0438	✓	0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.06086	0.059566	-2.13%	0.060735	-0.21%	0.0470	✓	0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.06052	0.059324	-1.98%	0.06117	+1.07%	0.0366	✓	0.66
2026-09-13	oos	0.060775	0.059583	-1.96%	0.061435	+1.09%	0.0042	✓	0.63
2026-09-12	oos	0.062595	0.061304	-2.06%	0.06046	-3.41%	0.0463	✓	0.65
2026-09-11	oos	0.065045	0.063593	-2.23%	0.06137	-5.65%	0.0658	✓	0.65
2026-09-10	oos	0.06506	0.063632	-2.19%	0.06115	-6.01%	0.0382	✓	0.64
2026-09-09	oos	0.06486	0.063577	-1.98%	0.06201	-4.39%	0.0039	✓	0.76
2026-09-08	oos	0.066495	0.06513	-2.05%	0.06086	-8.47%	0.0389	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.068065	0.066644	-2.09%	0.06052	-11.08%	0.0869	✓	0.82
2026-09-06	oos	0.06993	0.068483	-2.07%	0.060775	-13.09%	0.0796	✓	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.071875	0.070301	-2.19%	0.062595	-12.91%	0.0834	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.07207	0.070508	-2.17%	0.065045	-9.75%	0.0492	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.07313	0.071689	-1.97%	0.06506	-11.04%	0.0371	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07424	0.072502	-2.34%	0.06486	-12.63%	0.1239	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.07438	0.072688	-2.27%	0.066495	-10.60%	0.1025	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.07495	0.073329	-2.16%	0.068065	-9.19%	0.0812	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.07579	0.074104	-2.23%	0.06993	-7.73%	0.0918	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.07513	0.073601	-2.04%	0.071875	-4.33%	0.0439	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.07633	0.074751	-2.07%	0.07207	-5.58%	0.0598	✓	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.07696	0.075585	-1.79%	0.07313	-4.98%	0.0453	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.08217	0.08036	-2.20%	0.07424	-9.65%	0.0572	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.08355	0.081655	-2.27%	0.07438	-10.98%	0.0788	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.08871	0.086524	-2.46%	0.07495	-15.51%	0.1383	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.08672	0.084652	-2.38%	0.07579	-12.60%	0.1098	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.08671	0.084694	-2.32%	0.07513	-13.35%	0.1350	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.08346	0.081916	-1.85%	0.07633	-8.54%	0.0644	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.08276	0.080971	-2.16%	0.07696	-7.01%	0.1456	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08486	0.08283	-2.39%	0.08217	-3.17%	0.1393	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.08495	0.082882	-2.43%	0.08355	-1.65%	0.1859	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.08465	0.082555	-2.48%	0.08871	+4.80%	0.1310	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.08446	0.082296	-2.56%	0.08672	+2.68%	0.1603	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.