UMX

UMX · · lstm_s7

token id: #759
symbol: UMX
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-07
predictions: 204

Track record at +30d

assessed

38

of 68 predictions shown

direction hit

94.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.2180

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0485

actual -0.2663

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.041845	0.039657	-5.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-21	oos	0.03934	0.036351	-7.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.042915	0.04009	-6.58%	–	pending	–	–	0.22
2026-10-19	oos	0.05515	0.054252	-1.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-18	oos	0.055405	0.054732	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-17	oos	0.05585	0.055172	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-16	oos	0.059095	0.058654	-0.75%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-15	oos	0.059045	0.058733	-0.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-14	oos	0.05934	0.059007	-0.56%	–	pending	–	–	0.29
2026-10-13	oos	0.05942	0.059355	-0.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-10-12	oos	0.06042	0.060118	-0.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-11	oos	0.060205	0.060319	+0.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-10	oos	0.06067	0.060514	-0.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-09	oos	0.060945	0.060686	-0.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-08	oos	0.06053	0.060147	-0.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-07	oos	0.061825	0.061799	-0.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.35
2026-10-06	oos	0.061715	0.063121	+2.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.40
2026-10-05	oos	0.06169	0.063358	+2.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-04	oos	0.06171	0.064237	+4.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-10-03	oos	0.061395	0.061958	+0.92%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.0617	0.061996	+0.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.06148	0.061947	+0.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-09-30	oos	0.06139	0.061154	-0.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-29	oos	0.06121	0.060988	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.42
2026-09-28	oos	0.060615	0.060316	-0.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.43
2026-09-27	oos	0.06074	0.060764	+0.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.06106	0.061001	-0.10%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-25	oos	0.060915	0.060733	-0.30%	–	pending	–	–	0.46
2026-09-24	oos	0.06117	0.061105	-0.11%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-23	oos	0.06117	0.061039	-0.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.48
2026-09-22	oos	0.060735	0.061639	+1.49%	0.041845	-31.10%	0.3746	✗	0.55
2026-09-21	oos	0.06117	0.062407	+2.02%	0.03934	-35.69%	0.4444	✗	0.56
2026-09-20	oos	0.061435	0.059774	-2.70%	0.042915	-30.15%	0.3433	✓	0.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.06046	0.058725	-2.87%	0.05515	-8.78%	0.0670	✓	0.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.06137	0.059343	-3.30%	0.055405	-9.72%	0.0765	✓	0.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.06115	0.057923	-5.28%	0.05585	-8.67%	0.0693	✓	0.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.06201	0.05849	-5.68%	0.059095	-4.70%	0.0248	✓	0.52
2026-09-15	oos	0.06086	0.057414	-5.66%	0.059045	-2.98%	0.0139	✓	0.51
2026-09-14	oos	0.06052	0.057422	-5.12%	0.05934	-1.95%	0.0049	✓	0.66
2026-09-13	oos	0.060775	0.057449	-5.47%	0.05942	-2.23%	0.0160	✓	0.63
2026-09-12	oos	0.062595	0.059092	-5.60%	0.06042	-3.47%	0.0143	✓	0.65
2026-09-11	oos	0.065045	0.061234	-5.86%	0.060205	-7.44%	0.0694	✓	0.65
2026-09-10	oos	0.06506	0.061268	-5.83%	0.06067	-6.75%	0.0611	✓	0.64
2026-09-09	oos	0.06486	0.061552	-5.10%	0.060945	-6.04%	0.0503	✓	0.76
2026-09-08	oos	0.066495	0.063103	-5.10%	0.06053	-8.97%	0.0732	✓	0.78
2026-09-07	oos	0.068065	0.064768	-4.84%	0.061825	-9.17%	0.0886	✓	0.82
2026-09-06	oos	0.06993	0.067077	-4.08%	0.061715	-11.75%	0.1387	✓	0.88
2026-09-05	oos	0.071875	0.068722	-4.39%	0.06169	-14.17%	0.1794	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.07207	0.068791	-4.55%	0.06171	-14.37%	0.1909	✓	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.07313	0.071283	-2.53%	0.061395	-16.05%	0.1912	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07424	0.069814	-5.96%	0.0617	-16.89%	0.2126	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.07438	0.070148	-5.69%	0.06148	-17.34%	0.2238	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.07495	0.071386	-4.75%	0.06139	-18.09%	0.2125	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.07579	0.071716	-5.38%	0.06121	-19.24%	0.2325	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.07513	0.071506	-4.82%	0.060615	-19.32%	0.2299	✓	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.07633	0.072487	-5.03%	0.06074	-20.42%	0.2585	✓	1.00
2026-08-27	oos	0.07696	0.074903	-2.67%	0.06106	-20.66%	0.2546	✓	1.00
2026-08-26	oos	0.08217	0.079008	-3.85%	0.060915	-25.87%	0.3222	✓	1.00
2026-08-25	oos	0.08355	0.079933	-4.33%	0.06117	-26.79%	0.3395	✓	1.00
2026-08-24	oos	0.08871	0.085257	-3.89%	0.06117	-31.04%	0.3981	✓	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.08672	0.082305	-5.09%	0.060735	-29.96%	0.4073	✓	1.00
2026-08-22	oos	0.08671	0.081881	-5.57%	0.06117	-29.45%	0.4083	✓	1.00
2026-08-21	oos	0.08346	0.079352	-4.92%	0.061435	-26.39%	0.2915	✓	1.00
2026-08-20	oos	0.08276	0.077068	-6.88%	0.06046	-26.95%	0.3494	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08486	0.078664	-7.30%	0.06137	-27.68%	0.4027	✓	1.00
2026-08-18	oos	0.08495	0.078783	-7.26%	0.06115	-28.02%	0.4192	✓	1.00
2026-08-17	oos	0.08465	0.078244	-7.57%	0.06201	-26.75%	0.3989	✓	1.00
2026-08-16	oos	0.08446	0.077823	-7.86%	0.06086	-27.94%	0.4306	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.