SWM
Swarm · · lstm_s7
- token id
- #257
- symbol
- SWM
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 165
Track record at +7d
assessed
48
of 55 predictions shown
direction hit
56.2%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2648
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0357
actual +0.0240
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.09181 | 0.089617 | -2.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.091445 | 0.089263 | -2.39% | – | pending | – | – | -1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.09194 | 0.089729 | -2.41% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.093595 | 0.091268 | -2.49% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.09361 | 0.091273 | -2.50% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.09504 | 0.092632 | -2.53% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.08869 | 0.086671 | -2.28% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.089875 | 0.087755 | -2.36% | 0.09181 | +2.15% | 0.0666 | ✗ | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.10361 | 0.100815 | -2.70% | 0.091445 | -11.74% | 0.1009 | ✓ | -1.69 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.100975 | 0.098274 | -2.68% | 0.09194 | -8.95% | 0.0646 | ✓ | -1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.10023 | 0.09758 | -2.64% | 0.093595 | -6.62% | 0.0769 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.100065 | 0.097396 | -2.67% | 0.09361 | -6.45% | 0.0723 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09889 | 0.09629 | -2.63% | 0.09504 | -3.89% | 0.0354 | ✓ | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.099015 | 0.096401 | -2.64% | 0.08869 | -10.43% | 0.0741 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.096365 | 0.093958 | -2.50% | 0.089875 | -6.73% | 0.0809 | ✓ | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.098365 | 0.095918 | -2.49% | 0.10361 | +5.33% | 0.0242 | ✓ | -1.83 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.084465 | 0.083425 | -1.23% | 0.100975 | +19.55% | 0.1055 | ✗ | -1.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.092855 | 0.090963 | -2.04% | 0.10023 | +7.94% | 0.0358 | ✗ | -1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.090795 | 0.089118 | -1.85% | 0.100065 | +10.21% | 0.0745 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.09368 | 0.091663 | -2.15% | 0.09889 | +5.56% | 0.0315 | ✗ | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.095145 | 0.092959 | -2.30% | 0.099015 | +4.07% | 0.0088 | ✓ | -1.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.10818 | 0.1052 | -2.75% | 0.096365 | -10.92% | 0.0940 | ✓ | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.12674 | 0.122491 | -3.35% | 0.098365 | -22.39% | 0.1768 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.123535 | 0.119421 | -3.33% | 0.084465 | -31.63% | 0.2951 | ✓ | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15819 | 0.15045 | -4.89% | 0.092855 | -41.30% | 0.4326 | ✓ | -2.09 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.127905 | 0.123292 | -3.61% | 0.090795 | -29.01% | 0.2981 | ✓ | -2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.10542 | 0.102359 | -2.90% | 0.09368 | -11.14% | 0.0787 | ✓ | -2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10401 | 0.100997 | -2.90% | 0.095145 | -8.52% | 0.0486 | ✓ | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10388 | 0.100825 | -2.94% | 0.10818 | +4.14% | 0.0506 | ✗ | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.094815 | 0.092167 | -2.79% | 0.12674 | +33.67% | 0.2600 | ✗ | -1.94 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10284 | 0.09971 | -3.04% | 0.123535 | +20.12% | 0.1411 | ✗ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.11312 | 0.109342 | -3.34% | 0.15819 | +39.84% | 0.4544 | ✗ | -2.13 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.11891 | 0.114661 | -3.57% | 0.127905 | +7.56% | 0.1918 | ✗ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1196 | 0.115125 | -3.74% | 0.10542 | -11.86% | 0.0043 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.12931 | 0.123576 | -4.43% | 0.10401 | -19.57% | 0.2725 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.14044 | 0.133454 | -4.97% | 0.10388 | -26.03% | 0.3532 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.129815 | 0.123521 | -4.85% | 0.094815 | -26.96% | 0.3959 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15573 | 0.146916 | -5.66% | 0.10284 | -33.96% | 0.4590 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.156615 | 0.147248 | -5.98% | 0.11312 | -27.77% | 0.3189 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.18555 | 0.173208 | -6.65% | 0.11891 | -35.91% | 0.4262 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.196105 | 0.182466 | -6.95% | 0.1196 | -39.01% | 0.4688 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.18591 | 0.172707 | -7.10% | 0.12931 | -30.44% | 0.2869 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1367 | 0.128097 | -6.29% | 0.14044 | +2.74% | 0.1197 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.13717 | 0.128333 | -6.44% | 0.129815 | -5.36% | 0.0487 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.117485 | 0.110613 | -5.85% | 0.15573 | +32.55% | 0.3537 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.102915 | 0.097943 | -4.83% | 0.156615 | +52.18% | 0.5145 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07698 | 0.074761 | -2.88% | 0.18555 | +141.04% | 0.9417 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.07564 | 0.073533 | -2.79% | 0.196105 | +159.26% | 1.0124 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.07329 | 0.071477 | -2.47% | 0.18591 | +153.66% | 1.0158 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07012 | 0.068326 | -2.56% | 0.1367 | +94.95% | 0.6809 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.06978 | 0.068082 | -2.43% | 0.13717 | +96.57% | 0.6870 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06946 | 0.067956 | -2.17% | 0.117485 | +69.14% | 0.5407 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.07144 | 0.069825 | -2.26% | 0.102915 | +44.06% | 0.3541 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.07166 | 0.070226 | -2.00% | 0.07698 | +7.42% | 0.0716 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.073125 | -2.02% | 0.07564 | +1.35% | 0.0105 | ✓ | 1.00 |