SWM
Swarm · · lstm_s7
- token id
- #257
- symbol
- SWM
- variant
- –
- chain
- address
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-19
- predictions
- 168
Track record at +30d
assessed
26
of 56 predictions shown
direction hit
65.4%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2829
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.1212
actual -0.1438
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.090935 | 0.088468 | -2.71% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.090825 | 0.088552 | -2.50% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.091445 | 0.088997 | -2.68% | – | pending | – | – | -1.56 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.09194 | 0.089274 | -2.90% | – | pending | – | – | -1.57 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.093595 | 0.090795 | -2.99% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.09361 | 0.090508 | -3.31% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.09504 | 0.091583 | -3.64% | – | pending | – | – | -1.58 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.08869 | 0.085301 | -3.82% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.089875 | 0.086117 | -4.18% | – | pending | – | – | -1.55 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.10361 | 0.098902 | -4.54% | – | pending | – | – | -1.69 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.100975 | 0.095703 | -5.22% | – | pending | – | – | -1.72 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.10023 | 0.095499 | -4.72% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.100065 | 0.09477 | -5.29% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.09889 | 0.093354 | -5.60% | – | pending | – | – | -1.75 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.099015 | 0.093001 | -6.07% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.096365 | 0.091067 | -5.50% | – | pending | – | – | -1.76 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.098365 | 0.093837 | -4.60% | – | pending | – | – | -1.83 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.084465 | 0.080356 | -4.86% | – | pending | – | – | -1.78 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.092855 | 0.088813 | -4.35% | – | pending | – | – | -1.84 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.090795 | 0.085949 | -5.34% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.09368 | 0.08848 | -5.55% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.095145 | 0.089845 | -5.57% | – | pending | – | – | -1.90 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.10818 | 0.101942 | -5.77% | – | pending | – | – | -1.86 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.12674 | 0.120172 | -5.18% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.123535 | 0.116928 | -5.35% | – | pending | – | – | -1.89 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.15819 | 0.149712 | -5.36% | – | pending | – | – | -2.09 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.127905 | 0.121654 | -4.89% | – | pending | – | – | -2.04 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.10542 | 0.099446 | -5.67% | – | pending | – | – | -2.03 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.10401 | 0.097984 | -5.79% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.10388 | 0.097591 | -6.05% | – | pending | – | – | -2.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.094815 | 0.08901 | -6.12% | 0.090935 | -4.09% | 0.0237 | ✓ | -1.94 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.10284 | 0.097145 | -5.54% | 0.090825 | -11.68% | 0.1270 | ✓ | -1.98 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.11312 | 0.104561 | -7.57% | 0.091445 | -19.16% | 0.0878 | ✓ | -2.13 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.11891 | 0.109921 | -7.56% | 0.09194 | -22.68% | 0.1627 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.1196 | 0.109967 | -8.05% | 0.093595 | -21.74% | 0.1314 | ✓ | -2.15 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.12931 | 0.116107 | -10.21% | 0.09361 | -27.61% | 0.2792 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.14044 | 0.123861 | -11.81% | 0.09504 | -32.33% | 0.3328 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.129815 | 0.114824 | -11.55% | 0.08869 | -31.68% | 0.3412 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.15573 | 0.133364 | -14.36% | 0.089875 | -42.29% | 0.4371 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.156615 | 0.130321 | -16.79% | 0.10361 | -33.84% | 0.3082 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.18555 | 0.144931 | -21.89% | 0.100975 | -45.58% | 0.4177 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.196105 | 0.148637 | -24.21% | 0.10023 | -48.89% | 0.4745 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.18591 | 0.139849 | -24.78% | 0.100065 | -46.18% | 0.4147 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.1367 | 0.112335 | -17.82% | 0.09889 | -27.66% | 0.1805 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.13717 | 0.11134 | -18.83% | 0.099015 | -27.82% | 0.1578 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.117485 | 0.100651 | -14.33% | 0.096365 | -17.98% | 0.0950 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.102915 | 0.091877 | -10.73% | 0.098365 | -4.42% | 0.0055 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.07698 | 0.071079 | -7.67% | 0.084465 | +9.72% | 0.1010 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.07564 | 0.069978 | -7.49% | 0.092855 | +22.76% | 0.2006 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.07329 | 0.06824 | -6.89% | 0.090795 | +23.88% | 0.2437 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.07012 | 0.065117 | -7.13% | 0.09368 | +33.60% | 0.2747 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.06978 | 0.065059 | -6.77% | 0.095145 | +36.35% | 0.2882 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.06946 | 0.065121 | -6.25% | 0.10818 | +55.74% | 0.4459 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.07144 | 0.067007 | -6.21% | 0.12674 | +77.41% | 0.5632 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.07166 | 0.067663 | -5.58% | 0.123535 | +72.39% | 0.5374 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.07463 | 0.070749 | -5.20% | 0.15819 | +111.97% | 0.7230 | ✗ | 1.00 |