NIULAI

? · · lstm_s7

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 168

Track record at +7d

assessed

49

of 56 predictions shown

direction hit

69.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1815

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0260

actual -0.0447

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.06274	0.061932	-1.29%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-21	oos	0.062305	0.06157	-1.18%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.0618	-1.12%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057685	-0.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058542	-0.38%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059322	-0.22%	–	pending	–	–	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.06448	-0.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.066661	-1.07%	0.06274	-6.89%	0.0986	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.06877	-1.24%	0.062305	-10.52%	0.1437	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.073317	-1.76%	0.0625	-16.25%	0.1567	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.071076	-1.37%	0.05795	-19.58%	0.2059	✓	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.077691	-1.99%	0.058765	-25.87%	0.2509	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.078471	-2.00%	0.059455	-25.75%	0.2513	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.073209	-1.32%	0.065015	-12.37%	0.1008	✓	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.072406	-0.95%	0.06738	-7.82%	0.0793	✓	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.071173	-0.71%	0.06963	-2.87%	0.0080	✗	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.077848	-1.55%	0.07463	-5.62%	0.0030	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.07584	-1.25%	0.07206	-6.17%	0.0141	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.080981	-1.66%	0.07927	-3.74%	0.0227	✗	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.078942	-1.46%	0.080075	-0.04%	0.0433	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.085905	-1.88%	0.07419	-15.26%	0.1156	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.097221	-2.06%	0.0731	-26.36%	0.2369	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.102467	-2.25%	0.071685	-31.61%	0.3528	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.102733	-2.28%	0.079075	-24.78%	0.2912	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.112778	-2.65%	0.0768	-33.70%	0.4194	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.101647	-2.29%	0.08235	-20.84%	0.2435	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.103343	-2.36%	0.08011	-24.31%	0.2599	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.101835	-2.37%	0.08755	-16.06%	0.1578	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.098296	-2.33%	0.09927	-1.36%	0.0023	✓	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.104765	-2.46%	0.104825	-2.41%	0.0139	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.109511	-2.50%	0.10513	-6.41%	0.0013	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.105103	-2.48%	0.115845	+7.49%	0.1462	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.098488	-2.57%	0.10403	+2.91%	0.0037	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.105049	-2.66%	0.10584	-1.92%	0.0477	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.11623	-2.83%	0.104305	-12.80%	0.1641	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.103291	-2.80%	0.10064	-5.30%	0.1261	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.097754	-2.78%	0.10741	+6.82%	0.0085	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.115944	-3.15%	0.112325	-6.17%	0.1631	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.118347	-3.19%	0.10777	-11.84%	0.1959	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.113325	-3.22%	0.10109	-13.66%	0.1695	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.129697	-3.87%	0.107915	-20.02%	0.2340	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.120977	-3.81%	0.11962	-4.89%	0.0577	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.11661	-3.93%	0.10627	-12.45%	0.0904	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.076454	-2.71%	0.10055	+27.95%	0.3017	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.098684	-3.37%	0.11971	+17.22%	0.2303	✗	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.079311	-2.86%	0.12225	+49.72%	0.4444	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.088181	-3.12%	0.11709	+28.64%	0.3286	✗	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.115359	-4.31%	0.134925	+11.92%	0.1894	✗	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.08147	-3.15%	0.125765	+49.51%	0.4656	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.09278	-3.66%	0.12138	+26.03%	0.3286	✗	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.075285	-3.26%	0.078585	+0.98%	0.0303	✓	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.080274	-3.70%	0.102125	+22.51%	0.2273	✗	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.097926	-4.81%	0.08165	-20.63%	0.1885	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.096175	-5.23%	0.09102	-10.31%	0.0889	✓	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.053816	-2.05%	0.12056	+119.44%	0.7864	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.054886	-2.09%	0.08412	+50.05%	0.4037	✗	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.