NIULAI

? · · lstm_s7

token id: #227
symbol: NIULAI
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-19
predictions: 165

Track record at +1d

assessed

54

of 55 predictions shown

direction hit

55.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0924

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0051

actual +0.0006

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.06254	0.062448	-0.15%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-20	oos	0.0625	0.062415	-0.14%	0.06254	+0.06%	0.0065	✗	1.55
2026-10-19	oos	0.05795	0.057968	+0.03%	0.0625	+7.85%	0.0548	✓	1.53
2026-10-18	oos	0.058765	0.058794	+0.05%	0.05795	-1.39%	0.0113	✗	1.53
2026-10-17	oos	0.059455	0.059505	+0.08%	0.058765	-1.16%	0.0243	✗	1.53
2026-10-16	oos	0.065015	0.064988	-0.04%	0.059455	-8.55%	0.0868	✓	1.52
2026-10-15	oos	0.06738	0.067313	-0.10%	0.065015	-3.51%	0.0232	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.06963	0.069533	-0.14%	0.06738	-3.23%	0.0418	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.07463	0.074412	-0.29%	0.06963	-6.70%	0.0389	✓	1.48
2026-10-12	oos	0.07206	0.071943	-0.16%	0.07463	+3.57%	0.0124	✗	1.47
2026-10-11	oos	0.07927	0.078987	-0.36%	0.07206	-9.10%	0.0590	✓	1.40
2026-10-10	oos	0.080075	0.079792	-0.35%	0.07927	-1.01%	0.0195	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.07419	0.074087	-0.14%	0.080075	+7.93%	0.0715	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.0731	0.073066	-0.05%	0.07419	+1.49%	0.0007	✗	1.41
2026-10-07	oos	0.071685	0.071691	+0.01%	0.0731	+1.97%	0.0472	✓	1.44
2026-10-06	oos	0.079075	0.078914	-0.20%	0.071685	-9.35%	0.0597	✓	1.36
2026-10-05	oos	0.0768	0.076712	-0.11%	0.079075	+2.96%	0.0337	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.08235	0.082152	-0.24%	0.0768	-6.74%	0.0557	✓	1.32
2026-10-03	oos	0.08011	0.079979	-0.16%	0.08235	+2.80%	0.0018	✗	1.33
2026-10-02	oos	0.08755	0.087284	-0.30%	0.08011	-8.50%	0.0895	✓	1.32
2026-10-01	oos	0.09927	0.098893	-0.38%	0.08755	-11.81%	0.1167	✓	1.27
2026-09-30	oos	0.104825	0.104367	-0.44%	0.09927	-5.30%	0.0703	✓	1.32
2026-09-29	oos	0.10513	0.10466	-0.45%	0.104825	-0.29%	0.0029	✓	1.31
2026-09-28	oos	0.115845	0.115183	-0.57%	0.10513	-9.25%	0.0941	✓	1.30
2026-09-27	oos	0.10403	0.103564	-0.45%	0.115845	+11.36%	0.1285	✗	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.10584	0.105345	-0.47%	0.10403	-1.71%	0.0133	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.104305	0.103819	-0.47%	0.10584	+1.47%	0.0140	✗	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.10064	0.100187	-0.45%	0.104305	+3.64%	0.0451	✗	1.38
2026-09-23	oos	0.10741	0.106874	-0.50%	0.10064	-6.30%	0.0602	✓	1.36
2026-09-22	oos	0.112325	0.111735	-0.53%	0.10741	-4.38%	0.0115	✓	1.31
2026-09-21	oos	0.10777	0.107218	-0.51%	0.112325	+4.23%	0.0526	✗	1.32
2026-09-20	oos	0.10109	0.100572	-0.51%	0.10777	+6.61%	0.0259	✓	1.47
2026-09-19	oos	0.107915	0.107321	-0.55%	0.10109	-6.32%	0.0585	✓	1.44
2026-09-18	oos	0.11962	0.118869	-0.63%	0.107915	-9.79%	0.1030	✓	1.43
2026-09-17	oos	0.10627	0.105647	-0.59%	0.11962	+12.56%	0.0666	✗	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.10055	0.099979	-0.57%	0.10627	+5.69%	0.0583	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.11971	0.118837	-0.73%	0.10055	-16.01%	0.1745	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.12225	0.121317	-0.76%	0.11971	-2.08%	0.0204	✗	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.11709	0.116185	-0.77%	0.12225	+4.41%	0.0331	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.134925	0.133524	-1.04%	0.11709	-13.22%	0.1253	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.125765	0.124466	-1.03%	0.134925	+7.28%	0.0800	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.12138	0.120079	-1.07%	0.125765	+3.61%	0.0375	✗	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.078585	0.078144	-0.56%	0.12138	+54.46%	0.4630	✗	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.102125	0.101282	-0.83%	0.078585	-23.05%	0.2516	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.08165	0.081148	-0.62%	0.102125	+25.08%	0.2381	✗	1.00
2026-09-06	oos	0.09102	0.090354	-0.73%	0.08165	-10.29%	0.0856	✓	1.00
2026-09-05	oos	0.12056	0.119115	-1.20%	0.09102	-24.50%	0.2753	✓	1.00
2026-09-04	oos	0.08412	0.083483	-0.76%	0.12056	+43.32%	0.3655	✗	1.00
2026-09-03	oos	0.09631	0.095372	-0.97%	0.08412	-12.66%	0.1058	✓	1.00
2026-09-02	oos	0.07782	0.077186	-0.81%	0.09631	+23.76%	0.1714	✗	1.00
2026-09-01	oos	0.08336	0.082515	-1.01%	0.07782	-6.65%	0.0574	✓	1.00
2026-08-31	oos	0.10287	0.101365	-1.46%	0.08336	-18.97%	0.1806	✓	1.00
2026-08-30	oos	0.10148	0.099819	-1.64%	0.10287	+1.37%	0.0186	✗	1.00
2026-08-29	oos	0.05494	0.054703	-0.43%	0.10148	+84.71%	0.6252	✗	1.00
2026-08-28	oos	0.05606	0.055802	-0.46%	0.05494	-2.00%	0.0206	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.