MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · lstm_s7

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 138

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

of 46 predictions shown

direction hit

71.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.3381

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0405

actual -0.2757

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.003037	0.002897	-4.61%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-21	oos	0.002985	0.002842	-4.80%	–	pending	–	–	1.20
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001763	-2.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001896	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001751	-1.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.002037	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002281	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002335	-3.64%	0.003037	+25.32%	0.2389	✗	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002181	-3.18%	0.002985	+32.51%	0.2868	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.001994	-2.42%	0.0018	-11.92%	0.1002	✓	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002097	-2.68%	0.001942	-9.86%	0.0780	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.0018	-1.61%	0.001786	-2.38%	0.0223	✗	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.0018	-1.58%	0.002094	+14.49%	0.1787	✗	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001818	-1.67%	0.002361	+27.75%	0.2804	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.002063	-1.99%	0.002423	+15.11%	0.1528	✗	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002346	-2.72%	0.002253	-6.59%	0.0105	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.002317	-2.64%	0.002043	-14.16%	0.0779	✓	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.00277	-3.70%	0.002155	-25.11%	0.1741	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002263	-2.73%	0.001829	-21.36%	0.1514	✓	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001631	-5.09%	0.001829	+6.46%	0.1458	✗	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001581	-6.13%	0.001849	+9.74%	0.1893	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001572	-6.86%	0.002105	+24.70%	0.3468	✗	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002301	-3.74%	0.002412	+0.92%	0.0531	✗	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.003041	-1.73%	0.00238	-23.09%	0.2830	✓	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003572	-1.75%	0.002877	-20.86%	0.2621	✓	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003597	-1.98%	0.002327	-36.61%	0.4597	✓	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.00444	-2.73%	0.001718	-62.36%	0.9532	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004784	-3.18%	0.001685	-65.91%	1.0487	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.004369	-2.81%	0.001688	-62.45%	0.9564	✓	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004449	-3.01%	0.00239	-47.90%	0.6116	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004684	-3.25%	0.003095	-36.09%	0.3845	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.005158	-3.54%	0.003635	-32.02%	0.3130	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.00426	-4.59%	0.00367	-17.81%	0.1889	✓	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.00403	-5.61%	0.004564	+6.91%	0.0861	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.005353	-4.46%	0.004941	-11.81%	0.1190	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005229	-5.08%	0.004495	-18.41%	0.2514	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004034	-7.13%	0.004587	+5.59%	0.0258	✓	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.00557	-5.94%	0.004842	-18.24%	0.2715	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.00816	-4.53%	0.005348	-37.43%	0.5248	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.005861	-6.76%	0.004465	-28.97%	0.3273	✓	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.007919	-5.78%	0.004269	-49.20%	0.6679	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.005878	-7.59%	0.005603	-11.92%	0.0944	✓	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.007877	-6.81%	0.005509	-34.83%	0.3551	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.009842	-6.13%	0.004344	-58.57%	0.7902	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.017189	-3.73%	0.005922	-66.83%	1.0284	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017332	-3.74%	0.008547	-52.53%	0.6953	✓	1.00