MICRODUCK

microduck · Robinhood · lstm_s7

token id: #784
symbol: MICRODUCK
variant: –
chain: Robinhood
address: 0xd5f1afea47b1a9eab414d2ee740cf1d6d039e725
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-08-29
predictions: 135

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +1d

assessed

of 45 predictions shown

direction hit

61.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1502

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0070

actual -0.0513

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.001936	0.001928	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-20	oos	0.0018	0.001794	-0.33%	0.001936	+7.59%	0.0789	✗	0.84
2026-10-19	oos	0.001942	0.001934	-0.42%	0.0018	-7.34%	0.0837	✓	0.88
2026-10-18	oos	0.001786	0.001781	-0.29%	0.001942	+8.73%	0.0885	✗	0.90
2026-10-17	oos	0.002094	0.002083	-0.53%	0.001786	-14.71%	0.1611	✓	0.95
2026-10-16	oos	0.002361	0.002344	-0.74%	0.002094	-11.33%	0.1114	✓	0.94
2026-10-15	oos	0.002423	0.002403	-0.83%	0.002361	-2.54%	0.0101	✓	0.95
2026-10-14	oos	0.002253	0.002238	-0.67%	0.002423	+7.55%	0.0732	✗	0.91
2026-10-13	oos	0.002043	0.002035	-0.41%	0.002253	+10.28%	0.1225	✗	1.10
2026-10-12	oos	0.002155	0.002144	-0.48%	0.002043	-5.18%	0.0668	✓	1.12
2026-10-11	oos	0.001829	0.001827	-0.16%	0.002155	+17.76%	0.2001	✗	1.50
2026-10-10	oos	0.001829	0.001826	-0.15%	0.001829	+0.03%	0.0119	✓	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.001849	0.001846	-0.16%	0.001829	-1.05%	0.0155	✓	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.002105	0.0021	-0.25%	0.001849	-12.19%	0.1432	✓	1.52
2026-10-07	oos	0.002412	0.002401	-0.45%	0.002105	-12.73%	0.1038	✓	1.45
2026-10-06	oos	0.00238	0.00237	-0.42%	0.002412	+1.34%	0.0621	✗	1.66
2026-10-05	oos	0.002877	0.002856	-0.74%	0.00238	-17.27%	0.1783	✓	1.62
2026-10-04	oos	0.002327	0.002317	-0.41%	0.002877	+23.66%	0.2327	✗	1.84
2026-10-03	oos	0.001718	0.001702	-0.94%	0.002327	+35.42%	0.2834	✗	1.42
2026-10-02	oos	0.001685	0.001664	-1.19%	0.001718	+1.99%	0.0277	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.001688	0.001665	-1.38%	0.001685	-0.21%	0.0177	✗	1.45
2026-09-30	oos	0.00239	0.002376	-0.59%	0.001688	-29.37%	0.3684	✓	1.73
2026-09-29	oos	0.003095	0.00309	-0.16%	0.00239	-22.77%	0.2551	✓	1.69
2026-09-28	oos	0.003635	0.003629	-0.17%	0.003095	-14.88%	0.1630	✓	1.69
2026-09-27	oos	0.00367	0.003662	-0.22%	0.003635	-0.94%	0.0047	✗	1.00
2026-09-26	oos	0.004564	0.004544	-0.43%	0.00367	-19.59%	0.2143	✓	1.00
2026-09-25	oos	0.004941	0.004914	-0.56%	0.004564	-7.64%	0.0777	✓	1.00
2026-09-24	oos	0.004495	0.004476	-0.43%	0.004941	+9.93%	0.1024	✗	1.00
2026-09-23	oos	0.004587	0.004565	-0.47%	0.004495	-2.01%	0.0156	✓	1.00
2026-09-22	oos	0.004842	0.004816	-0.54%	0.004587	-5.27%	0.0274	✓	1.00
2026-09-21	oos	0.005348	0.005315	-0.62%	0.004842	-9.46%	0.0886	✓	1.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.004465	0.004427	-0.84%	0.005348	+19.78%	0.1241	✗	1.00
2026-09-19	oos	0.004269	0.004223	-1.09%	0.004465	+4.59%	0.0567	✗	1.00
2026-09-18	oos	0.005603	0.005557	-0.83%	0.004269	-23.81%	0.2680	✓	1.00
2026-09-17	oos	0.005509	0.005455	-0.98%	0.005603	+1.71%	0.0308	✓	1.00
2026-09-16	oos	0.004344	0.004279	-1.49%	0.005509	+26.82%	0.2499	✗	1.00
2026-09-15	oos	0.005922	0.005852	-1.19%	0.004344	-26.65%	0.3053	✓	1.00
2026-09-14	oos	0.008547	0.008472	-0.87%	0.005922	-30.71%	0.3244	✓	1.00
2026-09-13	oos	0.006287	0.006198	-1.41%	0.008547	+35.96%	0.3036	✗	1.00
2026-09-12	oos	0.008404	0.008306	-1.17%	0.006287	-25.20%	0.2725	✓	1.00
2026-09-11	oos	0.006361	0.006258	-1.62%	0.008404	+32.11%	0.2941	✗	1.00
2026-09-10	oos	0.008453	0.008334	-1.41%	0.006361	-24.74%	0.2788	✓	1.00
2026-09-09	oos	0.010485	0.010356	-1.23%	0.008453	-19.38%	0.1805	✓	1.00
2026-09-08	oos	0.017855	0.017724	-0.73%	0.010485	-41.28%	0.5229	✓	1.00
2026-09-07	oos	0.018005	0.017872	-0.74%	0.017855	-0.83%	0.0072	✓	1.00