HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s7
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 189
Track record at +7d
assessed
56
of 63 predictions shown
direction hit
67.9%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.2667
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0207
actual -0.1307
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.007225 | 0.007121 | -1.44% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.007181 | 0.007078 | -1.43% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006827 | -1.56% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.006803 | -1.56% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.007369 | -1.44% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.008339 | -1.29% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.008774 | -1.34% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.008489 | -1.48% | 0.007225 | -16.16% | 0.2467 | ✓ | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.008904 | -1.44% | 0.007181 | -20.52% | 0.3159 | ✓ | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.008706 | -1.61% | 0.006935 | -21.63% | 0.2206 | ✓ | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.008585 | -1.60% | 0.006911 | -20.79% | 0.2210 | ✓ | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.00897 | -1.68% | 0.007476 | -18.06% | 0.1106 | ✓ | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.010814 | -1.60% | 0.008448 | -23.13% | 0.1803 | ✓ | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.009836 | -1.70% | 0.008892 | -11.13% | 0.0553 | ✓ | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.008318 | -2.00% | 0.008617 | +1.52% | 0.0167 | ✓ | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.010665 | -1.75% | 0.009034 | -16.78% | 0.0950 | ✓ | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.011971 | -1.53% | 0.008849 | -27.22% | 0.2029 | ✓ | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.011719 | -1.48% | 0.008725 | -26.65% | 0.1298 | ✓ | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.013543 | -1.63% | 0.009124 | -33.73% | 0.2816 | ✓ | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.014461 | -2.27% | 0.010989 | -25.73% | 0.1987 | ✓ | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.012825 | -2.07% | 0.010006 | -23.60% | 0.1665 | ✓ | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.014541 | -2.45% | 0.008488 | -43.06% | 0.4074 | ✓ | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.011557 | -2.18% | 0.010855 | -8.13% | 0.0513 | ✓ | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.012506 | -2.42% | 0.012157 | -5.14% | 0.1040 | ✓ | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.010553 | -2.08% | 0.011895 | +10.37% | 0.0278 | ✗ | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.011434 | -2.01% | 0.013768 | +17.99% | 0.1046 | ✗ | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.01392 | -2.70% | 0.014797 | +3.43% | 0.0481 | ✗ | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.01319 | -2.69% | 0.013097 | -3.38% | 0.0236 | ✓ | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.009757 | -1.97% | 0.014907 | +49.77% | 0.4047 | ✗ | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.008819 | -2.06% | 0.011815 | +31.22% | 0.3271 | ✗ | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.009292 | -1.83% | 0.012816 | +35.41% | 0.4305 | ✗ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.012217 | -1.66% | 0.010778 | -13.25% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.010579 | -2.67% | 0.011668 | +7.35% | 0.0474 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.011475 | -2.93% | 0.014306 | +21.02% | 0.0809 | ✗ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.015453 | -4.75% | 0.013554 | -16.46% | 0.2718 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.011606 | -3.22% | 0.009953 | -17.00% | 0.4807 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.01251 | -3.71% | 0.009004 | -30.70% | 0.6637 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.011084 | -2.90% | 0.009465 | -17.09% | 0.5844 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.009453 | -2.40% | 0.012424 | +28.27% | 0.1285 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.00776 | -3.04% | 0.01087 | +35.81% | 0.1263 | ✗ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009812 | -2.34% | 0.011822 | +17.66% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.011793 | -2.21% | 0.016224 | +34.53% | 0.1487 | ✗ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.010146 | -2.60% | 0.011992 | +15.13% | 0.1696 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.009243 | -3.71% | 0.012992 | +35.34% | 0.3681 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.011797 | -1.90% | 0.011416 | -5.07% | 0.0043 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.01263 | -1.27% | 0.009685 | -24.28% | 0.2538 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.015614 | -0.40% | 0.008004 | -48.95% | 0.6233 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.022418 | -1.99% | 0.010047 | -56.08% | 0.7699 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.018168 | -1.11% | 0.01206 | -34.36% | 0.3783 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.024025 | -2.12% | 0.010417 | -57.56% | 0.7758 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.018781 | -1.87% | 0.0096 | -49.84% | 0.6837 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.020571 | -2.11% | 0.012026 | -42.77% | 0.5503 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.024522 | -2.93% | 0.012792 | -49.36% | 0.6575 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.025967 | -3.80% | 0.015676 | -41.93% | 0.5385 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.021653 | -2.32% | 0.022874 | +3.19% | 0.0346 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.014228 | -0.38% | 0.018372 | +28.63% | 0.2323 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.016668 | +0.04% | 0.024546 | +47.33% | 0.3748 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.022321 | -2.32% | 0.019138 | -16.25% | 0.1318 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.019393 | -1.61% | 0.021014 | +6.61% | 0.0948 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.018659 | -1.36% | 0.025262 | +33.55% | 0.3083 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.015968 | -1.13% | 0.026994 | +67.15% | 0.5259 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.013591 | -0.94% | 0.022167 | +61.58% | 0.4740 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.013264 | -0.49% | 0.014283 | +7.16% | 0.0803 | ✗ | 1.00 |