HMM
Thinking Cat · Robinhood · lstm_s7
- token id
- #766
- symbol
- HMM
- variant
- –
- chain
- Robinhood
- address
- 0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-08-12
- predictions
- 189
Track record at +30d
assessed
33
of 63 predictions shown
direction hit
100.0%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.3967
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0800
actual -0.4630
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-22 | oos | 0.007225 | 0.006964 | -3.60% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.007181 | 0.00699 | -2.66% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.006935 | 0.006733 | -2.91% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.006911 | 0.006701 | -3.04% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.007476 | 0.007253 | -2.99% | – | pending | – | – | 3.35 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.008448 | 0.008197 | -2.98% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.008892 | 0.008618 | -3.08% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.008617 | 0.008353 | -3.06% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.009034 | 0.008756 | -3.07% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.008849 | 0.008573 | -3.11% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.008725 | 0.008436 | -3.31% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.009124 | 0.008823 | -3.30% | – | pending | – | – | 3.55 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.010989 | 0.010568 | -3.84% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.010006 | 0.009651 | -3.55% | – | pending | – | – | 3.58 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.008488 | 0.008134 | -4.18% | – | pending | – | – | 3.54 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.010855 | 0.010412 | -4.08% | – | pending | – | – | 3.43 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.012157 | 0.0116 | -4.58% | – | pending | – | – | 3.44 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.011895 | 0.011376 | -4.37% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.013768 | 0.013076 | -5.02% | – | pending | – | – | 3.41 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.014797 | 0.013937 | -5.81% | – | pending | – | – | 3.47 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.013097 | 0.012429 | -5.10% | – | pending | – | – | 3.48 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.014907 | 0.01399 | -6.15% | – | pending | – | – | 3.45 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.011815 | 0.011282 | -4.51% | – | pending | – | – | 3.38 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.012816 | 0.012164 | -5.09% | – | pending | – | – | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.010778 | 0.010365 | -3.83% | – | pending | – | – | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.011668 | 0.011177 | -4.20% | – | pending | – | – | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.014306 | 0.013367 | -6.57% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.013554 | 0.012725 | -6.12% | – | pending | – | – | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.009953 | 0.009596 | -3.59% | – | pending | – | – | 3.50 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.009004 | 0.008645 | -3.98% | – | pending | – | – | 3.53 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.009465 | 0.009108 | -3.77% | 0.007225 | -23.67% | 0.1477 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.012424 | 0.011886 | -4.33% | 0.007181 | -42.20% | 0.3981 | ✓ | 3.51 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.01087 | 0.010374 | -4.56% | 0.006935 | -36.20% | 0.4818 | ✓ | 3.65 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.011822 | 0.011195 | -5.30% | 0.006911 | -41.54% | 0.5093 | ✓ | 3.63 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.016224 | 0.014712 | -9.32% | 0.007476 | -53.92% | 0.7270 | ✓ | 3.61 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.011992 | 0.011183 | -6.74% | 0.008448 | -29.55% | 0.4891 | ✓ | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.012992 | 0.011972 | -7.85% | 0.008892 | -31.55% | 0.5190 | ✓ | 3.26 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.011416 | 0.010626 | -6.92% | 0.008617 | -24.52% | 0.4789 | ✓ | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.009685 | 0.008979 | -7.29% | 0.009034 | -6.73% | 0.1607 | ✓ | 3.93 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.008004 | 0.007009 | -12.42% | 0.008849 | +10.56% | 0.0679 | ✓ | 3.82 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.010047 | 0.009189 | -8.54% | 0.008725 | -13.16% | 0.2611 | ✓ | 3.71 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.01206 | 0.011137 | -7.65% | 0.009124 | -24.34% | 0.4947 | ✓ | 3.67 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.010417 | 0.009313 | -10.60% | 0.010989 | +5.50% | 0.0856 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.0096 | 0.008239 | -14.17% | 0.010006 | +4.23% | 0.1413 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.012026 | 0.01074 | -10.70% | 0.008488 | -29.42% | 0.2758 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.012792 | 0.011469 | -10.34% | 0.010855 | -15.14% | 0.1066 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.015676 | 0.014423 | -7.99% | 0.012157 | -22.45% | 0.2336 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.022874 | 0.02119 | -7.36% | 0.011895 | -47.99% | 0.6489 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.018372 | 0.017038 | -7.26% | 0.013768 | -25.06% | 0.2954 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.024546 | 0.022749 | -7.32% | 0.014797 | -39.72% | 0.4720 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.019138 | 0.017737 | -7.32% | 0.013097 | -31.57% | 0.3923 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.021014 | 0.01945 | -7.44% | 0.014907 | -29.06% | 0.3579 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.025262 | 0.02311 | -8.52% | 0.011815 | -53.23% | 0.7325 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.026994 | 0.024301 | -9.98% | 0.012816 | -52.52% | 0.7139 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.022167 | 0.020325 | -8.31% | 0.010778 | -51.38% | 0.6990 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.014283 | 0.013402 | -6.17% | 0.011668 | -18.31% | 0.2202 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.016661 | 0.015746 | -5.49% | 0.014306 | -14.13% | 0.1462 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.02285 | 0.020784 | -9.04% | 0.013554 | -40.68% | 0.4897 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.019711 | 0.018175 | -7.79% | 0.009953 | -49.51% | 0.6741 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.018916 | 0.017561 | -7.16% | 0.009004 | -52.40% | 0.7341 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.01615 | 0.015178 | -6.02% | 0.009465 | -41.39% | 0.5756 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.013719 | 0.01303 | -5.02% | 0.012424 | -9.44% | 0.1644 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.013329 | 0.012786 | -4.07% | 0.01087 | -18.45% | 0.1979 | ✓ | 1.00 |