GENIUS

Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s7

token id: #408
symbol: GENIUS
variant: –
chain: Binance Smart Chain
address: 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-15
predictions: 453

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +30d

assessed

121

of 151 predictions shown

direction hit

78.5%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1218

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0376

actual -0.0865

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.3071	0.29301	-4.59%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.3057	0.293666	-3.94%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-19	oos	0.30015	0.28997	-3.39%	–	pending	–	–	-0.10
2026-10-18	oos	0.3024	0.293333	-3.00%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-17	oos	0.29965	0.290759	-2.97%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-16	oos	0.3056	0.296992	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-15	oos	0.30045	0.292867	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.04
2026-10-14	oos	0.31885	0.307132	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-13	oos	0.3176	0.306433	-3.52%	–	pending	–	–	-0.03
2026-10-12	oos	0.32945	0.31439	-4.57%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-11	oos	0.3359	0.321451	-4.30%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-10	oos	0.346	0.329423	-4.79%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.3428	0.32692	-4.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.3213	0.309292	-3.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.324	0.312114	-3.67%	–	pending	–	–	-0.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.32765	0.317147	-3.21%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-10-05	oos	0.32845	0.318504	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-10-04	oos	0.31975	0.313697	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-10-03	oos	0.32535	0.317636	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-02	oos	0.32695	0.318831	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.31835	0.311776	-2.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-30	oos	0.3226	0.315076	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.04
2026-09-29	oos	0.31945	0.31152	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-28	oos	0.3168	0.308396	-2.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.03
2026-09-27	oos	0.3292	0.321007	-2.49%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-26	oos	0.34275	0.33314	-2.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-25	oos	0.349	0.338417	-3.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.01
2026-09-24	oos	0.35475	0.344254	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-23	oos	0.3426	0.334989	-2.22%	–	pending	–	–	0.02
2026-09-22	oos	0.35245	0.350248	-0.62%	–	pending	–	–	-0.02
2026-09-21	oos	0.35885	0.3576	-0.35%	0.3071	-14.42%	0.1523	✓	-0.00
2026-09-20	oos	0.3747	0.359448	-4.07%	0.3057	-18.41%	0.1639	✓	0.09
2026-09-19	oos	0.34085	0.331194	-2.83%	0.30015	-11.94%	0.0991	✓	0.09
2026-09-18	oos	0.3402	0.330836	-2.75%	0.3024	-11.11%	0.0912	✓	0.10
2026-09-17	oos	0.3605	0.3434	-4.74%	0.29965	-16.88%	0.1498	✓	0.21
2026-09-16	oos	0.3024	0.294028	-2.77%	0.3056	+1.06%	0.0232	✓	0.23
2026-09-15	oos	0.3036	0.294756	-2.91%	0.30045	-1.04%	0.0063	✓	0.31
2026-09-14	oos	0.2988	0.29322	-1.87%	0.31885	+6.71%	0.0689	✗	0.35
2026-09-13	oos	0.29545	0.289351	-2.06%	0.3176	+7.50%	0.0655	✗	0.35
2026-09-12	oos	0.29705	0.291725	-1.79%	0.32945	+10.91%	0.1033	✗	0.33
2026-09-11	oos	0.30415	0.298538	-1.85%	0.3359	+10.44%	0.0876	✗	0.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.2871	0.282428	-1.63%	0.346	+20.52%	0.1743	✗	0.36
2026-09-09	oos	0.28855	0.285254	-1.14%	0.3428	+18.80%	0.1642	✗	0.37
2026-09-08	oos	0.30395	0.299342	-1.52%	0.3213	+5.71%	0.0562	✗	0.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.2922	0.288902	-1.13%	0.324	+10.88%	0.0958	✗	0.37
2026-09-06	oos	0.2962	0.29389	-0.78%	0.32765	+10.62%	0.0854	✗	0.37
2026-09-05	oos	0.30035	0.29684	-1.17%	0.32845	+9.36%	0.0745	✗	0.37
2026-09-04	oos	0.2933	0.289987	-1.13%	0.31975	+9.02%	0.0553	✗	0.52
2026-09-03	oos	0.29125	0.29356	+0.79%	0.32535	+11.71%	0.0801	✓	0.54
2026-09-02	oos	0.2859	0.286057	+0.05%	0.32695	+14.36%	0.0903	✓	0.49
2026-09-01	oos	0.2773	0.278004	+0.25%	0.31835	+14.80%	0.0889	✓	0.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.2837	0.285629	+0.68%	0.3226	+13.71%	0.0884	✓	0.54
2026-08-30	oos	0.28175	0.283871	+0.75%	0.31945	+13.38%	0.1003	✓	0.24
2026-08-29	oos	0.2845	0.288472	+1.40%	0.3168	+11.35%	0.0783	✓	0.24
2026-08-28	oos	0.28265	0.286765	+1.46%	0.3292	+16.47%	0.1183	✓	0.24
2026-08-27	oos	0.3045	0.312601	+2.66%	0.34275	+12.56%	0.0821	✓	0.20
2026-08-26	oos	0.30725	0.316096	+2.88%	0.349	+13.59%	0.0851	✓	0.22
2026-08-25	oos	0.3083	0.321624	+4.32%	0.35475	+15.07%	0.0795	✓	0.26
2026-08-24	oos	0.3126	0.328477	+5.08%	0.3426	+9.60%	0.0277	✓	0.22
2026-08-23	oos	0.324	0.341315	+5.34%	0.35245	+8.78%	0.0114	✓	0.20
2026-08-22	oos	0.3344	0.351152	+5.01%	0.35885	+7.31%	0.0011	✓	0.20
2026-08-21	oos	0.34135	0.360196	+5.52%	0.3747	+9.77%	0.0323	✓	0.20
2026-08-20	oos	0.3111	0.313705	+0.84%	0.34085	+9.56%	0.0770	✓	0.06
2026-08-19	oos	0.3291	0.321311	-2.37%	0.3402	+3.37%	0.0785	✗	-0.14
2026-08-18	oos	0.36445	0.349218	-4.18%	0.3605	-1.08%	0.0176	✓	0.09
2026-08-17	oos	0.36775	0.353234	-3.95%	0.3024	-17.77%	0.1720	✓	0.10
2026-08-16	oos	0.36445	0.350159	-3.92%	0.3036	-16.70%	0.1597	✓	0.09
2026-08-15	oos	0.3723	0.358331	-3.75%	0.2988	-19.74%	0.2002	✓	0.09
2026-08-14	oos	0.3686	0.354718	-3.77%	0.29545	-19.85%	0.2046	✓	0.11
2026-08-13	oos	0.3931	0.378131	-3.81%	0.29705	-24.43%	0.2584	✓	0.09
2026-08-12	oos	0.376	0.362234	-3.66%	0.30415	-19.11%	0.1909	✓	0.08
2026-08-11	oos	0.3729	0.358937	-3.74%	0.2871	-23.01%	0.2386	✓	0.08
2026-08-10	oos	0.36395	0.349554	-3.96%	0.28855	-20.72%	0.2091	✓	0.09
2026-08-09	oos	0.34505	0.330912	-4.10%	0.30395	-11.91%	0.1060	✓	0.11
2026-08-08	oos	0.34625	0.332141	-4.07%	0.2922	-15.61%	0.1500	✓	0.11
2026-08-07	oos	0.3416	0.328012	-3.98%	0.2962	-13.29%	0.1253	✓	0.11
2026-08-06	oos	0.33865	0.325584	-3.86%	0.30035	-11.31%	0.1032	✓	0.10
2026-08-05	oos	0.3583	0.345357	-3.61%	0.2933	-18.14%	0.1841	✓	0.10
2026-08-04	oos	0.34955	0.336937	-3.61%	0.29125	-16.68%	0.1666	✓	0.09
2026-08-03	oos	0.3431	0.330275	-3.74%	0.2859	-16.67%	0.1598	✓	0.08
2026-08-02	oos	0.32795	0.315135	-3.91%	0.2773	-15.44%	0.1427	✓	0.07
2026-08-01	oos	0.3215	0.308632	-4.00%	0.2837	-11.76%	0.0982	✓	0.06
2026-07-31	oos	0.3287	0.315957	-3.88%	0.28175	-14.28%	0.1280	✓	0.06
2026-07-30	oos	0.3309	0.318587	-3.72%	0.2845	-14.02%	0.1251	✓	0.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.32935	0.316722	-3.83%	0.28265	-14.18%	0.1253	✓	0.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.35	0.336696	-3.80%	0.3045	-13.00%	0.1156	✓	0.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.36775	0.353476	-3.88%	0.30725	-16.45%	0.1564	✓	0.08
2026-07-26	oos	0.37585	0.362042	-3.67%	0.3083	-17.97%	0.1718	✓	0.06
2026-07-25	oos	0.37075	0.355975	-3.99%	0.3126	-15.68%	0.1399	✓	0.05
2026-07-24	oos	0.3617	0.346785	-4.12%	0.324	-10.42%	0.0760	✓	0.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.3527	0.340079	-3.58%	0.3344	-5.19%	0.0263	✓	0.06
2026-07-22	oos	0.35555	0.34401	-3.25%	0.34135	-3.99%	0.0170	✓	0.05
2026-07-21	oos	0.36335	0.351124	-3.36%	0.3111	-14.38%	0.1258	✓	0.05
2026-07-20	oos	0.3239	0.311986	-3.68%	0.3291	+1.61%	0.0569	✗	-0.06
2026-07-19	oos	0.31675	0.304874	-3.75%	0.36445	+15.06%	0.1785	✗	-0.07
2026-07-18	oos	0.31925	0.307703	-3.62%	0.36775	+15.19%	0.1779	✗	-0.07
2026-07-17	oos	0.3248	0.312958	-3.65%	0.36445	+12.21%	0.1513	✗	-0.06
2026-07-16	oos	0.33275	0.320202	-3.77%	0.3723	+11.89%	0.1500	✗	-0.06
2026-07-15	oos	0.3329	0.321116	-3.54%	0.3686	+10.72%	0.1363	✗	-0.06
2026-07-14	oos	0.33125	0.318358	-3.89%	0.3931	+18.67%	0.2095	✗	-0.06
2026-07-13	oos	0.32705	0.312943	-4.31%	0.376	+14.97%	0.1855	✗	-0.10
2026-07-12	oos	0.3384	0.324874	-4.00%	0.3729	+10.20%	0.1374	✗	-0.13
2026-07-11	oos	0.3452	0.33247	-3.69%	0.36395	+5.43%	0.0907	✗	-0.13
2026-07-10	oos	0.34765	0.336029	-3.34%	0.34505	-0.75%	0.0279	✓	-0.13
2026-07-09	oos	0.3484	0.334979	-3.85%	0.34625	-0.62%	0.0367	✓	-0.13
2026-07-08	oos	0.35555	0.339946	-4.39%	0.3416	-3.92%	0.0100	✓	-0.12
2026-07-07	oos	0.3748	0.357118	-4.72%	0.33865	-9.65%	0.0508	✓	-0.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.3765	0.35987	-4.42%	0.3583	-4.83%	0.0029	✓	-0.15
2026-07-05	oos	0.38175	0.364205	-4.60%	0.34955	-8.43%	0.0400	✓	-0.15
2026-07-04	oos	0.3877	0.369037	-4.81%	0.3431	-11.50%	0.0720	✓	-0.14
2026-07-03	oos	0.384	0.365357	-4.85%	0.32795	-14.60%	0.1056	✓	-0.16
2026-07-02	oos	0.3888	0.368403	-5.25%	0.3215	-17.31%	0.1331	✓	-0.15
2026-07-01	oos	0.3947	0.371828	-5.79%	0.3287	-16.72%	0.1168	✓	-0.14
2026-06-30	oos	0.3947	0.369362	-6.42%	0.3309	-16.16%	0.0946	✓	-0.15
2026-06-29	oos	0.39385	0.369837	-6.10%	0.32935	-16.38%	0.1070	✓	-0.15
2026-06-28	oos	0.3783	0.355301	-6.08%	0.35	-7.48%	0.0009	✓	-0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.37735	0.354525	-6.05%	0.36775	-2.54%	0.0487	✓	-0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.39065	0.367231	-5.99%	0.37585	-3.79%	0.0393	✓	-0.19
2026-06-25	oos	0.3913	0.368222	-5.90%	0.37075	-5.25%	0.0211	✓	-0.19
2026-06-24	oos	0.3809	0.359457	-5.63%	0.3617	-5.04%	0.0145	✓	-0.17
2026-06-23	oos	0.3911	0.370432	-5.28%	0.3527	-9.82%	0.0415	✓	-0.20
2026-06-22	oos	0.39995	0.379125	-5.21%	0.35555	-11.10%	0.0570	✓	-0.22
2026-06-21	oos	0.411	0.388746	-5.41%	0.36335	-11.59%	0.0576	✓	-0.20
2026-06-20	oos	0.4169	0.394233	-5.44%	0.3239	-22.31%	0.1934	✓	-0.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.40235	0.379252	-5.74%	0.31675	-21.28%	0.1753	✓	-0.26
2026-06-18	oos	0.3724	0.34818	-6.50%	0.31925	-14.27%	0.0762	✓	-0.35
2026-06-17	oos	0.415	0.389586	-6.12%	0.3248	-21.73%	0.1861	✓	-0.49
2026-06-16	oos	0.4273	0.401512	-6.03%	0.33275	-22.13%	0.2025	✓	-0.51
2026-06-15	oos	0.4357	0.409839	-5.94%	0.3329	-23.59%	0.2203	✓	-0.52
2026-06-14	oos	0.4935	0.466072	-5.56%	0.33125	-32.88%	0.3458	✓	-0.40
2026-06-13	oos	0.44765	0.420151	-6.14%	0.32705	-26.94%	0.2163	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.45495	0.427345	-6.07%	0.3384	-25.62%	0.2365	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.4724	0.443383	-6.14%	0.3452	-26.93%	0.2536	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.4711	0.441286	-6.33%	0.34765	-26.20%	0.2812	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.4527	0.421205	-6.96%	0.3484	-23.04%	0.2136	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.4637	0.432626	-6.70%	0.35555	-23.32%	0.1830	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.4677	0.436501	-6.67%	0.3748	-19.86%	0.1527	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.4055	0.367355	-9.41%	0.3765	-7.15%	0.0259	✓	1.00
2026-06-05	oos	0.4356	0.399451	-8.30%	0.38175	-12.36%	0.0863	✓	1.00
2026-06-04	oos	0.4301	0.391933	-8.87%	0.3877	-9.86%	0.0005	✓	1.00
2026-06-03	oos	0.4796	0.446726	-6.85%	0.384	-19.93%	0.1273	✓	1.00
2026-06-02	oos	0.509	0.476577	-6.37%	0.3888	-23.61%	0.1228	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.4463	0.405975	-9.04%	0.3947	-11.56%	0.1452	✗	1.00
2026-05-31	oos	0.4511	0.410625	-8.97%	0.3947	-12.50%	0.1893	✗	1.00
2026-05-30	oos	0.47675	0.438788	-7.96%	0.39385	-17.39%	0.0959	✗	1.00
2026-05-29	oos	0.45355	0.414614	-8.58%	0.3783	-16.59%	0.1183	✗	1.00
2026-05-28	oos	0.62785	0.595491	-5.15%	0.37735	-39.90%	0.2520	✓	1.00
2026-05-27	oos	0.71265	0.676351	-5.09%	0.39065	-45.18%	0.3350	✓	1.00
2026-05-26	oos	0.67035	0.636894	-4.99%	0.3913	-41.63%	0.2481	✓	1.00
2026-05-25	oos	0.6361	0.604631	-4.95%	0.3809	-40.12%	0.2256	✓	1.00
2026-05-24	oos	0.72305	0.681608	-5.73%	0.3911	-45.91%	0.3495	✓	1.00