GENIUS
Genius · Binance Smart Chain · lstm_s7
- token id
- #408
- symbol
- GENIUS
- variant
- –
- chain
- Binance Smart Chain
- address
- 0x1f12b85aac097e43aa1555b2881e98a51090e9a6
- cohort
- datapoint (mid-window listing)
- first bar
- 2026-05-15
- predictions
- 453
Track record at +1d
assessed
150
of 151 predictions shown
direction hit
55.3%
alpha space; 50% is a coin flip
MAE (alpha)
0.0340
mean absolute log-return error
mean pred / actual
-0.0035
actual -0.0049
History
| as of | split | anchor px | pred px | pred Δ | actual px | actual Δ | alpha err | hit | β90d |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | oos | 0.3071 | 0.30619 | -0.30% | – | pending | – | – | -0.10 |
| 2026-10-20 | oos | 0.3057 | 0.304855 | -0.28% | 0.3071 | +0.46% | 0.0071 | ✗ | -0.10 |
| 2026-10-19 | oos | 0.30015 | 0.299366 | -0.26% | 0.3057 | +1.85% | 0.0223 | ✗ | -0.10 |
| 2026-10-18 | oos | 0.3024 | 0.301587 | -0.27% | 0.30015 | -0.74% | 0.0049 | ✓ | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-17 | oos | 0.29965 | 0.298878 | -0.26% | 0.3024 | +0.92% | 0.0120 | ✗ | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-16 | oos | 0.3056 | 0.30472 | -0.29% | 0.29965 | -1.95% | 0.0168 | ✓ | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-15 | oos | 0.30045 | 0.299691 | -0.25% | 0.3056 | +1.71% | 0.0192 | ✗ | -0.04 |
| 2026-10-14 | oos | 0.31885 | 0.317856 | -0.31% | 0.30045 | -5.77% | 0.0561 | ✓ | -0.03 |
| 2026-10-13 | oos | 0.3176 | 0.3168 | -0.25% | 0.31885 | +0.39% | 0.0059 | ✗ | -0.03 |
| 2026-10-12 | oos | 0.32945 | 0.328369 | -0.33% | 0.3176 | -3.60% | 0.0331 | ✓ | -0.02 |
| 2026-10-11 | oos | 0.3359 | 0.334836 | -0.32% | 0.32945 | -1.92% | 0.0166 | ✓ | -0.02 |
| 2026-10-10 | oos | 0.346 | 0.344664 | -0.39% | 0.3359 | -2.92% | 0.0259 | ✓ | 0.01 |
| 2026-10-09 | oos | 0.3428 | 0.341509 | -0.38% | 0.346 | +0.93% | 0.0130 | ✗ | 0.01 |
| 2026-10-08 | oos | 0.3213 | 0.320397 | -0.28% | 0.3428 | +6.69% | 0.0676 | ✗ | 0.00 |
| 2026-10-07 | oos | 0.324 | 0.323217 | -0.24% | 0.3213 | -0.83% | 0.0060 | ✓ | -0.00 |
| 2026-10-06 | oos | 0.32765 | 0.327014 | -0.19% | 0.324 | -1.11% | 0.0097 | ✓ | -0.02 |
| 2026-10-05 | oos | 0.32845 | 0.32785 | -0.18% | 0.32765 | -0.24% | 0.0006 | ✓ | 0.01 |
| 2026-10-04 | oos | 0.31975 | 0.3194 | -0.11% | 0.32845 | +2.72% | 0.0281 | ✗ | 0.02 |
| 2026-10-03 | oos | 0.32535 | 0.324769 | -0.18% | 0.31975 | -1.72% | 0.0162 | ✓ | 0.03 |
| 2026-10-02 | oos | 0.32695 | 0.326327 | -0.19% | 0.32535 | -0.49% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 0.03 |
| 2026-10-01 | oos | 0.31835 | 0.31783 | -0.16% | 0.32695 | +2.70% | 0.0284 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-30 | oos | 0.3226 | 0.321859 | -0.23% | 0.31835 | -1.32% | 0.0115 | ✓ | 0.04 |
| 2026-09-29 | oos | 0.31945 | 0.318722 | -0.23% | 0.3226 | +0.99% | 0.0121 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-28 | oos | 0.3168 | 0.315966 | -0.26% | 0.31945 | +0.84% | 0.0109 | ✗ | 0.03 |
| 2026-09-27 | oos | 0.3292 | 0.328257 | -0.29% | 0.3168 | -3.77% | 0.0354 | ✓ | 0.01 |
| 2026-09-26 | oos | 0.34275 | 0.341423 | -0.39% | 0.3292 | -3.95% | 0.0365 | ✓ | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-25 | oos | 0.349 | 0.347262 | -0.50% | 0.34275 | -1.79% | 0.0131 | ✓ | 0.01 |
| 2026-09-24 | oos | 0.35475 | 0.352645 | -0.59% | 0.349 | -1.62% | 0.0103 | ✓ | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-23 | oos | 0.3426 | 0.340313 | -0.67% | 0.35475 | +3.55% | 0.0415 | ✗ | 0.02 |
| 2026-09-22 | oos | 0.35245 | 0.349824 | -0.74% | 0.3426 | -2.79% | 0.0212 | ✓ | -0.02 |
| 2026-09-21 | oos | 0.35885 | 0.356185 | -0.74% | 0.35245 | -1.78% | 0.0105 | ✓ | -0.00 |
| 2026-09-20 | oos | 0.3747 | 0.371281 | -0.91% | 0.35885 | -4.23% | 0.0398 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-19 | oos | 0.34085 | 0.33851 | -0.69% | 0.3747 | +9.93% | 0.1017 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-09-18 | oos | 0.3402 | 0.337906 | -0.67% | 0.34085 | +0.19% | 0.0082 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-09-17 | oos | 0.3605 | 0.357777 | -0.76% | 0.3402 | -5.63% | 0.0626 | ✓ | 0.21 |
| 2026-09-16 | oos | 0.3024 | 0.301539 | -0.28% | 0.3605 | +19.21% | 0.1780 | ✗ | 0.23 |
| 2026-09-15 | oos | 0.3036 | 0.302698 | -0.30% | 0.3024 | -0.40% | 0.0033 | ✓ | 0.31 |
| 2026-09-14 | oos | 0.2988 | 0.298119 | -0.23% | 0.3036 | +1.61% | 0.0301 | ✗ | 0.35 |
| 2026-09-13 | oos | 0.29545 | 0.294751 | -0.24% | 0.2988 | +1.13% | 0.0074 | ✗ | 0.35 |
| 2026-09-12 | oos | 0.29705 | 0.296399 | -0.22% | 0.29545 | -0.54% | 0.0013 | ✓ | 0.33 |
| 2026-09-11 | oos | 0.30415 | 0.303415 | -0.24% | 0.29705 | -2.33% | 0.0215 | ✓ | 0.38 |
| 2026-09-10 | oos | 0.2871 | 0.286612 | -0.17% | 0.30415 | +5.94% | 0.0563 | ✗ | 0.36 |
| 2026-09-09 | oos | 0.28855 | 0.288187 | -0.13% | 0.2871 | -0.50% | 0.0045 | ✗ | 0.37 |
| 2026-09-08 | oos | 0.30395 | 0.303555 | -0.13% | 0.28855 | -5.07% | 0.0499 | ✓ | 0.36 |
| 2026-09-07 | oos | 0.2922 | 0.291999 | -0.07% | 0.30395 | +4.02% | 0.0431 | ✗ | 0.37 |
| 2026-09-06 | oos | 0.2962 | 0.296113 | -0.03% | 0.2922 | -1.35% | 0.0075 | ✓ | 0.37 |
| 2026-09-05 | oos | 0.30035 | 0.300293 | -0.02% | 0.2962 | -1.38% | 0.0161 | ✓ | 0.37 |
| 2026-09-04 | oos | 0.2933 | 0.29331 | +0.00% | 0.30035 | +2.40% | 0.0227 | ✓ | 0.52 |
| 2026-09-03 | oos | 0.29125 | 0.291423 | +0.06% | 0.2933 | +0.70% | 0.0171 | ✓ | 0.54 |
| 2026-09-02 | oos | 0.2859 | 0.285984 | +0.03% | 0.29125 | +1.87% | 0.0060 | ✗ | 0.49 |
| 2026-09-01 | oos | 0.2773 | 0.277408 | +0.04% | 0.2859 | +3.10% | 0.0308 | ✓ | 0.51 |
| 2026-08-31 | oos | 0.2837 | 0.284047 | +0.12% | 0.2773 | -2.26% | 0.0160 | ✗ | 0.54 |
| 2026-08-30 | oos | 0.28175 | 0.282073 | +0.11% | 0.2837 | +0.69% | 0.0030 | ✓ | 0.24 |
| 2026-08-29 | oos | 0.2845 | 0.284922 | +0.15% | 0.28175 | -0.97% | 0.0095 | ✗ | 0.24 |
| 2026-08-28 | oos | 0.28265 | 0.283036 | +0.14% | 0.2845 | +0.65% | 0.0039 | ✓ | 0.24 |
| 2026-08-27 | oos | 0.3045 | 0.304975 | +0.16% | 0.28265 | -7.18% | 0.0699 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-26 | oos | 0.30725 | 0.307689 | +0.14% | 0.3045 | -0.90% | 0.0139 | ✗ | 0.22 |
| 2026-08-25 | oos | 0.3083 | 0.308668 | +0.12% | 0.30725 | -0.34% | 0.0062 | ✗ | 0.26 |
| 2026-08-24 | oos | 0.3126 | 0.312879 | +0.09% | 0.3083 | -1.38% | 0.0135 | ✗ | 0.22 |
| 2026-08-23 | oos | 0.324 | 0.32421 | +0.06% | 0.3126 | -3.52% | 0.0397 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-22 | oos | 0.3344 | 0.334553 | +0.05% | 0.324 | -3.11% | 0.0338 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-21 | oos | 0.34135 | 0.341462 | +0.03% | 0.3344 | -2.04% | 0.0176 | ✗ | 0.20 |
| 2026-08-20 | oos | 0.3111 | 0.310575 | -0.17% | 0.34135 | +9.72% | 0.0905 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-08-19 | oos | 0.3291 | 0.328305 | -0.24% | 0.3111 | -5.47% | 0.0466 | ✓ | -0.14 |
| 2026-08-18 | oos | 0.36445 | 0.363149 | -0.36% | 0.3291 | -9.70% | 0.1043 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-17 | oos | 0.36775 | 0.366374 | -0.37% | 0.36445 | -0.90% | 0.0056 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-08-16 | oos | 0.36445 | 0.36305 | -0.38% | 0.36775 | +0.91% | 0.0105 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-15 | oos | 0.3723 | 0.370739 | -0.42% | 0.36445 | -2.11% | 0.0169 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-14 | oos | 0.3686 | 0.367114 | -0.40% | 0.3723 | +1.00% | 0.0140 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-08-13 | oos | 0.3931 | 0.391372 | -0.44% | 0.3686 | -6.23% | 0.0593 | ✓ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-12 | oos | 0.376 | 0.37433 | -0.44% | 0.3931 | +4.55% | 0.0489 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-11 | oos | 0.3729 | 0.371204 | -0.45% | 0.376 | +0.83% | 0.0130 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-10 | oos | 0.36395 | 0.362491 | -0.40% | 0.3729 | +2.46% | 0.0288 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-09 | oos | 0.34505 | 0.343875 | -0.34% | 0.36395 | +5.48% | 0.0583 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-08-08 | oos | 0.34625 | 0.345042 | -0.35% | 0.34505 | -0.35% | 0.0001 | ✓ | 0.11 |
| 2026-08-07 | oos | 0.3416 | 0.340389 | -0.35% | 0.34625 | +1.36% | 0.0170 | ✗ | 0.11 |
| 2026-08-06 | oos | 0.33865 | 0.337397 | -0.37% | 0.3416 | +0.87% | 0.0114 | ✗ | 0.10 |
| 2026-08-05 | oos | 0.3583 | 0.356857 | -0.40% | 0.33865 | -5.48% | 0.0519 | ✓ | 0.10 |
| 2026-08-04 | oos | 0.34955 | 0.348075 | -0.42% | 0.3583 | +2.50% | 0.0282 | ✗ | 0.09 |
| 2026-08-03 | oos | 0.3431 | 0.341706 | -0.41% | 0.34955 | +1.88% | 0.0220 | ✗ | 0.08 |
| 2026-08-02 | oos | 0.32795 | 0.326747 | -0.37% | 0.3431 | +4.62% | 0.0489 | ✗ | 0.07 |
| 2026-08-01 | oos | 0.3215 | 0.320332 | -0.36% | 0.32795 | +2.01% | 0.0228 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-07-31 | oos | 0.3287 | 0.327411 | -0.39% | 0.3215 | -2.19% | 0.0182 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-07-30 | oos | 0.3309 | 0.329605 | -0.39% | 0.3287 | -0.66% | 0.0009 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-07-29 | oos | 0.32935 | 0.328102 | -0.38% | 0.3309 | +0.47% | 0.0077 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-07-28 | oos | 0.35 | 0.348563 | -0.41% | 0.32935 | -5.90% | 0.0567 | ✓ | 0.07 |
| 2026-07-27 | oos | 0.36775 | 0.366065 | -0.46% | 0.35 | -4.83% | 0.0451 | ✓ | 0.08 |
| 2026-07-26 | oos | 0.37585 | 0.373989 | -0.50% | 0.36775 | -2.16% | 0.0153 | ✓ | 0.06 |
| 2026-07-25 | oos | 0.37075 | 0.368874 | -0.51% | 0.37585 | +1.38% | 0.0180 | ✗ | 0.05 |
| 2026-07-24 | oos | 0.3617 | 0.360189 | -0.42% | 0.37075 | +2.50% | 0.0288 | ✗ | 0.04 |
| 2026-07-23 | oos | 0.3527 | 0.35129 | -0.40% | 0.3617 | +2.55% | 0.0300 | ✗ | 0.06 |
| 2026-07-22 | oos | 0.35555 | 0.354109 | -0.41% | 0.3527 | -0.80% | 0.0031 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-07-21 | oos | 0.36335 | 0.361721 | -0.45% | 0.35555 | -2.15% | 0.0169 | ✓ | 0.05 |
| 2026-07-20 | oos | 0.3239 | 0.323007 | -0.28% | 0.36335 | +12.18% | 0.1188 | ✗ | -0.06 |
| 2026-07-19 | oos | 0.31675 | 0.31594 | -0.26% | 0.3239 | +2.26% | 0.0255 | ✗ | -0.07 |
| 2026-07-18 | oos | 0.31925 | 0.318431 | -0.26% | 0.31675 | -0.78% | 0.0054 | ✓ | -0.07 |
| 2026-07-17 | oos | 0.3248 | 0.323871 | -0.29% | 0.31925 | -1.71% | 0.0135 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-07-16 | oos | 0.33275 | 0.33171 | -0.31% | 0.3248 | -2.39% | 0.0209 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-07-15 | oos | 0.3329 | 0.331907 | -0.30% | 0.33275 | -0.05% | 0.0017 | ✓ | -0.06 |
| 2026-07-14 | oos | 0.33125 | 0.330428 | -0.25% | 0.3329 | +0.50% | 0.0072 | ✗ | -0.06 |
| 2026-07-13 | oos | 0.32705 | 0.326209 | -0.26% | 0.33125 | +1.28% | 0.0198 | ✗ | -0.10 |
| 2026-07-12 | oos | 0.3384 | 0.337497 | -0.27% | 0.32705 | -3.35% | 0.0345 | ✓ | -0.13 |
| 2026-07-11 | oos | 0.3452 | 0.344233 | -0.28% | 0.3384 | -1.97% | 0.0172 | ✓ | -0.13 |
| 2026-07-10 | oos | 0.34765 | 0.346661 | -0.28% | 0.3452 | -0.70% | 0.0049 | ✓ | -0.13 |
| 2026-07-09 | oos | 0.3484 | 0.347403 | -0.29% | 0.34765 | -0.22% | 0.0027 | ✓ | -0.13 |
| 2026-07-08 | oos | 0.35555 | 0.354419 | -0.32% | 0.3484 | -2.01% | 0.0153 | ✓ | -0.12 |
| 2026-07-07 | oos | 0.3748 | 0.373594 | -0.32% | 0.35555 | -5.14% | 0.0522 | ✓ | -0.15 |
| 2026-07-06 | oos | 0.3765 | 0.375313 | -0.32% | 0.3748 | -0.45% | 0.0030 | ✓ | -0.15 |
| 2026-07-05 | oos | 0.38175 | 0.380469 | -0.34% | 0.3765 | -1.38% | 0.0095 | ✓ | -0.15 |
| 2026-07-04 | oos | 0.3877 | 0.386307 | -0.36% | 0.38175 | -1.53% | 0.0107 | ✓ | -0.14 |
| 2026-07-03 | oos | 0.384 | 0.382609 | -0.36% | 0.3877 | +0.96% | 0.0146 | ✗ | -0.16 |
| 2026-07-02 | oos | 0.3888 | 0.387283 | -0.39% | 0.384 | -1.23% | 0.0060 | ✓ | -0.15 |
| 2026-07-01 | oos | 0.3947 | 0.392985 | -0.43% | 0.3888 | -1.49% | 0.0072 | ✓ | -0.14 |
| 2026-06-30 | oos | 0.3947 | 0.392965 | -0.44% | 0.3947 | +0.00% | 0.0081 | ✗ | -0.15 |
| 2026-06-29 | oos | 0.39385 | 0.392215 | -0.42% | 0.3947 | +0.22% | 0.0022 | ✓ | -0.15 |
| 2026-06-28 | oos | 0.3783 | 0.376962 | -0.35% | 0.39385 | +4.11% | 0.0461 | ✗ | -0.20 |
| 2026-06-27 | oos | 0.37735 | 0.376081 | -0.34% | 0.3783 | +0.25% | 0.0044 | ✗ | -0.20 |
| 2026-06-26 | oos | 0.39065 | 0.389218 | -0.37% | 0.37735 | -3.40% | 0.0312 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-06-25 | oos | 0.3913 | 0.389905 | -0.36% | 0.39065 | -0.17% | 0.0029 | ✓ | -0.19 |
| 2026-06-24 | oos | 0.3809 | 0.379686 | -0.32% | 0.3913 | +2.73% | 0.0266 | ✗ | -0.17 |
| 2026-06-23 | oos | 0.3911 | 0.389723 | -0.35% | 0.3809 | -2.61% | 0.0283 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-06-22 | oos | 0.39995 | 0.398447 | -0.38% | 0.3911 | -2.21% | 0.0231 | ✓ | -0.22 |
| 2026-06-21 | oos | 0.411 | 0.409383 | -0.39% | 0.39995 | -2.69% | 0.0211 | ✓ | -0.20 |
| 2026-06-20 | oos | 0.4169 | 0.415216 | -0.40% | 0.411 | -1.42% | 0.0134 | ✓ | -0.21 |
| 2026-06-19 | oos | 0.40235 | 0.400842 | -0.37% | 0.4169 | +3.62% | 0.0423 | ✗ | -0.26 |
| 2026-06-18 | oos | 0.3724 | 0.371352 | -0.28% | 0.40235 | +8.04% | 0.0835 | ✗ | -0.35 |
| 2026-06-17 | oos | 0.415 | 0.413342 | -0.40% | 0.3724 | -10.27% | 0.1163 | ✓ | -0.49 |
| 2026-06-16 | oos | 0.4273 | 0.425494 | -0.42% | 0.415 | -2.88% | 0.0342 | ✓ | -0.51 |
| 2026-06-15 | oos | 0.4357 | 0.43378 | -0.44% | 0.4273 | -1.93% | 0.0202 | ✓ | -0.52 |
| 2026-06-14 | oos | 0.4935 | 0.491107 | -0.48% | 0.4357 | -11.71% | 0.1163 | ✓ | -0.40 |
| 2026-06-13 | oos | 0.44765 | 0.445604 | -0.46% | 0.4935 | +10.24% | 0.0825 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-12 | oos | 0.45495 | 0.452818 | -0.47% | 0.44765 | -1.60% | 0.0254 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-11 | oos | 0.4724 | 0.470134 | -0.48% | 0.45495 | -3.69% | 0.0324 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-10 | oos | 0.4711 | 0.468871 | -0.47% | 0.4724 | +0.28% | 0.0264 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-09 | oos | 0.4527 | 0.450599 | -0.46% | 0.4711 | +4.06% | 0.0484 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-08 | oos | 0.4637 | 0.461455 | -0.48% | 0.4527 | -2.37% | 0.0029 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-07 | oos | 0.4677 | 0.465372 | -0.50% | 0.4637 | -0.86% | 0.0002 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-06 | oos | 0.4055 | 0.403176 | -0.57% | 0.4677 | +15.34% | 0.1089 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-05 | oos | 0.4356 | 0.433241 | -0.54% | 0.4055 | -6.91% | 0.0632 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-04 | oos | 0.4301 | 0.427373 | -0.63% | 0.4356 | +1.28% | 0.0635 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-03 | oos | 0.4796 | 0.476767 | -0.59% | 0.4301 | -10.32% | 0.0994 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-02 | oos | 0.509 | 0.506008 | -0.59% | 0.4796 | -5.78% | 0.0135 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-06-01 | oos | 0.4463 | 0.442988 | -0.74% | 0.509 | +14.05% | 0.2064 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-31 | oos | 0.4511 | 0.447533 | -0.79% | 0.4463 | -1.06% | 0.0285 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-30 | oos | 0.47675 | 0.472869 | -0.81% | 0.4511 | -5.38% | 0.0445 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-29 | oos | 0.45355 | 0.449535 | -0.89% | 0.47675 | +5.12% | 0.0533 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-28 | oos | 0.62785 | 0.622982 | -0.78% | 0.45355 | -27.76% | 0.3154 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-27 | oos | 0.71265 | 0.706285 | -0.89% | 0.62785 | -11.90% | 0.1068 | ✓ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-26 | oos | 0.67035 | 0.663861 | -0.97% | 0.71265 | +6.31% | 0.0910 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-25 | oos | 0.6361 | 0.629858 | -0.98% | 0.67035 | +5.38% | 0.0809 | ✗ | 1.00 |
| 2026-05-24 | oos | 0.72305 | 0.714016 | -1.25% | 0.6361 | -12.03% | 0.1191 | ✓ | 1.00 |