DRV

Derive · Ethereum · lstm_s7

token id: #111
symbol: DRV
variant: –
chain: Ethereum
address: 0xb1d1eae60eea9525032a6dcb4c1ce336a1de71be
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2026-05-28
predictions: 417

+1d +7d +30d

Track record at +7d

assessed

132

of 139 predictions shown

direction hit

53.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1612

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0274

actual +0.0596

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.40159	0.389939	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-21	oos	0.402115	0.39049	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-20	oos	0.398745	0.387113	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-19	oos	0.39882	0.387144	-2.93%	–	pending	–	–	1.43
2026-10-18	oos	0.38187	0.37062	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-17	oos	0.403015	0.391258	-2.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.41
2026-10-16	oos	0.387205	0.375733	-2.96%	–	pending	–	–	1.42
2026-10-15	oos	0.41127	0.399366	-2.89%	0.40159	-2.35%	0.0293	✓	1.39
2026-10-14	oos	0.416385	0.404469	-2.86%	0.402115	-3.43%	0.0471	✓	1.39
2026-10-13	oos	0.450845	0.438	-2.85%	0.398745	-11.56%	0.0912	✓	1.38
2026-10-12	oos	0.4408	0.428192	-2.86%	0.39882	-9.52%	0.0727	✓	1.40
2026-10-11	oos	0.49633	0.481277	-3.03%	0.38187	-23.06%	0.1998	✓	1.57
2026-10-10	oos	0.538615	0.51968	-3.52%	0.403015	-25.18%	0.2244	✓	1.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.515775	0.49686	-3.67%	0.387205	-24.93%	0.2289	✓	1.61
2026-10-08	oos	0.436745	0.422857	-3.18%	0.41127	-5.83%	0.0360	✓	1.57
2026-10-07	oos	0.373545	0.362694	-2.90%	0.416385	+11.47%	0.1727	✗	1.67
2026-10-06	oos	0.407595	0.395514	-2.96%	0.450845	+10.61%	0.1782	✗	1.63
2026-10-05	oos	0.41208	0.399715	-3.00%	0.4408	+6.97%	0.1757	✗	1.63
2026-10-04	oos	0.41695	0.404207	-3.06%	0.49633	+19.04%	0.2596	✗	1.63
2026-10-03	oos	0.38453	0.373051	-2.99%	0.538615	+40.07%	0.4025	✗	1.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.39644	0.384283	-3.07%	0.515775	+30.10%	0.3322	✗	1.62
2026-10-01	oos	0.395175	0.382609	-3.18%	0.436745	+10.52%	0.1933	✗	1.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.38983	0.377187	-3.24%	0.373545	-4.18%	0.0043	✓	1.60
2026-09-29	oos	0.381685	0.368952	-3.34%	0.407595	+6.79%	0.0638	✗	1.59
2026-09-28	oos	0.36952	0.356926	-3.41%	0.41208	+11.52%	0.1020	✗	1.54
2026-09-27	oos	0.43524	0.416838	-4.23%	0.41695	-4.20%	0.0328	✓	1.38
2026-09-26	oos	0.412955	0.395564	-4.21%	0.38453	-6.88%	0.0336	✓	1.39
2026-09-25	oos	0.44425	0.422862	-4.81%	0.39644	-10.76%	0.0711	✓	1.34
2026-09-24	oos	0.45364	0.429169	-5.39%	0.395175	-12.89%	0.0898	✓	1.33
2026-09-23	oos	0.48606	0.457428	-5.89%	0.38983	-19.80%	0.1470	✓	1.32
2026-09-22	oos	0.436315	0.411622	-5.66%	0.381685	-12.52%	0.0335	✓	1.39
2026-09-21	oos	0.4043	0.381168	-5.72%	0.36952	-8.60%	0.0214	✓	1.42
2026-09-20	oos	0.391515	0.367679	-6.09%	0.43524	+11.17%	0.1071	✗	1.55
2026-09-19	oos	0.446505	0.416463	-6.73%	0.412955	-7.51%	0.0666	✓	1.51
2026-09-18	oos	0.29519	0.279134	-5.44%	0.44425	+50.50%	0.4050	✗	1.53
2026-09-17	oos	0.25509	0.242871	-4.79%	0.45364	+77.84%	0.4799	✗	1.45
2026-09-16	oos	0.24457	0.233328	-4.60%	0.48606	+98.74%	0.5856	✗	1.44
2026-09-15	oos	0.13705	0.133759	-2.40%	0.436315	+218.36%	1.0037	✗	1.36
2026-09-14	oos	0.140985	0.137593	-2.41%	0.4043	+186.77%	0.9369	✗	1.38
2026-09-13	oos	0.14356	0.140106	-2.41%	0.391515	+172.72%	0.9503	✗	1.40
2026-09-12	oos	0.14992	0.1464	-2.35%	0.446505	+197.83%	1.0453	✗	1.39
2026-09-11	oos	0.148505	0.144885	-2.44%	0.29519	+98.77%	0.6478	✗	1.38
2026-09-10	oos	0.147705	0.144083	-2.45%	0.25509	+72.70%	0.5746	✗	1.37
2026-09-09	oos	0.154095	0.150509	-2.33%	0.24457	+58.71%	0.5231	✗	1.36
2026-09-08	oos	0.16393	0.160292	-2.22%	0.13705	-16.40%	0.1061	✓	1.36
2026-09-07	oos	0.1575	0.154066	-2.18%	0.140985	-10.49%	0.0726	✓	1.39
2026-09-06	oos	0.16514	0.161708	-2.08%	0.14356	-13.07%	0.0563	✓	1.39
2026-09-05	oos	0.17224	0.168124	-2.39%	0.14992	-12.96%	0.0693	✓	1.38
2026-09-04	oos	0.14964	0.14673	-1.94%	0.148505	-0.76%	0.0579	✗	1.46
2026-09-03	oos	0.15856	0.156024	-1.60%	0.147705	-6.85%	0.0309	✗	1.43
2026-09-02	oos	0.14371	0.140375	-2.32%	0.154095	+7.23%	0.0743	✗	1.51
2026-09-01	oos	0.14284	0.139484	-2.35%	0.16393	+14.76%	0.1411	✗	1.51
2026-08-31	oos	0.153755	0.150328	-2.23%	0.1575	+2.44%	0.0382	✗	1.26
2026-08-30	oos	0.15632	0.152313	-2.56%	0.16514	+5.64%	0.0381	✗	1.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.1719	0.167017	-2.84%	0.17224	+0.20%	0.0089	✓	1.08
2026-08-28	oos	0.16944	0.164241	-3.07%	0.14964	-11.69%	0.1183	✓	1.08
2026-08-27	oos	0.17649	0.171584	-2.78%	0.15856	-10.16%	0.0920	✓	1.07
2026-08-26	oos	0.166915	0.162144	-2.86%	0.14371	-13.90%	0.0974	✓	1.06
2026-08-25	oos	0.14804	0.144573	-2.34%	0.14284	-3.51%	0.0030	✓	1.04
2026-08-24	oos	0.163815	0.159142	-2.85%	0.153755	-6.14%	0.0290	✓	1.03
2026-08-23	oos	0.13109	0.128742	-1.79%	0.15632	+19.25%	0.1949	✗	0.95
2026-08-22	oos	0.11334	0.11196	-1.22%	0.1719	+51.67%	0.4148	✗	0.92
2026-08-21	oos	0.11888	0.117494	-1.17%	0.16944	+42.53%	0.3718	✗	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.098475	0.097227	-1.27%	0.17649	+79.22%	0.5336	✗	0.66
2026-08-19	oos	0.09869	0.097075	-1.64%	0.166915	+69.13%	0.4468	✗	0.73
2026-08-18	oos	0.093475	0.0919	-1.68%	0.14804	+58.37%	0.3368	✗	0.72
2026-08-17	oos	0.095765	0.093898	-1.95%	0.163815	+71.06%	0.4091	✗	0.73
2026-08-16	oos	0.10351	0.100767	-2.65%	0.13109	+26.64%	0.0859	✗	0.83
2026-08-15	oos	0.092975	0.091512	-1.57%	0.11334	+21.90%	0.0456	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.09274	0.091352	-1.50%	0.11888	+28.19%	0.0808	✗	0.84
2026-08-13	oos	0.09498	0.093465	-1.59%	0.098475	+3.68%	0.0650	✓	0.83
2026-08-12	oos	0.09864	0.09685	-1.81%	0.09869	+0.05%	0.0554	✓	0.84
2026-08-11	oos	0.097635	0.095865	-1.81%	0.093475	-4.26%	0.0403	✓	0.84
2026-08-10	oos	0.093365	0.091877	-1.59%	0.095765	+2.57%	0.0340	✗	0.84
2026-08-09	oos	0.09707	0.095348	-1.77%	0.10351	+6.63%	0.1082	✗	0.83
2026-08-08	oos	0.09736	0.095624	-1.78%	0.092975	-4.50%	0.0036	✓	0.83
2026-08-07	oos	0.096885	0.095163	-1.78%	0.09274	-4.28%	0.0010	✓	0.83
2026-08-06	oos	0.097805	0.096007	-1.84%	0.09498	-2.89%	0.0003	✓	0.84
2026-08-05	oos	0.100875	0.098917	-1.94%	0.09864	-2.22%	0.0127	✓	0.83
2026-08-04	oos	0.10167	0.099593	-2.04%	0.097635	-3.97%	0.0130	✓	0.84
2026-08-03	oos	0.09716	0.095441	-1.77%	0.093365	-3.91%	0.0278	✓	0.83
2026-08-02	oos	0.0997	0.097829	-1.88%	0.09707	-2.64%	0.0252	✓	0.83
2026-08-01	oos	0.105755	0.103323	-2.30%	0.09736	-7.94%	0.0887	✓	0.87
2026-07-31	oos	0.116685	0.113243	-2.95%	0.096885	-16.97%	0.1844	✓	0.88
2026-07-30	oos	0.094575	0.093474	-1.16%	0.097805	+3.42%	0.0533	✗	1.14
2026-07-29	oos	0.09668	0.095417	-1.31%	0.100875	+4.34%	0.0428	✗	1.16
2026-07-28	oos	0.10316	0.10129	-1.81%	0.10167	-1.44%	0.0000	✓	1.17
2026-07-27	oos	0.105835	0.103764	-1.96%	0.09716	-8.20%	0.0615	✓	1.18
2026-07-26	oos	0.114575	0.112112	-2.15%	0.0997	-12.98%	0.0853	✓	1.12
2026-07-25	oos	0.113675	0.111239	-2.14%	0.105755	-6.97%	0.0232	✓	1.14
2026-07-24	oos	0.11498	0.112505	-2.15%	0.116685	+1.48%	0.0591	✗	1.14
2026-07-23	oos	0.119115	0.116474	-2.22%	0.094575	-20.60%	0.2026	✓	1.13
2026-07-22	oos	0.121595	0.118853	-2.25%	0.09668	-20.49%	0.1688	✓	1.12
2026-07-21	oos	0.11994	0.117157	-2.32%	0.10316	-13.99%	0.0813	✓	1.12
2026-07-20	oos	0.123715	0.120823	-2.34%	0.105835	-14.45%	0.1046	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.12307	0.120133	-2.39%	0.114575	-6.90%	0.0594	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.1261	0.123016	-2.45%	0.113675	-9.85%	0.0697	✓	1.19
2026-07-17	oos	0.129925	0.1267	-2.48%	0.11498	-11.50%	0.1007	✓	1.24
2026-07-16	oos	0.135285	0.131738	-2.62%	0.119115	-11.95%	0.1255	✓	1.25
2026-07-15	oos	0.145845	0.141388	-3.06%	0.121595	-16.63%	0.1761	✓	1.21
2026-07-14	oos	0.1552	0.150041	-3.32%	0.11994	-22.72%	0.2519	✓	1.20
2026-07-13	oos	0.116895	0.114179	-2.32%	0.123715	+5.83%	0.0478	✗	0.70
2026-07-12	oos	0.12333	0.120327	-2.43%	0.12307	-0.21%	0.0130	✓	0.65
2026-07-11	oos	0.12402	0.120966	-2.46%	0.1261	+1.68%	0.0312	✗	0.65
2026-07-10	oos	0.11772	0.1148	-2.48%	0.129925	+10.37%	0.1262	✗	0.66
2026-07-09	oos	0.11437	0.111687	-2.35%	0.135285	+18.29%	0.1856	✗	0.65
2026-07-08	oos	0.10905	0.106501	-2.34%	0.145845	+33.74%	0.2901	✗	0.62
2026-07-07	oos	0.11054	0.107835	-2.45%	0.1552	+40.40%	0.3482	✗	0.61
2026-07-06	oos	0.11365	0.110835	-2.48%	0.116895	+2.86%	0.0698	✗	0.60
2026-07-05	oos	0.11218	0.109363	-2.51%	0.12333	+9.94%	0.1187	✗	0.60
2026-07-04	oos	0.10767	0.10485	-2.62%	0.12402	+15.19%	0.1616	✗	0.58
2026-07-03	oos	0.11031	0.107143	-2.87%	0.11772	+6.72%	0.0785	✗	0.61
2026-07-02	oos	0.112105	0.108588	-3.14%	0.11437	+2.02%	0.0339	✗	0.66
2026-07-01	oos	0.10732	0.103551	-3.51%	0.10905	+1.61%	0.0281	✓	0.64
2026-06-30	oos	0.11361	0.10885	-4.19%	0.11054	-2.70%	0.0479	✓	0.80
2026-06-29	oos	0.10568	0.102067	-3.42%	0.11365	+7.54%	0.0510	✗	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.10167	0.09822	-3.39%	0.11218	+10.34%	0.0730	✗	0.90
2026-06-27	oos	0.08732	0.085384	-2.22%	0.10767	+23.31%	0.1855	✗	0.91
2026-06-26	oos	0.08296	0.081344	-1.95%	0.11031	+32.97%	0.2635	✗	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.08304	0.081441	-1.93%	0.112105	+35.00%	0.2902	✗	1.00
2026-06-24	oos	0.082775	0.081223	-1.88%	0.10732	+29.65%	0.2955	✗	1.00
2026-06-23	oos	0.08616	0.084465	-1.97%	0.11361	+31.86%	0.3645	✗	1.00
2026-06-22	oos	0.087275	0.085554	-1.97%	0.10568	+21.09%	0.2723	✗	1.00
2026-06-21	oos	0.090795	0.088849	-2.14%	0.10167	+11.98%	0.1961	✗	1.00
2026-06-20	oos	0.098535	0.096231	-2.34%	0.08732	-11.38%	0.0281	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.09513	0.092922	-2.32%	0.08296	-12.79%	0.0571	✓	1.00
2026-06-18	oos	0.09407	0.091848	-2.36%	0.08304	-11.73%	0.0490	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.09792	0.095545	-2.43%	0.082775	-15.47%	0.0882	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.10043	0.09788	-2.54%	0.08616	-14.21%	0.0812	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.102	0.099377	-2.57%	0.087275	-14.44%	0.0941	✓	1.00
2026-06-14	oos	0.10087	0.098206	-2.64%	0.090795	-9.99%	0.0401	✓	1.00
2026-06-13	oos	0.10077	0.098043	-2.71%	0.098535	-2.22%	0.0082	✓	1.00
2026-06-12	oos	0.10217	0.099368	-2.74%	0.09513	-6.89%	0.0426	✓	1.00
2026-06-11	oos	0.10434	0.101421	-2.80%	0.09407	-9.84%	0.0644	✓	1.00
2026-06-10	oos	0.0986	0.095834	-2.81%	0.09792	-0.69%	0.0261	✓	1.00
2026-06-09	oos	0.10506	0.101913	-3.00%	0.10043	-4.41%	0.0764	✓	1.00
2026-06-08	oos	0.11139	0.107736	-3.28%	0.102	-8.43%	0.1044	✓	1.00
2026-06-07	oos	0.10365	0.100484	-3.05%	0.10087	-2.68%	0.0334	✓	1.00
2026-06-06	oos	0.09153	0.088917	-2.86%	0.10077	+10.10%	0.0680	✗	1.00